今日财经及行业动态多有看点。上海期货交易所自2025年12月24日起，对白银期货限制日内开仓最大数 量为10000手，此前广期所也限制碳酸锂开仓并提高保证金，但碳酸锂价格仍暴涨。特朗普叫停美国弗 吉尼亚海上风电项目，致欧美光伏和海风新能源板块大跌。长征十二号甲一级运载火箭二子级入轨，一 子级未回收，商业航天板块因炒作时间长资金撤退而大跌。传字节投资230亿美元人工智能，芯片和 PCB集体上涨。万科债展期未通过但延期通过。离岸RMB升至7.018，出口企业压力大。明日观察"神奇 指数"回调至1500左右，可参考其高低进行加减仓操作。各板块表现不一，如芯片自主自控、光伏"嘴 炮"不断等，市场对碳酸锂2026年走势预测分歧巨大。 和讯自选股写手 本文由 AI 算法生成，仅作参考，不涉投资建议，使用风险自担 股票名称 ["XX汽车","万科"] 板块名称 ["光伏和海风新能源","商业航天","芯片和PCB","福建板块","人工智能","地产","旅游酒 店","影视传媒","食品消费","煤炭","银行","证券","锂电","白酒","创新药品"] 期货限制、新能源板块、芯片上涨 看多看空（中性） 内容中对不同 ...

Core Insights - The article discusses the release of the "2025 China Real Estate Super Service Power Special Research," which aims to provide insights and support for the real estate industry amidst ongoing transformations [3][40] - The research emphasizes the importance of service capabilities in enhancing corporate value and outlines a new evaluation model called "Super Service Power" [40] Group 1: Research Development - Since 2020, the company has focused on real estate service research, initiating the "Double Top Ten" deep dive into real estate enterprise service capabilities [1] - In 2021, the company launched the "Service Power TOP50" special research system, which has now evolved into the "Super Service Power" assessment model by 2024 [1][40] Group 2: Rankings and Recognitions - The "2025 China Real Estate Super Service Power TOP50" list includes leading companies such as Greentown China, Poly Developments, and China Resources Land, among others [6][42] - The rankings are presented in a structured format, showcasing the top companies in the real estate sector based on their service capabilities [6][42] Group 3: Service Excellence and Community Engagement - The research highlights exemplary community operation models, such as those by Huafa and Greentown, which focus on building trust and enhancing customer experience through proactive service [21][30] - Companies are encouraged to adopt a "predictive" service support system, transitioning from product delivery to service operation, ensuring a seamless connection between risk control and execution [21][55] Group 4: Quality Assurance and Delivery - The article discusses the importance of a comprehensive quality assurance system that includes preemptive risk management and customer engagement strategies to enhance delivery experiences [23][58] - Companies like China Railway Construction and Huafa are implementing innovative service models that prioritize customer satisfaction and community involvement during the delivery process [23][62] Group 5: Sustainable Community Development - The research emphasizes the need for sustainable community ecosystems where residents actively participate in community activities, transforming from mere participants to community leaders [66][70] - Initiatives such as the "Neighbor Feast" by China Railway Construction demonstrate the shift towards community-driven events that foster deeper connections among residents [70]

Core Viewpoint - Vanke's attempts to extend the maturity of its 20 billion MTN004 bond have faced significant challenges, with no proposals approved by bondholders as of December 22, 2023, indicating a critical liquidity situation for the company [3][5][11]. Group 1: Bond Extension Attempts - Vanke has proposed three rounds of maturity extension plans for the 20 billion MTN004 bond since November 26, 2023, but none have been approved by bondholders [3][5]. - The initial proposal lacked cash compensation or credit enhancement, which contributed to its rejection by investors [5][14]. - The second proposal included a 12-month extension and interest payments but still failed to gain sufficient support, with only 20.20% of voting rights in favor [5][6]. Group 2: Financial Pressure and Debt Structure - As of September 2025, Vanke's interest-bearing debt reached a record high of 362.9 billion, with 42.7% of this debt maturing within one year [11][13]. - The company's cash-to-short-term debt ratio is only 0.48, indicating severe liquidity constraints [11]. - Vanke's debt structure is further complicated by a lack of external support following a sudden change in its major shareholder's stance [11][13]. Group 3: Market Reactions and Comparisons - Investors are increasingly focused on cash and hard credit enhancements, reflecting a shift in market sentiment following numerous defaults and restructurings in the real estate sector since 2021 [3][7][16]. - Vanke's situation contrasts with other developers like Country Garden, which successfully negotiated debt extensions by offering more favorable terms, including cash payments and credit enhancements [14][15][16]. - Analysts suggest that Vanke's initial strategy of relying on procedural negotiations rather than immediate cash solutions may have backfired, leading to investor dissatisfaction [16].

允中 发自 凹非寺 量子位 | 公众号 QbitAI 近日，深势科技完成总额超8亿人民币的C轮融资，本轮融资由达晨财智、京国瑞基金、北京市人工智能产业投资基金、北京市医药健康产业投资基金、 联想创投、元禾璞华等机构共同出资。 本轮融资资金将主要用于持续吸引和培养行业内顶尖人才，进一步进化迭代深势科技的"科学发现智能引擎"，持续夯实从原始技术创新、到智能科研工具 产品及行业解决方案的全栈能力，加速围绕科学发现的智能产品与服务在基础科研、生命科学与物质科学等领域的市场拓展与规模化应用。 此次融资的完成，标志着深势科技在构建新一代科学发现智能引擎的征程上，迈出了坚实的一步。 AI for Science成为全球共识，科学发现范式正在重构 我们正站在一个历史性的时点，AI for Science已成为全球性的共识，其目标在于从根本上变革人类探索未知、发现全新科学知识并将其系统沉淀为可复用 科学资产的模式。 此外，欧洲的"地平线"计划中重点布局AI赋能的科学研究；美国更是启动创世纪计划（Genesis Mission），核心是加速利用AI推动科学突破，提高AI驱动 科学发现以及工业应用转化的效率，此计划也被上升到与"曼 ...

Key Points - The issuance of non-financial corporate credit bonds decreased by 4% week-on-week, with a significant decline in city investment bonds by 20% and real estate bonds by 37% [7][49] - Vanke proposed a new extension plan for its 2 billion medium-term notes, extending the principal repayment date by 12 months to December 15, 2026, and prioritizing interest payments during the grace period [1][45] - The National Development and Reform Commission is studying adjustments to the pilot scope of local government special bond projects to enhance investment efficiency and management [4][47] - The Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges, along with China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation, announced support for foreign institutional investors to engage in bond repurchase transactions [6][48] Primary Market - The net financing of non-financial corporate credit bonds was 560.48 billion yuan, a decrease of 19.63% week-on-week, with total issuance at 2,649.67 billion yuan, down 3.70% [7][49] - The proportion of issuers rated AA+ and above was 87.59%, a decrease of 2.17 percentage points from the previous week [7][49] - Nine non-financial corporate credit bonds were canceled or postponed this week, totaling 4.285 billion yuan, with a cumulative cancellation of 29 bonds amounting to 16.565 billion yuan over the past month [7][49] Secondary Market - Bond trading volume increased by 4% compared to the previous week, with credit bonds accounting for 15% of total trading [27][63] - The yield on 10-year government bonds fell by 0.9 basis points to 1.83%, with overall yields on government and credit bonds declining [29][67] - City investment bond yields showed a downward trend across various ratings, with AAA-rated 1-year bonds yielding 1.75%, down 1 basis point [37][75] Rating Adjustments and Defaults - No rating adjustments occurred for non-financial corporate bonds last week [40][78] - One credit risk event was reported involving Vanke, with ongoing negotiations for the extension of its medium-term notes [40][78] - Two credit risk events had updates, involving Hongda Industrial Co., Ltd. and Wuhan Tianying Investment Group Co., Ltd., both facing substantial defaults [41][79]

Core Viewpoint - Vanke's attempts to extend the maturity of its bond "22 Vanke MTN004" have faced significant challenges, with no proposals approved after multiple rounds of negotiations, highlighting the company's substantial debt pressure and the market's demand for cash and hard guarantees [1][2][10]. Group 1: Bond Extension Attempts - Vanke proposed a one-year extension for the 20 billion yuan bond, with a new maturity date set for December 15, 2026, but this proposal was rejected by bondholders [2][3]. - The second round of voting resulted in the approval of a 30-day grace period, allowing Vanke to continue negotiations with creditors [2][3]. - The initial proposal lacked cash payments or guarantees, which contributed to its rejection by investors, who are now more focused on cash and hard guarantees [1][11]. Group 2: Debt Pressure and Market Response - Vanke's total interest-bearing debt reached 362.9 billion yuan as of September 2025, with a significant portion maturing soon, leading to expectations of further debt extensions [7][10]. - The company's debt structure is concerning, with 42.7% of its interest-bearing debt due within one year and a cash-to-short-term debt ratio of only 0.48 [7][10]. - Investors are increasingly wary of extending bonds without clear guarantees, reflecting a broader trend in the market following numerous defaults and restructurings in the real estate sector [4][10]. Group 3: Comparison with Other Developers - Other major developers, such as Country Garden, have successfully navigated similar situations by offering cash arrangements and structured payment plans, contrasting with Vanke's approach [11][12]. - The market's preference for cash and guarantees has shifted, making it difficult for Vanke to secure support for its proposals, as seen in the rejection of its initial extension plan [11][13]. - Analysts suggest that Vanke's unique corporate structure and decision-making processes may limit its flexibility in providing the necessary guarantees to satisfy investors [13].

Group 1: Domestic News - Xi Jinping emphasized the responsibilities of central enterprises to better serve the national agenda and contribute to high-quality economic development, urging them to focus on core functions and enhance competitiveness [2] - Premier Li Qiang highlighted the importance of central enterprises in advancing new infrastructure construction and ensuring the self-sufficiency of industrial and supply chains, while also calling for deeper reforms in state-owned enterprises [3] - The National Housing and Urban-Rural Development Conference acknowledged the significant changes in the real estate market and emphasized the potential for further development, advocating for a new model of real estate development that meets public housing needs [4] Group 2: International News - The U.S. GDP for Q3 grew by 4.3%, exceeding expectations of 3.3%, with consumer spending showing strong growth at 3.5%, indicating robust economic expansion despite rising borrowing costs [5] - U.S. durable goods orders fell by 2.2% in October, significantly below the expected decline of 1.5%, although year-on-year growth remained at 4.7%, indicating resilience in manufacturing orders [6] Group 3: Bond Market Dynamics - The bond market showed signs of strength with a notable entry of configuration funds, leading to a decline in yields for 10-year government bonds to 1.8350% and 10-year policy bank bonds to 1.898% [11] - The convertible bond market experienced adjustments, with major indices declining and a majority of individual bonds falling, indicating a mixed performance in the market [17] Group 4: Commodity Market - International crude oil prices continued to rise, with WTI crude up by approximately 0.64% to $58.38 per barrel, and natural gas prices surged over 10% [7] Group 5: Financial Market Operations - The central bank conducted a reverse repurchase operation of 593 billion yuan at a fixed rate of 1.40%, resulting in a net withdrawal of 760 billion yuan due to maturing reverse repos [8] - The funding rates remained low, with DR001 and DR007 declining to 1.269% and 1.411% respectively, indicating a continued loose monetary environment [9]

Summary of Vanke (2202.HK / 000002.SZ) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Vanke - **Industry**: Real Estate Development - **Focus**: Primarily residential development, with a shift towards high-end market segments Key Points Downgrade and Financial Performance - Vanke's A and H shares have been downgraded to Sell from Neutral due to: - Weak property sales in 4Q25E, with a projected decline of 39% year-over-year for listed companies in the sector [1] - Accelerated home price declines impacting sales margins [1] - A reported net loss of RMB 26.5 billion for the first nine months of 2025, attributed to asset write-downs (RMB 14 billion), credit impairments (RMB 0.5 billion), and investment losses (RMB 3 billion) [3][30] - Revenue for 9M25 decreased by 26.6% year-over-year to RMB 161.4 billion [3] Bond Extensions - Vanke proposed extensions for onshore bonds: - RMB 2 billion bond originally due on December 15, 2025, with a grace period extended to January 28, 2026 [2] - RMB 3.7 billion bond due on December 28, 2025 [2] - Bondholders initially rejected a one-year repayment extension but approved a grace period extension [2] Sales and Market Position - Contracted sales for 11M25 were RMB 124 billion, down 44% year-over-year, with November sales alone at RMB 9 billion, a 53% decline [3] - Vanke ranked 6th nationally by gross sales [3] Land Acquisitions - Recent land acquisitions include: - Hangzhou: RMB 1 billion (average price RMB 15,000/sqm) [4] - Wuhan: RMB 349 million (average price RMB 6,400/sqm) [4] - Chongqing: RMB 321 million (average price RMB 8,000/sqm) [4] Earnings Forecast Revisions - Earnings forecasts for FY25E-27E have been revised downward, projecting expanded losses for FY25E and FY26E, with a 37% reduction in FY27E earnings forecast [8] Valuation Adjustments - Target price for Vanke's A shares reduced to RMB 3.86 (previously RMB 6.71) at a 70% NAV discount (previously 60%) [1][35] - Target price for H shares lowered to HK$2.80 (previously HK$5.47) at an 80% discount (previously 70%) [1][31] Risks and Opportunities - Upside risks include potential stabilization of property prices, better-than-expected sales, stronger GDP growth, and favorable policy changes in China [32][36] Financial Metrics - Significant declines in gross profit margins and net profit projections: - Core earnings for FY25E projected at RMB -32.4 billion, with diluted EPS at RMB -2.75 [9] - Total revenue expected to decline to RMB 290.66 billion in FY25E [11] Conclusion - Vanke is facing significant challenges in the current real estate market, with declining sales, increased losses, and pressure on liquidity. The company's strategy includes focusing on core business areas and optimizing capital structure, but the outlook remains cautious given the broader industry downturn.

12月22日晚间，万科披露了关于22万科MTN004票据的第二次债权人会议结果，将"继续与持有人沟通 协商，寻求本期中期票据解决方案"。 这不是一个乐观的结果，毕竟万科已经调整过一次展期方案，从最初的本息展期一年且无任何增信措施 变为明确提供相应的增信措施。 第二次会议在12月18日召开，其间万科与债权人达成一致，可以缩减会议召开的相关时限，相关议案获 得90%以上表决权的同意，达到生效标准。 重点是调整中期票据本息兑付安排的议案。 为何提供增信措施仍无法打动投资人？在汇生国际资本总裁黄立冲看来，调整后的展期方案仍未通过， 意味着债权人对确定性的要求在抬高，而不是单纯否定万科追加抵押物这件事本身。 黄立冲强调，追加抵押物确实是对的方向，但在机构债权人的视角里，抵押物距离真的把风险降下来， 中间还隔着几道坎，最关键的是可执行性和可兑现性。比如，抵押物到底是哪一类资产，权属是否清 晰，有没有既有抵押或查封，能不能及时完成登记，抵押顺位能排到第几，估值怎么定、折价怎么打， 处置路径要走多久，回款是不是有监管账户和现金归集安排。 具体来看，该项议案中提到，22万科MTN004票据的本金兑付时间展期12个月，调整后兑付 ...

LPR 连续 7 个月保持不变；资金面延续宽松，债市承压走弱 【内容摘要】12 月 22 日，资金面保持宽松态势；12 月 LPR 报价继续持稳，叠加股市上涨，债 市承压走弱；转债市场跟随权益市场延续上行，转债个券多数上涨；各期限美债收益率普遍上 行，主要欧洲经济体 10 年期国债收益率普遍上行。 一、债市要闻 （一）国内要闻 【LPR 连续 7 个月保持不变】12 月 22 日，央行授权全国银行间同业拆借中心公布，1 年期 LPR 为 3.00%，5 年期以上 LPR 为 3.50%，均与上月持平，连续 7 个月保持不变。 【李强主持召开国务院"十五五"规划《纲要草案》编制工作领导小组会议】12 月 22 日，中 共中央政治局常委、国务院总理李强主持召开国务院"十五五"规划《纲要草案》编制工作领 导小组会议，深入研究《纲要草案》编制工作。李强指出，目前《纲要草案》的编制已经有了 较好基础，下一步要集中力量、精益求精做好修改完善工作。要着眼于更好发挥规划引领作用， 紧紧围绕推动高质量发展这个主题来设定指标、安排政策、谋划项目，推动经济实现质的有效 提升和量的合理增长。 【关于地方政府债务风险问题整改，财政部、 ...