Core Viewpoint - The white liquor industry is increasingly adopting "fan festivals" as a strategy to enhance brand loyalty and consumer engagement, reflecting a shift from "channel-driven" to "consumer-driven" approaches in marketing [1][6]. Group 1: Fan Festival Activities - Yanghe Co. launched the "Dreamy Night · 2025 Yanghe Super Fan Festival" in Zhengzhou, featuring wine tasting, food experiences, and cultural interactions [1][2]. - Major brands like Kweichow Moutai and Wuliangye have also engaged in fan festivals, enhancing consumer connection through innovative formats such as AR interactions and cultural events [2][3]. - Shanxi Fenjiu combined traditional rituals with modern tasting activities during its "8th Fenjiu Apricot Blossom Festival," showcasing the brand's historical narrative [3]. Group 2: Consumer Engagement and Trends - The rise of fan festivals indicates a growing focus on younger consumers, who now represent 34% of white liquor consumption, with a market size of 400 billion yuan [4][5]. - Companies are innovating their marketing strategies to cater to the preferences of younger consumers, emphasizing personalized and diverse experiences [4][5]. - The integration of digital platforms, such as Douyin, has been utilized to reach younger demographics effectively, with campaigns achieving over 1.41 billion views [4]. Group 3: Industry Competition and Future Outlook - The competition in the white liquor industry is evolving, with companies needing to enhance their consumer engagement capabilities to succeed [6][7]. - The "fan festival" model is seen as a data collection opportunity, allowing companies to gather insights on consumer preferences and behaviors for future product innovation [6][7]. - The industry is expected to see a rise in innovative marketing forms, with a focus on product quality, cultural significance, and consumer experience as key competitive factors [7].

演唱会成为白酒争夺的"香饽饽"。 近期茅台文旅赞助的"黄小西"音乐节爆火；郎酒在宁夏银川即将举行的演唱会；河北丛台、古井贡酒旗 下的黄鹤楼等，这些企业举办的演唱会正在进行中……南都湾财社-酒水新消费指数课题组记者注意 到，不论是一线酒企还是地方酒企，主办、冠名和赞助演唱会已经成为企业营销的新路径。 据了解，酒企赞助演唱会除了品牌输出，其背后运作的"买酒赠票"更是重要的营销动作，歌星似乎要成 为白酒渠道去库存的救星。不过业内人士认为，虽然短期内企业通过演唱会带动可以促成一波动销，但 由于终端吸货和消费能力有限，且产品最终流向未能掌握，因此"买酒赠票"更多是提升品牌价值，去库 存作用有限。 一二线品牌"争夺"演唱会 上到洋河、习酒，下到地方品牌都在"买酒送票" 根据中国演出行业协会票务信息采集平台数据监测和测算，2024年全国演出市场总收入796.29亿元，同 比增长7.61%，大型演唱会方面共覆盖30个省份、180座城市，"演出经济"呈现持续增长的态势，这让白 酒行业注意到这个圈层明确、消费力强却较为有待开发的市场。 据南都湾财社记者了解，虽然白酒企业主办、赞助和冠名演唱会由来已久，但是最近两年多时间内，行 业 ...

Core Viewpoint - The top six listed liquor companies in China are transitioning to a low-speed growth model, reflecting a structural change in the industry due to external economic pressures, market transformation, and inventory adjustments [1][3][4] Industry Performance - In Q1 2023, the total revenue of large-scale liquor enterprises in China was 196.3 billion, a slight increase of 0.38% year-on-year, while total profit decreased by 0.73% [3] - The production of liquor in China from January to April 2025 was 1.308 million kiloliters, a year-on-year decrease of 7.8%, indicating a potential eighth consecutive year of declining production if the trend continues [1] Strategic Adjustments - Major liquor companies are adopting more pragmatic and quality-focused growth strategies, with Moutai setting a revenue growth target of around 9% for 2023 [4][6] - Companies like Wuliangye and Luzhou Laojiao emphasize stability and gradual progress in their development goals, reflecting a shift from rapid growth to high-quality development [4][6] Market and Channel Strategies - Companies are focusing on enhancing channel operation efficiency and quality, with Yanghe implementing product optimization and inventory control measures [8][10] - Luzhou Laojiao is adjusting sales targets and market policies based on consumer behavior, while Gujing Gongjiu is optimizing resource allocation for better effectiveness [10] Product Innovation - The industry is seeing a trend towards low-alcohol products, with Luzhou Laojiao's 38-degree Guojiao 1573 achieving over 10 billion in revenue [18][20] - The low-alcohol market is projected to grow significantly, with a compound annual growth rate of around 30% from 2021 to 2024, indicating a promising opportunity for smaller enterprises [20][21] Youth Engagement - The liquor industry recognizes the importance of engaging younger consumers, with companies like Wuliangye and Fenjiu launching targeted products and marketing strategies to attract this demographic [14][16] - The younger consumer segment (ages 25-40) accounted for 38% of liquor consumers in the first half of 2023, highlighting the need for brands to adapt to changing preferences [14] Conclusion - The liquor industry is undergoing a significant transformation, moving from rapid expansion to a focus on value creation and quality development, with both large and small enterprises needing to adapt to these changes to thrive in the evolving market landscape [21]

Group 1 - The main consumption index (000932) has shown a slight increase of 0.14% as of May 27, 2025, with notable gains in stocks such as Yanjing Beer (2.89%) and Angel Yeast (2.85%) [1] - The major consumption ETF (159672) has risen by 4.04% over the past three months, indicating a positive trend in consumer sector investments [1] - Huatai Securities expresses optimism regarding the food and beverage industry during the economic transition towards consumption, supported by clear policies and steady growth in retail sales [1] Group 2 - The major consumption ETF closely tracks the main consumption index and is categorized into 11 primary and 35 secondary industries, providing a comprehensive analysis tool for investors [2] - Since its inception, the major consumption ETF has achieved a maximum monthly return of 24.35% and an average monthly return of 5.36% [2] - The current price-to-earnings ratio (PE-TTM) of the major consumption index is 19.75, indicating a valuation lower than 95.63% of the past year, suggesting historical low valuations [2] Group 3 - As of April 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the main consumption index account for 67.16% of the total index, with Yili (10.39%) and Kweichow Moutai (10.39%) being the largest contributors [3] - The top ten stocks include notable companies such as Wuliangye and Moutai, reflecting the concentration of market weight in a few key players [3][5]

从中证全指食品、饮料与烟草指数持仓的市场板块来看，上海证券交易所占比61.18%、深圳证券交易 所占比38.82%。 从中证全指食品、饮料与烟草指数持仓样本的行业来看，白酒占比46.70%、乳制品占比12.47%、调味 品与食用油占比12.08%、其他食品占比7.99%、软饮料占比6.64%、啤酒占比4.75%、休闲食品占比 4.09%、肉制品占比3.26%、葡萄酒及其他占比1.22%、黄酒占比0.81%。 资料显示，指数样本每半年调整一次，样本调整实施时间分别为每年6月和12月的第二个星期五的下一 交易日。权重因子随样本定期调整而调整，调整时间与指数样本定期调整实施时间相同。在下一个定期 调整日前，权重因子一般固定不变。遇临时调整时，当中证全指指数调整样本时，中证全指行业指数样 本随之进行相应调整。在样本公司有特殊事件发生，导致其行业归属发生变更时，将对中证全指行业指 数样本进行相应调整。当样本退市时，将其从指数样本中剔除。样本公司发生收购、合并、分拆等情形 的处理，参照计算与维护细则处理。 据了解，为反映中证全指指数样本中不同行业公司证券的整体表现，为投资者提供分析工具，将中证全 指指数样本按中证行业分类 ...

Core Viewpoint - Yanghe Co., Ltd. is facing significant financial difficulties, with declining revenues and profits, marking a stark contrast to its competitors in the liquor industry [1] Financial Performance - In 2024, Yanghe reported revenue of 28.876 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 12.83%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 6.673 billion yuan, down 33.37% [1] - The fourth quarter of 2024 saw Yanghe enter a loss, with a net loss of 1.905 billion yuan and a revenue drop of 52.17% to 1.36 billion yuan [1] - In Q1 2025, the decline continued, with revenue down 31.92% to 11.066 billion yuan and net profit down 39.93% to 3.637 billion yuan [1] Market Position - Among five liquor companies with market capitalizations exceeding 100 billion yuan, Yanghe is the only one with declining performance, yet it has the highest valuation at 23.84 times earnings [1] - The company's market capitalization has decreased significantly, from a peak of 3,960 billion yuan to 1,014 billion yuan [1] Sales and Inventory - Yanghe's sales volume in 2024 was 139,100 tons, a decline of 16.3% year-on-year, with inventory increasing by 16.38% to 45,600 tons [1] - Sales revenue in the domestic market fell by 11.43% to 12.748 billion yuan, while revenue from outside the province decreased by 14.35% to 15.4998 billion yuan [1] Strategic Response - To address these challenges, Yanghe plans to strengthen quota management for its flagship product, Dream Blue M6+, and has launched the seventh generation of Sea Blue while optimizing product quality [1] - The company is also actively pursuing a "true vintage" strategy by introducing handcrafted vintage wines [1]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [6] Core Views - The company is undergoing a deep adjustment phase, with a focus on long-term growth strategies. The sales of mid-to-high-end liquor are under pressure, and both domestic and external markets are in a period of adjustment [2][4] - The company has significantly increased its national advertising expenses, which has led to a temporary strain on cash flow. The gross and net profit margins have decreased year-on-year [3] - Despite the current challenges, the company is expected to benefit from policy catalysts that may restore liquor demand, and it has a high dividend yield, indicating potential for recovery [4] Summary by Sections Revenue and Profitability - In 2024, the company achieved revenues of 288.76 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 12.83%, with a net profit of 66.73 billion yuan, down 33.37% [10] - For 2025, the revenue growth is projected to decline by 13.23%, with a net profit decrease of 14.63% [12] Product and Market Performance - The company's mid-to-high-end liquor and ordinary liquor revenues for 2024 were 243.17 billion yuan and 39.31 billion yuan, respectively, reflecting year-on-year declines of 14.79% and 0.49% [2] - The sales volume of liquor decreased by 16.30%, while the average price per ton increased by 3.93% [2] Cost and Expenses - The gross profit margin for 2024 decreased by 2.09 percentage points to 73.16%, and the net profit margin fell by 7.16 percentage points to 23.09% [3] - The company increased its advertising and promotional expenses significantly, with national advertising costs rising by 96.10% to 800 million yuan [3] Cash Flow and Dividends - The operating cash flow for 2024 was 46.29 billion yuan, a decrease of 24.49% year-on-year, and for Q1 2025, it was 25.36 billion yuan, down 47.72% [3] - The total dividend for 2024 was 7 billion yuan, with a dividend payout ratio of 104.9% and a dividend yield of 6.8% [3] Future Outlook - The company has adjusted its earnings forecast, expecting revenue growth rates of -13.23%, 2.65%, and 3.27% for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [4] - The expected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected to be 3.78, 3.94, and 4.11 yuan per share, respectively [4]

Industry Dynamics - In the first four months of 2025, the production of liquor in China decreased by 7.8% year-on-year, totaling 1.308 million kiloliters, with April's production at 281,000 kiloliters, down 13.8% year-on-year [3] - The national liquor price index fell by 0.03% in mid-May, with premium liquor prices dropping by 0.06%, indicating market adjustment pressures due to weak high-end consumption and intensified competition [3] - Retail sales of tobacco and liquor in China increased by 5.8% year-on-year in the first four months of 2025, reaching 230.5 billion yuan [4] - Guizhou province announced three liquor investment projects totaling 660 million yuan and a 5 billion yuan project for the production of sauce-flavored liquor [4] Company Dynamics - Guizhou Moutai launched the 2025 Moutai Friends Carnival, attracting nearly 500 participants to experience Moutai's culture and production processes [6] - The first 2025 China Yibin Wuliangye Wedding Festival was held, promoting cultural integration with innovative experiences [6] - Three liquor companies, Yanghe, Shanxi Fenjiu, and Guojingong, held annual performance briefings, focusing on market strategies and product launches [7] - Moutai's shareholders approved a profit distribution plan for 2024, with a cash dividend of 276.24 yuan per 10 shares, totaling 34.671 billion yuan [7] - Shede Liquor is accelerating its production expansion project, which includes 23 sub-projects aimed at enhancing production capacity by 2027 [7] - Anhui Yingjia Gongjiu set a revenue target of 7.6 billion yuan for 2025, expecting a 3.49% year-on-year growth [8]

Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index decreased by 0.18% and the Shenwan Food and Beverage Index fell by 0.92% during the week of May 19 to May 23, 2025 [1] Institutional Insights - Open Source Securities recommends a combination of Shanxi Fenjiu, Kweichow Moutai, and Ximai Food, highlighting that Shanxi Fenjiu faces short-term demand pressure but has strong mid-term growth potential [2] - Guizhou Moutai is focusing on sustainable development and increasing its dividend payout ratio, indicating a long-term positive outlook [2] - Ximai Food is expected to improve profitability due to stable growth in its oat business and better raw material costs [2] Industry Recommendations - Zheshang Securities suggests focusing on leading liquor companies such as Shanxi Fenjiu and Kweichow Moutai, as well as cyclical stocks like Luzhou Laojiao and Yingjia Gongjiu [3] - Recommendations for consumer goods include companies that focus on cost control and new consumption trends, such as Ximai Food and Weifang Zhai [4] Macro Events - Japan's rice prices surged by 98.4% year-on-year in April, marking the highest increase since 1971, with the average price of 5 kg of rice reaching 4268 yen [5] - In Sudan, food prices increased by 124% year-on-year in April, with significant rises in wheat and goat prices, exacerbated by currency devaluation [7] Company News - The white wine industry in Renhuai showed strong growth in the first quarter, with significant improvements in production capacity and quality [8] - Huaren Beer faced challenges with a 0.76% decline in revenue and an 8.03% drop in net profit, attributed to market contraction and extreme weather [14] - Gujing Gongjiu was involved in a legal case concerning a 166,000 yuan execution notice, raising concerns about compliance management [12] Price Trends - High-end liquor prices have seen a significant decline, with key products like Wuliangye and Moutai dropping below 1000 yuan, reflecting a market correction [10] - The liquor industry is undergoing a deep adjustment period, with a shift from capital-driven to consumer-driven dynamics [10][11]

近期，由《每日经济新闻》举办的2025第十届中国酒业资本论坛暨中国酒业金樽奖颁奖典礼在成都举行。论坛上，《每日经济新闻》和清华大学经济管理学 院中国企业研究中心联合发布了"2025中国酒业上市公司品牌价值榜TOP30"，上榜企业合计品牌价值达16578亿元。此活动旨在帮助上榜酒企更清晰地了解 企业品牌发展状况，为其动态跟踪品牌的投资绩效和提升品牌管理效率提供参考。论坛现场为古越龙山、山西汾酒、金徽酒等3家上榜品牌价值增幅前三的 企业，颁发了"2025中国酒业上市公司品牌活力奖"。 2025中国酒业上市公司品牌价值榜TOP30 此次榜上有名的泸州老窖、山西汾酒、口子窖均注册了".商标"域名，其中山西杏花村汾酒厂股份有限公司还为其多个品牌注册了".商标"域名，如："汾酒.商 标"、"竹叶青.商标"、"杏花村.商标"，建立了与商标品牌名称一致的互联网入口，方便与消费者在互联网上建立直接连接。 酒类名企在中文域名选择上不约而同的将商标品牌与域名保持一致性，让品牌价值与域名价值发挥两者明显的协同效应，体现了域名价值与品牌价值的相辅 相成。一方面，高品牌价值企业的域名更具辨识度和商业价值，例如"泸州老窖.商标"域名的潜在 ...