- The report tracks the market trend by monitoring stocks, industries, and sectors that have reached new highs, using a 250-day high distance metric[11] - The 250-day high distance is calculated as follows: $ 250 \text{ day high distance} = 1 - \frac{Closet}{ts\_max(Close, 250)} $ where Closet is the latest closing price and $ ts\_max(Close, 250) $ is the maximum closing price over the past 250 trading days[11] - As of January 16, 2026, the 250-day high distances for major indices are: Shanghai Composite Index 1.52%, Shenzhen Component Index 0.60%, CSI 300 1.23%, CSI 500 0.20%, CSI 1000 1.49%, CSI 2000 1.77%, ChiNext Index 0.81%, and STAR 50 Index 1.63%[12][13][15] - The report identifies 1204 stocks that reached a 250-day high in the past 20 trading days, with the highest numbers in the machinery, electronics, and basic chemicals industries[19] - The highest proportions of new high stocks are in the defense, non-ferrous metals, and petrochemical industries[19] - The report also tracks "stable new high stocks" based on analyst attention, relative stock strength, trend continuity, price path stability, and new high sustainability[23][26] - The screening criteria for stable new high stocks include: at least 5 buy or hold ratings in the past 3 months, top 20% in 250-day price change, and top 50% in price path smoothness and new high continuity metrics[26] - This week's stable new high stocks include 50 stocks such as Asia Integration, Yuanjie Technology, and Zhongji Xuchuang, with the highest numbers in the cyclical and technology sectors[27][30]

Group 1 - The report tracks stocks, industries, and sectors that are reaching new highs, indicating market trends and hotspots [1][4] - As of January 16, 2026, the distance to the 250-day new high for major indices is as follows: Shanghai Composite Index 1.52%, Shenzhen Component Index 0.60%, CSI 300 1.23%, CSI 500 0.20%, CSI 1000 1.49%, CSI 2000 1.77%, ChiNext Index 0.81%, and STAR Market 1.63% [6][27] - Among the CITIC first-level industry indices, electronics, non-ferrous metals, basic chemicals, machinery, and home appliances are closest to their 250-day new highs, while food and beverage, banking, agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, real estate, and pharmaceuticals are further away [9][28] Group 2 - A total of 1,204 stocks reached a 250-day new high in the past 20 trading days, with the most significant numbers in the machinery, electronics, and basic chemicals sectors [2][15] - The highest proportion of new high stocks is found in the defense, non-ferrous metals, and oil and petrochemical industries, with respective proportions of 61.48%, 52.85%, and 36.00% [15][28] - The manufacturing and technology sectors had the most new high stocks this week, with 388 and 372 stocks respectively, while the proportion of new high stocks in various indices is as follows: CSI 2000 22.95%, CSI 1000 24.10%, CSI 500 31.60%, CSI 300 24.00%, ChiNext Index 31.00%, and STAR Market 26.00% [17][28] Group 3 - The report identifies 50 stocks that have shown stable new highs, including Yaxing Integration, Yuanjie Technology, and Zhongji Xuchuang, with the most stocks in the cyclical and technology sectors [3][22] - The cyclical sector has the highest number of new high stocks in the non-ferrous metals industry, while the technology sector has the most in the electronics industry [22][28]

Market Overview - The market opened high but closed lower, with all three major indices declining. The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.26% to 4101.91 points, the Shenzhen Component Index dropped by 0.18%, and the ChiNext Index decreased by 0.2%. Over 2900 stocks in the market experienced declines [1]. Sector Performance - The semiconductor industry chain showed strong performance, with Longji Technology hitting a five-year high and stocks like Meiying Technology, Kangqiang Electronics, and Shenghui Integration also reaching their daily limit [1]. - The storage chip concept saw continued gains in the afternoon, with stocks like Baiwei Storage and Jiangbolong reaching historical highs [2]. - The humanoid robot concept rose, with stocks such as Wuzhou Xinchun and Fangzheng Electric hitting their daily limit [3]. - The power grid equipment sector was active, with stocks like Siyuan Electric and Guangdian Electric also reaching their daily limit [4]. Declining Sectors - The oil and gas sector, along with AI applications, faced significant declines. The AI application sector experienced a wave of limit-downs, affecting stocks like Xinhua Du, Tianxiao, Yili Media, Vision China, Xinhua News, and People's Daily [5]. - The total trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets reached 3.03 trillion yuan, an increase of 120.8 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [5]. Notable Stocks - Zhongji Xuchuang had a trading volume of over 23.3 billion yuan, leading the market, while TBEA had a trading volume of nearly 22.9 billion yuan. Other notable stocks with trading volumes exceeding 15 billion yuan included Xinyisheng, Industrial Fulian, and Luxshare Precision [5]. - Specific stock performances included: - Zhongji Xuchuang: 617.00 yuan, down 1.28% [6] - TBEA: 27.73 yuan, down 2.67% [6] - Xinyisheng: 397.19 yuan, down 0.70% [6] - Industrial Fulian: 63.00 yuan, up 4.20% [6] - Luxshare Precision: 58.08 yuan, up 1.24% [6] - Zhaoyi Innovation: 280.46 yuan, up 10.00% [6]

Core Viewpoint - The data indicates significant outflows of capital from various stocks, with notable declines in share prices across multiple sectors, suggesting a bearish sentiment in the market. Group 1: Stock Performance and Capital Outflow - The top stock with the highest capital outflow is TBEA Co., Ltd. (特变电工), with an outflow of 3.085 billion yuan and a price drop of 2.67% [1][2] - BlueFocus Communication Group (蓝色光标) experienced a capital outflow of 2.024 billion yuan, with a significant price decline of 11.52% [1][2] - Zijin Mining Group (紫金矿业) saw an outflow of 2.009 billion yuan and a price decrease of 2.04% [1][2] - China Satellite Communications (中国卫星) had a capital outflow of 1.729 billion yuan, with a price drop of 4.61% [1][2] - Contemporary Amperex Technology Co., Ltd. (宁德时代) experienced an outflow of 1.579 billion yuan and a minor price decline of 0.4% [1][2] Group 2: Sector Analysis - The electric equipment sector, represented by TBEA Co., Ltd., shows a significant capital outflow, indicating potential challenges in this industry [2] - The cultural communication sector, represented by BlueFocus, is facing substantial capital withdrawal, reflecting investor concerns [2] - The non-ferrous metals sector, including companies like Zijin Mining and China Aluminum (中国铝业), is also experiencing notable outflows, suggesting a broader trend affecting commodity-related stocks [2][3] - The software development sector, represented by companies like Yonyou Network (用友网络) and Weining Health (卫宁健康), is witnessing significant capital outflows, indicating potential vulnerabilities in this area [3]

Core Viewpoint - The data indicates significant outflows of capital from various stocks, with notable amounts leaving the market, suggesting a potential shift in investor sentiment and market dynamics [1][2][3] Group 1: Major Stocks with Capital Outflows - The stock with the highest capital outflow is TBEA Co., Ltd. (特变电工), experiencing a net outflow of 2.529 billion yuan, with a decline of 0.35% [2] - BlueFocus Communication Group Co., Ltd. (蓝色光标) follows with a capital outflow of 1.766 billion yuan and a drop of 8.09% [2] - Zijin Mining Group Co., Ltd. (紫金矿业) saw an outflow of 1.559 billion yuan, with a decrease of 2.07% [2] - China Satellite Communications Co., Ltd. (中国卫星) had a capital outflow of 1.472 billion yuan, down by 3.47% [2] - Yangtze Power Co., Ltd. (长江电力) experienced a 1.27% decline with an outflow of 1.254 billion yuan [2] Group 2: Sector Analysis - The electric power sector, represented by Yangtze Power, shows a capital outflow of 1.254 billion yuan, indicating potential concerns within the industry [2] - The non-ferrous metals sector, including companies like Zijin Mining and China Aluminum Corporation (中国铝业), is also facing significant outflows, with 1.559 billion yuan and 1.127 billion yuan respectively [2][3] - The internet services sector, represented by companies such as Huasheng Tiancheng (华胜天成) and Kunlun Wanwei (昆仑万维), shows substantial declines of 9.17% and 9.93% respectively, with outflows of 0.991 billion yuan and 0.983 billion yuan [2][3] Group 3: Additional Notable Stocks - Other companies with significant capital outflows include: - Ningde Times (宁德时代) with an outflow of 0.920 billion yuan and a decline of 0.45% [2] - Zhongji Xuchuang (中际旭创) with an outflow of 0.871 billion yuan and a decrease of 1.11% [2] - Han's Laser Technology Industry Group Co., Ltd. (汉得信息) with a capital outflow of 0.757 billion yuan and a drop of 10.9% [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights a strong rebound in AI computing hardware, with significant gains in related stocks and a forecasted explosive growth in AI server shipments by 2026 [1] - Goldman Sachs' analyst team predicts that the penetration rate of ASIC chips will rise to 40%, leading to a more than double year-on-year increase in shipments of 800G/1.6T optical modules [1] - The acceleration of ASIC chip penetration is expected to drive the AI server and optical communication industries towards a trillion-dollar market [1] Group 2 - In the consumer electronics sector, Apple's upcoming foldable iPhone is anticipated to be a strong catalyst for the smartphone market, while the PC market continues to face significant challenges [1] - Goldman Sachs emphasizes that demand for AI-related technologies and high-end hardware will continue to drive revenue growth in China's semiconductor, optical communication, and PCB industries [1] - Emerging sectors such as smart driving, AI software, and low-orbit satellites are accelerating their implementation due to policy and technological breakthroughs, providing diversified investment opportunities [1] Group 3 - The communication ETF Huaxia (515050) tracks the CSI 5G communication theme index, focusing on electronic (chips, PCBs, consumer electronics) and communication (optical modules, servers) computing hardware [1] - The top five holdings in the ETF include Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, Luxshare Precision, Industrial Fulian, and Zhaoyi Innovation [1]

Group 1 - The A-share technology sector is experiencing mixed performance, with storage and humanoid robot sectors seeing fluctuations and gains, while AI application sectors continue to decline [1] - The largest AI ETF in the Shanghai market (515070) has narrowed its decline to 0.23%, with significant gains in holdings such as Aobo Zhongguang-UW, which surged over 6% [1] - The robot leasing platform "Qingtian Rental" announced the completion of its seed round financing, achieving over 200,000 registered users and maintaining an average of over 200 daily orders within three weeks of launch [1] Group 2 - Qingtian Rental has partnered with major brands like Meiyijia, Haidilao, and Yuyuan Group to utilize robots for store traffic and brand activities, shifting from traditional equipment sales to a callable service model [1] - Dongfang Securities indicates that the investment logic in the humanoid robot industry is shifting from "hardware mass production" to "AGI (Artificial General Intelligence) development," emphasizing the importance of AGI capabilities as a key investment focus [1] - Despite Chinese companies leading in manufacturing, the marginal impact of simple robot mass production on investment is expected to diminish, with future value lying in AGI capabilities [1] Group 3 - The AI ETF (515070) tracks the CS AI theme index (930713), selecting component stocks that provide technology, basic resources, and application end stocks, focusing on the midstream and upstream of the AI industry chain [2] - The top ten weighted stocks in the ETF include leading domestic technology companies such as Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, Hanwha Technology, and Hikvision [2]

Core Insights - The total market financing balance reached 2.70 trillion yuan as of January 15, with an increase of 20.61 billion yuan from the previous trading day, marking a continuous increase for nine consecutive trading days [1] - Among individual stocks, 1,951 stocks received net financing purchases on January 15, with 730 stocks having net purchases exceeding 10 million yuan, and 73 stocks exceeding 100 million yuan [1] - The top three stocks by net financing purchases were Zhongji Xuchuang with 1.698 billion yuan, Luxshare Precision with 1.447 billion yuan, and Xinye Technology with 1.084 billion yuan [2] Financing Balance and Stock Performance - The financing balance in the Shanghai market was 1.3487 trillion yuan, increasing by 917.8 million yuan, while the Shenzhen market's financing balance was 1.3434 trillion yuan, increasing by 1.1581 billion yuan [1] - The North Exchange saw a slight decrease in financing balance to 9.138 billion yuan, down by 146 million yuan [1] - The average financing balance as a percentage of circulating market value for stocks with significant net purchases was 4.60%, with the highest being Xidian Co. at 11.04% [2] Sector Analysis - The sectors with the highest concentration of stocks receiving net financing purchases over 100 million yuan were electronics, communications, and non-ferrous metals, with 28, 10, and 4 stocks respectively [1] - In terms of board distribution, 43 stocks on the main board, 21 on the ChiNext board, and 9 on the Sci-Tech Innovation board received significant net purchases [1] Individual Stock Highlights - Zhongji Xuchuang had a price increase of 5.40% on January 15, with a net financing purchase of 1.698 billion yuan and a financing balance of 2.3448 billion yuan, representing 3.39% of its circulating market value [2] - Luxshare Precision saw a price increase of 7.07% with a net financing purchase of 1.447 billion yuan, and a financing balance of 823 million yuan, accounting for 1.97% of its circulating market value [2] - Other notable stocks included Xinye Technology, Dongfang Fortune, and Liou Co., with significant net financing purchases and varying price performances [2][3]

Core Viewpoint - Zhongji Xuchuang's stock has shown significant growth in recent trading sessions, with a notable increase in both revenue and net profit year-on-year, indicating strong business performance and investor interest [1][2]. Group 1: Stock Performance - On January 16, Zhongji Xuchuang's stock price increased by 2.08%, reaching 638.01 yuan per share, with a trading volume of 11.98 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 1.73% [1]. - The stock has risen by 4.59% since the beginning of the year, with a 9.40% increase over the last five trading days, an 8.14% increase over the last 20 days, and a substantial 43.60% increase over the last 60 days [1]. Group 2: Financial Performance - For the period from January to September 2025, Zhongji Xuchuang achieved a revenue of 25.005 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 44.43%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 7.132 billion yuan, which is a 90.05% increase compared to the previous year [2]. Group 3: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of shareholders of Zhongji Xuchuang reached 132,300, an increase of 3.11% from the previous period, with an average of 8,353 circulating shares per person, a decrease of 3.02% [2]. - The company has distributed a total of 1.943 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 1.512 billion yuan distributed over the last three years [3].

Summary of the Conference Call on Zhongji Xuchuang Industry Overview and Market Prospects - **Optical Module Market Logic**: Optical technology is crucial for future interconnect and computing fields due to its physical advantages in speed and scalability, particularly in SerDes above 224G and 448G [3][4] - **Market Size and Technological Iteration**: The scale-up market is emerging, with the same generation bandwidth being nine times that of scale-out, indicating significant future growth potential. Optical module rates are expected to continue evolving from 800G to 12.8T, showcasing a broad market space [3] - **2026 as a Key Year**: Anticipated significant growth in optical module volumes, particularly for 800G and 1.6T, with overall market size expected to increase, leading to improved industry profit margins [3] - **Supply and Demand Dynamics**: The optical module market is projected to experience a supply shortage from 2026 to 2027, with strong demand. Companies that can deliver more optical modules will have a competitive edge [3] Company Positioning and Technical Advantages - **High-End Product Focus**: The company has positioned itself in high-end products since its inception and was one of the first suppliers certified by Google, indicating a strong technical foundation [3] - **Performance Driven by Cloud Capital Expenditure**: Over the past decade, the company's performance has been closely tied to the capital expenditure of overseas cloud vendors, with revenue growth following capital expenditure trends [3] - **Short to Medium-Term Performance Drivers**: The expected demand for 1.6T optical modules in 2026 is projected to reach 20-30 million units, a tenfold increase year-on-year, driven by AI penetration and data center speed upgrades [3] Technological Layout and Long-Term Competitiveness - **Silicon Photonics Capability**: The company aims to address EML shortages and improve gross margins in the short term while laying the groundwork for higher integration optical modules in the long term [4] - **Diverse Technological Routes**: The company is pursuing multiple technology paths, including NPO, CPC, and CPO, with plans to showcase demos and launch products in 2026 [4] - **3.2T Optical Module Development**: The company is advancing in the development of 3.2T optical modules, with expectations to maintain a competitive edge in the market [4] Valuation and Market Position - **Transition to a Platform Company**: The company is evolving from an optical module manufacturer to a platform company, expanding its product market to include switches and other areas, which is expected to enhance profit margins [4] - **Undervalued Stock**: The company is perceived to be undervalued, with future PE ratios expected to be around 20-30 times, indicating potential for valuation re-rating [4] - **Hong Kong Listing Expectations**: A potential listing in Hong Kong could lead to a revaluation, as foreign investors tend to assign higher premiums to leading companies [4] AI Demand and Data Center Capital Expenditure - **Increased AI Penetration**: By early 2026, the consumption of OpenAI's API tokens is expected to increase by over 900% compared to early 2025, indicating a surge in AI-related demand [4] - **Formation of AI Commercialization Loop**: As of October 2025, 74% of U.S. tech companies are paying for AI services, a nearly 40 percentage point increase year-on-year, supporting the demand for AI computing infrastructure [4] Optical Interconnect Penetration - **Improving Optical Interconnect Rates**: The transition from copper to optical interconnects is becoming more pronounced, with optical technology beginning to penetrate scale-up scenarios, driving demand for 1.6T optical modules [4] - **Physical Limits of Copper Connections**: As single-wave rates approach 400G, the physical limitations of copper connections are becoming evident, highlighting the inherent advantages of optical technology [4]