Core Viewpoint - The stock of Kaiying Network has experienced fluctuations, with a recent decline of 2.17%, while the company has shown a significant year-to-date increase of 63.14% in stock price [1] Group 1: Stock Performance - As of December 22, the stock price of Kaiying Network is 22.04 CNY per share, with a market capitalization of 47.087 billion CNY [1] - The stock has seen a net outflow of 37.4456 million CNY in principal funds, with large orders showing a buy of 33.7581 million CNY and a sell of 56.3749 million CNY [1] - Over the past 60 days, the stock has decreased by 17.76%, while it has increased by 1.66% in the last 5 trading days and 3.09% in the last 20 days [1] Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Kaiying Network achieved a revenue of 4.075 billion CNY, representing a year-on-year growth of 3.75%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.583 billion CNY, with a year-on-year increase of 23.70% [2] - The company has distributed a total of 1.212 billion CNY in dividends since its A-share listing, with 0.852 billion CNY distributed in the last three years [3] Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of December 10, the number of shareholders of Kaiying Network is 84,000, a decrease of 0.41% from the previous period, while the average circulating shares per person increased by 0.41% to 22,495 shares [2] - The fourth largest circulating shareholder is Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited, holding 66.1938 million shares, which is a decrease of 43.9577 million shares from the previous period [3]

Core Insights - The media industry is driven by content, leading to a market evolution from "policy recovery" to "expected fundamental improvement" and then to "performance realization and valuation enhancement" [3][6] - The report is optimistic about two segments: gaming and film, highlighting the potential for long-term operations and competition against major players to reshape gaming valuations, and the recovery of the film sector post-policy changes [3][6] Gaming Sector - The gaming sector is expected to see sustained performance growth driven by new game releases in 2025, with a focus on long-term operations and a shift from "chasing hits" to "nurturing evergreen" titles [7][18] - The gaming industry's valuation is recovering, with the current price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio around 27x, indicating a return to a reasonable range after a period of low valuations [18][22] - The introduction of AI in gaming is anticipated to enhance user engagement and extend gameplay duration, contributing to long-term growth [7][28] Film Sector - The film industry is poised for recovery following the implementation of the "21 Regulations" by the broadcasting authority, which is expected to revitalize content production and performance realization starting in the second half of 2026 [8][18] - Current film sector performance is compared to the gaming sector in 2022, suggesting a similar trajectory of recovery and growth potential [8][18] AI Applications - The commercialization of AI applications is accelerating, with expectations for a significant turning point in 2026, particularly in AI comic and advertising sectors [9][18] - AI comic production is seen as advantageous due to rapid content iteration and cost control, with companies like Kuaishou positioned to benefit [9][18] - The AI+ advertising model has been successfully implemented globally, with major players like Tencent and Bilibili expected to replicate this success domestically [9][18]

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" and maintained [8] Core Insights - In November, the issuance of game licenses reached a new high, with 184 licenses granted, including 178 domestic and 6 imported games, surpassing the previous record since the resumption of license issuance in 2022 [10][11] - Major self-developed games from leading companies continue to perform well overseas, with Point Point Interactive's "Whiteout Survival" and "Kingshot" ranking first and second in the November overseas mobile game revenue chart [10][11] - A new product cycle is approaching as key new games from listed companies are set to launch, with significant titles scheduled for testing and release in December [6][10] Summary by Sections Game License Issuance - In November, a total of 184 game licenses were issued, setting a new monthly record for domestic licenses, with notable approvals for games from Perfect World, Kaixin, and Bilibili [10][11] - Year-to-date, 1,532 domestic game licenses have been issued, exceeding the total of 1,306 for the entire year of 2024 [10] Overseas Performance - The overseas performance of top self-developed games remains strong, with "Whiteout Survival" achieving over $3.8 billion in cumulative revenue and "Kingshot" exceeding $640 million [10][11] - The casual merge game "Tasty Travels: Merge Game" saw a 10% revenue increase in November, ranking fourth in the global merge game revenue chart [10] Upcoming Game Releases - Key new games from listed companies are set to launch, including Giant Network's "Famous General Kill" on December 19 and G-bits' "Nine Muxi" on December 18 [6][10] - Other notable upcoming titles include Tencent's "Counter-Strike: Future" scheduled for January 13, 2026, with over 25 million pre-registrations [6][10]

Core Insights - The online consumption theme index (931481) has shown a positive trend, with significant increases in key component stocks such as Yonghui Supermarket (up 4.55%) and Kid King (up 4.34%) [1] - AI tools have become integral to the e-commerce landscape, enhancing user experience and operational efficiency during the 2025 Double 11 shopping festival [1] - The online retail sector in China has seen a year-on-year growth of 5.7%, with the online retail sales of physical goods reaching 11.82 trillion yuan, indicating a strong consumer demand [2] Group 1: Market Performance - The online consumption ETF fund (159793) has risen by 0.30%, marking its third consecutive increase, with the latest price at 1.01 yuan [1] - The top ten weighted stocks in the online consumption theme index account for 55.21% of the index, with major players including Alibaba-W, Tencent Holdings, and Meituan-W [3] Group 2: E-commerce Trends - AI tools launched by Alibaba have significantly improved click-through rates and return on investment for merchants, with a 10% increase in total clicks and a 12% rise in ROI [1] - The e-commerce platforms are focusing on enhancing user experience and operational efficiency rather than just scaling, which is beneficial for the long-term health of the industry [2]

Core Insights - The "Game+" forum held in Shanghai focuses on the integration of gaming technology into various sectors, highlighting its societal value and potential for growth in industries like healthcare, cultural tourism, and education [1][3]. Group 1: Industry Trends - The gaming industry is transitioning from exploration to widespread practice, becoming a significant driver for industrial growth and societal convenience [1]. - The release of the "Digital Game Activation and Transmission of Chinese Intangible Cultural Heritage Report" emphasizes the unique role of games in cultural heritage preservation and development opportunities [1][3]. Group 2: Cross-Industry Applications - Unity's technology director presented case studies on how the Unity engine supports digital transformation across industries, including automotive and smart cities, showcasing its application in digital twin technologies [3]. - AI is evolving from a cost-reduction tool to an experience creation engine, enhancing the entire game development lifecycle and facilitating applications in education and healthcare [3]. - Tencent's "Cognitive Training" product, designed for mild cognitive impairment, achieved a 98% completion rate in clinical trials, indicating its effectiveness and potential for broader healthcare applications [3][5]. Group 3: Social Impact Initiatives - The "Game+ Social Value" initiative aims to empower over 60,000 youth globally through projects like "SDG Hero," exploring pathways for social impact through gaming [5]. - The gaming industry is being recognized for its potential to drive environmental actions, leveraging its global player base for sustainability efforts [7]. - Innovative approaches, such as functional board games for social psychological healing, are being developed to address youth concerns, providing low-cost and high-participation tools for non-clinical psychological interventions [7].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the media industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [7]. Core Insights - The media industry (Shenwan) saw a weekly increase of 0.26%, ranking 8th among industries during the period from December 6 to December 12, 2025. Notable performers included Bona Film Group, Guangxi Radio and Television, Beijing Culture, Sanrenxing, and Huace Film & TV [11][18]. - The report highlights strong performance in AI applications and cultural exports, with a focus on sub-sectors such as gaming, intellectual property (IP), short dramas, and publishing [5][37]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The media industry experienced a weekly increase of 0.26%, while the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.34%. The gaming sector saw a rise of 1.06%, and the film and television sector increased by 5.70% [11][12]. Key Industry Data AI Applications - In November, Deepseek led domestic AI web traffic with 346 million visits, despite a 2.95% month-over-month decline. Other notable AI products included Nano AI Search and Baidu AI Search, with respective monthly visits of 260 million and 52.63 million [22][23]. Gaming - The iOS gaming sales chart for December 13, 2025, was topped by "Honor of Kings," followed by "Gold Shovel Battle" and "Endless Winter." The report also noted that "Whiteout Survival" and "Kingshot" continued to perform strongly in overseas revenue [25][26]. Film - The total box office for the week of December 6-12 was 1.2 billion yuan, with "Zootopia 2" leading at 853 million yuan, accounting for 71% of the weekly total. Upcoming films include "Avatar: Fire and Ashes," set to release on December 19 [33][34]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on themes such as AI applications and cultural exports, with specific attention to gaming, IP, short dramas, and publishing. Key companies to watch include Giant Network, Kaiying Network, Yaoji Technology, and others [5][37].

证券研究报告 | 2025年12月15日 传媒互联网周报 优于大市 GPT-5.2 发布，持续看好游戏与 AI 应用机会 行业上涨 0.42%，跑输沪深 300，跑输创业板指。本周（12.8-12.14）传媒 行业上涨 0.42%，跑输沪深 300（0.76%），跑输创业板指（4.14%）。其中 涨幅靠前的分别为博纳影业、广西广电、北京文化、三人行等，跌幅靠前的 分别为 ST 返利、华谊兄弟、祥源文旅、联建光电等。横向比较来看，本周 传媒板块在所有板块中涨跌幅排名第 13 位。 OpenAI 发布 GPT-5.2，谷歌 AI 浏览器可一件将标签页变成 APP。1）近日， OpenAI 把最新模型 GPT-5.2 推上生产环境，山姆·阿尔特曼称"使用 GPT-5.2 的职场人，每周至少拿回 10 小时。"；2）Runway 推出其首个通用世界模型 GWM-1，宣称能通过逐帧像素预测，构建一个理解物理规律与时间演化的动 态仿真环境；3）12 月 11 日，谷歌通过官方博客放出 AI 实验项目"Disco"， 首发功能 GenTabs 可把用户打开的一堆标签页实时生成为定制化 Web 应用。 | 证券分析师：张衡 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the media industry [3] Core Insights - The media sector outperformed the market in November, with the Shenwan Media Index rising by 1.69%, surpassing the CSI 300 Index by 4.14 percentage points, ranking 7th among 31 industries [4][20] - The number of game approvals reached a new high, with 178 domestic games and 6 imported games approved in November, contributing to a total of 1,625 game approvals from January to November, a year-on-year increase of 26.8% [4][28] - The gaming market revenue in October was 31.4 billion yuan, a year-on-year growth of 7.8%, driven by strong product cycles from leading companies [4][32] Summary by Sections Market and Industry Review - The media sector's performance in November was strong, with a 1.69% increase in the Shenwan Media Index, outperforming the CSI 300 Index [4][20] - The current TTM-PE for the Shenwan Media Index is 42.6x, positioned at the 82.2% percentile over the past five years [20][26] Gaming - The number of game approvals in November was the highest in three years, with a total of 178 domestic and 6 imported games approved [28] - The gaming market revenue in October was 31.4 billion yuan, with mobile gaming revenue at 22.6 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 2.4% [32] - The overseas revenue for Chinese self-developed games reached 1.799 billion USD in October, marking an 11.9% year-on-year increase [41] Film and Television - The total box office in November reached 3.553 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 89.3%, primarily due to the success of "Zootopia 2" [49] - The top five films in November included "Zootopia 2," which grossed over 2.2 billion yuan within nine days of release [60] - The drama market saw high viewership, with "The Tang Dynasty Mysteries" leading with 1.5 billion views [67] AI Applications - The report highlights advancements in AI video models, including the launch of the O1 video model by Keling AI, which allows users to generate videos from text prompts [79] - PixVerse V5.5 was released, enabling the creation of multi-angle narrative videos [84] - Google's Gemini 3 Pro and Nano Banana Pro were launched, showcasing significant improvements in AI capabilities [91] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the gaming sector's new product cycles and AI applications, recommending companies such as Giant Network, G-bits, and K-Game Network [96] - The December investment portfolio includes Giant Network, K-Game Network, Bilibili, and HuiLiang Technology [7]

Summary of the Conference Call for Kaiying Network Industry Overview - The gaming sector is currently experiencing a valuation correction, providing an entry opportunity for institutional investors, with valuations in the range of 19-20 times earnings. If valuations reach 25-30 times, there is a potential upside of 40%-50% [2][4] - The gaming sector is expected to bottom out in 2025 and see a significant product launch year in 2026, with major companies like Perfect World, Tencent, Lilith Games, and miHoYo set to release key products, indicating a recovery in market demand and strong user willingness to pay [2][6] Company Insights: Kaiying Network - Kaiying Network's revenue for the first three quarters of 2025 was 4.075 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.75%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.583 billion yuan, up 23.7%, with a record quarterly profit of 633 million yuan in Q3, reflecting a 34.5% year-on-year growth, primarily driven by the Legend Box business [2][10] - The Legend Box integrates supply and demand, addressing issues such as players struggling to find servers and high customer acquisition costs for small manufacturers. Its business model includes advertising, player value-added services, and transaction sharing, with advertising accounting for 70%-80% of revenue [2][11] Financial Projections - For 2025, Kaiying Network's profit is expected to increase from 1.6 billion yuan to 2.2 billion yuan, with significant contributions from the Legend Box. By 2026, profits could reach 2.6 billion yuan, potentially hitting 3 billion yuan if growth accelerates [4][19] - The advertising revenue potential for the Legend Box is substantial, with a current market share of less than 10%. If it captures 30% of the market, annual revenue could reach 3-4 billion yuan, representing a two to threefold increase from the current scale [4][13] Market Dynamics - The gaming sector's overall performance in 2025 is expected to improve, with a valuation recovery anticipated to reach 25-30 times earnings. The recent market adjustment has created a buying opportunity for institutions, as leading stocks have seen their valuations drop to 19-20 times [3][4] - Companies with new product launches or strong performance, such as Giant Network and Jiubang, are valued between 18-22 times, while those without new products, like Shenzhou Taiyue, are valued around 15 times [7] Future Outlook - Kaiying Network's stock performance has been volatile, closely following the sector index. However, the anticipation surrounding the Legend Box has led to a rebound, although its growth has not matched that of other companies with new product releases [8][9] - The company aims to increase daily active users of the Legend Box from 450,000 to 600,000-700,000 by 2026, with a long-term goal of reaching 1 million by 2027. Achieving these targets could lead to significant revenue growth and ecosystem enhancement [17] Product Development - In 2025, Kaiying Network has fewer new products, but a robust pipeline for 2026 includes titles like "Douluo Dalu," "Three Kingdoms: The Return of the World," and "The Tomb Raider's Notes," which are expected to launch in the first half of the year [18] - The company is also exploring AI applications and other gaming projects, indicating a commitment to innovation and market responsiveness [18] Conclusion - Kaiying Network is positioned as a unique platform in the gaming industry, with a promising business model centered around the Legend Box. The anticipated growth in user engagement and revenue streams, combined with a strong product pipeline, makes it a compelling investment opportunity [19]

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Kaiying Network (002517) has disclosed the total number of its shareholders, which is 84,318 as of November 28, 2025 [1]