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2026年公募REITs市场2月半月报:市场缩量回调,商业不动产再添四单-20260224
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2026-02-24 13:05
证券研究报告 市场缩量回调,商业不动产再添四单 ——2026年公募REITs市场2月半月报 | 证券分析师:彭文玉 | | A0230517080001 | | --- | --- | --- | | 朱敏 | | A0230524050004 | | 任奕璇 | | A0230525050002 | | 研究支持: | 陈榕杰 | A0230125080001 | | 联系人: | 陈榕杰 | A0230125080001 | 2026.02.24 摘要 www.swsresearch.com 2 ◼ 节前REITs市场交投缩量回调,能源类领涨、交通季节性修复。2月上半月,REITs市场交投清淡,中证REITs全 收益收跌0.5%,日均换手率回落至近半年谷底。分板块来看,"统一电力市场建设"政策催化叠加开年首只能 源REIT上市高涨,带动能源板块领涨(+1.29%);春节出行需求推动交通类季节性修复(+0.24%),二者成 为唯二收涨的资产类型;公用事业指数回调最深(-1.13%),其余板块跌幅均在1%以内。个券方面,中外运 仓储REIT领涨(+3.71%),汇添富上海地产REIT受扩募公告提振次之(+3. ...
公牛集团(603195):主业有望稳健修复+国际化加速,重视底部布局价值:公牛集团(603195):
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2026-02-24 12:22
市公司 游戏 公司品 报告原因: 有新的信息需要补充 2026 年 02 月 24 日 市场数据· 收盘价 (元) 联系人 庞盈盈 A0230522060003 pangyy@swsresearch.com | 收盘价(元) 43.49 | | --- | | 一年内最高/最低(元) 78.14/40.80 | | 市净率 5.0 | | 股息率%(分红/股价) 5.52 | | 78,311 流通 A 股市值 (百万元) | | ┣证指数/深证成指 | | 注:"股息率"以最近一年已公布分红计算 | | 基础数据: | 2025年09月30日 | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产 (元) | 8.66 | | 资产负债率% | 26.34 | | 总股本/流通 A 股 (百万) | 1,808/1,801 | | 流通 B 股/H 股 (百万) | - / - | -年内股价与大盛对比走势: 相关研究 证券分析师 屠亦婷 A0230512080003 tuvt@swsresearch.com 庞盈盈 A0230522060003 pangyy@swsresearch.com 请务必仔细阅读正文之后 ...
——煤炭行业周报(2026.2.7-2026.2.13):产地供给恢复缓慢、进口预计收缩,看好煤价继续上涨-20260224
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2026-02-24 12:05
2026 年 02 月 24 日 版费 行业 相关研究 近券研究报 证券分析师 严天鹏 A0230524090004 yantp@swsresearch.com 闫海 A0230519010004 yanhai@swsresearch.com 施佳瑜 A0230521040004 shijy@swsresearch.com 煤炭/ 煤炭开采 研究支持 施佳瑜 A0230521040004 shijy@swsresearch.com 联系人 施佳瑜 A0230521040004 shijy@swsresearch.com 产地供给恢复缓慢、进口 缩,看好煤价继续上 -煤炭行业周报(2026.2.7-2026.2.13) 本期投资后了 ● 动力煤方面,截至 2 月 13 日,据中国煤炭市场网,秦皇岛港口 Q4500、Q5000、 Q5500 动力煤现货价收报 556、638、718 元/吨,环比上涨 23、25、23 元/吨。供 给端,据中国煤炭市场网,环渤海四港区本周日均调入量 165.76 万吨,环比上周增加 7.2 万吨,增幅 4.54%,同比增加 6.57%。需求端,据中国煤炭市场网,环渤海四港区 本周日 ...
煤炭行业周报(2026.2.7-2026.2.13):产地供给恢复缓慢、进口预计收缩,看好煤价继续上涨-20260224
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2026-02-24 10:54
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the coal industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector compared to the overall market performance [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights a slow recovery in domestic coal supply and an expected reduction in imports, which is anticipated to support continued increases in coal prices [1]. - As of February 13, 2026, the spot prices for thermal coal at Qinhuangdao port showed increases, with Q4500, Q5000, and Q5500 grades rising by 23, 25, and 23 RMB/ton respectively [1]. - The report notes that the average daily coal inflow to the four ports in the Bohai Rim increased by 4.54% week-on-week, while the outflow rose by 14.42% [1]. - The report suggests that the current tight supply conditions, coupled with increased demand from downstream sectors, will likely sustain coal prices in the near term [1]. Summary by Sections Recent Industry Policies and Dynamics - The State Council issued guidelines on improving the national unified electricity market system, aiming for significant market participation by 2030 and full establishment by 2035 [8]. - Safety production measures in coal mines are being emphasized, with a focus on intelligent operations and strict enforcement of safety regulations [8]. Price Trends - Domestic thermal coal prices remained stable, with specific grades reporting no change in price [9][11]. - International thermal coal prices showed slight increases, with Indonesian coal prices rising by 1.2% [10]. Inventory and Supply - The Bohai Rim ports reported a decrease in coal inventory, with a total of 24.15 million tons as of February 14, 2026, down 1.96% from the previous week [21]. - The report indicates that the number of vessels anchored at the Bohai Rim ports decreased, reflecting tighter supply conditions [21]. Freight Rates - Domestic coastal freight rates decreased by 2.90%, while international freight rates showed mixed trends [28]. Company Valuation - The report includes a valuation table for key companies in the coal sector, highlighting their stock prices, market capitalizations, and earnings projections [33].
海外创新产品周报20260224:商品相关产品发行较多-20260224
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2026-02-24 10:46
商品相关产品发行较多 -海外创新产品周报 20260224 相关研究 证券分析师 沈思逸 A0230521070001 shensy@swsresearch.com 邓虎 A0230520070003 denghu@swsresearch.com 联系人 沈思逸 A0230521070001 shensy@swsresearch.com 由万宏源研究微信服务号 2026 年 02 月 24 日 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 载 9T3 美国 ETF 创新产品:商品相关产品发行较多。上两周美国共 45 只新发产品,共 16 只单 ● 股票杠杆反向产品,CLO 产品也密集发行。商品类 ETF 也是近期发行的重点,Global X 2 月 10 日发行商品 ETF,产品通过 Wealthspot 的模型,使用宏观、趋势等量化数据来 构建组合: Simplify 的 CTA 商品期货指数 ETF . 是 iMGP DBi Managed Futures Strategy ETF 的低费率版本,希望通过互换协议复制对冲基金中 CTA 策略的表现。 美国 ETF 资金流向:资金流入较为平稳。过去一周中,美国 ...
公牛集团(603195):主业有望稳健修复+国际化加速,重视底部布局价值
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2026-02-24 10:44
上 市 公 司 公 司 研 究 / 公 司 点 评 证 券 研 究 报 告 市场数据: 2026 年 02 月 24 日 收盘价(元) 43.49 | 一年内最高/最低(元) | 78.14/40.80 | | --- | --- | | 市净率 | 5.0 | | 股息率%(分红/股价) | 5.52 | | 流通 A 股市值(百万元) | 78,311 | | 上证指数/深证成指 4,117.41/14,291.57 | | | 注:"股息率"以最近一年已公布分红计算 | | | 基础数据: | 2025 年 09 月 30 日 | | --- | --- | | 每股净资产(元) | 8.66 | | 资产负债率% | 26.34 | | 总股本/流通 A 股(百万) | 1,808/1,801 | | 流通 B 股/H 股(百万) | -/- | 一年内股价与大盘对比走势: -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 02-24 03-24 04-24 05-24 06-24 07-24 08-24 09-24 10-24 11-24 12-24 01-24 02-24 公牛集团 沪深 ...
海外创新产品周报:商品相关产品发行较多-20260224
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2026-02-24 08:44
2026 年 02 月 24 日 商品相关产品发行较多 ——海外创新产品周报 20260224 相关研究 证券分析师 沈思逸 A0230521070001 shensy@swsresearch.com 邓虎 A0230520070003 denghu@swsresearch.com 联系人 沈思逸 A0230521070001 shensy@swsresearch.com 权 益 量 化 研 究 证 券 研 究 报 告 请务必仔细阅读正文之后的各项信息披露与声明 本研究报告仅通过邮件提供给 博时基金 博时基金管理有限公司(researchreport@bosera.com) 使用。1 ETP 研 究 - | 目录 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 1. | 美国 | ETF | 创新产品:商品相关产品发行较多 4 | | 2. 美国 | | ETF | 动态 5 | | 2.1 | 美国 ETF | | 资金:资金流入较为平稳 5 | | 2.2 | 美国 ETF | | 表现:能源板块表现领先 7 | | | | 3.近期美国普通公募基金资金流向 | 8 | | | | ...
——金属&新材料行业周报20260216-20260220:避险情绪升级,贵金属价格强势-20260224
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2026-02-24 07:42
2026 年 02 月 24 日 相关研究 证券分析师 郭中伟 A0230524120004 quozw@swsresearch.com 马焰明 A0230523090003 maym@swsresearch.com 陈松涛 A0230523090002 chenst@swsresearch.com 马昕晔 A0230511090002 maxy@swsresearch.com 联系人 郭中耀 A0230124070003 quozy@swsresearch.com 避险情绪升级,贵金属价格强势 金属&新材料行业周报 20260216-20260220 本期投资提示: 我研究报 行业点评 1. 一周行情回顾 据 iFind,总体看,2 月 13 日环比上周,上证指数上涨 0.41%,深证成指上涨 1.39%, 沪深 300 上涨 0.36%,有色金属(申万)指数上涨 1.70%,跑赢沪深 300 指数 1.34 个百 分点;2026 年有色金属(申万)指数上涨 14.07%,跑赢沪深 300 指数 13.41 个百分点。 资料来源:iFind,申万宏源研究 (截至2月 13 日) 20% 15% 10% 5% ...
《化工周报 26/2/9-26/2/13》:春晚机器人大放异彩,美国关税下调利好出口链,化工春旺行情将至-20260224
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2026-02-24 06:59
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Optimistic" rating for the chemical industry [3][4]. Core Insights - The macroeconomic outlook for the chemical industry indicates a stable increase in oil demand due to global economic improvement and tariff adjustments, with Brent oil prices expected to remain in the range of $60-75 per barrel [3][4]. - The report highlights a potential recovery in the export chain due to the reduction of tariffs on Chinese products, which is expected to boost the chemical sector's performance [3][4]. - The report suggests that the chemical industry is at a cyclical turning point, with demand expected to rise as downstream operations resume post-holiday [3][4]. Summary by Relevant Sections Macro Economic Analysis - Oil supply is constrained due to OPEC+ production delays and peak shale oil output, while demand is stabilizing with improved global economic conditions [3][4]. - Coal prices are expected to stabilize at a long-term bottom, and natural gas costs may decrease as the U.S. accelerates its export facility construction [3][4]. Industry Dynamics - The report notes significant advancements in robotics showcased during the Spring Festival, indicating a key commercialization year for robotics in 2026, with related materials expected to see increased demand [3][4]. - The chemical sector is advised to focus on investment opportunities in the textile chain, agricultural chemicals, and overseas real estate chains, with specific companies highlighted for potential growth [3][4]. Price Trends - Recent data shows a decrease in oil prices and an increase in coal prices, with the overall industrial PPI showing a slight decline year-on-year but an increase month-on-month [6][9]. - Specific chemical product prices, such as PTA and MEG, have shown mixed trends, with PTA prices slightly increasing while MEG prices have decreased [9][10]. Company Valuations - The report includes a valuation table for key companies in the agricultural chemicals and chemical fertilizer sectors, indicating growth in net profits and maintaining a positive outlook for several firms [15].
国防军工行业双周报(2026年第7-8周):基本面持续改善,继续推荐商业航天、两机等板块-20260224
Shenwan Hongyuan Securities· 2026-02-24 06:24
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the defense and military industry, indicating a positive outlook compared to the overall market performance [4][28]. Core Insights - The defense industry is expected to see continuous improvement in fundamentals and orders, driven by the steady advancement of the "14th Five-Year Plan" and increased military spending intentions from the US and Europe due to recent geopolitical events [4]. - The report highlights that the military industry is entering a new cycle of quality improvement and growth, with expectations for enhanced delivery and performance recovery in the first half of 2026 [4]. - Key sectors to focus on include commercial aerospace, the dual-engine industry (gas turbines and commercial engines), and controllable nuclear fusion [4]. - The report emphasizes the importance of domestic demand growth and technological advancements in driving investment opportunities within the military sector [4]. Market Performance - Last week, the Shenwan Defense and Military Index rose by 2.17%, outperforming the Shanghai Composite Index, which increased by 0.41% [5]. - The top five performing stocks in the defense sector included Yingliu Co. (up 24.87%), TeFa Information (up 22.73%), and China Power (up 18.32%) [12]. - Conversely, the bottom five performers included Shenjian Co. (down 15.22%) and Aerospace Engineering (down 10.61%) [13]. Valuation Changes - The current PE-TTM for the Shenwan military sector is 97.40, indicating it is at a historically high level, with a valuation percentile of 75.55% since January 2014 [20]. - The report notes a slight differentiation in valuations among sub-sectors, with aerospace and aviation equipment showing relatively high PE valuations since 2020 [20]. Key Investment Targets - Recommended stocks for domestic demand include AVIC Shenyang Aircraft (中航沈飞), Feilihua (菲利华), and Huazhong CNC (华秦科技) [4]. - For external growth opportunities, stocks such as Ruichuang Micro-Nano (睿创微纳) and Aerospace Electronics (航天电子) are highlighted [4].