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行业点评:韩国“K-人形机器人联盟”成立,因克斯推出灵巧手EC-DexHand-5F
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-04-14 15:01
行业动态 (1)近日,韩国"K-人形机器人联盟"正式成立,该联盟集结了四十多家产学研机构,总投入或将超过 1 万亿韩元 (约 51.2 亿人民币)。 公司动态 (1)4 月 15 日,因克斯推出全球尺寸最小的 20 自由度灵巧手 EC-DexHand-5F,突破了体积-自由度-性能的"不可能 三角",其技术获得 Pi 团队高度关注; (2)近日,由越疆机器人参与牵头制定的国家标准《工业机器人 动态稳定性试验方法》正式发布,成为国际首个测 试工业机器人动态稳定性的方法标准; (3)近日,云鲸智能已完成由腾讯投资、北京机器人产业发展投资基金联合领投,科幻基金与明势创投跟投的 1 亿 美金融资,并正式启动 Pre-IPO 轮融资。 核心指标 4 月 14 日机器人板块持续反弹,无框电机、丝杠板块增幅靠前: 板块涨幅前三:无框电机(+3.32%)>丝杠(+2.34%)>设备(+1.98%)。 个股涨幅前三:步科股份(+7.36%)>福达股份(+6.27%)>蓝黛科技(+6.21%)。 投资建议 扫码获取更多服务 行业点评 行业动态 持续推荐高确定性和基本面扎实的公司。前期市场已调整较多,市场多家公司已经具备较高性价比 ...
行业培训框架:智能驾驶和人形机器人培训专题
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-04-14 12:46
2025/4/14 1 具身智能是汽车板块最强产业趋势。具身智能是AI最强应用,而智驾和人形机器人则是具身智能最重要两个方向。在电动化之后,智驾和人形 机器人为代表的具身智能赛道将重塑整个汽车产业链,成为汽车板块最强产业趋势。 智能驾驶:高阶智驾1-N,robotaxi 0-1,供应链芯片、激光雷达和清洗等增量赛道迎爆发式增长,整车格局迎变局。 1、高阶智驾:爆发式增长即将到来,整车赛道将加速出清。渗透率:智能驾驶25年开始正式步入爆发式增长阶段,预计25年达到15%+, YOY+200%,预计未来2-3年渗透率突破70%。格局:高阶智驾是整车环节格局变化的核心技术驱动因子。从商业模式看,Tier0.5模式在数据获 取、迭代能力和客户响应速度上劣于全栈自研,全栈自研模式领先优势有望扩大;20-40万价格带是目前整车环节格局最模糊的细分市场,该价 格带消费者对高阶智驾需求最敏感,高阶智驾将加速20-40万市场出清。 2、Robotaxi:0-1拐点出现,自运营叠加金三角的部署模式有望领先。Robotaxi是整车赛道格局变化的另外一个核心驱动因子,随着政策+技术+ 运营多重发力,2025年成本有望与网约车成本持平 ...
黑芝麻智能:国产智驾芯片新星,布局机器人“大小脑”-20250414
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-04-14 12:28
Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Overweight" rating to the company with a target price of HKD 19.6, based on a 14x price-to-sales (P/S) ratio for 2025 [3]. Core Insights - The smart driving SoC chip market is expected to reach a trillion scale, with domestic chip manufacturers emerging prominently. The market penetration for L2 and above passenger vehicles is projected to exceed 12 million units in 2024, with a penetration rate of 55.8%, and is expected to reach 93.5% in China by 2028 [1][42]. - The company is positioned with a dual-line layout of high-performance SoC and cross-domain SoC, focusing on both smart driving and robotics applications [1][16]. - The company has developed proprietary automotive-grade IP cores, enhancing technical flexibility and reducing costs associated with external suppliers [2]. Company Overview - The company is a leading supplier of automotive-grade smart driving chips, benefiting from the smart driving chip wave. It was established in 2016 and is set to be listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange on August 8, 2024, with an issue price of HKD 28 [13]. - The business structure includes high-performance SoC and cross-domain SoC, with the Huashan and Wudang series chips catering to L2 to L4 level smart driving and cross-domain computing needs [16][17]. Financial Analysis - The company forecasts revenues of RMB 8.86 billion, RMB 14.84 billion, and RMB 21.78 billion for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with a significant increase in revenue driven by the smart driving solutions [3][27]. - The revenue growth rate is expected to be 88.82% in 2023, 51.81% in 2024, and 86.76% in 2025, indicating a strong upward trend [7]. - The gross margin for smart driving solutions is projected to improve significantly, reaching 37.4% in 2024, up from 21.4% in 2023 [33]. Industry Insights - The smart driving SoC and humanoid robot markets are projected to reach a trillion scale, with domestic manufacturers gaining traction [1][51]. - The penetration rate of smart driving in China is expected to grow rapidly, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 33.8% from 2019 to 2023, outpacing the global growth rate of 28.5% [42][45]. - The ADAS technology is becoming standard in smart vehicles, with the SoC market expected to expand significantly as L2+ and higher-level smart driving technologies become more prevalent [49][50].
黑芝麻智能(02533):公司深度研究:国产智驾芯片新星,布局机器人“大小脑”
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-04-14 11:37
Company Overview - The report rates the company as "Buy" with a target price of HKD 19.6, based on a 14x price-to-sales (P/S) ratio for 2025 [3] - The company is a leading supplier of automotive-grade intelligent driving chips, benefiting from the wave of intelligent driving chip demand [13][27] - The company has launched the Huashan series (high-performance SoC) and the Wudang series (cross-domain SoC) to meet the needs of L2 to L4 level intelligent driving and cross-domain computing [16][19] Core Insights - The intelligent driving SoC chip market is expected to reach a trillion scale, with domestic chip manufacturers emerging [1] - The penetration rate of L2 and above passenger cars in China is projected to exceed 12 million units in 2024, with a penetration rate of 55.8%, and is expected to reach 93.5% by 2028 [1][42] - The company has developed self-researched automotive-grade IP cores, enhancing technical flexibility and reducing costs associated with external suppliers [2] Financial Performance - The company is set to go public on August 8, 2024, with an issuance price of HKD 28 and total fundraising of HKD 1.036 billion [3] - Revenue is projected to grow from RMB 312 million in 2023 to RMB 2.178 billion by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 86.76% from 2025 to 2026 [7][27] - The company achieved a net profit of RMB 313 million in 2024, recovering from a loss of RMB 4.855 billion in 2023 [7][38] Industry Insights - The intelligent driving market is experiencing rapid growth, with a compound annual growth rate of 33.8% in China from 2019 to 2023, outpacing the global growth rate of 28.5% [42] - The ADAS (Advanced Driver Assistance Systems) technology is becoming standard in intelligent vehicles, driving the expansion of the SoC market [49] - The domestic chip manufacturers are accelerating their rise against foreign competitors, with significant market share expected by 2028 [55][60]
行业周报:有色金属周报:关税冲击,关注铜锂铝超跌机会-20250414
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-04-14 11:36
本周行情综述 铜:供应端:本周进口铜精矿加工费跌至-30.89 美元/吨。据 SMM,周末铜价上涨带动持货商出货,截至周四,全国 主流地区铜库存连续六周下降,较年内高位回落 10.5 万吨,同比下降 13.8 万吨。冶炼端:据 SMM,卫星数据显示, 3 月全球铜冶炼活动降至今年最低,平均有 12.6%处于不活跃状态,高于 2 月份的 8.8%。消费端:据 SMM,本周铜线 缆企业开工率达 84.67%,环比、同比均增长。铜价波动刺激了积压需求释放,企业新订单增加,周末铜价上涨导致成 交转弱,部分客户仍观望。 铝:供应端,据 SMM 统计,国内铝棒两地库存方面,广东铝棒库存 13.61 万吨,无锡铝棒库存 3.72 万吨,合计 17.33 万吨,共计环比减少 0.45 万吨。成本端,据 SMM, 4 月 11 日佛山铝棒市场报 360/410,涨 60;无锡市场加工费报 400/450,涨 50;南昌地区加工费报 380/430,涨 30。SMM 预计后续加工费仍以偏弱运行为主。消费端,华峰铝业新 能源汽车用高端铝板带箔智能化建设项目近日正式开工,该项目规划建设年产 45 万吨生产线,主要用于新能源汽车、 燃 ...
锂电池硅负极深度:CVD硅碳重塑产业链,迈向动力场景0-1
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-04-14 11:35
Investment Rating - The report suggests focusing on investment opportunities in the silicon anode sector, particularly in the context of the increasing adoption of silicon anodes and the new processes that bring additional investment opportunities in the supply chain [2][6]. Core Viewpoints - The emergence of CVD silicon-carbon technology significantly accelerates the industrialization of silicon anodes, with expectations for increased penetration in mobile devices by 2025 and potential breakthroughs in power applications [2]. - The CVD method is becoming the mainstream process, replacing traditional ball milling methods, and reshaping the competitive landscape in the silicon anode market [2][24]. - The report highlights the cost reduction potential in the silicon anode production process, with expectations for prices to converge towards those of graphite anodes in the medium term [3][34]. Summary by Sections 1. Silicon Anodes: Current Applications and Future Potential - CVD silicon-carbon technology is accelerating the industrialization of silicon anodes, with significant improvements in performance metrics such as capacity and cycle life [2][24]. - The transition from ball milling to CVD allows for precise control of silicon particle size and uniform coating, enhancing the overall performance of silicon anodes [24][26]. - The report anticipates a market demand for silicon anodes to reach 45,000 tons globally by 2028, with significant contributions from mobile devices, electric vehicles, and solid-state batteries [4][38]. 2. Industry Chain: Development and Expansion - The report identifies a dual-path development for porous carbon materials, with both resin and biomass routes expected to play significant roles in the market [5]. - The silicon gas market is projected to expand significantly, with demand expected to reach 19,000 tons by 2028, driven by the growth of silicon-based anodes [5]. - New applications for binders and conductive agents, such as PAA and CNT, are opening up additional market opportunities [5]. 3. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies leading in the silicon anode space, including those involved in upstream materials like porous carbon and silicon gas [6]. - Key players highlighted include Purtai, Better Ray, Yuanli Co., and Shengquan Group, each with distinct advantages in their respective segments [6][30].
可转债周报:回归权益,挖掘结构性机会-20250414
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-04-14 11:23
可转债周报 固定收益组 分析师:尹睿哲(执业 S1130525030009) yinruizhe@gjzq.com.cn 分析师:李玲(执业 S1130525030012) liling3@gjzq.com.cn 回归权益,挖掘结构性机会 2025 年 04 月 14 日 核心观点 回归权益,挖掘结构性机会。上周在中美双方关税政策的反复冲击下,市场出现较大波动、呈现"V"型走势,周一转 债出现"双杀"行情、估值跌落至年内低点,而在后面三个交易日又快速进入"双击"行情、将估值拉升至年内高点, 周五虽然有所回落、但幅度仍然较小,经过上周的波动转债整体估值俨然来到年内次高点,但呈现一定分化,偏债品 种对前期"下修预期"的泡沫进行了充分挤出、估值处于年内中枢位置,尤其是大盘光伏转债、弱反弹后价格逐步走 低,临近年报季节、紧跟评级期,市场规避情绪明显;但弹性代表 TMT&汽车&消费等行业估值则逼近甚至超过年内高 点。就转债自身而言,近期呈现出以下特征:1)全市场估值水平再次回到历史中性偏高位置;2)以光伏大盘转债为 代表的部分偏债品种估值进一步走低。当前时点,短期两大负面因素评级调增与年报超预期风险仍未充分释放,估值 ...
量化观市:高波动环境下,如何在中小盘板块寻求确定性?
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-04-14 08:23
摘要 过去一周,国内主要市场指数中,上证 50、沪深 300、中证 1000、中证 500 指数均下跌。其中,上证 50、沪深 300、中证 500 和中证 1000 指数的涨跌幅分别为-1.6%、-2.87%、-4.52%和-5.5%。 过去一周,中国公布了 3 月的通胀数据以及金融数据。内需下游通胀情况有所改善,3 月 CPI 同比数据报-0.1%,较上 个月上行 0.6%。而上游通胀,受海外经济预期扰动,继续低位徘徊,3 月 PPI 同比报-2.5%,较上个月下行 0.3%。而 信贷水平方面,3 月社融存量同比在政策债券细项支持下,继续上行,报 8.4%,较上个月上行 0.2%;3 月 M1 同比也 继续上行,报 1.6%,较上个月上行 1.5%。国内整体通胀和信贷情况维持良性运行。而过去一周更多的扰动主要来源 于美国总统前期宣布的"对等关税"政策,市场处于对于今后国内出口增速的影响,市场出现了惶恐性下行。不过我 们能看到在本次市场波动中,政府快速响应,一方面"国家队"迅速进场维稳,中央汇金宣布增持 ETF 以及央行发声 表明必要时为中央汇金提供充足再贷款;另一方面,上调保险资金权益资产配置比例上限,提 ...
非银行金融行业研究:多家上市券商拟回购股份,进一步推动中长期资金入市
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-04-14 00:23
证券板块 政策层面形成"类平准基金机制+增持回购再贷款"工具组合拳,证券行业资本运作进入自我价值重估新阶段。上市 券商密集启动市场化回购:1)国泰海通发布公告称拟回购资金不低于人民币 10 亿元,不超过人民币 20 亿元;2)东 方证券公告筹划回购 2.5-5 亿元;3)国金证券拟回购资金总额不低于人民币 5,000 万元(含),不超过人民币 1 亿元 (含);4)财通证券董事长提议回购股份金额为 1.5 亿元-3 亿元;5)中泰证券董事长提议回购资金为 3 亿元-5 亿元。 投资建议:多家公司发布业绩预增公告,在市场交投延续活跃以及低基数效应影响下,券商 25Q1 经纪、自营业务向 好驱动业绩表现同比大幅提升。券商和多元板块建议关注四条主线:(1)四川双马:科技赛道占优+退出渠道改善,业 绩弹性可期。公司管理基金的已投项目——奕斯伟(半导体材料,2024/12/24 状态更新为已问询)、邦德激光(高端 装备,2024/1/3 进行上市辅导备案)、屹唐半导体(2025/3/13 证监会批复注册)、群核科技("杭州六小龙"之一, 2025/2/14 向港交所递交上市申请)、丽豪半导体(公司称拟最快 2025 年 ...
萤石网络:24年收入端增长稳健,25年经营弹性有望-20250414
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-04-14 00:23
业绩简评 2025 年 4 月 11 日,公司发布 24 年年报及 25 年一季报,24 全年实现营收 54.42 亿元,同比增长 12.41%;实现归母净利 润 5.04 亿元,同比下降 10.52%。24Q4 实现营收 14.79 亿 元,同比增长 11.05%;实现归母净利润 1.29 亿元,同比下 降 20.03%。25Q1 实现营收 13.80 亿元,同比增长 11.59%; 实现归母净利润 1.38 亿元,同比增长 10.42%。 业绩简评 盈利预测、估值与评级 预计公司 25~27 年营业收入为 67.9/81.5/96.2 亿元,同比增 长 24.8%/20.1%/18.0%;归母净利润为 7.0/8.7/10.9 亿元, 同比增长 39.0%/24.1%/25.4%,对应 41/33/26X PE,维持"买 入"评级。 风险提示 SHC 国内增长趋缓拖累云平台收入增长的风险;清洁机器人 销售进展不及预期的风险;行业竞争加剧影响利润率的风险。 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 900 1,000 24.00 28.00 32.00 36.00 40.00 44 ...