证券研究报告|行业深度报告 电力设备与新能源 行业评级 强于大市（维持） 2026年1月6日 电池变革重要赛点，材料设备全新颠覆 ——固态电池深度研究报告 证券分析师： 邓伟 执业证书编号：S0210522050005 游宝来 执业证书编号：S0210523030002 研究助理： 请务必阅读报告末页的重要声明 李宜琛 华福证券 华福证券 投资要点 2 华福证券 华福证券 Ø 发展固态电池已成为行业共识、全球竞争赛点：理论上能实现高比能、高安全性的固态电池体系，是全球公认的颠覆性 技术。减少液态电解质含量，提升固态电解质占比，逐步实现固态化，是行业发展共识。由此带来的对材料体系、装备 体系的颠覆，迫使全球企业、研究团队展开新一轮的创新竞争，避免在新技术方向上的掉队风险。2027年实现小批量生 产、工艺定型，基本上是国内外企业一致预期的重要时间节点。 Ø 材料端：固态电池颠覆材料环节，重视增量、升级、瓶颈环节。全固态电池颠覆现有体系，核心增量环节是硫化物/氧化 物/卤化物/聚合物固态电解质，其中降本、量产瓶颈在于硫化锂（成本高、工艺放大难）。此外，能量密度的提升依赖 高镍/富锂锰基正极、锂金属/硅碳负极的性能突 ...

Core Insights - The A-share passenger car industry in China is projected to have a total market capitalization of 1,795.09 billion yuan by December 31, 2025, with 10 listed companies [1][2] - Among these, five companies have a market capitalization exceeding 100 billion yuan, and one company surpasses 80 billion yuan [1] Company Rankings - BYD ranks first with a market capitalization of 889.33 billion yuan, followed by Seres and Great Wall Motors with market capitalizations of 210.71 billion yuan and 193.67 billion yuan, respectively [2] - SAIC Motor, Changan Automobile, and GAC Group occupy the 4th to 6th positions with market capitalizations of 174.96 billion yuan, 117.58 billion yuan, and 83.21 billion yuan, respectively [2] - The remaining companies in the top 10 include Qianli Technology, BAIC Blue Valley, Zotye Automobile, and Haima Automobile, with market capitalizations of 48.06 billion yuan, 44.76 billion yuan, 17.80 billion yuan, and 13.42 billion yuan, respectively [2]

Core Viewpoint - Tesla China has launched a limited-time financial promotion plan to stimulate sales, offering low-interest financing options for its Model 3, Model Y, and Model Y L vehicles [1][2]. Group 1: Financial Promotion Details - The promotion includes a 7-year low-interest financing option with an annual fee rate as low as 0.5%, equivalent to an annualized interest rate of 0.98% [2][3]. - Customers can choose a 5-year interest-free financing option if they place an order by January 31, with a down payment starting at 99,900 yuan for the Model Y L and monthly payments as low as 3,985 yuan [3]. Group 2: Market Context and Sales Performance - The current mainstream car loan term in the domestic market is 3 years, with some luxury brands allowing terms of up to 6-7 years, but typically with higher interest rates exceeding 3% [5]. - Tesla's sales in China for the first 11 months of 2025 were approximately 531,900 units, representing a year-on-year decline of 7.37% [10]. - In 2025, Tesla's global deliveries totaled about 1.636 million units, a decline of over 8% year-on-year, marking the largest annual drop in history [10]. - BYD has surpassed Tesla for the first time in 2025, becoming the largest electric vehicle seller globally, with a reported 2.26 million units sold, a year-on-year increase of 28% [10].

转自：北京日报客户端 1月4日， 在乌拉圭首都蒙得维的亚，一辆中国新能源旅游巴士（前）在路上行驶。新华社发（尼古拉斯·塞拉亚 摄） 新华社蒙得维的亚1月5日电"2025年，乌拉圭平均每售出3辆乘用车，就有一辆是中国新能源汽车。"乌 拉圭汽车贸易协会经理伊格纳西奥·帕斯日前在接受新华社记者采访时说，中国新能源汽车日益受到乌 拉圭消费者欢迎。 正如帕斯所说，2025年以来，记者在乌首都蒙得维的亚等城市看到的中国新能源汽车越来越多。 12月22 新能源汽车畅销与乌拉圭政府相关举措密切相关。2025年，乌政府颁布一系列面向新能源汽车的优惠政 策，包括减免关税、牌照税、污染税等税费。与此同时，乌拉圭国家电力公司在全国建设了一批充电 桩，基本保证国道每50公里就有一个充电站。 12月22 日，在乌拉圭首都蒙得维的亚，一辆中国新能源汽车（中）在路上行驶。新华社发（尼古拉斯·塞拉亚 摄） 乌拉圭政府数据显示，该国超过97%的电力来自可再生能源，且非用电高峰时段电力供应有盈余。"这 为乌拉圭推广新能源汽车提供了极佳条件。"帕斯说。 另一方面，较低的使用成本也促使更多乌拉圭消费者选择新能源汽车。蒙得维的亚的网约车司机米格尔 对记 ...

1月6日，特斯拉微博发布消息，特斯拉Model 3/Y/Y L推出7年超低息购车方案。其中，Model 3/Y首付 7.99万元起，月供可低至1918元；Model Y L首付9.99万元起，月供可低至2947元。 特斯拉还表示，Model Y L首次推出5年0息，首付9.99万元起，月供可低至3985元。 首付9.99万元起 1月2日晚间，特斯拉公布去年第四季度交付量为418227辆，同比下降16%，在全球电动车制造商排名中 明显被甩在中国比亚迪身后。 特斯拉在1月2日发布声明称，第四季度交付量下降16%至418,227辆，不仅低于分析师预期，也未达到 公司自身目标。 值得注意的是，就全年数据来看，特斯拉有史以来首次被中国汽车制造商比亚迪超越。数据显示，特斯 拉2025年全球交付汽车163.6万辆，同比下降约8.6%。同期，比亚迪纯电动汽车销量为225.67万辆。 可选5年0息方案®,月供可低至3985元® 或选7年超低息方案®,月供可低至2947元® ...

Core Viewpoint - Tesla is implementing various financing options and price adjustments to stimulate sales amid declining vehicle deliveries and increased competition from Chinese manufacturers. Group 1: Financing Options - Tesla has introduced a low-interest financing plan for the Model 3/Y/Y L, with down payments starting at 79,900 yuan and monthly payments as low as 1,918 yuan for Model 3/Y, and 99,900 yuan with monthly payments starting at 2,947 yuan for Model Y L [1] - The Model Y L also features a new 5-year 0% interest plan, with a down payment of 99,900 yuan and monthly payments starting at 3,985 yuan [1] Group 2: Price Adjustments - Recently, Tesla adjusted prices in other markets, including a reduction in South Korea where the price of the Model 3 and Model Y was lowered by up to 9.4 million won (approximately 6,490 USD) [3] - The high-performance all-wheel-drive version of Model 3 is now priced at 59.99 million won, down from 69.39 million won, while two Model Y variants saw a price drop of about 3 million won [3] Group 3: Sales Performance - Tesla is facing pressure from declining sales, with Q4 2025 production exceeding 434,000 vehicles, a year-on-year decrease of 5.5%, and deliveries over 418,000 vehicles, down approximately 16% year-on-year [5] - For the entire year of 2025, Tesla's global vehicle deliveries totaled 1.636 million, a decline of about 8.6%, marking the second consecutive year of falling delivery numbers [5] - Notably, Tesla's annual electric vehicle sales were surpassed by Chinese manufacturer BYD for the first time, with BYD reporting a total of 4,602,436 vehicles sold in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 7.73% [5] Group 4: Production and Growth in Other Segments - On December 30, 2025, Tesla announced the production of its 9 millionth electric vehicle at its Shanghai Gigafactory, which delivered over 97,100 units in December 2025, an 11% month-on-month increase [6] - The Shanghai factory accounted for 52% of Tesla's global deliveries, with approximately 851,000 units delivered in 2025 [6] - Despite the decline in vehicle sales, Tesla's energy storage business saw significant growth, with a total installation of 46.7 GWh in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 48.7% [6]

编者荐语： 插电式混合动力SUV"SEALION 6"已于2025年12月1日在日本上市。备有前轮驱动（FWD）和四轮 驱动（4WD）两种版本，前轮驱动版搭载1.5L升排量自然吸气（NA）汽油发动机，四轮驱动版配备 1.5L排量涡轮增压发动机。两款车型均配备容量为18.3千瓦时的磷酸铁（LFP）锂电池，前轮驱动版的 纯电续航里程达到100公里。 售价方面，前轮驱动版为398.2万日元（约合人民币18.1万元），四轮驱动版为448.8万日元（约合 人民币20.4万元）。其竞争车型是三菱汽车的"欧蓝德PHEV（Outlander PHEV）"，价格为529.43万日元 （约合人民币24.1万元）起，SEALION 6比其便宜20%以上，定价具有很高的竞争力…… 阅读更多内容请点击下方"阅读原文" （本文由日经BP提供） 比亚迪的PHEV"SEALION 6"。这是首次引入日本的PHEV （图片来源：日经Automotive） 日经BP . 日经BP成立于1969年4月, 隶属于日本经济新闻社集团。作为日本领先的B2B媒体公司，我们聚焦"经营 管理"、"专业技术"及"生活时尚"三大主要领域，满足客户多元化的需求。 ...

Group 1 - Tesla has launched a low-interest car purchase plan for Model 3/Y/Y L, with down payments starting at 79,900 yuan and monthly payments as low as 1,918 yuan for Model 3/Y, and down payments starting at 99,900 yuan with monthly payments as low as 2,947 yuan for Model Y L [2] - Model Y L is also being offered with a 5-year 0% interest plan, with a down payment starting at 99,900 yuan and monthly payments as low as 3,985 yuan [3] Group 2 - In Q4 2025, Tesla reported global vehicle deliveries of 1.636 million units, a year-on-year decline of approximately 8.6%, while BYD surpassed Tesla for the first time with 2.2567 million units sold [5] - Tesla produced over 434,000 vehicles in Q4 2025, a year-on-year decrease of 5.5%, and delivered over 418,000 vehicles, a year-on-year decline of approximately 16% [5] - The decline in Tesla's Q4 sales is attributed to the early termination of electric vehicle incentives by the U.S. federal government, which prompted a shift in sales to Q3 [5] - Tesla's energy storage business continues to grow rapidly, deploying 14.2 GWh of battery storage products in Q4 2025, a significant increase of 13.6% compared to 12.5 GWh in 2024 [5] Group 3 - Tesla is scheduled to announce its Q4 2025 financial results on January 28, 2026, after market close, along with a brief announcement containing updated data [6]

Summary of China Automobiles Conference Call Industry Overview - The China automobile industry is experiencing a cyclical assessment regarding overcapacity and competition, particularly as growth is expected to slow into 2026 [1] - Government subsidies and anti-involution policies have been implemented to stabilize pricing and profitability within the industry [1] Key Financial Metrics - OEMs raised a total of **US$15.6 billion (Rmb111 billion)** through equity issuance in 2025, facilitating new product investments and market competition [1][31] - OEM combined capital expenditure (capex) increased by **31% year-over-year** in Q3 2025, although this was a moderation from **66% year-over-year** in Q2 2025 [4][7] - Industry cash profit (EBITDA) declined by **10% year-over-year** in Q3 2025, compared to a **1% decline** in Q2 2025 [4][24] Market Dynamics - In 2026, **119 new NEV models** are expected to be launched, with domestic passenger vehicle growth projected to slow to **-2%** and new energy vehicle (NEV) growth at **+11% year-over-year** [2] - Exports are anticipated to be a bright spot, with overseas markets poised for NEV mass adoption [2] Competitive Landscape - Managements of various OEMs remain optimistic about their individual company growth despite a conservative outlook for the overall auto industry in 2026 [4][18] - The majority of OEMs are still above cash cost levels, indicating that industry consolidation may be prolonged due to less concern over cash positions [18][19] Company-Specific Insights - **BYD** and **XPeng** are highlighted as better positioned for overseas exposure, with expanding sales networks and new export models [2] - **Li Auto** plans to launch facelift models and increase R&D expenses while focusing on overseas markets [36] - **Nio** aims for a monthly sales volume of **50,000 units** in 1H26, driven by new model launches and improved pricing strategies [38] - **SAIC** targets **1 million units** in sales for 2026, with a focus on new model launches and cost-cutting measures [36] - **GAC** aims to increase export volume to **250,000 units** in 2026, up from **130,000 units** in 2025 [36] Investment Considerations - The effectiveness of government subsidies is expected to weaken, with a projected **15%** stimulation effectiveness in 2026, leading to an estimated **1.8 million** units of stimulated demand [51] - Domestic NEV retail sales volume is forecasted at **14 million** units in 2026, reflecting an **11% year-over-year** increase [52] - Export volume for passenger vehicles is expected to reach **7.4 million** units in 2026, with NEV exports projected to grow by **35% year-over-year** [53] Conclusion - The China automobile industry is at a critical juncture with intensifying competition and a shift towards overseas markets. Companies are focusing on cost control, R&D investments, and expanding their international presence to navigate the challenges ahead [18][35]

Group 1 - The city of Shengzhou is highlighted for its unique cultural and culinary heritage, particularly known for its small steamed buns, which have become a significant part of its identity and economy [3][16][54] - Shengzhou's small steamed bun industry generates an impressive annual revenue of 14 billion yuan, supported by 69 local production enterprises that produce over 7 million buns daily, with more than 30,000 stores nationwide and 80,000 employees [18][20] - The city is recognized as a "Cultural City of Chinese Snacks" and has been featured in CNN's list of the world's most delicious foods, showcasing its global culinary appeal [16][18] Group 2 - Shengzhou is also the birthplace of Yue Opera, which has seen a resurgence in popularity, particularly among younger audiences, with significant online engagement and performances by local troupes [35][40] - The city hosts the "Rural Yue Opera League," which has gained over 1.2 billion views online, indicating a strong cultural revival and community involvement in traditional arts [38][40] - The integration of traditional opera with modern elements has attracted a new generation, making it a vibrant part of Shengzhou's cultural landscape [35][40] Group 3 - Shengzhou is a key player in various industries, including the production of ties, which accounts for 90% of China's output, and other sectors like electric motors and kitchen appliances, contributing to its reputation as a manufacturing hub [42][44] - The city is undergoing an industrial transformation, focusing on smart kitchens and high-end equipment, with significant investments from companies like BYD, which is establishing a major battery production facility [46][48] - Shengzhou's economic landscape is being reshaped by a "cluster-based" approach, enhancing its competitiveness in various sectors, including biomedicine and sustainable materials [48][50]