Core Viewpoint - The actual controller of Lihua Co., Ltd. (300761.SZ), Cheng Lili, along with his concerted action partner, has completed a share reduction plan, resulting in a decrease in their combined shareholding percentage from 51.07% to 48.16% [1] Summary by Category Share Reduction Details - Cheng Lili reduced his holdings by a total of 13,500,400 shares, which represents 1.61% of the company's total share capital. This includes 13,350,000 shares sold through block trading at an average price of 15.81 yuan per share and 150,400 shares sold through centralized bidding at an average price of 19.56 yuan per share [1] - The concerted action partner, Changzhou Pentium Animal Husbandry Technology Service Center, reduced its holdings by 10,881,400 shares, accounting for 1.30% of the company's total share capital. This includes 8,111,400 shares sold through centralized bidding at an average price of 21.36 yuan per share and 2,770,000 shares sold through block trading at an average price of 15.82 yuan per share [1]

Core Viewpoint - The agricultural, animal husbandry, and fishery sector is experiencing a downturn, with the first agricultural ETF (159275) declining by 1.31% as of market close on October 22, 2023 [1] Industry Analysis - The pig farming industry is facing significant capacity pressure, leading to widespread losses. Current prices for fat and piglets have dropped to yearly lows, suggesting a potential further decline in prices. Historical trends indicate that when both prices are low, the industry may initiate market-driven capacity reduction, which could support long-term price increases for pigs [3] - Despite the current challenges, there is an expectation of increased pig supply in the fourth quarter due to rising slaughter volumes and accelerated weight gain as temperatures drop. This has led to a stronger demand for meat, with pig prices stabilizing at psychological levels, easing the pressure on the breeding sector [3] - The valuation of the agricultural sector remains relatively low, presenting a favorable investment opportunity. As of October 22, 2023, the agricultural ETF's index price-to-book ratio stands at 2.57, placing it in the 29.3 percentile over the past decade, highlighting its mid- to long-term investment value [3] Investment Direction - Analysts are optimistic about the pig farming sector due to policy and market forces driving capacity reduction, which is expected to enhance long-term performance [4] - The agricultural sector plays a crucial role in food security, economic development, ecological balance, and social welfare. The traditional farming industry is undergoing significant supply-side reforms, which are likely to benefit large-scale farming enterprises. The domestic market concentration is increasing, and companies that have expanded into overseas markets are expected to gain a competitive edge [5] - The current upward trend in grain prices and favorable conditions in the planting and seed sectors indicate significant investment opportunities in these areas [6] ETF Overview - The agricultural ETF (159275) tracks the CSI Agricultural Index, with major holdings including leading companies in livestock, feed, and planting sectors. The top ten holdings account for over 90% of the index, focusing on agricultural breeding, feed, and planting industries [6]

证券代码：300761 证券简称：立华股份 公告编号：2025-076 江苏立华食品集团股份有限公司 关于公司实际控制人及其一致行动人减持期限届满的公告 公司实际控制人程立力先生及其一致行动人常州市奔腾牧业技术服务中心 （有限合伙）保证向本公司提供的信息内容真实、准确、完整，没有虚假记载、 误导性陈述或重大遗漏。 本公司及董事会全体成员保证公告内容与信息披露义务人提供的信息一致。 江苏立华食品集团股份有限公司（以下简称公司）于 2025 年 6 月 30 日披露 了《关于实际控制人及其一致行动人减持股份预披露公告》（公告编号：2025-050）， 实际控制人程立力先生及其一致行动人常州市奔腾牧业技术服务中心（有限合伙） （以下简称奔腾牧业）计划自前述公告披露之日起 15 个交易日后的 3 个月内（2025 年 7 月 22 日至 2025 年 10 月 21 日）以集中竞价方式或以大宗交易方式合计减持 公司股份不超过 25,118,000 股（占公司总股本比例为 3.00%）。 1 | | | 注 1：上表若出现总数与各分项数值之和尾数不符的情况，均为四舍五入原因所致。 注 2：上述股东减持股份来源为公司首次 ...

Core Insights - The aquaculture sector experienced a decline of 1.22% on October 22, with Shengnong Development leading the drop [1][2] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3913.76, down 0.07%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 12996.61, down 0.62% [1] Aquaculture Sector Performance - The following companies showed notable performance: - Pangming Co., Ltd. (300967) closed at 21.26, up 1.67% with a trading volume of 55,600 shares and a transaction value of 117 million [1] - Shengnong Development (002299) closed at 16.16, down 4.15% with a trading volume of 276,600 shares and a transaction value of 449 million [2] - Wens Foodstuff Group (300498) closed at 18.09, down 1.15% with a trading volume of 410,500 shares and a transaction value of 750 million [2] Capital Flow Analysis - The aquaculture sector saw a net outflow of 388 million from institutional investors, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 211 million [2] - Notable capital flows included: - Pangming Co., Ltd. had a net inflow of 6.53 million from institutional investors, while retail investors had a net outflow of 7.21 million [3] - Wens Foodstuff Group experienced a net outflow of 2.93 million from institutional investors, with a significant net inflow of 20.58 million from retail investors [3]

Core Viewpoint - The agricultural, animal husbandry, and fishery sector continues to show weakness, with the first agricultural ETF (159275) experiencing a decline of 1.5% by market close on October 20, 2023 [1][2] Market Performance - The agricultural ETF (159275) closed at 0.982, down 0.015 from the previous day, reflecting a 1.5% decrease [2] - Key stocks in the sector, including Haida Group, Juxing Agriculture, and Tianma Technology, saw significant declines, with Haida Group dropping over 6% and Juxing Agriculture falling over 4% [1][2] Industry Trends - The 14th World Pig Industry Expo opened on October 18, 2025, showcasing over 800 global enterprises and focusing on smart farming equipment and technology [1] - The Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Affairs, along with five other departments, issued guidelines to strengthen modern agricultural service centers, enhancing support for feed production and animal disease prevention [1] Regulatory Environment - From May to September 2023, multiple meetings were held regarding pig farming, with policies aimed at reducing production by 1 million heads by the end of the year [3] - The pig farming industry is entering a phase of capacity reduction, with a reported decrease of 50,000 breeding sows from July to August 2023 [3] Valuation Insights - The agricultural and fishery sector is currently at a relatively low valuation level, with the agricultural ETF's underlying index price-to-book ratio at 2.59, placing it in the 31.64 percentile over the past decade [3] - This suggests a favorable configuration opportunity for long-term investments in the sector [3] Future Outlook - The pig farming industry is expected to see a rise in price levels due to ongoing capacity reduction and regulatory policies [5] - The focus will be on improving quality and efficiency in the industry, with a gradual elimination of outdated production capacity [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the agricultural, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery industry [9][62]. Core Views - The swine sector is undergoing deepening regulation, with a focus on value reassessment opportunities. The report suggests that the price of pigs may face downward pressure in the short term due to increased market supply, but regulatory measures are expected to stabilize prices in the long run [1][16]. - The poultry sector is anticipated to improve, with data indicating a rise in the number of breeding stock and a shift towards self-breeding [2][27]. - The animal health sector is seeing a potential improvement in competitive dynamics, particularly with the progress of clinical trials for African swine fever vaccines, which could enhance market conditions [3][35]. - The pet economy is thriving, with domestic brands gaining strength and the market expected to continue its rapid growth [9][55]. Summary by Sections Swine - The swine industry is in a regulatory phase aimed at controlling prices through capacity reduction. The average price of pigs is reported at 11.02 yuan/kg, with a weekly decrease of 0.87 yuan/kg. The number of breeding sows is stable at 40.38 million heads [15][16]. - Recommended companies include Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs, with additional attention on Dekang Agriculture, Shennong Group, and Juxing Agriculture [1][16]. Poultry - The poultry sector shows signs of improvement, with a total of 80.33 thousand sets of breeding stock updated in the first three quarters of 2025. The report highlights a shift towards self-breeding, with self-bred stock accounting for 59% [2][27]. - Recommended companies in this sector are Shennong Development and Lihua Stock [2][27]. Animal Health - The competitive landscape in the animal health sector is expected to improve, supported by government initiatives to optimize the veterinary drug industry. The report notes that clinical trials for African swine fever vaccines are underway, which could lead to commercialization [3][35]. - Recommended companies include Kexin Biological and Ruipu Biological, with additional focus on Huisheng Biological, Zhongmu Biological, and others [3][35]. Planting - The report indicates a declining pig-to-grain price ratio, with the current ratio at 4.95. The prices of corn and soybean meal have shown slight fluctuations, with corn priced at 2181 yuan/ton [39][44]. - Companies to watch include Suqian Agricultural Development, Longping High-Tech, and Denghai Seeds [7][44]. Feed - Feed prices are experiencing fluctuations, with the price for fattening pig feed at 3.34 yuan/kg. The report notes a year-on-year increase in industrial feed production [45][46]. - Recommended companies include Haida Group and He Feng Shares [45][46]. Pets - The pet market is projected to reach 300.2 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 7.5%. The report highlights the increasing consumption per pet, with dogs averaging 2961 yuan and cats 2020 yuan annually [55][56]. - Recommended companies in the pet food sector include Guibao Pet, Zhongchong Shares, and Petty Shares, with Ruipu Biological in the pet medical sector [9][55].

Core Viewpoint - The livestock sector experienced a decline of 1.22% on October 20, with Juxing Agriculture leading the drop, while the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.63% and the Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.98% [1][2]. Livestock Sector Performance - Juxing Agriculture's stock closed at 18.47, down 4.15%, with a trading volume of 189,500 shares and a transaction value of 350 million yuan [2]. - Other notable declines included Muyuan Foods, down 2.25% to 49.48, and Shengnong Development, down 1.31% to 16.53 [2]. - In contrast, stocks like Luoniushan and *ST Tianshan saw slight increases of 1.96% and 1.23%, respectively [1]. Capital Flow Analysis - The livestock sector saw a net outflow of 243 million yuan from main funds, while retail investors contributed a net inflow of 209 million yuan [2][3]. - Notable net inflows from retail investors were observed in stocks like Zhengbang Technology and Huaying Agriculture, while main funds showed outflows in several stocks including Shengnong Development and *ST Tianshan [3].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the industry is "Strong Buy" for key companies such as Shengnong Development, Wens Foodstuffs, and Lihua Co., with expected significant growth in stock prices [2][31]. Core Insights - The white feather chicken sector is experiencing a tight supply of chicks, leading to a slight increase in chick prices, but overall profitability is declining due to rising costs and low prices for broilers [1][9]. - The yellow feather chicken market shows significant recovery in both volume and price, with major companies reporting improved profitability due to rising demand and lower production costs [1][21]. - The overall poultry industry is expected to see a tightening supply of parent stock, which will positively impact chick prices in the future [9][31]. Summary by Sections White Feather Chicken - Chick prices in September averaged 3.27 yuan per chick, down 8.3% year-on-year and 0.7% month-on-month [8]. - The average price for broilers was 6.99 yuan per kilogram, down 3.2% year-on-year and 2.4% month-on-month, leading to a loss of 1 yuan per chick for producers [9]. - The supply of parent stock is expected to tighten in the second half of 2025, impacting the availability of commercial broiler chicks in 2026 [9][31]. Yellow Feather Chicken - In September, the average price for fast-growing chickens was 5.41 yuan per jin, up 2.5% year-on-year and 6% month-on-month, indicating a recovery in prices [24]. - Major companies like Wens and Lihua reported increased sales volumes, with Wens selling 123 million broilers, a 4.8% increase year-on-year [21]. - The cost of raising yellow feather chickens has decreased, with Wens' cost dropping to 5.6 yuan per jin, setting the stage for improved profitability in the fourth quarter [25][31]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on the white chicken breeding sector, highlighting Shengnong Development as a key player due to its cost improvements [31]. - For yellow feather chickens, Lihua Co. and Dekang Agriculture are recommended as they are well-positioned to benefit from the expected price recovery and improved market conditions [31].

Investment Rating - The report suggests a cautious outlook for the agricultural sector, particularly in livestock and feed industries, with a focus on identifying quality companies for investment opportunities [3][4][5][6]. Core Insights - The agricultural sector, particularly the livestock segment, is experiencing significant price fluctuations and profitability challenges, with a recommendation to focus on low-cost, high-quality enterprises [3][4][5][6]. - The report highlights the potential for recovery in the beef and dairy markets as seasonal demand increases, while also noting the ongoing pressures in the pig farming sector due to price declines [3][4][5][6]. - The planting industry is facing short-term supply and demand pressures, but there is potential for improvement if crop yields decrease significantly [6][49]. Summary by Sections Swine Farming - Current pig prices are in a downward trend, with the average weight of pigs at 128.25 kg, indicating high inventory levels despite price drops [3][22]. - The report anticipates continued increases in pig output in the coming months, with limited seasonal accumulation space, suggesting further price declines [3][22]. - Long-term prospects remain positive for leading companies in the sector, with recommendations to focus on low-cost producers like Muyuan Foods and Wens Foodstuffs [3][23]. Poultry Farming - The poultry sector is stabilizing, with yellow feathered chicken prices showing resilience due to improved downstream demand and supply contraction [4][36]. - The report notes that while white feathered chicken prices are under pressure, overall profitability in poultry farming is expected to improve with a recovery in consumer demand [4][38]. Livestock - Beef prices are expected to rise as the consumption season approaches, while dairy cow inventory trends are decreasing [5][42]. - The report indicates that the beef and dairy sectors are currently facing losses, but a recovery is anticipated as demand increases and supply contracts [5][43]. Planting Industry - The planting sector is experiencing price volatility due to new corn harvests and ongoing uncertainties regarding soybean imports [6][48]. - The report emphasizes the importance of improving grain yields and suggests that a significant reduction in crop production could enhance the sector's outlook [6][49]. Feed and Aquaculture - Feed prices have stabilized, with no significant changes reported in the prices of various feed types [6][62]. - The aquaculture sector is showing positive trends, with certain fish prices increasing, indicating a potential recovery in this segment [6][62].

Investment Rating - Maintain "Add" rating for the agricultural sector [5] Core Views - The first pet Double Eleven sales report has been released, indicating potential catalysts for the sector [1][12] - The trend of domestic substitution and premiumization in the pet food market remains strong, with most top brands being domestic [2][13] - The current valuation of pig farming is relatively low, with opportunities in low-cost pig farming companies [3][15] - The poultry market shows mixed signals, with white feather chicken prices declining while yellow feather chicken prices are increasing [15][30] - The commercialization of genetically modified varieties is expected to enhance growth potential in the agricultural sector [15] Summary by Sections Pet Industry - The top ten brands in the pet food sector are predominantly domestic, with high-end brands like Xianlang and Fregate leading the sales [2][13] - The Double Eleven event is ongoing, with expectations for new product launches and sales data to be closely monitored [14] Pig Farming - The national price for lean pigs is 10.98 yuan/kg, down 3.6% from last week [3][16] - The average wholesale price of pork is 18.03 yuan/kg, down 2.4% [16][24] - Self-breeding pig farming shows a loss of 244.7 yuan per head, indicating a decrease in profitability [20][21] Poultry Farming - The price of white feather chickens is 6.87 yuan/kg, down 0.1%, while chicken product prices average 8.6 yuan/kg, down 0.6% [15][34] - The price of meat chicken chicks has increased by 2.2% to 3.29 yuan each [15][30] - Yellow feather chicken prices have shown a 1.9% increase, suggesting seasonal price elasticity opportunities [15][40] Agricultural Products - The approval of genetically modified varieties is set to enter commercial sales, with potential for growth in the sector [15] - The fluctuation in agricultural product prices is expected to continue, with leading feed companies likely to replace smaller competitors [15][49] Commodity Prices - Domestic corn prices have decreased by 2.0% to 2263.14 yuan/ton [50] - Soybean meal prices have dropped by 0.7% to 2993.43 yuan/ton [68] - The price of imported fish meal has decreased by 3.7% to 13067.39 yuan/ton [80]