Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is expected to stabilize and recover in risk appetite, with a spring rally anticipated in 2026 as the overseas environment becomes more stable and liquidity expectations are clarified [1][4][7]. Group 1: Market Outlook - Multiple brokerages indicate that a classic "cross-year-spring" rally is brewing, with significant institutional investors increasing their holdings in broad-based ETFs, providing stable incremental capital to the market [1][10][11]. - The spring market is characterized by a favorable liquidity environment, with historical patterns suggesting a high probability of a rebound before the Spring Festival [7][10]. - The market is currently experiencing a narrow range of fluctuations, influenced by external factors such as U.S. Federal Reserve policies and Japanese central bank actions, but is expected to resonate upward with global markets [8]. Group 2: Investment Strategies - Investors are advised to adopt a strategy of finding buying points and waiting for opportunities, rather than chasing prices, as the market adjustment appears to be sufficient [2][12]. - Focus areas for investment include sectors benefiting from domestic demand, such as AI applications, commercial aerospace, and tourism, as well as cyclical recovery sectors [4][11][13]. - The spring rally is seen as an opportunity to invest in high-growth sectors, with recommendations to pay attention to industries like industrial metals, non-bank financials, and tourism-related services [11][14]. Group 3: Currency and Asset Allocation - Investors are encouraged to adapt to a continuously appreciating RMB environment, with certain industries expected to benefit from improved profit margins due to currency appreciation [3]. - Approximately 19% of industries may see profit margin improvements due to the RMB's appreciation, which could attract investor attention [3].

Core Viewpoint - The A-share market is transitioning from a liquidity and valuation-driven phase to a new stage that emphasizes fundamentals and profit recovery, with a projected double-digit profit growth for the entire A-share market in 2026 [1][2][4]. Group 1: Market Outlook - Most major domestic securities firms believe that the A-share market will remain in a bull market in 2026, with profit recovery being a key variable for market sustainability [1][2]. - The overall profit growth for the A-share market is expected to rise from 8.2% in 2025 to 10.3% in 2026, with the growth rate for non-financial sectors projected at 7.7% [12][64]. - The first half of 2026 is anticipated to maintain market momentum, but a significant transition may occur mid-year, particularly for sectors that have seen substantial gains [1][2][27]. Group 2: Sector Focus - The technology sector remains a consensus direction for 2026, with a shift from infrastructure investment to application and performance realization in AI, focusing on areas like robotics and smart driving [2][21]. - The "anti-involution" policy is expected to drive profit recovery in sectors such as steel, chemicals, and new energy, while resource products may present opportunities as they follow the technology sector [2][27]. - The report highlights four main areas for investment opportunities: AI, new energy, military industry, and innovative pharmaceuticals, with a focus on sectors that are expected to benefit from the "15th Five-Year Plan" [34][40][79]. Group 3: Investment Strategies - The investment strategy should prioritize "manufacturing as a shield and technology as a sword," emphasizing advanced manufacturing and AI as core components [40][44]. - The report suggests a rotation in market style from growth to value, particularly around mid-2026, as the market may shift focus based on liquidity and industry trends [68][69]. - The report emphasizes the importance of identifying high-performance sectors within the "future industries" and suggests a focus on resource security and energy [79][91]. Group 4: Financial Metrics and Predictions - The overall A-share market is expected to see a significant recovery in profitability, with non-financial net profit growth projected to rebound from 6.5% in 2025 to 16.5% in 2026 [33][64]. - The report predicts that the supply-side reforms will lead to a more balanced market, with a focus on sectors that have undergone significant price recovery and demand stimulation [27][92]. - The report indicates that the current market valuation structure remains healthy, with no signs of overheating, suggesting further upward potential [80][89].

当前全球与中国利率环境的一个突出特征，是从"单向趋势"走向"区间震荡"。主要央行进入降周期，但 通胀与增长的不确定性仍然较高；国内在"稳增长、稳预期"的宏观目标下，多次对政策利率和LPR进行 小幅调整，利率路径呈现出"缓慢下行、阶段停顿、再评估方向"的特征。 在以固息债为主的传统配置框架下，机构投资者对利率的判断一旦出现偏差，久期风险会迅速体现到净 值波动之中。与此同时，监管对资产负债管理、资本充足和流动性管理的要求不断抬高，使得"在收 益、风险和监管约束之间寻找平衡"的难度显著上升。如何在不牺牲过多票息收益的前提下，有效管理 利率风险，成为银行、保险、公募等机构共同面对的实践问题。 在这样的背景下，重新审视浮动利率债券（下称"浮息债"）的定价与配置价值，就具有了鲜明的现实针 对性。浮息债兼具利率敏感性管理和资产配置工具双重属性，既与政策利率和市场利率密切相关，又深 度嵌入各类机构资产负债表之中，本文以其为切入点，可以帮助读者从一个具体品种出发，回到更宏观 的利率机制与市场结构问题。 一、将浮息债放回利率与资产配置的大框架 本文并不把浮息债仅仅当作一种"产品"来介绍，而是把它放回中国利率市场化进程、货币政策传 ...

Core Viewpoint - The wind power industry in China is experiencing rapid cost reduction and installation growth, particularly in onshore wind, while offshore wind is expected to recover significantly by 2025 due to major project initiations [1][2]. Onshore Wind Power - Since 2021, China's onshore wind power has entered a parity era, achieving rapid cost reductions through large-scale and technological advancements, leading to installations exceeding expectations [2]. - Intense competition in the main equipment segment has compressed profit margins, resulting in a situation where industry growth does not translate into increased profits [2]. - Price recovery in the onshore wind supply chain is expected in the second half of 2024, with improved profitability anticipated in 2025 as shipment volumes increase [2]. - The overseas market for onshore wind is witnessing explosive growth in orders, driven by competitive pricing, service, and localization advantages of Chinese manufacturers [2][3]. Offshore Wind Power - The offshore wind sector has faced installation challenges from 2022 to 2024 due to slow approval processes, but significant project initiations in regions like Jiangsu and Guangdong are expected to enhance industry conditions in 2025 [2][4]. - For 2026, domestic offshore wind installations are projected to rise to a range of 11-15 GW, representing a year-on-year increase of over 40% [4]. - The upcoming "15th Five-Year Plan" period is expected to see a total of 70-100 GW of new offshore wind installations nationwide, with record-high bidding anticipated [4]. Investment Recommendations - The global wind power industry is entering a new growth phase, with high certainty of performance increases in the sector [5]. - Key companies to watch in the main equipment segment include Goldwind Technology, Yunda Co., and SANY Renewable Energy, while component manufacturers like Delijia and Jinlei Co. are also highlighted [5]. - In the offshore wind sector, companies such as Dajin Heavy Industry, Haili Wind Power, and Oriental Cable are recommended for investment focus [5].

Core Viewpoint - Guosen Securities maintains an "outperform" rating for Tencent Holdings, highlighting that overseas markets have become a clear second growth curve for Tencent's gaming and cloud businesses, with strategic investments beginning to yield results [1] Group 1: Overseas Cloud Business Expansion - Tencent is accelerating its overseas cloud infrastructure, planning to invest $150 million in the Middle East and $500 million in Indonesia, with new data centers being established in Saudi Arabia and Japan [2] - The global infrastructure now covers 22 regions across five continents, operating 64 availability zones and over 3,200 global acceleration nodes [2] Group 2: Competitive Advantages - Tencent Cloud's competitive edge is driven by technology and localized services, excelling in audio-visual, gaming, and database sectors, with its media cloud services being globally recognized [3] - Localized data center construction enhances response speed, as evidenced by the migration of GoTo Group's core services to Tencent Cloud, resulting in improved app response times [3] Group 3: Market Positioning and Future Outlook - Tencent Cloud focuses on PaaS and SaaS services, avoiding price wars by leveraging high cost-performance and localized services, while also addressing chip supply issues [4] - Tencent aims to capture growth from Chinese enterprises going overseas and deepen its local SaaS market presence, with expectations of scale and profit growth in emerging markets like Southeast Asia [4] Group 4: Gaming Business Growth - Tencent's international gaming revenue grew by 43% year-on-year to RMB 20.8 billion in Q3 2025, driven by revenue from Supercell and new game releases [5] - The company anticipates overseas gaming revenue to reach RMB 75.7 billion in 2025, accounting for 32% of Tencent's total gaming revenue, an increase of 3 percentage points [5] Group 5: GaaS and IP Development - Tencent is enhancing its GaaS model by applying domestic long-term operation experiences to extend product lifecycles and strengthen IP value through cross-media development [7] - AI is being integrated into all aspects of game production, improving efficiency and enhancing player experience, with 95% of employees using AI tools [8] Group 6: AI Technology in Gaming - Tencent has made significant advancements in AI technology for gaming, achieving capabilities in scene coherence and real-time generation, although challenges remain in character behavior and continuity [9] - The company is positioned to leverage its expertise in both gaming and AI to create tailored gaming experiences and enhance production capabilities [9]

Core Viewpoint - The transition of large collective products to public fund management has reached a critical phase, with many asset management companies facing significant challenges due to regulatory changes and market dynamics [1][2][4]. Group 1: Industry Changes - The number of fund managers in the public fund department of companies has decreased from a peak of twenty to around seven or eight, indicating a contraction in the workforce [1]. - The final name of a broker's asset management company, "Guojin Asset Management," has been removed from the list of applicants for public fund management qualifications, signaling the end of the "public fund rush" among broker asset management firms [1]. - The deadline for transforming large collective products into public funds is approaching, with many firms either transferring products to affiliated public funds or opting for liquidation [1][2]. Group 2: Product Transition - Several asset management companies have successfully transferred their large collective products to public fund institutions with "blood relationship," such as Everbright Fund taking over products from Everbright Securities Asset Management [2]. - Some firms have also transferred products to public institutions without direct ownership ties, as seen with Wanlian Securities transferring its money market fund to Ping An Fund [2]. - Many broker asset management firms are choosing to convert non-compliant or smaller products into private asset management plans or liquidate them, with liquidation becoming a common outcome [2][3]. Group 3: Profitability and Future Strategies - The loss of large collective products represents a significant profit loss for broker asset management firms, which need to explore new profit growth points [3]. - Broker asset management firms are focusing on developing multi-strategy investments and creating quantitative products to provide a more stable investment experience [3]. - The competitive landscape is shifting, with licensed institutions leveraging their comprehensive resources to create differentiated offerings, while unlicensed firms may focus on private and customized solutions to build niche brands [4].

Fund Overview - The fund is named "Ping An New Sharp Quantitative Stock Selection Mixed Initiation Securities Investment Fund" and is categorized as a mixed securities investment fund [16][17] - The fund operates as a contractual open-end fund with an indefinite duration [16] Fund Offering Details - The fund's public offering period is from December 22, 2025, to March 20, 2026, with a maximum fundraising limit of 500 million RMB [19][20] - The fund management company is Ping An Fund Management Co., Ltd., and the custodian is Guosen Securities Co., Ltd. [16][19] Subscription Information - Investors can subscribe through designated sales institutions, with minimum subscription amounts set at 1 RMB for online transactions and 50,000 RMB for direct sales [3][19] - The fund allows multiple subscriptions during the fundraising period, and subscription fees are calculated separately for each application [4][29] Subscription Confirmation Process - If total subscription requests exceed the maximum limit, a "last day proportion confirmation" method will be used to control the effective scale [2][20] - The fund management will announce the confirmation results in case of partial confirmations [2][3] Investor Eligibility - The fund is open to individual investors, institutional investors, qualified foreign investors, and other investors permitted by laws and regulations [17][19] Fund Share Classes - The fund has two share classes: Class A, which charges subscription fees, and Class C, which does not charge subscription fees but deducts service fees from the fund's assets [21][24] - Each share class will have its net asset value calculated and announced separately [21] Fund Management and Operations - The fund aims for long-term capital appreciation while strictly controlling investment portfolio risks [17] - The fund management company has the authority to adjust subscription limits based on market conditions [4][19] Fund Account Opening and Subscription Procedures - Individual investors must provide specific documentation to open a fund account and submit subscription applications [32][34] - Institutional investors must also follow a detailed procedure for account opening and subscription, including submitting various corporate documents [41][43]

Core Viewpoint - The hotel industry is expected to continue growing due to a supply-demand flywheel effect, with a potential rebalancing of supply and demand at the current cycle's adjustment bottom. Huazhu Group is positioned to leverage its multi-brand matrix and over 300 million members to drive scale expansion and profitability [1][2]. Group 1: Industry Overview - The hotel industry is experiencing a two-year adjustment bottom, with a forecasted rebalancing of supply and demand. The leisure travel sector is showing steady growth, while business travel demand is declining. Leading companies are shifting their strategies from prioritizing occupancy to optimizing RevPAR to stabilize prices [2]. - The structural opportunities on the supply side are becoming more apparent, with the chain rate expected to increase from 40% (in the U.S. at 72%) to 60-70%, corresponding to a potential room supply increase of 30-109% [2]. Group 2: Huazhu Group's Growth Model - Huazhu has achieved a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 20% in both store count and performance over the past 15 years, driven by strategic foresight and a highly efficient digital organization. The company has established a growth flywheel in the limited-service hotel sector through strong product offerings, significant member traffic, high returns, and aggressive scale expansion [3]. - The company has a diverse product range from economy to mid-range hotels, with brands like Hanting and Qianxi catering to different customer needs. Its membership base of over 300 million is the largest in the industry, with over 60% of bookings coming from central reservations [3]. Group 3: Value Reassessment - Huazhu is expected to expand its store count significantly, with projections of reaching 18,000 economy and mid-range hotels by 2030, leading the market share [4]. - The company is in a phase of brand upgrading, with mid-range brands poised for growth. The estimated annual fees for mid-range hotels are projected to be 1.5-3 times higher than those for lower-end hotels, which could enhance profitability and valuation [4]. - The company is also transitioning towards a light-asset model, which is expected to support stable cash flows and provide a shareholder return of over 5%, potentially leading to valuation premiums [4].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report is that the hotel industry is experiencing a supply-demand flywheel effect, which is expected to lead to growth and a rebalancing of supply and demand in the current adjustment cycle [1][2] - Huazhu Group is leveraging a "product-traffic-return-scale" model to drive growth, supported by a multi-brand matrix and over 300 million members, which enhances its scale expansion [1][3] - The hotel industry is currently at a two-year adjustment bottom, with expectations for a rebalancing of supply-demand relationships, driven by steady growth in leisure travel and a decline in business travel demand [2][4] Group 2 - Huazhu has achieved a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of over 20% in both store count and performance over the past 15 years, thanks to strategic foresight and a digitalized organization [3] - The company is expected to expand its store count to 18,000 by 2030, leading in market share, while also focusing on brand upgrades and enhancing its mid-to-high-end offerings [4] - The shift towards a light-asset model, comparable to overseas hotel models, is anticipated to support stable cash flows and shareholder returns of over 5%, potentially leading to valuation premiums [4]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the articles highlights the increasing trend of multiple dividend distributions by listed securities firms in China, with a significant rise in total cash dividends distributed this year compared to last year [1][2] - As of December 16, 27 listed securities firms have distributed a total of 12.188 billion yuan in cash dividends, with Guotai Junan leading at 2.627 billion yuan [1] - The new "National Nine Articles" policy emphasizes the regulation of dividend distributions, aiming to enhance stability, sustainability, and predictability of dividends, thereby encouraging multiple distributions within a year [1] Group 2 - In the first three quarters, 43 A-share listed securities firms achieved a total operating revenue of 421.416 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 42.57%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 169.291 billion yuan, up 62.48% year-on-year [2] - Among these firms, 42 reported positive year-on-year growth in both operating revenue and net profit, with several leading firms surpassing 20 billion yuan in revenue and 10 billion yuan in net profit [2] - The overall cash dividends from A-share listed companies reached 2.56 trillion yuan this year, indicating a trend towards higher dividend distributions across various sectors, particularly in finance, energy, and telecommunications [2] Group 3 - According to Wanlian Securities, the trend of increasing dividend distributions is expected to continue into 2025, with several industries experiencing over 100% growth in dividend amounts [3] - The focus on investor returns by listed companies is anticipated to improve market ecology and boost investor confidence [3]