2025 年中國新能源汽車銷量達到1649 萬輛，同比增長28%，滲透率突破50%。新能源汽車熱管理單車 價值量達傳統燃油車的3-4 倍（PTC 體系5850-6050 元（人民幣，下同）、CO?熱泵體系9550-9950 元），帶動熱管理市場規模快速擴容。2025 年全球新能源車熱管理市場規模預測將達2265 億元，2022- 2026 年CAGR 為32.95%；中國市場規模達964 億元，CAGR 為20.33%。技術層面，集成熱管理系統 （ITMS）成為主流，通過多通閥、換熱器集成設計提升能效，AI 算法動態優化熱策略，相變材料、石 墨烯導熱膜等新材料推動輕量化。競爭格局呈現"國際Tier1 主導+國內企業突圍"，銀輪股份等國內領先 企業憑藉油冷器、水冷板等單品優勢切入全球供應鏈，2024 年公司的新能源熱管理產品收入占比達 42%，銷量2549 萬台。 AI 算力需求推動數據中心液冷爆發增長 AI 大模型迭代推動數據中心功率密度提升，英偉達下一代Rubin GPU 功耗達2300W，傳統風冷難以滿 足散熱需求。液冷技術憑藉散熱效率高（為風冷數千倍）、PUE 低（可控制在1.15 以下）成為剛需。 2 ...

[Table_Page] 深度分析|汽车 证券研究报告 [Table_Title] 汽车行业 25 年四季度末公募基金超配汽车行业 0.62pct [Table_Summary] 核心观点： [Table_Grade] 行业评级 买入 前次评级 买入 报告日期 2026-01-29 [分析师： Table_Author]张力月 SAC 执证号：S0260524040004 021-38003727 zhangliyue@gf.com.cn 分析师： 闫俊刚 SAC 执证号：S0260516010001 021-38003682 yanjungang@gf.com.cn 分析师： 陈飞彤 SAC 执证号：S0260524040002 SFC CE No. BWZ819 021-38003726 gfchenfeitong@gf.com.cn 分析师： 周伟 SAC 执证号：S0260522090001 021-38003684 gfzhwei@gf.com.cn 分析师： 罗英 SAC 执证号：S0260525110001 0755-82557403 shluoying@gf.com.cn -10% -2% 6 ...

Investment Highlights - The SW auto parts index increased by 3.85% this week, ranking second in the SW auto sector, with a year-to-date increase of 9.12% [3][14] - The latest trading day PE (TTM) for SW auto parts is at the 90.08% historical percentile, while PB (LF) is at the 83.70% historical percentile [3][38] Robotics Sector Review - The Wande Robotics Index rose by 1.38% this week, with a year-to-date increase of 7.07%, underperforming the SW auto parts sector by 2.47% [4][40] - The latest trading day PE (TTM) for Wande Robotics is at the 94.65% historical percentile, and PB (LF) is at the 96.30% historical percentile [4][45] Core Coverage Stocks Weekly Performance - Notable weekly gains include: New Coordinates +36.30%, Minshi Group +25.33%, Daimai Co. +12.57%, Top Group +11.30%, and Xusheng Group +9.87% [6][52] Major Events This Week - Elon Musk announced plans to sell Tesla's humanoid robot to the public by the end of 2027 [7][46] - Yushu announced its humanoid robot sales for 2025, exceeding 5,500 units [8][46] Investment Recommendations - For auto parts, focus on structural opportunities by selecting product-oriented companies and those entering high-value sectors to increase ASP, with a priority on establishing capacities in Europe, North America, and Southeast Asia [9][57] - In robotics, seek certainty in opportunities, particularly with the anticipated release of Optimus V3 in Q1 2026, and monitor order timelines and application developments from domestic companies like Xiaopeng, Yushu, and Zhiyuan [9][57]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Buy" [2] Core Insights - The report indicates a transition from "stable volume and slow price" to "price increase and stable volume" for the automotive industry in 2026 [6][16] - The domestic demand for passenger vehicles is expected to show positive growth in 2026, supported by policies such as scrapping and replacement subsidies [27][28] - The report highlights that the average selling price (ASP) of passenger vehicles is projected to increase, with a notable rise in ASP observed in December 2025 [16][20] Summary by Sections 1. Passenger Vehicle Sales and Market Dynamics - In December 2025, domestic passenger vehicle sales reached 2.278 million units, a year-on-year decrease of 16.4% but a month-on-month increase of 13.6% [16] - The total sales for 2025 were 23.052 million units, reflecting a slight year-on-year increase of 0.6% [16] - The report notes that December's performance was significantly below seasonal norms, attributed to the suspension of scrapping subsidies in some regions [16] 2. ASP Trends and Market Expectations - The ASP for passenger vehicles in 2025 showed a year-on-year decline of 2.1%, with December 2025 ASP increasing by 13.7% compared to the previous year [16][20] - The report anticipates that the continuation of scrapping policies will enhance the sales of mid-to-high-end vehicles, contributing to price increases [27] 3. Inventory and Supply Chain Considerations - As of December 2025, the inventory of passenger vehicles stood at 4.708 million units, with a dynamic inventory-to-sales ratio of 2.48 [40] - The report suggests that short-term inventory risks are manageable, as leading domestic manufacturers may adjust production based on current demand [40] 4. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on various companies within the passenger vehicle supply chain, including Geely, BYD, and Xpeng Motors for growth potential [6][27] - It also highlights companies like Great Wall Motors and SAIC Group as having potential turning points in their performance [6][27]

Investment Rating - The report provides a "Buy" rating for several companies in the automotive sector, indicating an expected performance that will exceed the market by more than 10% over the next 12 months [5][22]. Core Insights - The change in subsidy policies has led to the disappearance of the tail effect in Q4 2025, resulting in a reduction of demand overdraw for 2026. In December 2025, the number of insured vehicles was 2.278 million, down 16.4% year-on-year but up 13.6% month-on-month. The total number of insured vehicles for the year reached 23.047 million, a slight increase of 0.6% year-on-year, with the penetration rate of new energy vehicles rising to 54.0%, an increase of 7.1 percentage points year-on-year [4][7][16]. Summary by Sections 1. Changes in Subsidy Policies - The report highlights that the changes in subsidy policies have caused consumers to adopt a wait-and-see approach, leading to a decrease in demand overdraw for 2026. The expectation is that as replacement subsidy application channels open, pent-up demand will materialize, and the domestic terminal market will trend towards "price increase and stable volume" [4][7]. 2. PHEV Market Share Tracking - The focus is on the performance of PHEV market shares, particularly for BYD and Geely, as the "mid-level assisted driving equity" leads to share differentiation. The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring configuration adjustments and terminal discount changes to understand further market share differentiation [9][16]. 3. Recent Report Insights - The report notes that the passenger vehicle inventory saw a slight reduction in December 2025, with an estimated 1.5 million vehicles in demand waiting to be fulfilled. The overall industry theme for 2025 was "emerging from deflation," with a judgment of "stable volume and slow price increase" being validated. The outlook for 2026 remains "price increase and stable volume," differing from market consensus due to regulatory changes and risk-return assessments [16][17]. 4. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests a "shelf-style" investment approach, recommending various companies across the passenger vehicle chain. Right-side targets include Geely, BYD, and others, while left-side targets include Great Wall Motors and Changan Automobile. In the commercial vehicle chain, recommended companies include China National Heavy Duty Truck Group and Weichai Power [17].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the mechanical equipment sector, indicating a positive outlook for the industry [6]. Core Insights - The low-altitude economy is experiencing significant growth, with the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area set to add 801 new low-altitude takeoff and landing points by 2025, and a logistics drone route network of 310 lines, showcasing a market potential of over one trillion yuan [3]. - The mechanical equipment sector shows strong competitive advantages for domestic leading companies, with forklift sales in December 2025 reaching 111,363 units, a slight year-on-year increase of 0.03%, while exports grew by 7.97% [3]. - The engineering machinery industry is expected to maintain steady growth, with total forklift sales in 2025 projected to be 1,451,768 units, a year-on-year increase of 12.9% [3]. Weekly Market Review - From January 11 to January 16, 2026, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.45%, while the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index rose by 1.14% and 1.00%, respectively. The Shenwan Mechanical Equipment Index increased by 1.91%, outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 2.48 percentage points, ranking fifth among 31 Shenwan first-level industries [2][11]. - Sub-sectors within mechanical equipment saw varied performance, with general equipment up by 3.11%, automation equipment up by 4.19%, while engineering machinery and rail transit equipment saw declines of 0.88% and 1.81%, respectively [11]. Key Sector Tracking - The low-altitude economy is supported by the timely establishment of safety standards, such as the Civil Unmanned Aerial Vehicle Parachute System Specification, which aims to enhance operational safety for drones in densely populated areas [3]. - The report highlights the competitive landscape for domestic leading companies in the mechanical equipment sector, emphasizing their strong position in both supply and demand [3]. Investment Recommendations - For the low-altitude economy, recommended companies include Deep City Transportation, Sujiao Science and Technology, and Huasheng Group, among others [4]. - In the mechanical equipment sector, recommended companies include Sany Heavy Industry, XCMG, and Anhui Heli for engineering machinery, and Juxing Technology and Quanfeng Holdings for the export chain [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for the mechanical industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [6]. Core Insights - The low-altitude economy is experiencing significant growth, with the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area set to add 801 new low-altitude takeoff and landing points by 2025, and a logistics drone route network of 310 lines, showcasing a market potential of over one trillion [3]. - The mechanical equipment sector is expected to maintain steady growth, supported by strong competitive advantages of domestic leading enterprises in both supply and demand [3]. - In December 2025, forklift sales reached 111,363 units, a slight year-on-year increase of 0.03%, with exports growing by 7.97% to 47,556 units [3]. Weekly Market Review - From January 11 to January 16, 2026, the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.45%, while the Shenzhen Component Index and the ChiNext Index rose by 1.14% and 1.00%, respectively. The Shenwan Mechanical Equipment Index increased by 1.91%, outperforming the CSI 300 Index by 2.48 percentage points, ranking fifth among 31 Shenwan first-level industries [11]. - Sub-sectors such as general equipment and automation equipment saw increases of 3.11% and 4.19%, respectively, while engineering machinery and rail transit equipment experienced declines of 0.88% and 1.81% [11]. Key Sector Tracking - The report highlights the low-altitude economy's rapid development alongside the establishment of critical safety standards, which are essential for the sustainable growth of the sector [3]. - The mechanical equipment sector's export chain remains robust, with a year-on-year growth of 13.4% in exports for 2025, indicating a positive trend for future growth [3]. Investment Recommendations - For the low-altitude economy, recommended companies include Deep City Transportation, Sujiao Science and Technology, and Wan Feng Aowei [4]. - In the mechanical equipment sector, recommended companies include Sany Heavy Industry, XCMG, and Anhui Heli for engineering machinery, and Giant Star Technology and Quan Feng Holdings for the export chain [4].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the automotive industry, indicating an "Overweight" rating, suggesting that the industry is expected to outperform the overall market [2][12]. Core Insights - Yongda Automotive shows strong recovery signals with cash flow and dividend yield attractiveness, benefiting from support from manufacturers like BMW, and is expected to see significant performance improvements in 2025 [3]. - Tianzhun Technology's core business is experiencing robust growth, but the industry faces cost pressures due to memory shortages, particularly in high-end DDR5 memory [4]. - Longsheng Technology has significant untapped potential in the commercial aerospace sector, with a solid market position in satellite components and a clear growth trajectory in its robotics business [5]. - Yinlun Technology is positioned to benefit from the growth of data center liquid cooling solutions, with expected significant market elasticity by 2027 [5]. - Fuda Co., Ltd. has issued convertible bonds, indicating positive signals for business certainty and valuation support, with a focus on expanding production capacity [6]. - Tiancai Control is strategically positioned in the low-altitude economy, with ongoing efforts to secure key clients and certifications, which could lead to substantial market share gains [6]. Summary by Relevant Sections Yongda Automotive - The company is a key dealer for BMW, showing strong recovery signals with a projected net cash flow exceeding 1.1 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, supported by manufacturer subsidies and a reduction in inefficient dealerships [3]. Tianzhun Technology - The company focuses on intelligent driving and embodied intelligence, with strong growth momentum, but faces challenges from memory supply shortages impacting vehicle production costs [4]. Longsheng Technology - The company has significant growth potential in the commercial aerospace sector, with a strong foothold in satellite components and a clear growth strategy in its robotics business [5]. Yinlun Technology - The company is focusing on data center liquid cooling modules, with expectations for significant market growth by 2027, while also being a key supplier in the robotics sector [5]. Fuda Co., Ltd. - The issuance of convertible bonds at a conversion price of 17.5 yuan signals positive business prospects, with a focus on expanding production capacity and addressing market concerns regarding client structure [6]. Tiancai Control - The company is well-positioned in the low-altitude economy, actively working on client acquisition and technical certifications, which could lead to significant market share in the future [6].

证券日报网讯1月20日，银轮股份（002126）发布公告称，截至本公告日，公司为全资及控股子公司实 际已签署的有效担保金额累计430770万元人民币，占公司2024年度经审计净资产、总资产比例分别为 60.91%、23.46%。无逾期对外担保、无涉及诉讼的对外担保及因担保被判决败诉而应承担损失的情 形。 ...

| 证券代码：002126 | 证券简称：银轮股份 | 公告编号：2026-006 | | --- | --- | --- | | 债券代码：127037 | 债券简称：银轮转债 | | 浙江银轮机械股份有限公司 关于为子公司担保事项的进展公告 本公司及董事会全体成员保证信息披露的内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚假记载、 误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 一、对外担保情况概述 浙江银轮机械股份有限公司（以下简称：公司或本公司）分别于2025年4月17日召 开第九届董事会第二十次会议、2025年5月9日召开2024年度股东大会，审议通过了《关 于为子公司提供担保额度的议案》，同意公司为浙江银轮新能源热管理系统有限公司等 19家控股子公司或其下属控股公司银行融资提供担保总额度605,443万元，具体担保额度 明细如下表： | 序号 | 被担保方 | 担保额度（万元） | | --- | --- | --- | | | 一、为资产负债率高于 70%的子公司担保额度 | | | 1 | 浙江银轮新能源热管理系统有限公司 | 210,000 | | 2 | 山东银轮热交换系统有限公司 | 55,000 | | 3 | 四川银轮新能源 ...