第 5 周成交震荡，房企降杠杆有利未来高质量发展 [Table_Industry] 房地产 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | [Table_Invest] 评级： | 增持 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 涂力磊(分析师) | 021-23185710 | tulilei@gtht.com | S0880525040101 | | | | 谢皓宇(分析师) | 010-83939826 | xiehaoyu@gtht.com | S0880518010002 | | | | 谢盐(分析师) | 021-23185696 | xieyan@gtht.com | S0880525040098 | | | 本报告导读： 上周（1 月 23 日-29 日）地产成交涨跌互现。上市公司业绩逐步进入披露期，近年 来房企持续降杠杆有助于未来高质量发展。维持行业"增持"评级。 投资要点： [Table_Report] 相关报告 房地产《商业不动产 REITs，资产出表再添工具》 2026.01.31 房地产《核心销售趋于均衡，投资开 ...

业绩超预期，重拾强劲动能 新易盛(300502) ——2025 业绩预告点评 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | [Table_Invest] 评级： | 增持 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 余伟民(分析师) | 010-50949926 | yuweimin@gtht.com | S0880525040028 | | | | 王彦龙(分析师) | 010-83939775 | wangyanlong@gtht.com | S0880519100003 | [Table_Target] 目标价格： | 508.80 | | 黎明聪(分析师) | 0755-23976500 | limingcong@gtht.com | S0880523080008 | | | | 桂海晟(研究助理) | 021-38031384 | guihaisheng@gtht.com | S0880124070058 | | | | | | | | Table_CurPrice] [当前价格： | 419.49 | 本报告导读： 上调 20 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the steel industry [5] Core Viewpoints - Demand is expected to gradually stabilize, while supply-side constraints are anticipated to continue, leading to a potential recovery in the steel industry's fundamentals [3][5] - The industry has been experiencing prolonged micro-profit conditions, and market-driven supply adjustments have begun to emerge [3][5] - The report highlights that approximately 60% of steel companies are currently operating at a loss, indicating ongoing supply-side challenges [5] Summary by Sections Steel - Steel prices have decreased week-on-week, with the Shanghai rebar price dropping by 20 CNY/ton to 3240 CNY/ton, a decline of 0.61% [8] - The apparent consumption of five major steel products was 8.0174 million tons, down 0.96% week-on-week but up 28.96% year-on-year [21] - The total inventory of steel reached 12.7851 million tons, increasing by 1.70% week-on-week, maintaining a low level [5][12] - The operating rate of blast furnaces among 247 steel mills rose to 79%, an increase of 0.32 percentage points from the previous week [28] - The average gross profit for rebar was 196.9 CNY/ton, down 11.7 CNY/ton from the previous week, while hot-rolled coil profit increased by 2.3 CNY/ton to 46.9 CNY/ton [39] Raw Materials - Iron ore spot prices decreased, with the price for PB powder (61.5% iron content) at 792 CNY/ton, down 9 CNY/ton [46] - The port inventory of iron ore rose to 17.022 million tons, an increase of 1.53% [50] - The total shipment volume of major iron ore producers increased, with Brazil's shipment at 4.852 million tons, up 1.06% week-on-week [51] Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with leading technology and product structures, such as Baosteel and Hualing Steel, as well as low-cost firms like Fangda Special Steel and New Steel [5] - It also highlights the potential of upstream resource companies benefiting from demand recovery trends, recommending Hebei Resources and Erdos among others [5]

Trading Activity - The average daily trading amount on the North Exchange increased by 8.83% to 28.738 billion yuan[7] - The weekly turnover rate for the North Exchange was 27.94%[7] - The North Exchange's trading amount accounted for 0.94% of the total market, remaining stable compared to the previous week[11] Index Performance - The North 50 Index declined by 3.59% during the week[16] - Other major indices also experienced declines, with the ChiNext Index down by 0.91% and the Shanghai Composite Index up by 0.10%[16] Sector Analysis - Most sectors on the North Exchange had negative median returns, with the petroleum and petrochemical sector leading with a median increase of 33.99%[21] - The power equipment sector had the largest median decline at -8.07%[21] - The computer industry had the highest median P/E ratio at 139.33 times, indicating high valuation compared to other sectors[21] New Listings - One new stock was offered and two new stocks were listed on the North Exchange during the week[44] - The first-day average price increase for the newly listed stocks was 105.63% for Agricultural University Technology and 186.93% for Meidel[44] New Third Board Trading - The trading scale of the New Third Board decreased, with the innovative tier's trading amount down by 12.08% to 0.965 billion yuan, while the basic tier increased by 22.05% to 0.372 billion yuan[36]

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating to the robotics industry [4]. Core Insights - Recent technological breakthroughs in humanoid robotics have been significant, with Figure releasing the Helix 02 model and Tesla announcing plans for mass production of the Optimus V3 by the end of 2026 [2][4]. - The report emphasizes the acceleration of industry implementation, highlighting the establishment of domestic testing platforms and the introduction of unique robot models [2]. Summary by Sections Industry News and Company Developments - Figure has launched the Helix 02 model, achieving a breakthrough in full-body autonomous control, capable of performing 61 continuous actions and various precise operations [6]. - Tesla's Optimus V3 is set to debut in Q1 2026, with plans for mass production by the end of the year, supported by a $20 billion investment for production line upgrades [8]. - Richtech Robotics is collaborating with Microsoft to enhance the ADAM robot into a new intelligent agent, integrating computer vision and voice interaction capabilities [8]. - The first humanoid robot testing platform in Beijing has been established, with an annual production capacity of 5,000 units [11]. - The world's first "panda humanoid robot" named J-PANDA was launched in Chengdu, showcasing advanced movement capabilities [14]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on both complete robot manufacturers and core component suppliers, including: 1. Actuators and motors: Recommended companies include Zhaowei Electromechanical, with related companies being Weichuang Electric, Boke Co., and Mingzhi Electric. 2. Gear reducers: Related companies include Lide Harmony, Landai Technology, and Ruide Intelligent Drive. 3. Screw components: Recommended company is Hengli Hydraulic, with related companies being Zhejiang Rongtai and Best. 4. Equipment: Recommended companies include Tsugami Machine Tool China and Bozhong Precision [16][18]. - The robotics sector saw a trading volume of 810.3 billion yuan, accounting for approximately 5.3% of total A-share trading volume, indicating a slight decrease [16].

跨春节展望：供需主逻辑，何时避"长"锋 本报告导读： "非典型"的超长供需紧平衡下，关注 2 月超长地方债发行放量。 投资要点： | [Table_Authors] | 唐元懋(分析师) | | --- | --- | | | 0755-23976753 | | | tangyuanmao@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880524040002 | | | 杜润琛(分析师) | | | 021-38031034 | | | durunchen@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880525110004 | | | 孙越(分析师) | | | 021-38031033 | | | sunyue6@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880525080004 | [Table_Report] 相关报告 | 动量因子反转，重视估值防御 2026.01.31 | | --- | | 地方债利差持续收窄，超长端收窄更为明显 | | 2026.01.28 | | 银行还"缺负债"吗：来自存单和票据的印证 | | 2026.01.27 | | 银行年初的"补仓"进行到哪一阶段了 | | 20 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the industry [4]. Core Insights - The civil aviation sector is expected to see record-high passenger transport volumes during the Spring Festival [2]. - The report highlights optimism for travel-related sectors, including hotels, duty-free shops, and scenic spots, due to the upcoming holiday and improved vacation policies [4]. - The report suggests selecting short-term outperformers in the gold sector as the recent surge in gold prices may be ending [4]. - AI applications and undervalued new consumption sectors are also recommended for investment [4]. Summary by Relevant Sections Industry Overview - The report notes a significant increase in domestic flight ticket bookings, with over 7.16 million tickets reserved as of January 29, 2026, reflecting a year-on-year growth of approximately 16% [4]. - International flight bookings also show slight growth, with over 1.72 million tickets reserved [4]. Retail Sector Insights - The report cites a Bain & Company report indicating a 3% to 5% contraction in China's personal luxury goods market in 2025, although this represents a significant improvement compared to the previous year's decline [4]. Company Announcements - Cai Bai Co. expects a net profit of 1.06 billion to 1.23 billion RMB for 2025, a year-on-year increase of 47.43% to 71.07% [4]. - Lai Shen Tong Ling anticipates a turnaround with a projected net profit of 58 million RMB for 2025, compared to a loss of 184 million RMB in the previous year [4]. - Yu Garden Co. expects a net loss of approximately 4.8 billion RMB for 2025, a significant decline from a profit of 125 million RMB in the previous year [4]. - Cuihua Jewelry forecasts a net profit of 21 million to 31 million RMB for 2025, a decrease of 85.69% to 90.31% compared to the previous year [4]. Key Stock Recommendations - The report recommends several stocks across various sectors, including: - Hotels: Huazhu Group, ShouLai Hotel, JinJiang Hotels [4]. - Duty-free: China Duty Free Group [4]. - Scenic spots: Emei Mountain A, Jiuhua Tourism, Huangshan Tourism [4]. - Gold sector: Cai Bai Co., Luk Fook Holdings, Lao Pu Gold [4]. - AI and new consumption: Kangnait Optical, Huatu Shanding, Tianli International Holdings [4].

Investment Rating - The report assigns a rating of "Accumulate" for the company [5][12]. Core Views - The company is a leading domestic producer of wood-based activated carbon and is expanding its business into the Americas [2][20]. - The company has a robust production capacity, with annual production and sales scaling from 500 tons at inception to over 140,000 tons currently, maintaining the top position in the industry for several consecutive years [20]. - The company is actively pursuing a project to build a production line for 2,000 tons of porous carbon, which is expected to become a new growth driver [12][20]. - The acquisition of a 49% stake in Clarimex from Norit for $25.56 million is aimed at establishing a foothold in the American market, further solidifying the company's global market position [12][20]. Financial Summary - The projected total revenue for 2023 is 2,015 million yuan, with a forecasted growth to 2,346 million yuan by 2027, reflecting a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 9.9% [4][13]. - The net profit attributable to the parent company is expected to increase from 237 million yuan in 2023 to 317 million yuan in 2027, with a notable increase of 19.9% in 2024 [4][13]. - The earnings per share (EPS) are projected to be 0.65 yuan in 2023, increasing to 0.87 yuan by 2027 [4][18]. Target Price - The target price for the company's stock is set at 19.20 yuan, based on a valuation of 24 times the expected earnings for 2026, which corresponds to a price-to-book (PB) ratio of 1.87 [5][18]. Industry Position - The company is recognized as the largest and most comprehensive producer of wood-based activated carbon in China, with a well-established production and sales network across key timber regions [20][21]. - The company has a diverse product range, including over a hundred specifications of activated carbon products, catering to various industries such as food, pharmaceuticals, and environmental protection [22][23]. - The company has a strong focus on innovation, holding numerous patents and being recognized as a national high-tech enterprise, which enhances its competitive edge in the market [21][22].

股 票 研 究 股票研究 /[Table_Date] 2026.02.01 Robotaxi 实现无人运营，Optimus 量产加速布局 特斯拉(TSLA.O) ——特斯拉 FY25Q4 业绩点评 | [姓名table_Authors] | 电话 | 邮箱 | 登记编号 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 秦和平(分析师) | 0755-23976666 | qinheping@gtht.com | S0880523110003 | | 龚浩(研究助理) | 021-23183306 | gonghao2@gtht.com | S0880125090016 | 本报告导读： 储能拉动业绩亮点，汽车毛利率持续回升。Robotaxi 无安全员运营启动，商业化进 程加速。 Optimus 量产布局提速，2026 年 CapEx 大幅增长。 投资要点： | 财务摘要(百万美元) | 2024 | 2025 | 2026E | 2027E | 2028E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业总收入 | 97,690 | 94,827 | 106 ...

Market Overview - The credit bond market has transitioned from a "continuous recovery" phase to a "consolidation" phase, with marginal momentum weakening[7] - The overall yield of credit bonds has shown fluctuations, supported by configuration demand, leading to a flattening of the credit bond curve[7] - The net financing for major credit bond varieties was 1,497.8 billion CNY, remaining stable compared to the previous week[11] Investment Strategy - The investment strategy suggests a return to a focus on coupon income, emphasizing 2-3 year maturity products while ensuring manageable credit quality[8] - For long-term funds with excess allocation needs, attention should be given to 5-year and longer maturities during market fluctuations[8] Market Dynamics - In the secondary market, total transactions decreased to 8,813.3 billion CNY, down 498.47 billion CNY from the previous week[14] - The 3-year AAA medium-term note yield decreased by 0.05 basis points to 1.85%, while the 3-year AA+ and AA medium-term note yields fell by 2.05 and 4.05 basis points, respectively[14] Credit Rating Adjustments - Seven issuers had their ratings upgraded, including Shaoxing City Shangyu Water Group and Wuxi Huaguang Environmental Energy Group[21] - No new defaults were reported, but one bond, H20 Yuzhou 1, was extended, with a balance of 846 million CNY[23] Risk Factors - Potential risks include unexpected changes in fundamentals, monetary policy not meeting expectations, and possible data inaccuracies[23]