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地方政府及城投公司资产盘活案例研究:以福建省为例
Lian He Zi Xin· 2025-12-08 11:24
Group 1: Background and Motivation - Local government debt risks have intensified due to increasing fiscal imbalances, prompting the need to activate state-owned assets[4] - As of the end of 2024, China's state-owned assets total approximately 957.8 trillion yuan, highlighting the potential for asset activation to stabilize economic growth[6] - The central and local governments have emphasized the importance of activating existing assets to alleviate debt risks and enhance fiscal revenues[6] Group 2: Impact on Regional Development - In 2024, Chongqing activated assets worth 485.5 billion yuan, recovering 261 billion yuan, demonstrating the effectiveness of asset activation in generating cash flow[7] - Non-tax revenue in China is projected to grow by 25.4% in 2024, largely due to the activation of state-owned resources, contributing to 20.36% of the general public budget revenue[9] - The activation of idle assets can significantly enhance resource allocation efficiency, allowing for better utilization of land and infrastructure[14] Group 3: Effects on Urban Investment Companies - Urban investment companies can alleviate short-term debt pressures by selling non-core and idle assets, thereby optimizing their balance sheets[16] - The issuance of public REITs or asset-backed securities allows urban investment companies to broaden financing channels and reduce reliance on traditional financing methods[16] - Asset activation fosters the development of market-oriented operational capabilities, enabling urban investment companies to transition from financing to urban operation roles[17] Group 4: Case Studies in Fujian Province - Fujian Province employs restructuring and financing activation methods tailored to local fiscal conditions and resource endowments, exemplifying a "localized" approach[5] - Coastal cities like Fuzhou and Xiamen focus on upgrading low-efficiency industrial land through innovative financial instruments like REITs, enhancing land utilization[19] - Resource-rich mountainous cities like Longyan utilize resource certification methods to convert idle rural assets into tradable capital, balancing social and economic benefits[28]
地方政府与城投企业债务风险研究报告:江西篇
Lian He Zi Xin· 2025-12-08 11:05
联合资信 公用评级二部 |何泰|杜晗|霍聪聪 www.lhratings.com 研究报告 1 地方政府与城投企业债务风险研究报告-江西篇 江西省区位优越,自然资源和旅游资源丰富,形成了较为完善的陆、海、空综合交通运 输网络。2024 年,江西省经济总量居全国中游,人均 GDP 处全国中下游水平,一般公 共预算收入规模在全国排名处于中游水平,财政自给能力偏弱。受房地产市场低迷影响, 江西省政府性基金收入同比有所下降,上级补助收入对综合财力的贡献较大。2024 年 末,江西省整体债务负担处于全国中游水平。 从地市层面看,江西省下辖各地级市发展较不均衡,赣北地区经济发展水平总体领先, 以赣州为核心的赣南地区受益于政策支持,经济发展水平次之,赣西和赣东两地经济体 量相对较小,地区分化较为明显。江西省各地级市产业结构中第二产业和第三产业占比 较高,产业结构普遍呈现"三二一"的发展格局。2024 年,江西省各地级市一般公共预 算收入规模差异较大,南昌市一般公共预算收入远高于其余地级市,且财政自给率最高; 各地级市政府性基金收入整体较上年有所下降;各地级市获得的上级补助收入规模较大。 江西省各地级市政府债务余额均保持增长 ...
基于风险案例与退市新规视角:可转债风险重构与应对
Lian He Zi Xin· 2025-12-08 11:03
可转债风险重构与应对—基于风险案例 与退市新规视角 联合资信 工商评级二部 杨学慧 王阳 2024 年成为可转债市场的重要转折点,长期以来的零违约格局被打破;2024-2025 年,5 只转债相继发生实质 性违约,多行业评级下调事件频发,5 只转债随正股同步退市,信用风险集中凸显。可转债风险根植于"债性"与 "股性"的双重属性,核心源于主体资质短板与市场政策变化的叠加。经营端,受外部环境波动、周期行业错配、 并购商誉减值及公司治理缺陷等因素影响,经营承压;市场端,权益疲软削弱转股逻辑叠加退市新规收紧,弱资质 主体出清加速,信用风险与退市风险深度绑定。双重风险相互传导,需聚焦业绩亏损、小市值、财务瑕疵及治理缺 陷类主体,警惕违约与退市连锁反应。可转债风险处置呈现"常规化解-极端处置"的梯度路径体系,条款博弈为主 流常规路径,其成效取决于下修幅度、合规约束与市场信心维护的协同;提前赎回与引入战投依赖现金流储备或外 部资源注入;债务重组、破产清算及退市联动属极端情形,易引发显著损失或违约,路径选择本质是基本面、条款 设计与外部支持的综合权衡。展望未来,市场或将在 2027 年迎来转债集中到期高峰,转股比例下滑削弱转 ...
股权投资行业信用风险展望(2025年11月)
Lian He Zi Xin· 2025-12-04 11:18
股权投资行业信用风险展望(2025 年 11 月) 工商评级二部 丨 孔祥一 股权投资行业募资情况 股权投资行业投资情况 股权投资行业退出情况 股权投资行业信用风险展望丨 2026 摘要 公司邮箱:lianhe@lhratings.com 网址:www.lhratings.com 电话:010-85679696 传真:010-85679228 地址:北京市朝阳区建国门外大街 2 号中国人保财险大厦 17 层 www.lhratings.com 信用风险展望 0 2025 年以来,国家层面聚焦股权投资领域培育耐心资本、畅 通私募股权"募投管退"全流程、规范政府投资基金运作等 核心方向,出台了一系列举措。《中共中央关于制定国民经济 和社会发展第十五个五年规划的建议》围绕股权投资对现代 化产业体系的支撑作用深化聚焦,通过募资、投资、退出三 大维度构建政策闭环,为耐心资本壮大及创业投资高质量发 展铺就清晰路径。 2025 年前三季度,中国股权投资募资端和投资端均持续回 暖,完成募集基金数量和募资规模、投资案例数和投资金额 同比均有增长;退出端的下滑趋势较上半年有所收窄,在政 策鼓励引导下,并购类退出数量强势增长,IP ...
2025年前三季度有线电视行业运行分析
Lian He Zi Xin· 2025-12-04 11:08
Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the cable television industry Core Insights - The cable television industry is a crucial information infrastructure for the country and is under pressure from new media and internet competition, despite some user recovery due to policy interventions [2][14] - As of Q3 2025, the actual number of cable television users reached 207 million, showing a slight decline of 0.96% compared to the end of 2024, but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 0.49% [4][35] - The total revenue of the broadcasting and television service industry in the first three quarters of 2025 was 1,048.919 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 4.59% [4] Industry Operation Status - The broadcasting and television service industry saw total revenue of 1,048.919 billion yuan in the first three quarters of 2025, with actual revenue of 193.4598 billion yuan, up 4.31% year-on-year [4] - The revenue from broadcasting institutions was 446.904 billion yuan, up 6.73%, while revenue from online audio-visual service institutions was 602.015 billion yuan, up 3.05% [4][7] - The cable television network revenue has shown limited fluctuation, indicating a stable but pressured revenue stream [5] Competitive Landscape - The cable television industry faces significant user diversion due to the growth of new media, broadband networks, and mobile communications [11] - As of Q3 2025, the number of mobile internet users reached 1.269 billion, with video app monthly active users at 799 million, accounting for 62.96% of total internet users [11] - The short video sector has also seen explosive growth, with 1.129 billion monthly active users as of September 2025 [11] Policy Developments - In 2025, significant progress was made in hotel television governance and simplification of remote controls, which helped facilitate user recovery [16] - New standards for residential projects were implemented to ensure the inclusion of cable television systems, enhancing the infrastructure for broadcasting services [17] Company Performance - Among the eight sample companies, only three reported revenue growth: Jishi Media, Jiangsu Cable, and Huashu Media, with growth rates of 3.00%, 2.79%, and 0.92% respectively [18] - The remaining five companies experienced revenue declines, with Guizhou Network and Shaanxi Broadcasting facing the most significant drops of -27.63% and -22.16% [19] - Profitability varied, with Jiangsu Cable's profit increasing by 6.08%, while Huashu Media's profit decreased by 11.36% [24] Financial Health - The average debt-to-asset ratio for sample companies was 56.19%, with some companies exceeding 80%, indicating high leverage [28] - Cash flow from investment activities was generally negative, with several companies relying on external financing to meet their needs [32] Summary - The cable television industry is experiencing user recovery due to policy support, but it continues to face intense competition from new media and the internet [35] - Revenue growth is uneven among companies, with many facing losses and increasing debt levels, while the impact of 5G services on performance remains limited [35]
四川省发债城投企业财务表现观察:投融资结构优化,局部流动性压力仍存
Lian He Zi Xin· 2025-12-04 11:06
随着成渝地区双城经济圈建设持续推进,加之到期债务需要通过新增融资来维持流动性等因素, 近年来,四川省城投公司债务规模持续增长,但增速持续放缓。"一揽子化债方案"实施以来,四川省 城投公司债券发行及非标融资受限,相应新增融资主要向银行贷款转移,并通过银行贷款实现高息非 标债务置换,银行融资占比逐年提升,债券及其他融资合计占比逐年压降。但各区域债务结构出现分 化,不同地市再融资能力具有差异化表现;部分区域城投公司在偿债及流动性方面仍存在一定压力。 投融资结构优化,局部流动性压力仍存 ——四川省发债城投企业财务表现观察 联合资信 公用评级四部 |张丽斐 |刘凯元 2024 年以来,随着化债政策快速落地,四川省隐性债务有序化解,融资平台数量持续压降。通过 推动政府产业投资引导基金运作和盘活国有资产等市场化转型,城投公司投资结构持续调整。 城投公司投资端增速放缓,城建类投资受限,部分区域应收账款回款压力有待缓解。在财政收支 压力较大的背景下,城投企业除额度内置换债外难以获得大规模资金支持,财务基本面显著改善难度 仍大,未来经营性债务化解需依赖城投公司加快实质转型和提升自身造血能力,实现经济发展与化债 的新平衡。 www ...
浙江省发债城投企业财务表现观察:化债与发展并举,再融资能力强劲
Lian He Zi Xin· 2025-12-04 11:01
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Zhejiang Province has made phased achievements in debt resolution through multiple measures such as seeking superior funds, issuing special refinancing bonds, and controlling project investments. The province's 11 prefecture - level cities have formed a pattern of "full - scale promotion and gradient clearance" around debt reduction goals, with some regions achieving zero implicit debt and "dual zero" goals. At the same time, Zhejiang's urban investment enterprises' debt scale continues to grow but at a slower pace, with an optimized financing structure, and the short - term debt ratio has slightly increased. However, challenges remain, including regional differentiation, continued growth in accounts receivable in some areas, slowdown in investment growth, and insufficient self - hematopoietic ability in some urban investment enterprises. Therefore, it's necessary to plan for debt resolution and market - oriented transformation of urban investment enterprises simultaneously to improve their operational efficiency and risk - resistance ability [3][9][34]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Zhejiang Province's Debt Control Situation - **Seeking Superior Funds**: In 2024, Zhejiang obtained 69.764 billion yuan in ultra - long - term special treasury bonds and 327.9 billion yuan in new special bonds, with 290.1 billion yuan used for project construction, accounting for 9.1% of the national total, and 37.8 billion yuan for the completion of existing government investment projects [5]. - **Implicit Debt Replacement**: In 2024, the Ministry of Finance allocated a local government debt limit of 244.2 billion yuan to Zhejiang in three - year installments (81.4 billion yuan per year from 2024 - 2026). In 2024 and 2025, Zhejiang (including Ningbo) fully used the "special bonds for implicit debt replacement" quota of 81.4 billion yuan each year. The issuance of special refinancing bonds in 2025 was faster than the national average, which lowered the average financing cost of urban investment enterprises [5]. - **Controlling Project Investment**: Cities like Jiaxing and Taizhou proposed to control project investment to prevent new debt. They sorted out and reviewed existing government investment projects, strengthened support for key projects, and carefully considered or postponed non - urgent projects. They also tightened the review of new projects and coordinated the connection between the fiscal budget and the government investment plan [6]. - **Regional Achievements**: As of the end of September 2025, some regions in Zhejiang, such as Lin'an District and Chun'an County in Hangzhou, Zhoushan City, etc., achieved zero implicit debt, and some areas completed the "dual zero" goals of implicit debt resolution and platform exit. More than 600 urban investment platforms in Zhejiang have exited, accounting for half of the national total during the same period [9]. 3.2 Changes in Financial Indicators of Zhejiang's Urban Investment Enterprises 3.2.1 Investment - **Overall Situation in Zhejiang**: From 2022 to June 2025, the investment scale of urban - construction assets, self - operated assets, and equity and fund investments of Zhejiang's urban investment enterprises continued to grow, but the growth rate of urban - construction assets and equity and fund investments slowed down. By the end of June 2025, the growth rates of these three types of assets further decreased. The proportion of urban - construction assets decreased to 69.90% but remained the main asset component [13]. - **Regional Differences**: Most cities' total investment and urban - construction asset investment increased. The growth rates of Wenzhou, Shaoxing, Huzhou, and Zhoushan were below 10%, while the other seven cities exceeded 10%. In 2024, the growth rate of urban - construction assets in all cities slowed down, and the growth rates of self - operated assets in most cities increased. The growth rate of equity and fund investments decreased in half of the regions [14]. 3.2.2 Receivables - **Overall Situation in Zhejiang**: From 2022 to June 2025, the accounts receivable of Zhejiang's urban investment enterprises continued to grow, but the growth rate decreased in 2024 and June 2025. In 2024, the cash income ratio was relatively good, which may be affected by multiple factors such as the slowdown of project settlement and the change in the business structure [16]. - **Regional Differences**: At the end of 2024, the accounts receivable of urban investment enterprises in Hangzhou, Ningbo, and Huzhou exceeded 50 billion yuan, while those in Quzhou, Lishui, and Zhoushan were below 20 billion yuan. Except for Jinhua, the growth rate of accounts receivable in other cities exceeded 10% [18]. 3.2.3 Financing - **Overall Situation in Zhejiang**: From 2022 to 2024, the cash inflow and outflow of financing activities of Zhejiang's urban investment enterprises increased year by year, with a net inflow that fluctuated and decreased, mainly due to policy restrictions on new financing in 2024. The financing structure was optimized, with bank borrowing as the main channel and an increasing proportion of bank financing [20][25]. - **Regional Differences**: In 2024, the cash inflow of financing activities in Hangzhou, Shaoxing, Ningbo, and Huzhou exceeded 500 billion yuan. The net inflow of financing activities was positive in all cities, with significant regional differences. The net inflow in Zhoushan was only 6 billion yuan, while those in Hangzhou, Ningbo, and Jiaxing exceeded 100 billion yuan [20][23]. 3.2.4 Interest - Bearing Debt - **Overall Situation in Zhejiang**: By the end of June 2025, the debt scale of Zhejiang's urban investment enterprises continued to grow, but the growth rate slowed down from 22.55% in 2023 to 8.53%. The debt was mainly long - term, with a slightly increased proportion of short - term debt. The financing structure was optimized, with bank borrowing accounting for nearly 70% [25][26]. - **Regional Differences**: The debt scale of urban investment enterprises in Hangzhou, Shaoxing, Ningbo, and Huzhou ranked among the top, exceeding 1 trillion yuan in total. In 2024, the debt growth rates of urban investment enterprises in Jiaxing, Quzhou, Taizhou, and Lishui exceeded 15%. The proportion of short - term debt in some regions increased [26]. 3.2.5 Debt - Servicing Ability - **Overall Situation in Zhejiang**: From 2022 to June 2025, the overall debt burden of Zhejiang's urban investment enterprises continued to rise, and the cash - to - short - term - debt ratio fluctuated and decreased. Since 2025, with increased debt resolution efforts and support from financial institutions, the short - term debt - servicing ability has improved [29][33]. - **Regional Differences**: The debt burdens of urban investment enterprises in Shaoxing, Taizhou, Jinhua, Hangzhou, and Jiaxing were relatively heavy. The cash - to - short - term - debt ratio of cities in Zhejiang ranged from 0.3 to 0.5 times, with Lishui having the highest ratio. In 2025, the short - term debt - servicing ability of all cities improved to some extent [33].
每日资讯-20251204
Lian He Zi Xin· 2025-12-04 01:45
| 2025年11月29日 電吊资訊 | | --- | | 星期六 | | Q | | ✔最新资本市场资讯一手掌握 | | 国内财经新闻 联合风险预警 | | 国际财经新闻 | | 热点对话 | | 六部门发文增强消费品供需适配性,旨在打通消费- | | 产业循环全链条堵点,精准施策破解结构性矛盾 | | 联合精读 | | 1. 联合资信发布研究报告《"东北化债成效凸显 | | 城投转型道阻且长"--东北三省化债进度观察与区 | | 域发展转型探索》 | | 2. 联合资信发布研究报告《以旧换新激活内需求 | | 力,促进消费持续复苏-- 2025年第四批国补落地政 | | 策点评》 | | 3. 联合资信发布研究报告《我国房地产市场未来雪 | | 求展望》 | | 资讯精选 | | 1. 前 10个月国企营收微增 0.9%,利润同比降 3.0% | | 2. 证监会拟推商业不动产投资信托基金试点,丰富投 | | 融资工具,助力房地产新模式与实体经济高质量发展 | | 3. 福建计划推动开发区联动创新,复制自贸区制度 | | 成果,培育台资产业与未来产业高地 | | 4. 2025 绿色发展投资贸易与食品博 ...
消费电子行业2026年度信用风险展望(2025年11月)
Lian He Zi Xin· 2025-12-03 11:23
消费电子行业成长性指标 消费电子行业盈利能力指标 消费电子行业财务杠杆指标 消费电子行业 2026 年度信用风险展望(2025 年 11 月) 工商评级一部 丨 宁立杰 候珍珍 崔濛骁 消费电子行业信用风险展望丨 2026 摘要 公司邮箱:lianhe@lhratings.com 网址:www.lhratings.com 电话:010-85679696 传真:010-85679228 地址:北京市朝阳区建国门外大街 2 号中国人保财险大厦 17 层 www.lhratings.com 信用风险展望 0 AI 技术赋能、产品迭代升级、消费高端化趋势是消费电子行 业增长的三大核心驱动力。2025 年前三季度,全球消费电子 行业延续复苏态势,市场规模稳步增长。国家"两新"政策 扩围刺激消费电子产品需求增长。 2025 年前三季度,全球智能手机、PC 与平板电脑行业均呈 现高集中度特征。智能手机行业呈现"高端集中、中低端分 散"的多元化竞争格局,PC 行业头部企业凭借供应链与研发 优势稳固垄断地位,平板电脑行业中国品牌加速崛起,市场 竞争加剧,场景化需求转型为品牌提供了差异化竞争空间。 2025 年前三季度,消费电子 ...
重庆市发债城投企业财务表现观察:化债成效显现,区域分化明显
Lian He Zi Xin· 2025-12-03 11:14
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - Since the "Package Debt Resolution Plan," Chongqing has achieved phased results in debt resolution through multiple measures such as financial debt resolution, special refinancing bonds, and state - owned asset revitalization [3]. - The investment structure of Chongqing's urban investment companies is continuously adjusting, with the proportion of urban construction assets decreasing and new investments shifting towards self - operated assets, equity, and fund investments [35]. - There are significant regional differences in the refinancing ability and market - oriented transformation degree of urban investment companies in Chongqing. Strong regions can rely on resource advantages to participate in market - oriented businesses, while weak regions may still depend on the overall debt - resolution arrangements of Chongqing [35]. 3. Summary According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Chongqing's Debt Management Situation - **Policy and Mechanism**: Chongqing government and financial regulatory authorities have introduced policies, held meetings, and established debt risk early - warning and monitoring mechanisms to prevent systemic financial risks [6]. - **Debt - Resolution Measures and Achievements** - **Financial Debt Resolution**: In 2023, Chongqing signed cooperation agreements with 21 financial institutions. In 2023, the first 50 million yuan silver - group loan to replace non - standard debt was successfully issued in Yubei District. Banan District obtained a 4.534 billion yuan silver - group loan, and in 2025, Wanzhou District completed the first silver - group loan in Northeast Chongqing [7]. - **Special Refinancing Bonds**: From 2023 to October 2025, the issuance scale of special refinancing bonds in Chongqing was 72.6 billion yuan, 75.4 billion yuan, and 75.4 billion yuan respectively, which helped replace high - interest debts [9]. - **State - owned Asset Revitalization**: Since 2024, Chongqing's state - owned enterprises have revitalized over 180 billion yuan of assets and recovered over 70 billion yuan of funds through various means. In 2024, Chongqing's non - tax revenue increased by 11.3% [9]. - **Remarkable Debt - Resolution Results in Some Areas**: Jiangbei, Shapingba, Jiangjin, Qijiang, Wuxi, Fuling, Dazu, and Chengkou have achieved significant results in debt resolution, such as reducing implicit debts, optimizing debt structures, and reducing financing costs [9]. 3.2 Changes in Financial Indicators of Urban Investment Companies - **Investment** - **Overall Situation**: From 2022 to June 2025, the total assets of Chongqing's urban investment companies continued to grow, with a compound growth rate of 7.06%. The growth was mainly driven by self - operated assets, equity, and fund investments, while the growth rate of urban construction assets decreased significantly [15]. - **Regional Differences**: Urban construction assets in the municipal and Liangjiang New Area are significant. Self - operated assets, equity, and fund investments are concentrated in municipal - level urban investment companies. The investment structures of different regions vary, with the municipal - level having a more balanced asset structure [17][18]. - **Receivables** - **Overall Situation**: From 2022 to June 2025, the accounts receivable of Chongqing's urban investment companies continued to grow, mainly concentrated in the central urban area and the new urban area of the main city [21]. - **Regional Differences**: Regions with large accounts receivable include Banan, Nan'an, Jiulongpo, Hechuan, Jiangjin, Bishan, and Wanzhou. Regions with large growth rates include the municipal - level, Tongnan, and Wulong [21]. - **Financing** - **Overall Situation**: In 2024, the net cash inflow from financing activities of Chongqing's urban investment companies decreased significantly. In the first half of 2025, the net cash inflow from financing activities of most regional urban investment companies increased [23]. - **Regional Differences**: In 2024, the net financing was concentrated in municipal - level urban investment companies, and 22 districts and counties had net cash outflows from financing activities. In the first half of 2025, most regions had net cash inflows from financing activities [24]. - **Interest - Bearing Debt** - **Overall Situation**: At the end of 2024, the total debt of Chongqing's urban investment companies remained almost the same as the previous year. The debt was mainly long - term, and the proportion of short - term debt remained stable. Bank financing increased, while bond financing and other financing decreased [26][27]. - **Regional Differences**: At the end of 2024, the debt of most districts and counties in the central urban area, the new urban area of the main city, and Northeast Chongqing decreased. Some regions had a relatively high proportion of short - term debt, and some regions were highly dependent on bond financing [27][28]. - **Bond Financing** - **Overall Situation**: From 2022 - 2023, Chongqing's urban investment bonds had a large - scale net inflow. In 2024, they showed a net repayment, and from January - October 2025, the net repayment scale increased [32]. - **Regional Differences**: From 2024 to the end of October 2025, some regions such as the municipal - level, Liangjiang New Area, and Yubei had net inflows of urban investment bonds, while others had net repayments [32]. - **Debt - Servicing Ability** - **Overall Situation**: At the end of 2024, the overall debt burden of Chongqing's urban investment companies remained stable, but the short - term debt - servicing pressure increased [33]. - **Regional Differences**: Most districts and counties controlled the total debt capitalization ratio within 60% and the asset - liability ratio within 65%. Some regions had a heavy debt burden, and most regions had a large short - term debt - servicing pressure [33]. 3.3 Summary - **Debt - Resolution Achievements**: Since the second half of 2023, Chongqing has effectively curbed new debt, optimized the debt term structure in some districts and counties, reduced bond financing and other financing scales, and alleviated the debt burden in most districts and counties [35]. - **Investment Structure Adjustment**: The "Document 47" has effectively managed government investment projects, and the investment structure of urban investment companies in Chongqing has been continuously adjusted [35]. - **Regional Differences**: There are differences in the refinancing ability and market - oriented transformation degree among regions. Strong regions can enhance their self - hematopoietic ability, while weak regions may rely on the overall debt - resolution arrangements of Chongqing [35].