Guosen Securities(002736)
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国信证券:维持腾讯控股(00700)“优于大市”评级 海外市场正成为其明确的第二增长曲线
智通财经网· 2025-12-17 08:10
Core Viewpoint - Tencent is accelerating its overseas business development, with cloud services and gaming as key growth areas, supported by AI capabilities and a strong focus on infrastructure [1] Group 1: Overseas Cloud Business - Tencent's cloud strategy is based on "infrastructure first," expanding data centers globally and covering 22 regions [2] - The company leverages its technological advantages and localized services to assist Chinese enterprises and local clients in overseas markets [2] - Tencent's focus is on SaaS and PaaS, with a relatively mild competitive landscape overseas, and it prioritizes internal chip reserves for model training [2] Group 2: Overseas Gaming Business - Tencent's overseas gaming revenue is expected to grow significantly, with a projected 2025 revenue of 757 billion yuan, accounting for 32% of its gaming revenue [3] - The growth is attributed to Tencent's matured industrial capabilities and a collaborative approach with game development teams [3] - The company is successfully replicating its GaaS model globally, particularly in Southeast Asia, leveraging both domestic and international team strengths [3] Group 3: AI Empowerment in Gaming - AI tools are extensively used in game production, enhancing efficiency and reducing costs in various tasks [4] - AI applications are improving user retention through features like AI teammates and coaches [4] - Tencent holds a first-mover advantage in AI-native gaming, with ongoing developments in real-time scene generation and coherence [4] Investment Outlook - The overseas market is identified as a clear second growth curve for Tencent's gaming and cloud businesses, with prior strategic investments beginning to yield results [4] - Profit forecasts for 2025-2027 are projected at 262.6 billion, 301.3 billion, and 345.4 billion yuan respectively [4]
国信证券:维持腾讯控股“优于大市”评级 海外市场正成为其明确的第二增长曲线
Zhi Tong Cai Jing· 2025-12-17 08:09
腾讯云采取"基础设施先行"策略,在亚洲、中东、欧美加速数据中心布局,目前已覆盖全球22个地区。 其核心优势在于技术领先(如媒体云、音视频传输、Fintech场景)与深度本地化服务。通过成功迁移印尼 GoTo、泰国正大集团等标杆客户,证明了其以"高性价比"和优化架构(如提升响应速度、本地IDC部署) 切入市场的能力。海外竞争相对温和,腾讯主攻聚焦在SaaS和PaaS业务,海外客户主要包含中企出海、 本地互联网企业等。面对芯片供应等问题,腾讯优先保障内部模型训练芯片储备,同时利用CPU资源支 撑推理场景需求。除此以外,很多海外客户自身拥有GPU资源,腾讯帮助客户更好地利用这些资源。 海外游戏业务:工业化能力兑现,GaaS能力赋能 2025年腾讯海外游戏增长强劲(Q3同比+43%),该行预计全年收入达757亿元,占比腾讯游戏32%,提升 3pct。加速主要系①腾讯工业化能力近年来逐渐成熟;②收购海外游戏需要有4-5年积累才能看到效 果。腾讯合作态度开放,当前观察到越来越多团队愿意合作,比如腾讯投资了steam平台排名靠前的游 戏,帮其做手游开发;帮助收购工作室GGG优化《流放之路》长线内容规划。腾讯通过国内团队的工 ...
谱尼测试连亏1年3季 A股募20.9亿IPO国信证券保荐
Zhong Guo Jing Ji Wang· 2025-12-17 07:25
中国经济网北京12月17日讯 谱尼测试(300887.SZ)日前披露2025年三季度报告。前三季度,谱尼测试实现营业总 收入9.32亿元,同比下降17.01%;归属于上市公司股东的净利润-1.99亿元,上年同期为-2.34亿元;归属于上市公司 股东的扣除非经常性损益的净利润-2.02亿元,上年同期为-2.46亿元;经营活动产生的现金流量净额为-2730.29万元, 上年同期为-1.16亿元。 | | 本报告期 | 本报告期比上年同期 增减 | 年初至报告期末 | 年初至报告期末比上 年同期增减 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(元) | 367, 541, 572. 52 | -7.03% | 932, 345, 577. 74 | -17.01% | | 归属于上市公司股东 的净利润(元) | -19, 206, 031. 90 | 69. 40% | -198,864,522.01 | 15. 07% | | 归属于上市公司股东 的扣除非经常性损益 | -21, 334, 539. 10 | 68. 36% | -202, 071, 342. 22 | 17 ...
关于景顺长城安享回报灵活配置混合型证券投资基金新增东方证券为销售机构的公告
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao - Zhong Zheng Wang· 2025-12-17 04:58
Group 1 - The company has signed a sales agreement with Dongfang Securities to sell its fund starting from December 17, 2025 [1] - The fund involved is the Invesco Great Wall Anxiang Return Flexible Allocation Mixed Securities Investment Fund [1] - Investors can inquire about details through the customer service hotline of Invesco Great Wall Fund Management Company [3] Group 2 - The company has also signed a sales agreement with Jinshan Bank to sell part of its funds starting from December 17, 2025 [6] - The sales institution is Jinshan Bank, with specific contact details provided for investor inquiries [6][8] - Similar to the previous agreement, the fund operations will follow the regulations set by Jinshan Bank [6] Group 3 - A sales agreement has been established with China Postal Savings Bank for the "You Ni Tong Ying" cooperative platform, effective December 17, 2025 [10] - The platform will facilitate the sale of part of the company's funds, with specific operational details to be determined by the platform [10][11] - Investors can contact the customer service hotline for inquiries regarding this platform [13] Group 4 - The company has entered into a sales agreement with Sunshine Life Insurance to sell the Invesco Great Wall Taihe Return Flexible Allocation Mixed Securities Investment Fund starting December 17, 2025 [15] - The sales institution is Sunshine Life Insurance, with contact information provided for investor inquiries [15][17] - Fund operations will adhere to the regulations set by Sunshine Life Insurance [15] Group 5 - A sales agreement has been signed with Guosen Securities for the Invesco Great Wall Steady Return Flexible Allocation Mixed Securities Investment Fund, effective December 17, 2025 [19] - The sales institution is Guosen Securities, with specific contact details for investor inquiries [19][22] - Fund operations will follow the guidelines established by Guosen Securities [19]
国信证券“洞见α”金牛私募下午茶活动“燃”遍全国,搭建高端客户深度对话平台
Zhong Guo Zheng Quan Bao - Zhong Zheng Wang· 2025-12-17 04:24
Group 1 - The core idea of the news is that Guosen Securities has launched the "Guosen Wealth Baichuan Plan - 'Insight α' Golden Bull Private Equity Afternoon Tea National Series" to meet the increasing demand for professional wealth management services among high-net-worth individuals in a challenging capital market environment [1][3]. - The series of events has already reached over 60 sessions across more than 20 cities, including Shanghai, Guangzhou, and Shenzhen, attracting thousands of high-net-worth clients [1][4]. - The events aim to provide timely and professional investment insights and asset allocation concepts to clients through an interactive and immersive afternoon tea format [3][5]. Group 2 - The series features renowned private equity fund managers who have won the "Golden Bull Award," likened to the "Oscar" of the private equity industry, ensuring high-quality investment research and insights [5]. - Each event emphasizes the importance of rational investment principles, including long-termism, risk control, and diversified asset allocation, to help clients build investment portfolios that align with their risk tolerance [6]. - The ongoing educational efforts aim to enhance the financial literacy of high-net-worth clients, fostering a deeper understanding of market dynamics and investment strategies for long-term wealth growth [6].
国信证券晨会纪要-20251217
Guoxin Securities· 2025-12-17 00:48
Macro and Strategy - The report highlights the significant transition of Hainan Free Trade Port, which will officially start its closure operation on December 18, 2025, marking a fundamental shift from a free trade pilot zone to a higher level of openness [6] - It discusses the institutional design of "one line open, one line controlled, and free within the island," emphasizing the dual characteristics of "international benchmarking" and "Chinese characteristics" [6] - The report analyzes direct opportunities in cross-border trade, modern logistics, and duty-free consumption, as well as long-term driving logic in tourism, modern services, and high-tech industries [6] - Investment strategies along the industrial chain are proposed, with a focus on the balance between policy details and risk dynamics [6] Industry and Company - The real estate sector is experiencing a continuous decline in sales volume and price, with investment data for January to November 2025 showing a 15.9% year-on-year decrease in real estate development investment, totaling 78,591 billion [7] - New construction area decreased by 20.5% to 53,457 million square meters, while completed area fell by 18.0% to 39,454 million square meters [7] - New commodity housing sales area dropped by 7.8% to 78,702 million square meters, and sales revenue decreased by 11.1% to 75,130 billion [7] - The report indicates that the funding available to real estate developers has also declined by 11.9% to 85,145 billion [7] - The report suggests that the real estate sector is unlikely to see a clear trend opportunity until housing prices stabilize, recommending a focus on policy dynamics and potential rebounds [7][8]
积极拥抱买方投顾业务转型,券商密集发布财富管理新品牌
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-12-16 14:57
Core Viewpoint - The launch of the "Zhiji Wealth Management" brand by Industrial Securities marks a significant transformation towards a buyer-oriented advisory model in the wealth management industry, emphasizing customer interests and personalized services [4][5][6]. Group 1: Brand Launch and Services - Industrial Securities introduced the "Zhiji Wealth Management" brand on December 16, 2023, featuring three service solutions: "Zhiji Enjoy Investment," "Zhiji Preferred Investment," and "Zhiji Intelligent Investment," which cater to asset allocation and professional investment needs [2][3]. - The brand's core philosophy is "Understanding you, working for you," focusing on transaction and allocation scenarios to create a comprehensive wealth management ecosystem [3][4]. Group 2: Industry Trends and Transformation - The wealth management industry is shifting from product sales to value-driven services, driven by increasing resident wealth and demand for professional investment support [5][6]. - The buyer-oriented advisory model has become essential for high-quality development in the financial sector, with many securities firms, including Industrial Securities, actively transitioning to this model [6][8]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Since 2025, several securities firms have launched or upgraded their wealth management brands, including CITIC Securities and Guosen Securities, indicating a trend towards personalized and diversified wealth management solutions [6][7]. - The introduction of new brands reflects a response to investor demands for tailored wealth management services and aligns with regulatory guidance towards value competition, moving away from homogeneous product sales [8].
策略快评:洞见封关新变局,布局海南新机遇
Guoxin Securities· 2025-12-16 11:17
Core Insights - The report highlights the significant transformation of Hainan Free Trade Port (FTP) as it transitions from a free trade pilot zone to a higher level of openness, officially starting customs operations on December 18, 2025 [2][4] - The core design of the customs operation is based on the principle of "one line open, one line controlled, and freedom within the island," which aims to integrate international standards with Chinese characteristics [3][9] - The report identifies direct opportunities in cross-border trade, modern logistics, and duty-free consumption, as well as long-term growth drivers in tourism, modern services, and high-tech industries [2][11] Policy Evolution - The policy evolution of Hainan FTP has been systematic, beginning with the announcement of support for the construction of a free trade pilot zone in April 2018, leading to the formal announcement of customs operations in December 2025 [4][5] - Key documents such as the "Guiding Opinions on Supporting Hainan's Comprehensive Deepening of Reform and Opening Up" and the "Overall Plan for China (Hainan) Free Trade Pilot Zone" have laid the institutional foundation for this evolution [4][5] Industry and Growth Areas - The customs operation is expected to drive explosive growth in cross-border trade, modern logistics, and duty-free consumption, with the range of zero-tariff products expanding from 1,900 to approximately 6,600 items [11][12] - The tourism sector is projected to benefit significantly, with expectations of receiving 97.2 million domestic and international tourists by 2024, doubling the number of inbound tourists [12] - Modern services, particularly in finance, are emphasized, with the establishment of multi-functional free trade accounts facilitating cross-border capital flow [12][13] Investment Strategies - Investment opportunities are suggested along the industrial chain, focusing on sectors with direct policy benefits and high earnings elasticity, such as port logistics and duty-free retail [18][22] - Companies involved in infrastructure development and those providing support services to key parks are also highlighted as potential investment targets [18][22] - The report advises monitoring key catalytic events, such as the formal launch of customs operations and the optimization of duty-free policies, to inform investment strategies [22][23]
券商连遭减持
Guo Ji Jin Rong Bao· 2025-12-16 10:35
12月11日,券商概念跌逾1%,年内累计涨约4%,跑输大盘。减持利空再袭,板块短期承压。 12月8日晚,国信证券发布股东减持股份预披露公告,公司第二大股东华润信托与第九大股东一汽投资 同步抛出减持计划。 据《国际金融报》记者梳理,年内已有西南证券、首创证券、中原证券、财达证券、华安证券、东方财 富等多家上市券商完成股东或高管减持,减持方式涵盖集中竞价、询价转让等。 受访人士表示,无论以何种方式落地,本质都是"减持",短线属于利空,股价容易承压。投资者不必盲 目恐慌,而应把减持信号当作短期参考,重点追问背后动机,并非所有减持都等同于看空公司或行业。 操作上,紧盯筹码集中度与机构动向,可借回调逢低布局券商ETF(交易型开放式指数基金)或综合实 力突出的头部券商,博弈岁末年初的风格轮动与春季躁动行情。 国信证券两大股东拟减持 据国信证券发布的股东减持股份预披露公告,出于资产配置调整需求,华润信托计划在今年12月31日至 2026年3月30日期间,减持不超过5200万股;为了补充经营发展资金需要,一汽投资计划在今年12月15 日至2026年3月14日期间,减持不超过2200万股。减持方式为集中竞价,减持价格视市场价格 ...
证券行业2026年年度策略报告:提质增效,格局优化-20251216
Ping An Securities· 2025-12-16 10:30
Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes the importance of improving efficiency and optimizing the industry structure in the securities sector, projecting a strong performance relative to the market for 2026 [1] Market Review - The securities sector has demonstrated a prominent Beta attribute, with significant attention on the shift in funding styles. Historical analysis indicates that periods of excess returns for brokerages typically require a confluence of policy, liquidity, and market conditions [4][9] - From January to November 2025, the securities index underperformed the CSI 300 index by 12.9 percentage points, attributed to factors such as technology style preferences and the diversion of funds towards low-valuation H-shares [4][43] - Despite this, the brokerage sector achieved a notable excess return from April to August 2025, particularly H-share brokerages, which saw a cumulative increase of 43.9% for the year, outperforming the CSI 300 index by 25.4 percentage points [4][43] Fundamental Outlook - The equity market is experiencing high prosperity, with a strong certainty of profit growth. In the first three quarters of 2025, listed brokerages reported a year-on-year net profit growth of 63.4% and a revenue increase of 13.0% [4][20] - The revenue structure for the first three quarters of 2025 shows significant growth in brokerage, investment banking, and proprietary trading, with net income growth rates of 68%, 16%, and 42% respectively [4][20] - The wealth management sector is positioned to capitalize on internationalization trends, with Hong Kong emerging as a preferred fundraising destination for Chinese enterprises, leading to a 146% increase in IPO fundraising compared to the entire year of 2024 [4][20] Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that as capital market reforms deepen, the securities industry is expected to maintain steady growth in 2026, benefiting particularly head brokerages through mergers and acquisitions [4][20] - Recommended stocks include CITIC Securities and CICC, which are expected to benefit from their strong comprehensive service capabilities and balanced business structures [4][20] - Other notable mentions include Guosen Securities, Industrial Securities, and Dongfang Securities, which are anticipated to perform well due to their advantages in financial products and services [4][20] Valuation Insights - The current price-to-book (P/B) ratio for the securities industry stands at 1.35x, which is below the historical average of 1.71x, indicating potential for valuation recovery [4][50] - The report highlights that the industry P/B valuation is at the 27.7% historical percentile, suggesting that there is room for improvement in valuations relative to historical performance [4][50]