作者：温蒂 编辑：马克 近日，洋河股份（002304.SZ）连发三则重磅公告，将自己推到了舆论的聚光灯下。 首先是人事变动。已经任职近11年的总裁钟雨因到龄退休辞职，由董事长顾宇接任总裁一职。 1964年5月出生的钟雨，是中国酿酒大师、高级工程师，兼具技术与管理双重背景。其掌舵的10多年期 间，见证了洋河攀登到行业巅峰的辉煌时刻，也经历了增长的停滞与业绩下滑的困境。其退休辞职，也 标志着洋河一个时代的结束。 其次是业绩预告。预计2025年归母净利润21.16亿元至25.24亿元，同比暴跌62.18%至68.30%，直接倒退 15年回到2010年的水平。 公司将业绩下滑归因于行业深度调整，但这显然难以用行业因素一言蔽之，毕竟大家都面临同样的问 题，为什么洋河股份就掉队掉得更快。 此外还修改了分红规划。将现金分红率由原本的70%提高到不低于100%，但放弃了此前承诺的年度分 红不低于70亿元的目标。 看起来，比例提高了，但因为净利润大降，取消不低于70亿元的限制后，分红的净额也大幅缩水。 01 分红大幅缩水为哪般？ 洋河股份的业绩滑坡，不是从2025年开始的。早在2023年，洋河股份的营收还达到营业收入331.2 ...

Group 1 - A significant number of A-share companies are reporting losses, with over 500 companies expected to post losses for 2025, reflecting a shift in the market where loss-making companies are disclosing their financials earlier than usual [1][3][22] - The real estate and construction sectors are particularly affected, with companies like Huaxia Happiness expected to report losses between 16 billion to 24 billion yuan, making it the "loss king" [4][24] - The overall performance of A-share companies is under pressure, with 709 out of 1165 companies reporting declining performance, which is approximately 60% [1][22] Group 2 - The trend of loss-making companies disclosing their financials is seen as a sign of market rationalization, with companies aiming to manage expectations and release financial pressures [2][21] - The solar energy sector is facing significant challenges, with leading companies like Tongwei Co. and Longi Green Energy expected to report substantial losses due to overcapacity and price competition [6][24] - The real estate sector is also experiencing widespread losses, with over 30 A-share real estate companies reporting poor performance, and only a few showing positive results [7][25] Group 3 - Companies like Zhichun Technology and Siyuanjie are facing severe stock price declines following their loss announcements, indicating investor reactions to poor financial forecasts [12][30] - The overall market sentiment is expected to be negatively impacted in the short term due to the concentration of negative financial disclosures, but this could lead to improved market pricing efficiency in the long run [15][32] - The performance of A-share companies is anticipated to show a "total pressure, structural brilliance" pattern, with traditional industries like real estate and solar energy under significant strain [16][33][34]

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese liquor market is experiencing a mixed trend in retail prices for the top ten products, with an overall decline in average prices, indicating potential market volatility and changing consumer behavior [1][5]. Price Trends - The total retail price for a package of the top ten liquor products is 8866 yuan, down 20 yuan from the previous day, marking a new low in the past five days [1]. - Among the ten products, four saw price increases while six experienced declines, with notable changes including a 6 yuan increase for premium Moutai and a 17 yuan decrease for Qinghua Lang [1][4]. Market Dynamics - The introduction of the i-Moutai platform has begun to influence the retail prices of Moutai products, with the standard Moutai priced at 1499 yuan and the premium Moutai at 2299 yuan [5]. - The A-share liquor sector has seen a decline, with the China Securities White Liquor Index dropping to 8293.16 points, the lowest since September 19, 2024, and a continuous six-year decline in annual performance [5]. Stock Performance - The average decline for 20 stocks in the white liquor sector over the past 11 trading days is approximately 8.5%, with a median drop of 6.6% [5]. - Six stocks have seen declines exceeding 10%, representing nearly 30% of the sector's total stocks, including Shanxi Fenjiu and Yanghe [5]. Financing Trends - Despite the market downturn, there has been an increase in financing activity, with Guizhou Moutai seeing a net buy of 3.166 billion yuan over the past ten trading days, reaching a new high in financing balance [5].

| 2 | 习酒君品 | 639/瓶 | -3元' | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 53度/500ml | | | | 北 | 青花郎 | 720/瓶 | -17元▼ | | | 53度/500ml | | | | 100 | 水晶剑南春 | 391/瓶 | 3元 ▲ | | | 52度/500ml | | | 来源：酒业内参 新浪财经"酒价内参"过去24小时收集的数据显示，中国白酒市场十大单品的终端零售均价在1月28日呈 放量分化走势。如果十大单品各取一瓶整体打包售卖，今日总售价为8866元，较昨日下跌20元，创近五 日以来价格新低。今日市场四涨六跌：上涨端，精品茅台领涨6元/瓶；水晶剑南春上涨3元/瓶；国窖 1573和梦之蓝M6+均上涨2元/瓶。下跌端，青花郎显著回调17元/瓶，调整幅度居前，此前该酒品曾五 连涨获利回吐压力日增；飞天茅台终端零售价受i茅台平台常态化供应影响，环比下跌9元/瓶；习酒君 品和古井贡古20分别下跌3元/瓶、2元/瓶；青花汾20和五粮液均微跌1元/瓶，走势相对平稳。 【点击进入酒价内参，查看真实酒价】 白酒业的重要新闻方面，昨日（27日）A股白酒板 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese liquor market is experiencing a mixed trend in retail prices, with the average price of the top ten liquor products showing a decline, indicating potential market volatility and shifts in consumer demand [1][5]. Price Trends - As of January 28, the total retail price for a package of the top ten liquor products is 8866 yuan, down 20 yuan from the previous day, marking a new low in the past five days [1]. - The market shows four price increases and six decreases today, with premium Moutai leading the increase by 6 yuan per bottle, while Qinghua Lang saw a significant drop of 17 yuan per bottle [1][4]. Market Dynamics - The introduction of the iMoutai platform selling Moutai at 1499 yuan per bottle and premium Moutai at 2299 yuan per bottle has begun to influence market prices, reflecting a magnetic effect on retail prices [5]. - The A-share liquor sector has seen a decline, with the China Securities White Liquor Index dropping to 8293.16 points, the lowest since September 19, 2024, and the sector has experienced a continuous six-year decline [5]. Stock Performance - Within the liquor sector, 20 constituent stocks have averaged a decline of nearly 8.5% over the past 11 trading days, with a median drop of 6.6% [5]. - Six stocks have seen declines exceeding 10%, representing nearly 30% of the sector's total stocks, including Shanxi Fenjiu and Yanghe Brewery [5]. Financing Activity - Despite the market downturn, there is a trend of increased investment from financing clients, with Guizhou Moutai seeing a net purchase of 3.166 billion yuan over the last ten trading days, reaching a new high in financing balance [5].

新浪财经"酒价内参"重磅上线 知名白酒真实市场价尽在掌握 新浪财经"酒价内参"过去24小时收集的数据显示，中国白酒市场十大单品的终端零售均价在1月28日呈 放量分化走势。如果十大单品各取一瓶整体打包售卖，今日总售价为8866元，较昨日下跌20元，创近五 日以来价格新低。今日市场四涨六跌：上涨端，精品茅台领涨6元/瓶；水晶剑南春上涨3元/瓶；国窖 1573和梦之蓝M6+均上涨2元/瓶。下跌端，青花郎显著回调17元/瓶，调整幅度居前，此前该酒品曾五 连涨获利回吐压力日增；飞天茅台终端零售价受i茅台平台常态化供应影响，环比下跌9元/瓶；习酒君 品和古井贡古20分别下跌3元/瓶、2元/瓶；青花汾20和五粮液均微跌1元/瓶，走势相对平稳。 | 2 | 习酒君品 | 639/瓶 | -3元' | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 53度/500ml | | | | 北 | 青花郎 | 720/瓶 | -17元▼ | | | 53度/500ml | | | | 100 | 水晶剑南春 | 391/瓶 | 3元 ▲ | | | 52度/500ml | | | "酒价内参"的每日数据源自全国各大区均有 ...

新浪财经"酒价内参"重磅上线 知名白酒真实市场价尽在掌握 新浪财经"酒价内参"过去24小时收集的数据显示，中国白酒市场十大单品的终端零售均价在1月28日呈 放量分化走势。如果十大单品各取一瓶整体打包售卖，今日总售价为8866元，较昨日下跌20元，创近五 日以来价格新低。今日市场四涨六跌：上涨端，精品茅台领涨6元/瓶；水晶剑南春上涨3元/瓶；国窖 1573和梦之蓝M6+均上涨2元/瓶。下跌端，青花郎显著回调17元/瓶，调整幅度居前，此前该酒品曾五 连涨获利回吐压力日增；飞天茅台终端零售价受i茅台平台常态化供应影响，环比下跌9元/瓶；习酒君 品和古井贡古20分别下跌3元/瓶、2元/瓶；青花汾20和五粮液均微跌1元/瓶，走势相对平稳。 | 2 | 习酒君品 | 639/瓶 | -3元' | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 53度/500ml | | | | 北 | 青花郎 | 720/瓶 | -17元▼ | | | 53度/500ml | | | | 100 | 水晶剑南春 | 391/瓶 | 3元 ▲ | | | 52度/500ml | | | 新浪财经"酒价内参"重磅上线 知名白酒真 ...

新浪财经"酒价内参"重磅上线 知名白酒真实市场价尽在掌握 新浪财经"酒价内参"过去24小时收集的数据显示，中国白酒市场十大单品的终端零售均价在1月28日呈 放量分化走势。如果十大单品各取一瓶整体打包售卖，今日总售价为8866元，较昨日下跌20元，创近五 日以来价格新低。今日市场四涨六跌：上涨端，精品茅台领涨6元/瓶；水晶剑南春上涨3元/瓶；国窖 1573和梦之蓝M6+均上涨2元/瓶。下跌端，青花郎显著回调17元/瓶，调整幅度居前，此前该酒品曾五 连涨获利回吐压力日增；飞天茅台终端零售价受i茅台平台常态化供应影响，环比下跌9元/瓶；习酒君 品和古井贡古20分别下跌3元/瓶、2元/瓶；青花汾20和五粮液均微跌1元/瓶，走势相对平稳。 | 2 | 习酒君品 | 639/瓶 | -3元' | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 53度/500ml | | | | 北 | 青花郎 | 720/瓶 | -17元▼ | | | 53度/500ml | | | | 100 | 水晶剑南春 | 391/瓶 | 3元 ▲ | | | 52度/500ml | | | "酒价内参"的每日数据源自全国各大区均有 ...

Core Viewpoint - The dividend commitment of Yanghe Co. has collapsed faster than investors expected due to a significant decline in performance, raising alarms for high-dividend investments [1] Group 1: Financial Performance - On January 23, 2026, Yanghe Co. announced a shocking profit forecast, expecting a year-on-year decline of 62.18% to 68.3% in net profit for 2025, marking the largest annual drop since its listing [1] - For the first three quarters of 2025, Yanghe Co.'s revenue fell by 34.26%, with an estimated net profit of only 21.16 billion to 25.24 billion yuan, indicating a severe mismatch with the previously promised 70 billion yuan dividend [4] - As of the third quarter of 2025, the company's cash on hand was 153.91 billion yuan, a decrease of 28% year-on-year, and net cash flow from operating activities plummeted by 72% [4] Group 2: Dividend Policy Changes - In May 2025, Yanghe Co. had committed to a cash dividend plan ensuring annual dividends of no less than 70% of net profit and at least 70 billion yuan from 2024 to 2026 [2] - On January 23, 2026, the company revised its dividend policy, removing the 70 billion yuan guarantee and changing the payout ratio to at least 100% of net profit, which means actual dividends will significantly decrease due to falling profits [7] - Despite the adjustment being technically acceptable, it has led to investor dissatisfaction and concerns about the company's integrity [9] Group 3: Industry Context - Yanghe Co.'s struggles reflect broader challenges in the liquor industry, which is entering a "stock competition" era, with a shift in consumer spending from business banquets to personal and family consumption [5] - The mid-range and premium segments, where Yanghe Co. operates, are particularly vulnerable to these market changes [5] - The ongoing adjustments in the liquor industry highlight the differentiated challenges faced by companies at various price points, with mid and low-end producers being the most affected [11]

Group 1 - A significant number of loss-making companies are disclosing their performance forecasts during the annual report season, contrasting with previous years where profitable companies led the announcements [1][2] - As of January 26, 1165 A-share companies have disclosed their performance forecasts, with approximately 60% (709 companies) reporting a decline in performance, and over 500 companies expected to incur losses [1][3] - The real estate and construction sectors are particularly affected, with companies like Huaxia Happiness expected to report losses between 16 billion to 24 billion yuan, making it the "loss king" [1][5] Group 2 - The trend of loss-making companies proactively disclosing their forecasts reflects a transformation in the A-share market, indicating a more rational market behavior [2][15] - The majority of companies facing performance declines are concentrated in the real estate, construction, and pharmaceutical sectors, with 53 companies expected to report losses exceeding 1 billion yuan [4][6] - The solar energy sector is also experiencing significant losses, with leading companies like Tongwei Co. and Longi Green Energy projecting substantial net profit losses [7][18] Group 3 - Following the disclosure of poor performance forecasts, stock prices of several companies have dropped significantly, with Yanghe Co. and Zhichun Technology experiencing notable declines [10][11] - The termination of acquisitions and restructuring efforts has further compounded the challenges for some companies, leading to sharp declines in their stock prices [14] - Investors are urged to adjust their stock selection logic, focusing on the quality of earnings and cash flow, as well as aligning investments with high-growth sectors [16][17]