Core Insights - The modern livestock industry is increasingly demanding diverse animal nutrition, leading to higher requirements for feed performance, which traditional standardized products can no longer meet [1] - Additive premix feed fills the market gap with flexible formulation design and precise nutritional supply, improving feed utilization, reducing farming costs, and enhancing animal growth performance and product quality [1] Industry Overview - Additive premix feed consists of two or more nutritional feed additives mixed with carriers or diluents, including compound premix feed, trace element premix feed, and vitamin premix feed [3] - The production of additive premix feed in China has experienced fluctuations, with production reaching 542.6 million tons in 2019, a decrease of 16.9% year-on-year, and recovering to 594.5 million tons in 2020, a growth of 9.6% [1][8] - In 2021, production increased to 663.1 million tons, a year-on-year growth of 11.54%, but fell to 652.2 million tons in 2022 due to various factors, including the pandemic [1][8] - In 2023, production rebounded to 709.1 million tons, an increase of 8.7% year-on-year, but is expected to decline to 695.1 million tons in 2024 due to adjustments in pig production capacity and reduced livestock inventory [1][8] Industry Policies - The industry has seen a series of supportive and regulatory policies aimed at promoting standardization and efficiency, such as the 2024 "Green Sword Protect Grain Safety" enforcement action focusing on illegal production and sales of feed additives [4][6] - The 2025 Feed Quality Safety Supervision Work Plan emphasizes the inspection of banned substances and illegal additives in various feed products, including premix feeds [4][6] Industry Chain - The upstream of the additive premix feed industry includes feed raw materials like soybeans, corn, and fish meal, while the midstream involves the production of various types of premix feeds [6] - The downstream application includes livestock farming sectors such as pig, poultry, and aquaculture [6] Market Dynamics - The additive premix feed market is characterized by a clear competitive structure, with leading companies like New Hope, Tongwei, and Da Bei Nong forming the first tier, while other companies like Haida Group and Zhengbang Technology represent the second tier [10][12] - The market is expected to consolidate further, with smaller companies facing challenges due to limited innovation and sales channels [10][12] Future Trends - The industry is moving towards precise product functionality and value enhancement, focusing on tailored formulations for different livestock species and growth stages [16] - Technological advancements will drive the integration of biotechnology and smart manufacturing, optimizing formulation structures and improving production processes [17] - A comprehensive service model will emerge, extending beyond product provision to include technical support and real-time monitoring for farmers [18]

Group 1 - The SW Agricultural, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery industry outperformed the CSI 300 index, with an overall increase of 16.36% from January to November 2025, surpassing the index by approximately 3.18 percentage points [12][13][14] - All sub-sectors within the industry recorded positive returns, with significant increases in animal health (36.27%), fishery (35.22%), agricultural product processing (21.88%), feed (12.48%), breeding (11.53%), and planting (8.49%) [13] - Approximately 83% of stocks in the industry achieved positive returns, with around 5% of stocks increasing by over 100%, and 17% recording negative returns [14][17] Group 2 - The breeding industry is experiencing a gradual reduction in the number of breeding sows, with a current stock of 40.35 million heads, which is 1.1% lower than the previous year [23][24] - The price of live pigs has shown a downward trend in 2025, with an average price of 11.65 yuan/kg as of November 24, down 26% from the beginning of the year, but is expected to gradually recover in 2026 [26] - The profitability of pig farming has turned negative, with self-breeding losses at 135.9 yuan per head and external piglet purchases at 234.63 yuan per head, but a recovery is anticipated in 2026 [31] Group 3 - The meat chicken breeding sector faced challenges in profitability during 2025, with the average price of broiler chicks fluctuating and a significant decline in profitability [33][35] - The supply of yellow feathered chickens is expected to remain relatively abundant in 2026, with a high stock of breeding chickens [45][47] - The overall feed production in China is projected to continue its recovery, with a total production of 15.85 million tons in the first half of 2025, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 7.7% [50] Group 4 - The prices of feed raw materials such as corn and soybean meal have shown fluctuations, with corn prices recovering from a low of 2115.59 yuan/ton to around 2300.88 yuan/ton by late November 2025 [52][53] - The global supply of corn is expected to remain ample, with a projected production of 128.6 million tons for the 2025/26 season, indicating limited price recovery potential [55] - The overall market for pet food in China is anticipated to grow, with an increase in exports and a rising domestic market [38][40]

Core Viewpoint - The pork concept sector experienced a slight decline of 0.03% as of the market close on November 25, with notable declines in stocks such as Jingji Zhino, Haida Group, and Tiankang Biological, while some stocks like Roniu Mountain and Tianyu Biological saw gains [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The pork concept sector ranked among the top decliners, with Jingji Zhino hitting the daily limit down [1] - The top gainers in the pork sector included Roniu Mountain, Tianyu Biological, and Delisi, with respective increases of 4.60%, 2.63%, and 1.77% [1] - Other concept sectors that performed well included F5G concept (+4.52%), Co-packaged Optics (+3.62%), and Optical Fiber concept (+3.61%) [1] Group 2: Capital Flow - The pork concept sector saw a net outflow of 137 million yuan, with 17 stocks experiencing net outflows [1] - Jingji Zhino led the outflow with 123.1 million yuan, followed by Haida Group and Wens Foodstuffs with outflows of 91.66 million yuan and 39.27 million yuan, respectively [1] - Stocks with net inflows included Roniu Mountain, Zhengbang Technology, and Muyuan Foods, with inflows of 54.44 million yuan, 34.87 million yuan, and 31.26 million yuan, respectively [1][2]

从资金流向上来看，当日饲料板块主力资金净流出6718.56万元，游资资金净流入2196.74万元，散户资金 净流入4521.81万元。饲料板块个股资金流向见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 002311 | 海大集团 | 57.71 | -2.85% | 7.58万 | 4.44 | | 603668 | 天马科技 | 15.02 | -1.31% | 33.29万 | 5.05亿 | | 300673 | 佩蒂股份 | 17.96 | -1.21% | 5.43万 | 9847.34万 | | 001313 | 都是與國 | 7.62 | -0.91% | 12.34万 ﺎ | 9540.88万 | | 002385 | 大北农 | 4.06 | -0.49% | 118.76万 | 4.83亿 | | 002567 | 唐人神 | 4.70 | 0.00% | 25.69万 | 1.21亿 | | 603609 | 禾丰股份 | 7.56 | 0.13% | 3.80万 ...

Core Viewpoint - The report from Minsheng Securities highlights the cyclical recovery in the livestock industry, emphasizing the valuation shift for leading companies in the sector [1] Livestock Industry - The domestic livestock cycle is expected to reverse, with both domestic and international beef and raw milk markets likely to experience upward momentum [1] - Official capacity regulation in the pig industry is anticipated to accelerate cash flow improvements for leading enterprises, potentially transforming them into dividend stocks as industry capacity contracts [1] - In the poultry sector, limited supply fluctuations are expected, with market conditions likely to improve alongside demand recovery, allowing leading companies to achieve higher cash flow and dividend returns [1] Feed Industry - The deepening industrialization of livestock and poultry farming, along with clear industry segmentation, positions leading feed companies to further enhance their competitive advantages through technology and service [1] Pet Industry - The pet industry is identified as a scarce growth sector, expected to benefit from demographic changes [1] Investment Recommendations - Recommended livestock companies include: - For livestock: Youran Dairy, Modern Dairy, and China Shengmu [1] - For pigs: Huazhong Holdings, Dekang Agriculture, Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff, Tiankang Biological, and Shennong Group [1] - For poultry: Lihua Stock, Yisheng Shares, and Shennong Development [1] - For feed: Haida Group [1] - For pets: Guibao Pet [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the agricultural products sector, particularly focusing on the livestock industry and its cyclical recovery [1][4]. Core Insights - The livestock industry is experiencing a reversal of internal competition, which is expected to support long-term pig prices. As of November 21, the price of live pigs was 11.67 CNY/kg, with a week-on-week decrease of 0.4% [1]. - The beef market is entering a new price increase phase, with the average price of beef at 66.38 CNY/kg, showing a year-on-year increase of 8% [2]. - The report emphasizes the importance of leading companies in the livestock sector, suggesting that their cash flow will improve due to official capacity control measures [3]. Summary by Sections 1. Weekly Overview and Data Summary - The report provides a weekly summary of agricultural product data, highlighting trends in livestock prices and supply dynamics [12]. 2. Fundamental Tracking 2.1 Swine - The swine industry is seeing orderly progress in reversing internal competition, which is expected to stabilize profitability [13]. 2.2 White Chicken - A slight increase in supply is noted, with attention on seasonal consumption recovery [13]. 2.3 Yellow Chicken - Supply remains at a low level, with potential benefits from improved domestic demand [13]. 2.4 Eggs - The egg market faces significant mid-term supply pressure, with wholesale prices at 3.63 CNY/jin, down 28% year-on-year [13]. 2.5 Beef - A new round of beef price increases is anticipated, with a focus on the upward trend in the beef cycle for 2025 [13]. 2.6 Raw Milk - The report suggests that the de-stocking of dairy cows may accelerate in Q4, potentially leading to a price turning point for raw milk [13]. 2.7 Soybean Meal - Short-term supply is expected to be ample, while medium-term demand and supply dynamics are projected to strengthen [13]. 2.8 Corn - Domestic supply and demand balance is tightening, with prices expected to maintain a moderate upward trend [13]. 2.9 Sugar - Short-term increases in imports are noted, with attention on the rhythm of arrivals and fluctuations in crude oil prices [13]. 2.10 Rubber - Prices are expected to stabilize in the short term, with a positive outlook for the medium term [13]. 2.11 Palm Oil - Short-term performance is weak, with medium-term policy support being a focus [13]. 2.12 Cotton - Inventory pressure is neutral, with demand still needing recovery [13]. 2.13 Red Dates - Limited demand recovery is noted, with attention on weather conditions in new production areas [13]. 3. Market Trends - The report discusses market trends and price movements across various agricultural products, indicating a complex interplay of supply and demand factors [12].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Views - The demand for pork is expected to support prices as the year-end peak season approaches, despite a decline in prices due to overproduction and accelerated culling of sows [3][12] - The suspension of imports of Japanese seafood is beneficial for the domestic aquaculture sector, as it reduces competition and supports local prices [4][18] - The pet industry is experiencing growth driven by consumer upgrades and increased domestic production, with significant market potential projected for the coming years [22] Summary by Sections Weekly Observation - The culling of breeding sows has accelerated, with the national average price of live pigs at 11.62 yuan/kg as of November 21, 2025, down 0.01 yuan/kg week-on-week and down 4.75% year-on-year [11][12] - The average weight of pigs slaughtered is 128.81 kg, showing a slight increase week-on-week [11] - Cold weather is expected to boost pork consumption, providing support for prices during the peak season [12] Weekly Insights - The pig farming sector is facing losses, leading to accelerated culling of sows. Recommended stocks include Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and others [22] - The feed sector is benefiting from strong demand, with domestic production expected to improve due to recovery in livestock numbers [22] - The pet market is projected to grow significantly, with a focus on domestic brands due to rising consumer preferences and tariff barriers [22] Market Performance (November 17-21) - The agricultural sector outperformed the market by 0.45 percentage points, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 3.90% and the agricultural index down 3.45% [24] - The fishery sector led gains, with notable increases in stocks such as Zhongshui Fishery (+61.05%) and others [24][30] Price Tracking (November 17-21) - The average price of live pigs was 11.64 yuan/kg, down 0.09 yuan/kg from the previous week, while the price of piglets increased to 19.15 yuan/kg [35] - The price of corn futures rose slightly to 2183.00 yuan/ton, while soybean meal futures decreased to 2427.00 yuan/ton [46][50]

Core Insights - The phytic acid enzyme market is experiencing significant growth, primarily driven by increased demand in the feed industry, especially after the ban on antibiotics in animal feed in China in 2020, positioning phytic acid enzymes as ideal alternatives [1][7] - China's annual production of phytic acid enzymes has significantly increased, from 43,200 tons in 2015 to an expected 120,600 tons by 2024, indicating a robust growth trajectory [1][8] - The global phytic acid enzyme market is projected to grow from $513 million in 2023 to $822 million by 2029, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 8.2% [6] Industry Overview - Phytic acid enzymes belong to the class of phosphoric monoester hydrolases and are crucial for enhancing the bioavailability of minerals in plant-based feeds by breaking down phytic acid [2] - The industry has evolved through three stages: initial development in the 1990s, rapid growth from 2001 to 2012, and a mature phase from 2013 onwards, with domestic products replacing imports and achieving international technical standards [3][4] Industry Chain - The upstream of the phytic acid enzyme industry includes raw materials such as wheat, barley, and microorganisms, while the downstream applications span food, pharmaceutical, and feed industries [5] - The feed industry is the largest application area for phytic acid enzymes, driven by the need to improve feed efficiency and reduce costs, with a notable increase in China's feed production reaching 250.7 million tons in the first nine months of 2025, up 6.4% year-on-year [5][6] Competitive Landscape - The global phytic acid enzyme market is highly competitive, with companies like Novozymes, DuPont, and DSM holding significant market shares due to their technological advantages and patent protections [8] - Chinese companies such as Blue Horizon Biotechnology, Yidali, and Xinghuo Technology are emerging as strong competitors, gradually capturing high-end market segments [8] Development Trends - Technological innovation is a key driver for the industry, with advancements in enzyme production and purification methods expected to enhance yield and efficiency [10] - The application of phytic acid enzymes is expanding beyond traditional uses in poultry and pig feed to include aquaculture and organic agriculture, indicating new growth opportunities [11] - Environmental sustainability is becoming increasingly important, with stricter regulations prompting phytic acid enzyme companies to enhance their eco-friendly practices and production processes [12]

Group 1 - The A-share market saw a collective decline in the three major indices, with the agricultural sector showing strong performance in certain stocks, such as Luoniushan, which rose over 7% [1] - The newly launched Tianhong Agricultural ETF (512620) closely tracks the CSI Agricultural Index, covering sectors like breeding and agrochemicals, and includes leading agricultural companies such as Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuff Group [1] - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs and the Xinjiang Uygur Autonomous Region government announced a plan to modernize agricultural facilities, aiming to renovate 30,000 acres and add 20,000 acres of modern agricultural production by the end of 2028 [1] Group 2 - Zhongjin Company highlighted that policy support and technological innovation will be key drivers for the future development of the planting industry chain, with a positive outlook on investment opportunities in leading agricultural enterprises [2] - The company believes that under the paradigm shift and the trend of stronger players becoming stronger, leading enterprises possess greater development potential [2]

Core Viewpoint - The feed sector experienced a decline of 1.6% on November 20, with Tianma Technology leading the drop, while the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.4% and the Shenzhen Component Index decreased by 0.76% [1]. Group 1: Market Performance - The feed sector's individual stock performance showed mixed results, with Hai Da Group slightly increasing by 0.02% to close at 58.55, while Tianma Technology dropped significantly by 9.90% to 15.02 [1][2]. - The total trading volume for the feed sector was substantial, with Hai Da Group recording a transaction amount of 2.12 billion, and Tianma Technology reaching 10.94 billion [1][2]. Group 2: Capital Flow - The feed sector saw a net outflow of 498 million from major funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 239 million [2]. - Specific stocks like Hai Da Group and He Feng Co. experienced varying levels of net inflow and outflow from different investor categories, indicating a shift in investor sentiment [3].