1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided in the report regarding the industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - In recent years, the risks of small and medium - sized banks have gradually increased due to economic transformation, regional development differences, and bank risk events. The central government has emphasized the timely disposal of risks in small and medium - sized financial institutions [1][10]. - The business share and profitability of small and medium - sized banks have declined. Their asset quality has also deteriorated during the rapid expansion period, and they are now gradually digesting historical legacy issues [2][33]. - The operations of urban and rural commercial banks across the country have shown differentiation. Underdeveloped regions generally have higher asset - to - total ratios, and there are differences in asset quality, profitability, and business growth rates among different regions [3]. - The core path for resolving the risks of small and medium - sized banks is the reform of the rural credit system, and the reform process of provincial rural credit unions has accelerated significantly in recent years [4]. - In the disposal of major risk events of small and medium - sized banks, a large amount of public funds are often consumed, and the restoration of the subject's qualifications and regional credit usually takes a long time [5]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Small and Medium - Sized Bank Risk Resolution Background - **Macro - background**: Since 2010, with China's economic transformation, the profitability of the real economy has declined, and the default rate of small and medium - sized enterprises has increased, leading to a rise in the non - performing loan ratio of small and medium - sized banks from 2010 - 2020. After 2020, macro - factors have put pressure on the asset quality and operations of small and medium - sized banks. Regional economic development imbalances and the limited risk - control capabilities of small and medium - sized banks, along with events such as the Baoshang Bank incident in 2019, have attracted more attention to the risk resolution of small and medium - sized banks [1][10]. - **High concentration of rural commercial bank credit risks**: In 2023, rural financial institutions accounted for 95% of the 3936 banking financial institutions rated by the central bank, and high - risk rural financial institutions accounted for 96% of the total high - risk bank institutions [15]. - **Non - redemption of Tier 2 and perpetual bonds concentrated in urban and rural commercial banks**: All cases of non - redemption of Tier 2 and perpetual bonds occurred in urban and rural commercial banks, especially in small and medium - sized banks in Liaoning, Tianjin, Shandong and other places. Since 2023, the non - redemption ratio has continued to decline, which may indicate an improvement in the capital adequacy of small and medium - sized banks in recent years [17]. 3.2 Operating Conditions of Urban and Rural Commercial Banks - **Overview of the fundamentals of urban and rural commercial banks**: Before 2016, small and medium - sized banks rapidly expanded their scale, but since 2019, their market share has continued to decline. During the rapid expansion period, their asset quality deteriorated, and since 2020, they have gradually digested historical legacy issues. Their profitability has also decreased significantly, and there are differences in capital adequacy among different types of banks [28][33][35]. - **Operating conditions of urban and rural commercial banks in different regions**: The market status of urban and rural commercial banks shows a two - tiered differentiation. Underdeveloped regions and Jiangsu, Zhejiang, and Anhui have a high asset - to - total ratio, while developed regions have a low ratio. There are also differences in asset quality, profitability, and business growth rates among different regions. For example, in 2024, the asset quality of urban and rural commercial banks in the three northeastern provinces and the northwest was generally poor, while that in Jiangsu, Zhejiang, Anhui, Beijing, and Shanghai was relatively good [3][38][41]. 3.3 Progress and Plans for the Reform of Provincial Rural Credit Unions in Different Regions - **The reform of the rural credit system is the core path for resolving the risks of small and medium - sized banks**: The reform of provincial rural credit unions is an important part of risk resolution for small and medium - sized banks. Currently, there are two main reform models: the joint - bank model and the unified - legal - person model. The reform process has accelerated significantly in recent years [4][59][62]. - **Cases of rural credit system reform**: Examples include the Zhejiang Rural Commercial United Bank (joint - bank model), Liaoning Rural Commercial Bank (unified - legal - person model), and Henan Rural Commercial Bank (a combination of joint - bank and unified - legal - person models) [64][66]. 3.4 Cases of Risk Disposal of Small and Medium - Sized Banks - **Sources of funds for risk disposal of small and medium - sized banks**: The order of fund use in the financial risk disposal process is the shareholders and actual controllers of the disposed financial institution, market - based funds, the deposit insurance fund, local public resources, and the financial stability protection fund. In recent years, the deposit insurance fund has been widely used in major risk resolution of small and medium - sized banks, and as of July 2025, a total of 530 billion yuan of special bonds for risk resolution of small and medium - sized banks have been issued [69][70][72]. - **Cases of risk disposal of small and medium - sized banks**: After the risk exposure of Baoshang Bank in 2019, risks of small and medium - sized banks in various places broke out concentratedly. Taking Liaoning Rural Commercial Bank and Jinzhou Bank as examples, the causes of risks, disposal plans, and related risks are analyzed [76].

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Maintain Buy" [6] Core Views - The company has demonstrated resilience in its waterproof business despite a challenging environment in the domestic real estate and infrastructure sectors, with a focus on long-term development and maintaining operational quality [1][2] - The company has adjusted its profit forecasts downward due to the lack of significant improvement in terminal demand for plastic pipes, projecting net profits of 890 million, 990 million, and 1.09 billion for 2025-2027, respectively [4] Financial Performance Summary - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 2.078 billion, a year-on-year decline of 11.33%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 271 million, down 20.25% [1] - The company's cash flow remains strong, with a net operating cash flow of 581 million, a year-on-year increase of 99.1%, primarily due to reduced raw material purchases [4] - The overall gross margin for H1 2025 was 40.5%, a decrease of 1.61 percentage points year-on-year, with PVC products showing a gross margin increase of 2.55 percentage points to 23.54% [3] Product Performance Summary - The PPR series products generated revenue of 933 million, down 13.04% year-on-year, while PE series products saw revenue of 411 million, down 13.28% [2] - The waterproof business showed steady growth, with an increase in service users and matching rates, while the water purification business is still undergoing adjustments [2] Cash Flow and Dividend Summary - The company completed a semi-annual dividend of 157 million, maintaining a payout ratio of 58%, consistent with the previous year's mid-term dividend operations [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - The company demonstrated resilient operations in Q2 2025, with revenue growth of 1.87% year-on-year, while net profit decreased by 11.38% due to increased sales and R&D expense ratios [2][4] - The company is committed to advancing its overseas localization strategy, achieving steady growth in revenue from Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, and overseas markets [2][3] - The introduction of the Falcon III flexible intelligent delivery system has significantly improved production efficiency, with a 25% increase in daily sample processing capacity compared to Falcon II [4] Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company reported revenue of 1.04 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 4.36%, and a net profit of 78.73 million yuan, up 1.03% [1] - The gross profit margin for Q2 2025 was 42.03%, a decrease of 0.72 percentage points year-on-year, while the sales expense ratio increased by 1.73 percentage points to 20.32% [2] - The company achieved sequencing platform service revenue of 520 million yuan in H1 2025, with a gross margin of 31.66% [2] Business Segments - The company generated 520 million yuan from sequencing platform services, 354 million yuan from life sciences basic research services, and 139 million yuan from medical research and technology services in H1 2025 [2] - The revenue from the mainland reached 507 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.22%, while revenue from Hong Kong, Macau, Taiwan, and overseas markets was 533 million yuan, up 6.48% [3] Future Outlook - The company forecasts revenues of 2.308 billion yuan, 2.571 billion yuan, and 2.871 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 221 million yuan, 262 million yuan, and 306 million yuan [4] - The expected growth rates for revenue are 9.3%, 11.4%, and 11.7% for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively [4]

Group 1: Core Insights - The report emphasizes the significant profit contribution of state-owned enterprises in the construction and mineral resources sector, indicating a potential for value reassessment [5] - Key recommendations include companies with high resource contribution and untapped performance potential, such as China Metallurgical Group A (PB 0.64X) and China Metallurgical Group H (PB 0.41X) [5] - Other highlighted companies include China Railway Group A (PB 0.46X) and China Railway Group H (PB 0.30X, 25E dividend yield 4.9%), which have abundant copper and molybdenum resources [5] Group 2: Industry Performance - The report notes that the construction and mineral resources sector is poised for a reassessment of value, driven by the performance potential of untapped resources [5] - The analysis suggests that companies involved in gold business, like Shanghai Construction Group (PB 0.69X), may benefit from rising gold prices [5] - The report indicates that the overall performance of the construction and mineral resources sector is critical for the broader economic landscape, highlighting its importance in the investment strategy [5]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Overweight" rating for the REITs sector, indicating a positive outlook for investment opportunities in the coming years [7]. Core Insights - The REITs market is expected to benefit from a low interest rate environment in 2025, with three main investment strategies suggested: focusing on policy-driven projects, selecting resilient assets, and monitoring the expansion of REITs [4]. - The report highlights a trend of performance divergence among various REIT sectors, emphasizing the importance of timing in investment decisions [1][4]. Summary by Sections Warehousing and Logistics - In Q2 2025, the average occupancy rate for warehousing logistics REITs was 94.3%, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 0.8 percentage points and a year-on-year increase of 4.4 percentage points [10]. - The average rental rate was 52.4 CNY/sqm/month, reflecting a competitive market where tenants are cautious about renewing leases [10][11]. Consumer Infrastructure - The average occupancy rate for consumer infrastructure REITs in Q2 2025 was 97.1%, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 0.9 percentage points, although it saw a year-on-year decline of 1.3 percentage points [14]. - The average rental rate was 217.9 CNY/sqm/month, showing a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 3.9% but a year-on-year increase of 5.0% [14][15]. Affordable Housing - The average occupancy rate for affordable housing REITs was 96.0% in Q2 2025, with a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1.0 percentage points and a year-on-year increase of 0.9 percentage points [20]. - The average rental rate was 54.0 CNY/sqm/month, indicating stability in rental income despite slight fluctuations [20]. Industrial Parks - The report notes a decline in both occupancy rates and rental income for industrial parks, driven by increased competition and economic pressures [2]. Highways - In Q2 2025, highway REITs experienced a seasonal decline in traffic volume, but year-on-year comparisons showed recovery, particularly in freight traffic which increased by 1.3% [3]. Energy and Environmental Protection - The performance of energy and environmental protection REITs was mixed, with wind power projects performing well while solar projects faced challenges due to decreased sunlight and increased competition [3].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The "relocated" deposits remain as deposits and do not reduce the allocation power in the bond market. Even if residents' deposits move to the stock market, they still exist in the form of margin deposits, so the overall bank deposits do not decrease, and the asset - side allocation power will not decline [1]. - Credit showed negative growth and relied on bills, indicating weak financing demand. Both corporate and household credit demand was weak in July, with high - frequency data showing a weakening in real - estate sales [2][9]. - Government bonds are still the main support for social financing. However, if there is no new fiscal budget, government bond supply may decrease year - on - year in the future, and social financing may face pressure again [3][4][14]. - The base effect pushed up the M1 growth rate, and non - bank deposits drove the M2 growth rate to rebound. As the government bond issuance pace slows down, fiscal deposits may decrease year - on - year, increasing market liquidity [5][20]. - The bond market may experience short - term or periodic fluctuations and is waiting for a breakthrough. As the commodity and stock markets cool down, the bond market is expected to oscillate in the short term, and interest rates may break through downward as the fundamentals change and the asset shortage evolves, more likely around or in the fourth quarter [6][23]. 3. Summary by Relevant Contents Credit Situation - In July, new credit was - 500 billion yuan, a year - on - year decrease of 310 billion yuan. Corporate long - term loans decreased year - on - year, short - term loans were flat compared with the previous year, and bill financing increased year - on - year. Household new long - term and short - term loans both decreased year - on - year, and high - frequency data showed weak real - estate sales and household credit demand [2][9]. Social Financing Situation - In July, new social financing was 1.16 trillion yuan, a year - on - year increase of 389.3 billion yuan, with a year - on - year growth rate of 9.0%. Government bonds were the main support, with an increase of 555.9 billion yuan year - on - year to 1.244 trillion yuan. Non - government bond social financing growth was weak, and if there is no new budget, government bond supply may decrease year - on - year in the future, putting pressure on social financing growth [3][4][14]. Monetary Supply Situation - In July, the M1 growth rate rebounded from 4.6% to 5.6% mainly due to the base effect, and there was no trend - like increase in the two - year compound growth rate. The M2 growth rate was 8.8%, a 0.5 - percentage - point increase from the previous month, mainly driven by the year - on - year increase in non - bank deposits. As the government bond issuance pace slows down, fiscal deposits may decrease year - on - year, increasing market liquidity [5][17][20]. Bond Market Outlook - The bond market may experience short - term or periodic fluctuations. As the commodity and stock markets cool down, the 10 - year and 30 - year treasury bonds are expected to oscillate in the short term. As the fundamentals change and the asset shortage evolves, interest rates may break through downward, more likely around or in the fourth quarter [6][23].

证券研究报告 | 固定收益定期 2025 08 14 年 月 日 可转债产业链大图谱 — — 2025 年 8月 分析师 杨业伟 分析师 王素芳 执业证书编号：S0680520050001 执业证书编号：S0680524060002 邮箱：yangyewei@gszq.com 邮箱：wangsufang@gszq.com 打造极致专业与效率 | 转债代码 | | 转债简称 | 正股简称 | | 所属行业 | 成交额 | | | 转债价格 | | 纯债溢价 | | 转股溢价 | 到期收益 | | | 剩余期限 | 转债余额 | | | 债7月涨跌 | | 股7月涨跌 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | | | （亿元） | | | （元） | 率（%） | | 率（%） | | 率（%） | | | （年） | （亿元） | | 幅（% ...

Group 1: Macro Insights - The credit data for July shows a rare negative turn, with new credit scale turning negative for the first time in 20 years, while social financing continues to grow under government bond support [4] - M1 growth has increased for two consecutive months, indicating faster fund activation in both resident and corporate sectors, particularly driven by a rise in resident demand [4] - The overall monetary policy is expected to remain loose, with potential for further rate cuts and reductions in reserve requirements due to economic downward pressure [4] Group 2: Company Insights - 卓胜微 (Zhuosheng Micro) - The company is advancing its chip project, with significant production capacity achieved in both 6-inch and 12-inch wafer production lines, indicating a strong position in the RF front-end market [8][9] - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 4.91 billion, 5.61 billion, and 6.67 billion CNY respectively, with corresponding net profits of 380 million, 860 million, and 1.29 billion CNY [9] Group 3: Company Insights - 万国黄金 (Wanguo Gold) - The company holds three significant mining assets, including the world-class Jinling Gold Mine, which is expected to contribute significantly to future revenue growth [10][12] - Revenue forecasts for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are projected at 3.49 billion, 4.77 billion, and 5.36 billion CNY, with net profits of 1.41 billion, 1.87 billion, and 2.18 billion CNY respectively [12] Group 4: Company Insights - 海能技术 (Haineng Technology) - The company reported a strong revenue growth of 34.9% year-on-year for H1 2025, reaching 140 million CNY, with a net profit increase of 139% [13] Group 5: Company Insights - 中科三环 (Zhongke Sanhuan) - The company achieved a net profit of 44 million CNY in H1 2025, marking a turnaround from losses, with a significant reduction in expense ratios contributing to improved profitability [14][15] - Future profit projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 170 million, 250 million, and 350 million CNY respectively [15] Group 6: Company Insights - 奥比中光 (Obi Zhongguang) - The company is focusing on the robotics sector, with a projected revenue growth of 65.9%, 57.6%, and 28.6% for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [16] Group 7: Company Insights - 鹏鼎控股 (Pengding Holdings) - The company reported a revenue of 16.38 billion CNY for H1 2025, a year-on-year increase of 24.8%, with a net profit growth of 57.2% [17][18] - Future revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are expected to be 41.2 billion, 48.3 billion, and 55.6 billion CNY respectively [18] Group 8: Company Insights - 甘源食品 (Ganyuan Food) - The company experienced a revenue decline of 9.3% year-on-year for H1 2025, with net profits down by 55.2%, indicating challenges in channel adjustments [20] Group 9: Company Insights - 361度 (361 Degrees) - The company achieved a revenue growth of 11% year-on-year for H1 2025, with a net profit increase of 8.6% [21][22] - Future profit projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are estimated at 1.261 billion, 1.420 billion, and 1.588 billion CNY respectively [22]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" [6] Core Views - The company reported a significant performance exceeding expectations in Q2 2025, with revenue of 16.38 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 24.8%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.23 billion yuan, up 57.2% year-on-year [1] - The growth in profit was driven by improvements in business structure, yield enhancement, and cost reduction [1] - The company is increasing its capital expenditure for AI PCB due to strong demand in AI servers, with plans to raise capital expenditure to over 30 billion New Taiwan dollars for 2025-2026 [10] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In H1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 16.38 billion yuan, a 24.8% increase year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.23 billion yuan, a 57.2% increase year-on-year [1] - Q2 2025 revenue was 8.29 billion yuan, up 28.7% year-on-year, with a net profit of 740 million yuan, reflecting a 159.5% year-on-year increase [1] Business Segments - The communication board business generated revenue of 10.27 billion yuan, a 17.6% increase year-on-year, maintaining a gross margin of 16.0% [2] - The consumer electronics and computer board business achieved revenue of 5.17 billion yuan, a 31.6% increase year-on-year, with a gross margin of 24.5% [2] - The automotive and server board business saw revenue of 810 million yuan, an 87.4% increase year-on-year, driven by new product certifications and collaborations in AI ASIC products [2] Market Position and Growth Drivers - The company holds over 30% market share in the FPC industry and is positioned to benefit from the growing demand for AI-related products, including AI glasses and foldable screens [3] - The global FPC market is projected to reach 15.62 billion USD by 2029, with a CAGR of 4.5% from 2024 to 2029 [3] - The company is enhancing its production capabilities for high-end HDI and SLP products to meet the increasing performance requirements of AI servers [4] Future Projections - Revenue projections for the company are 41.25 billion yuan in 2025, 48.34 billion yuan in 2026, and 55.58 billion yuan in 2027, with expected year-on-year growth rates of 17%, 17%, and 15% respectively [11] - Net profit projections are 4.5 billion yuan in 2025, 5.5 billion yuan in 2026, and 6.34 billion yuan in 2027, with year-on-year growth rates of 24%, 22%, and 15% respectively [11]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [5] Core Views - The company has shown impressive growth in its 2025 semi-annual report, with a revenue of 435 million yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 104.14%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 60 million yuan, up 212.77% year-on-year [1] - The company is focusing on the robotics sector, launching various series of depth cameras that are reliable, high-performance, and cost-effective, suitable for humanoid robots in complex environments [2] - The company is expected to experience significant growth, with projected revenues of 936 million yuan, 1.476 billion yuan, and 1.898 billion yuan for 2025E, 2026E, and 2027E respectively, reflecting year-on-year growth rates of 65.9%, 57.6%, and 28.6% [3] Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company achieved a sales expense ratio of 7.56%, a management expense ratio of 10.31%, and a research and development expense ratio of 20.94%, all showing a decline compared to the previous year [2] - The company’s net profit margin improved to 13.7%, indicating a turnaround from previous losses [2] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025E is 0.27 yuan, with a significant increase in net profit expected in the following years [4]