Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the building materials industry [1] Core Views - The report anticipates significant growth in revenue and profit for fiberglass in Q4 2025, while traditional building materials face performance pressure [1] - The overall outlook for the cement industry indicates continued price and profit stabilization, with domestic pressures expected to persist [4][7] - The glass industry is projected to experience ongoing revenue and profit pressure, particularly in the float glass segment due to weak downstream demand [14][20] - The fiberglass sector is expected to see robust growth driven by increased demand for raw yarn and high-end fabrics [28] Summary by Sections Cement - Q4 2025 is expected to see domestic cement performance under pressure, while overseas markets may perform better. The average national cement price is projected at 357 RMB per ton, down 16% year-on-year [7] - The report notes that the cement industry is experiencing a bottoming out phase, with a year-on-year production decline of 7% from January to November 2025 [7] - Non-operating projects may impact profits, with companies accelerating capacity replacement and asset disposals [4][7] Glass - The float glass industry is expected to remain under pressure, with high inventory levels and ongoing losses. The average price for 5mm float glass is projected at 62 RMB per box in Q4 2025, down 17% year-on-year [14] - The photovoltaic glass segment is also expected to face significant revenue and profit pressure due to weak domestic installation demand, with a projected average price of 12.3 RMB per square meter in Q4 2025 [20] Fiberglass - The fiberglass sector is projected to see continued high growth in revenue and profit, with domestic net demand reaching 5.48 million tons, a 19% year-on-year increase [28] - The average price for mainstream products is expected to be 3,603 RMB per ton in 2025, with a slight decrease in Q4 [28] - High-end electronic fabric prices are expected to rise, benefiting companies with a first-mover advantage [28] Renovation Materials - The renovation materials sector is expected to face continued pressure, with a year-on-year decline in housing starts, completions, and sales area [4] - Companies are exploring new business channels to maintain resilience in performance [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [4]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.10 to 4.95 billion yuan in 2025, marking a turnaround from losses [10]. - The fourth quarter of 2025 is projected to see a net profit of 1.59 to 2.44 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year turnaround and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 63.6% to 151.0% [10]. - The company is accelerating its global seat production, with expected revenue from seat business exceeding 5 billion yuan in 2025, showing a year-on-year growth of over 60% [10]. - The company has a total order value of 1,057 to 1,104 billion yuan, which could potentially yield annual revenues of 176 to 184 billion yuan if all orders are produced in the same year [10]. Financial Forecasts - Revenue projections for the company are as follows: - 2024: 22,255 million yuan - 2025: 22,950 million yuan - 2026: 26,450 million yuan - 2027: 30,950 million yuan - The growth rates for these years are projected at 3.2%, 3.1%, 15.3%, and 17.0% respectively [3][11]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders is forecasted to be: - 2024: -567 million yuan - 2025: 471 million yuan - 2026: 869 million yuan - 2027: 1,179 million yuan - The corresponding growth rates are -378.0%, 183.1%, 84.6%, and 35.6% [3][11]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to be: - 2024: -0.45 yuan - 2025: 0.37 yuan - 2026: 0.68 yuan - 2027: 0.93 yuan [3][11]. Strategic Developments - The company is integrating its European operations to reduce costs and improve profitability, particularly through the consolidation with Grammer [10]. - The company aims to become a global leader in smart cockpits by expanding its product offerings, including smart seats, audio headrests, and vehicle refrigerators [10]. - The company has set ambitious revenue and profit targets for its seat division, with goals of 50 billion yuan in revenue and 1.5 billion yuan in net profit for 2025 [10].

继峰股份（603997.SH）系列点评二十三 2025Q4 业绩超预期 座椅全球化加速 glmszqdatemark 风险提示：乘用车销量不及预期；整合不及预期；客户拓展不及预期等。 [盈利预测与财务指标 Table_Forcast] | 项目/年度 | 2024A | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入（百万元） | 22,255 | 22,950 | 26,450 | 30,950 | | 增长率（%） | 3.2 | 3.1 | 15.3 | 17.0 | | 归属母公司股东净利润（百万元） | -567 | 471 | 869 | 1,179 | | 增长率（%） | -378.0 | 183.1 | 84.6 | 35.6 | | 每股收益（元） | -0.45 | 0.37 | 0.68 | 0.93 | | PE | / | 39 | 21 | 16 | | PB | 3.9 | 3.4 | 2.9 | 2.5 | | 执业证书： S0590525110023 | | --- | | 邮箱： cuiyan@ ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive investment rating for the fiber optic sector, indicating a favorable outlook for companies involved in this industry [4]. Core Insights - The fiber optic industry is entering a demand upcycle driven by AI data center construction, leading to a supply-demand imbalance and increased prices for fiber optic products [10][14]. - Major companies like Corning have secured significant contracts, such as a $6 billion order from Meta for fiber optic cables, highlighting the growing demand in the sector [29]. - The report emphasizes the importance of high-speed networking equipment, particularly in AI applications, which require advanced fiber optic solutions to meet performance standards [3][38]. Summary by Sections 1. Fiber Optic Demand Surge - The fiber optic and cable industry is experiencing a new development phase with tight market supply and increased demand due to AI data center construction [14]. - The supply side has faced years of capacity clearing, while the demand side is driven by the construction of AI data centers, leading to a significant increase in fiber optic demand [10][15]. 2. Market Review - The communication sector has shown strong performance, with the fiber optic segment outperforming other areas [18][20]. - The fiber optic index has seen a notable increase, reflecting the sector's robust growth compared to broader market indices [20]. 3. Industry News - Meta's capital expenditure for 2026 is projected at $135 billion, indicating strong investment in technology and infrastructure [27]. - Corning reported record sales and earnings for 2025, with expectations for continued growth in 2026 [28]. 4. Company News - Companies like Hengtong Optic-Electric and Yangtze Optical Fibre have reported significant profit increases, with Hengtong's net profit expected to grow by 77.39% to 112.87% in 2025 [30][31]. - Other firms, such as Shijia Photon, anticipate substantial profit growth, indicating a positive trend across the industry [32]. 5. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on companies within the fiber optic supply chain, such as Yangtze Optical Fibre and Hengtong Optic-Electric, as well as those in the liquid cooling sector [38]. - The ongoing demand from AI applications is expected to drive further price increases in fiber optics, making it a key area for investment [38].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a recommendation rating for the RoboX industry, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in this sector [1]. Core Insights - RoboX is approaching a critical point of industrialization, transitioning from technology validation to large-scale deployment, driven by supportive policies, increasing supply of key components, and strong demand for intelligent driving solutions [7][19]. - The report highlights three main applications of RoboX: Robotaxi, Robovan, and Robotruck, each with distinct market dynamics and growth potential [10][19]. Summary by Sections 1. Investment Focus: RoboX Accelerating Towards Industrialization - RoboX encompasses various forms of autonomous driving applications, including Robotaxi, Robovan, and Robotruck, designed for different transportation scenarios [10]. - The report emphasizes the modular design of RoboX, allowing for adaptability across various transport needs [10]. 2. Robotaxi: Scaling Point Evident, Fully Autonomous Commercialization Gradually Landing - Demand Side: Robotaxi can significantly reduce operational costs, with projected costs of $0.2 per kilometer by 2027, a 50% reduction compared to traditional taxi services [21]. - Supply Side: Continuous reduction in hardware costs is facilitating the scaling of Robotaxi applications, with the sixth-generation vehicle costs dropping by 60% compared to previous models [35]. - Policy Side: The gradual implementation of fully autonomous commercial operations is supported by clear regulations regarding accident liability [21][15]. 3. Robovan: Strong Demand for Unmanned Delivery, Cost Advantages Driven by Core Component Price Reductions - Demand Side: There is a strong need for unmanned delivery solutions in the last-mile logistics sector, covering key application scenarios such as e-commerce and fresh food delivery [3]. - Supply Side: The cost of core components is decreasing, enhancing the price competitiveness of unmanned delivery vehicles [3]. - Policy Side: Continuous opening of road rights and pilot projects is accelerating the deployment of unmanned delivery vehicles [3]. 4. Robotruck: Transitioning from Closed Scenarios to Mainline Logistics, Cross-Province Testing Implemented - Demand Side: Robotruck applications are expected to reach a market scale of hundreds of billions, focusing on stable freight demand in complex environments [4]. - Supply Side: Successful implementation of L4 in closed scenarios is validating the operational capabilities of Robotrucks [4]. - Policy Side: National support is clear, but local policies are cautiously opening up due to the high risks associated with heavy-duty trucks [4]. 5. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests that companies involved in RoboX commercialization, such as WeRide, Cao Cao Mobility, and XPeng Motors, will directly benefit from the scaling of RoboX applications [19]. - It also recommends focusing on intelligent component manufacturers like Horizon Robotics and Desay SV, which are expected to show performance elasticity [19].

债券策略周报 20260202 2 月债券投资策略 glmszqdatemark 债市观点及组合策略推荐 2026 年 02 月 02 日 债券择券思路及个券关注 综合来说，有四种择券思路：1.如果想参与高频交易，可以关注 TL 和利率稍高的 次活跃券 25T2；2.赔率角度，超长债可以关注 25T3；3.长端国开如果换券至 250220 后，建议关注 250215；4.中端利率关注 240208，250203，210205， 210215 等。 国债期货方面 [Table_Author] 相关研究 本公司具备证券投资咨询业务资格，请务必阅读最后一页免责声明 证券研究报告 1 | 1 债市策略总结 3 | | --- | | 2 债市行情及指标跟踪分析 6 | | 2.1 债市周度回顾 6 | | 2.2 机构持债成本跟踪 7 | | 2.3 国债期货多空比 7 | | 2.4 利率预测模型对债市稍乐观 8 | | 2.5 大类资产比较来看，债券估值不贵 8 | | 3 债券组合配置及个券选择思路 10 | | 3.1 2 月债市策略 10 | | 3.2 债券择券思路 13 | | 4 国债期货 21 | ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information about the report industry investment rating is provided in the content. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - This week, the U.S. Treasury yields showed a pattern of long - end rising and short - end falling, with the yield curve becoming steeper. The market still bets on a possible easing cycle later this year, driving down short - term interest rates, while long - term inflation and term premium expectations are under pressure due to uncertainties in fiscal and trade policies, budget deficits, and potential threats to the Fed's independence [1][12]. - The Fed maintained the federal funds rate target range at 3.50%–3.75% as expected in the January FOMC meeting. The Fed revised up its outlook on the U.S. economy, believing that economic growth momentum has strengthened, the labor market has shown signs of stabilization, and inflation remains high but has not deteriorated further [2][12]. - Trump nominated Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chair. Warsh's past stance was hawkish, but he has shown signs of turning dovish recently. His future policy stance will be an important observation indicator for the market [2][13]. 3. Summary According to the Directory 3.1 U.S. Treasury Yield Review This Week 3.1.1 Warsh's Nomination and the Steepening of U.S. Treasury Yields - This week (January 23 - January 30, 2026), the changes in U.S. Treasury yields were as follows: 1 - month (-6bp, 3.72%), 1 - year (-5bp, 3.48%), 2 - year (-8bp, 3.52%), 5 - year (-5bp, 3.79%), 10 - year (+2bp, 4.26%), 30 - year (+5bp, 4.87%). The yield curve became steeper [1][12]. - The Fed maintained the federal funds rate target range at 3.50%–3.75% in the January FOMC meeting. Waller and Milan voted against, advocating a 25bp rate cut. The Fed revised up its outlook on the U.S. economy [2][12]. - Trump nominated Kevin Warsh as the next Fed Chair. Warsh defeated other candidates. His past stance was hawkish, but he has shown dovish signs recently [2][13]. 3.1.2 This Week's U.S. Treasury Auctions - On January 26, a $69 billion 2 - year U.S. Treasury bill auction was held. The winning yield was 3.580%, the bid - to - cover ratio was 2.75 times, and the tail was - 1.375 [18]. - On January 27, a $70 billion 5 - year U.S. Treasury bill auction was held. The winning yield was 3.823%, the bid - to - cover ratio was 2.34 times, and the tail was 0.300 [18]. - On January 29, a $44 billion 7 - year U.S. Treasury bill auction was held. The winning yield was 4.018%, the bid - to - cover ratio was 2.45 times, and the tail was 0.175 [19]. 3.2 U.S. Macroeconomic Indicator Comments - The U.S. PPI in December had a monthly环比 increase of 0.5%, much higher than the market expectation of 0.2%, and a year - on - year increase of 3%, indicating persistent inflation risks. The U.S. consumer confidence index in January dropped 9.7 points to 84.5, lower than the forecast of 90.6, hitting the lowest level since May 2014, reflecting consumers' increased concerns about the economic outlook [3][27]. - The Fed maintained the federal funds rate in the 3.5% - 3.75% range, pausing the easing cycle after three consecutive rate cuts. This decision reflects the Fed's recognition of the current economic resilience and its difficult balance between high inflation and a weak labor market [3][28]. - The number of initial jobless claims in the week ending January 24 decreased to 209,000, slightly lower than the previous week's revised figure of 210,000 and slightly higher than the market expectation of 206,000. The number of continued claims decreased to 1.827 million, the lowest since September 2024, showing a mild and stable labor market [3][28]. 3.3 Comments on Major Asset Classes - **Bonds**: German bond yields fell across the board, and Japanese bond yields fluctuated slightly overall. The decline in German bond yields was due to the market's expectation of the ECB maintaining or relaxing monetary policy. The movement of Japanese bond yields was affected by the slowdown in inflation and the Bank of Japan's cautious policy stance [30]. - **Equities**: Global equity markets were significantly differentiated, with Asian markets performing strongly. The top three gainers were the Korea Composite Index (+4.70%), the Hang Seng Index (+2.38%), and the India Sensex30 (+0.90%). The top three losers were the Vietnam VN30 (-2.31%), the German DAX (-1.45%), and the Nikkei 225 (-0.97%) [31]. - **Commodities**: Bitcoin, LME aluminum, and the hog index were under pressure. The top three gainers were Brent crude oil (+7.30%), London silver (+4.23%), and LME copper (+3.48%). The top three losers were Bitcoin (-5.97%), LME aluminum (-2.05%), and the hog index (-1.36%) [32]. - **Foreign Exchange**: The Japanese yen, Swiss franc, and South Korean won strengthened, while the U.S. dollar and some Asian currencies declined. The top three gainers were the Japanese yen (+2.99%), the Swiss franc (+2.60%), and the South Korean won (+1.78%). The top three losers were the Indian rupee (-0.58%), the Hong Kong dollar (-0.37%), and the U.S. dollar (-0.24%) [33]. 3.4 Market Tracking - The report provides multiple charts showing the changes in bond yields, stock indices, commodity prices, and foreign exchange rates of major global economies this week, as well as the latest economic data panels of the United States, Japan, and the Eurozone [35][38][41][43][46][53][58].

执业证书：S0590525110033 邮箱：lvwei_yj@glms.com.cn 技术与商业收敛的核心是可控性与可结算性：未来关注点或将从"提供好用的 agent"过渡到"能够让企业可衡量、可治理、可收费"的层级。衡量成本从带宽 延迟转向有效执行和治理成本，这直接导致互联网的价值密度重新分配，将收益 更多导向能够衡量、控制与计费的层级，而不是简单内容或入口。AI Agent 的发 展将驱动传统的计价方式从"流量"转向"单位执行量计价、安全治理计价和资 源供给计价"。在 Agent 时代，能够实现付费的关键机制包括： 可执行能力付费：即按智能体执行行为、推理调用量等计费； 计算机行业事件点评 Clawdbot 系列深度总起篇：AI"杀手级"应用的雏形 glmszqdatemark 2026 年 02 月 02 日 [Table_Author] 分析师：吕伟 资源使用付费：按算力、带宽、存储等实体资源计费； 安全与治理付费：面向企业安全、合规审计、策略控制等计费； 授权与访问付费：内容或服务提供方针对 agent 的访问授权付费； 结果/转化付费：基于智能体执行任务后的结果完成付费或分成。 Agent 时代 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the computer industry is maintained as "Recommended" [8] Core Insights - The computer sector's fund holdings in Q4 2025 accounted for approximately 2.34% of total fund holdings, showing a slight decrease from previous quarters, indicating a historical low. The focus remains on leading companies in AI applications and computing power, with expectations for increased holdings as national industrial policies support the AI sector [4][21] - Recent developments in the industry include significant financing rounds and advancements in AI chip technology, highlighting the ongoing growth and innovation within the sector [22][23][25] Summary by Sections 1. Q4 2025 Holdings Analysis - The proportion of computer sector holdings in funds decreased slightly to 2.34%, down from 2.51% in Q3 2024 [11] - The number of computer companies in the top ten holdings decreased to 138 from 171 in the previous quarter, indicating a consolidation in holdings [14] - The top ten companies by fund holdings in Q4 2025 included iFlytek, Kingsoft Office, Hikvision, Inspur Information, and others, with notable changes in rankings compared to Q3 2025 [17] 2. Industry News - StepFun completed a B+ round financing exceeding 5 billion yuan, setting a record for single financing in the domestic large model sector [22] - Microsoft launched the second-generation AI chip Maia 200, which improves inference efficiency by 30% compared to its predecessor [23] - Alibaba's Pingtouge introduced the high-end AI chip "Zhenwu 810E," achieving full self-research in both hardware and software [25] 3. Company News - Inspur Information's chairman and vice president plan to reduce their holdings by a total of 30,000 shares, representing 0.002% of the total share capital [26] - Tianyang Technology's controlling shareholder plans to reduce holdings by up to 14.5 million shares, accounting for 3% of the total share capital [27] - Daily Interaction's controlling shareholder announced a plan to reduce holdings by up to 371,500 shares [29] 4. Market Review - During the week of January 26-30, the CSI 300 index rose by 0.08%, while the computer sector index fell by 4.47%. The top gainers included Wangsu Science and Technology and Youke Technology, while the biggest losers were Chuangzhong Technology and China Greatwall [30][37]

软通动力（301236.SZ）公司事件点评 全栈智能开启龙头 AI 时代发展新篇章 glmszqdatemark 2026 年 02 月 02 日 [Table_Author] 分析师：吕伟 分析师：郭新宇 执业证书：S0590525110033 执业证书：S0590525110034 邮箱：lvwei_yj@glms.com.cn 邮箱：guoxinyu@glms.com.cn 软通计算机以"AI+"推进场景落地，在党政、金融等国产替代领域市场份额居第 一梯队：终端产品中标中国联通、某省公安厅等项目，完成 2025 全国两会信创 办公用机供应；企业级产品则中标中国移动 AI 设备集采、福建省农信鲲鹏服务器 采购等项目，持续拓展市场覆盖。 展望业务发展方向，公司以京津冀智造基地为基石，构筑了"智算中心+OS+服 务器"三大自主支柱产品体系。通过推出"天元智算调度平台"、基于开源鸿蒙和 开源欧拉的自有操作系统发行版（软通天鸿、软通天鹤），以及全线智算硬件产品， 为客户提供一站式 AI 算力基础设施，确保企业智能化转型的安全感与自主权。 2）软通天璇 MaaS 平台：AI 时代重要的"AI Factory"。公司 ...