| 2025 年 09 月 05 日 | | | --- | --- | | 评级 | 买入 | | 评级变动 | 维持 | | 交易数据 | | | 当前价格（元） | 49.11 | | 52 周价格区间（元） | 38.19-59.68 | | 总市值（百万） | 4272.57 | | 流通市值（百万） | 1288.40 | | 总股本（万股） | 8700.00 | 流通股（万股） 2623.50 % 1M 3M 12M 崇德科技 -1.21 -1.03 17.52 通用设备 8.20 18.69 76.51 -8% 42% 92% 142% 2024-09 2024-12 2025-03 2025-06 2025-09 崇德科技 通用设备 袁玮志 分析师 执业证书编号:S0530522050002 yuanweizhi@hnchasing.com 相关报告 1 崇德科技（301548.SZ）24 年三季报点评：盈 利能力保持稳定，海外布局动作不断 2024-11-06 2 崇德科技（301548.SZ）24 年半年报点评：业 绩稳增长，船舶和石化表现亮眼 2024-08-28 3 崇德科技（30 ...

Market Overview - The overall market showed a downward trend with the Wind All A Index falling by 2.02% to 5938.15 points, while the Shanghai Composite Index decreased by 1.25% to 3765.88 points [7][8] - The ChiNext Index dropped by 4.25% to 2776.25 points, and the Sci-Tech 50 Index fell by 6.08% to 1226.98 points, indicating a significant decline in the hard technology sector [7][8] - In terms of market capitalization, the Shanghai 50 Index decreased by 1.71% to 2910.47 points, while the CSI 300 Index fell by 2.12% to 4365.21 points [8] Economic Insights - The People's Bank of China announced a 10 billion yuan reverse repurchase operation on September 5, 2025, with a term of three months [14][15] - On the same day, the central bank conducted a net withdrawal of 203.5 billion yuan from the market [16][17] - A joint meeting between the Ministry of Finance and the People's Bank of China was held to ensure better implementation of fiscal and monetary policies [18][19] Industry Dynamics - The Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei ultra-high voltage direct current transmission project is expected to commence full construction by the end of September 2025, with an investment of 17.178 billion yuan [25] - The third Changsha International Engineering Machinery Exhibition in Malaysia resulted in 11 companies signing contracts worth over 2 billion yuan [26][28] - Canalys reported a 12% year-on-year increase in PC shipments in mainland China for Q2 2025, with Apple leading the market growth [29][30] Company Updates - Haikang Technology (002653.SZ) received approval for clinical trials of its innovative drug HSK47388 for autoimmune diseases [31][32] - Fangsheng Pharmaceutical (603998.SH) announced that its subsidiary obtained clinical trial approval for a traditional Chinese medicine product aimed at treating postpartum complications [33][34]

Market Strategy - The market experienced a day of fluctuating performance with mixed results across major indices, indicating a cautious sentiment among investors as they await clearer macroeconomic data and policy expectations [6][9][10] - The overall trading volume significantly decreased to 2.4 trillion yuan, down over 510 billion yuan from the previous trading day, reflecting reduced trading activity [10][11] Important Economic News - The People's Bank of China conducted a net withdrawal of 150.8 billion yuan through reverse repos, indicating a tightening of liquidity in the market [17][18] - In August, the retail sales of new energy vehicles in China reached 1.079 million units, a year-on-year increase of 5%, with a cumulative retail volume of 7.535 million units for the year, up 25% [19] - The establishment of the China-Shanghai Cooperation Organization Digital Economy Cooperation Pilot Zone in Tianjin marks a significant step in enhancing digital infrastructure and cooperation among member states [20][21] Industry and Company Dynamics - EVTank forecasts that global shipments of metallic lithium will exceed 10,000 tons, driven primarily by the demand for solid-state batteries, with Chinese companies accounting for 82% of the current shipments [27][28] - In the first seven months of 2025, Dongfang Heavy Industry (002487.SZ) reported a 196.1% year-on-year increase in exports of offshore wind turbine monopiles, amounting to 2.19 billion yuan [34][35] - Xinhua Medical (600587.SH) received a Class II medical device registration certificate for its endoscope cleaning workstation, which is designed for cleaning and disinfecting both soft and hard endoscopes [36] Hunan Economic Dynamics - In Hunan province, total investment grew by 2.9% year-on-year in the first seven months of 2025, with manufacturing investment increasing by 12.1% [40][41][42]

Market Overview - The market experienced a day of fluctuation with the technology sector showing significant declines, while the overall A-share market saw a drop of 1.48%, closing at 6133.63 points [8] - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.45% to 3858.13 points, while the ChiNext Index dropped 2.85% to 2872.22 points, indicating a weak performance in growth sectors [8][9] - The banking sector showed resilience, with over 60% of listed banks reporting positive revenue growth, and over 70% reporting net profit increases [10] Industry Dynamics - The software industry in China reported revenues of 83,246 billion yuan in the first seven months of the year, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 12.3% [22] - The biopharmaceutical sector is being prioritized by the State-owned Assets Supervision and Administration Commission (SASAC) to enhance the development of central enterprises in this field [24] - The offshore wind power sector is witnessing significant developments, with projects in Germany and the UK receiving approvals and moving forward with installations [25][27] Company Updates - Jiejia Weichuang (300724.SZ) has made significant advancements in the perovskite battery equipment sector, successfully delivering multiple PVD devices, which are crucial for the industrialization of perovskite batteries [33] - Juxing Agriculture (603477.SH) reported a revenue of 3.717 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 66.49%, with a significant rise in pig production [35] - Zhuzhou Smelter Group (600961.SH) is undergoing a change in its controlling shareholder to Hunan Nonferrous Metals Group, which will increase its stake in the company to 31.26% [37]

Market Overview - The market showed a strong upward trend with the ChiNext Index leading the gains, up 2.29% to close at 2956.37 points, while the Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.46% to 3875.53 points [9][12] - The overall market participation remained high, with a total trading volume of 27,776.47 billion yuan, a decrease of 525.51 billion yuan from the previous trading day [10][12] Economic Insights - The People's Bank of China conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase operation of 182.7 billion yuan at an interest rate of 1.40%, with a net withdrawal of 105.7 billion yuan for the day [17][18] - During the summer transportation period, the national railway sent a total of 943 million passengers, a year-on-year increase of 4.7% [19][20] Industry Dynamics - The Xiangtou Energy's Yuezhou coal-fired power project has entered the main construction phase, enhancing Hunan's power supply capacity [27][28] - The China National Railway Group reported a total revenue of 586 billion yuan for the first half of 2025, with a net profit of 1.55 billion yuan, indicating steady improvement in operational quality [29][30] Company Performance - Haier Smart Home (600690.SH) reported a 10.2% increase in revenue to 156.49 billion yuan and a 15.6% increase in net profit to 12.033 billion yuan for the first half of 2025 [32][33] - Midea Group (000333.SZ) achieved a 15.7% increase in revenue to 252.3 billion yuan and a 25.0% increase in net profit to 26 billion yuan in the same period [38][39] - Senqcia Technology (002984.SZ) reported a slight revenue increase of 0.24% but a significant net profit decline of 37.64% due to tariff frictions [35][36] - Gujing Gongjiu (000596.SZ) saw a 0.54% increase in revenue and a 2.49% increase in net profit for the first half of 2025 [44][45] - Qilu Bank (601665.SH) reported a 5.76% increase in revenue and a 16.48% increase in net profit for the same period [46][47] - Aihua Group (603989.SH) achieved a 1.89% increase in revenue and a 41.56% increase in net profit, driven by growth in high-demand sectors [51][52]

Group 1: Market Overview - The overall market showed a rebound with the STAR 50 index leading the gains, up 7.23% to 1364.60 points, while the Shanghai Composite Index rose 1.14% to 3843.60 points [5][8] - The total trading volume in the market was approximately 30,008.9 billion yuan, a decrease of 1,968.98 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [9] - The technology sector, particularly in computing hardware and semiconductor chips, demonstrated strong performance, while small and micro-cap stocks lagged behind [9][10] Group 2: Company Performance - Jiejia Weichuang (300724.SZ) reported a 49.3% increase in net profit for the first half of 2025, reaching 1.83 billion yuan, with revenue up 26.4% to 8.37 billion yuan [27][28] - Crystal Optoelectronics (002273.SZ) achieved a net profit growth of 17.35% in the first half of 2025, totaling 501 million yuan, with revenue increasing by 13.77% to 3.02 billion yuan [30][31] - Jinbo Co., Ltd. (688598.SH) faced operational challenges, reporting a net loss of 167.81 million yuan despite a revenue increase of 19.69% to 410.74 million yuan [33][34] - Mingyang Smart Energy (601615.SH) saw a decline in net profit by 7.68% to 610 million yuan, despite a revenue increase of 45.33% to 17.14 billion yuan [40][41] - Baoli Food (603170.SH) reported a revenue increase of 8.4% to 1.38 billion yuan and a net profit increase of 7.5% to 117 million yuan in the first half of 2025 [42][43] Group 3: Industry Dynamics - The logistics sector in China showed a steady growth with a total logistics volume of 201.9 trillion yuan in the first seven months of 2025, marking a 5.2% year-on-year increase [15][16] - The offshore wind power industry made significant advancements with the installation of Jiangsu's largest offshore wind turbine, capable of generating over 46.5 million kilowatt-hours annually [25][26] - The photovoltaic industry experienced a surge in new installations, with 212.21 GW added in the first half of 2025, a 107% increase year-on-year, despite facing challenges such as supply-demand imbalances [35][36]

Market Strategy - The market is undergoing a significant adjustment, with the Shanghai Composite Index precariously holding above 3800 points [5][9] - The overall performance of the A-share market shows a decline, with the Shanghai Composite Index down 1.76% and the Shenzhen Component Index down 1.43% [9][10] - The hard technology sector is performing relatively well, while the innovative small and medium enterprises are lagging behind [10] Economic Insights - The People's Bank of China conducted a 7-day reverse repurchase operation amounting to 379.9 billion yuan, with a fixed interest rate of 1.40% [16][17] - From January to July 2025, profits of large-scale industrial enterprises decreased by 1.7% year-on-year, totaling 40,203.5 billion yuan [18][19] - The mining industry saw a significant profit decline of 31.6%, while the manufacturing sector experienced a profit increase of 4.8% [20] Industry Dynamics - Mixue Group (2097.HK) reported a 39.32% increase in revenue to 14.875 billion yuan and a 44.10% increase in profit to 2.718 billion yuan for the first half of 2025 [28][29] - Siemens Gamesa secured a major offshore wind power contract, marking a significant development in the renewable energy sector [30][31] - Zhongji Xuchuang (300308.SZ) achieved a revenue of 14.789 billion yuan, a 36.95% increase, and a net profit of 3.995 billion yuan, a 69.40% increase for the first half of 2025 [32][33] Company Tracking - Daikin Heavy Industries (002487.SZ) reported a net profit of 547 million yuan for the first half of 2025, a remarkable 214.32% increase [34] - Chongde Technology (301548.SZ) achieved a revenue of 283 million yuan, reflecting an 8.59% year-on-year growth [35] - Qianwei Yangchu (001215.SZ) experienced a revenue decline of 0.72% and a net profit drop of 39.67% in the first half of 2025 [37][38] - New Dairy (002946.SZ) reported a revenue growth of 3.01% and a net profit increase of 33.76% for the first half of 2025 [40][41] - Youyou Food (603697.SH) achieved a revenue of 771 million yuan, a 45.59% increase, and a net profit of 108 million yuan, a 42.47% increase [43][44] - Fuling Mustard (002507.SZ) reported a slight revenue increase of 0.51% but a net profit decline of 1.66% for the first half of 2025 [45][46] Regional Economic Dynamics - Yongda Co., Ltd. (001239.SZ) reported a net profit of 37 million yuan, a 32.42% increase, driven by significant growth in the wind power sector [48][49] - Hunan Province has initiated the renovation of 1,561 old urban communities this year, with a focus on improving living conditions [50][51]

Market Overview - The market experienced mixed performance with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3868.38, down 0.39% [9] - The Shenzhen Component Index rose by 0.26%, while the ChiNext Index and the STAR Market 50 Index fell by 0.76% and 1.31% respectively [9][10] - The overall trading volume decreased significantly, with total market turnover at 27098.31 billion, down 4671.17 billion from the previous trading day [10] Economic Insights - China's foreign investment stock has exceeded 3 trillion USD, maintaining a top-three global position for eight consecutive years [17][18] - The People's Bank of China conducted a 405.8 billion CNY reverse repurchase operation, with a fixed rate of 1.40% [19][20] - The State Council issued opinions on the implementation of "Artificial Intelligence+" actions, focusing on six key areas including technology, industry development, and global cooperation [21][22] Industry Dynamics - Deep Valley Technology launched its first glass-based 3D waveguide chip production line, marking a significant technological advancement [27][28] - The construction machinery sector showed signs of recovery, with a national operating rate of 44.43% in July, particularly strong growth in the western regions [29][30] - The National Press and Publication Administration approved 166 domestic game licenses, a significant increase from previous months [31][32] - Runto Technology reported a 24% year-on-year increase in online sales of laptops in China for the first half of 2025, driven by government subsidies and consumer demand [33][34] Company Performance - Kailaiying (002821.SZ) reported a net profit of 617 million CNY for H1 2025, a 23.71% increase year-on-year, with total revenue reaching 3.188 billion CNY [36] - Lens Technology (300433.SZ) achieved a net profit of 1.143 billion CNY in H1 2025, up 32.68% year-on-year, with revenue of 32.96 billion CNY [38][39] - Meiya Optoelectronics (002690.SZ) reported a revenue of 1.023 billion CNY for H1 2025, reflecting a 9.9% increase, with a net profit of 303 million CNY [42][43] - Luxshare Precision (002475.SZ) posted a revenue of 124.5 billion CNY for H1 2025, a 20.18% increase, with a net profit of 6.644 billion CNY [45]

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3883.56, up 1.51%, while the Shenzhen Component Index rose 2.26% to 12441.07. The ChiNext Index increased by 3.00% to 2762.99, and the STAR Market 50 Index gained 3.20% to 1287.73. Overall, the market showed strong performance with a total trading volume exceeding 3 trillion yuan [6][7]. Company Tracking - Rongsheng Petrochemical (002493.SZ) reported a revenue of 148.63 billion yuan for H1 2025, a decrease of 7.83% year-on-year, with a net profit of 602 million yuan, down 29.82%. The company is focusing on new materials to offset the impact of falling oil prices [33][34]. - Mango Excellent Media (300413.SZ) experienced a 14.31% decline in revenue to 5.964 billion yuan in H1 2025, with a net profit drop of 28.31% to 763 million yuan, primarily due to decreased revenue from its traditional e-commerce segment [36][37]. - Jiangsu Bank (600919.SH) reported a revenue of 44.864 billion yuan, up 7.78% year-on-year, with a net profit of 20.238 billion yuan, reflecting an 8.05% increase [39]. - Chongqing Bank (601963.SH) achieved a net profit of 3.394 billion yuan in H1 2025, a 5.73% increase year-on-year, with total assets reaching 983.365 billion yuan, up 22.01% [42][43]. - GoerTek (002241.SZ) announced plans to acquire 100% of Shanghai Aolai, enhancing its core competitiveness in optical components [44][46]. Industry Dynamics - The smart robotics sector is accelerating the commercialization of embodied intelligence, with significant advancements expected by 2025 [24][25]. - The 2025 China Computing Power Conference highlighted the rapid development of the computing power industry, showcasing a comprehensive results system that includes key reports and innovative achievements [27][29]. - The new policies in Shanghai aim to optimize housing fund withdrawal and loan policies, which may impact the real estate market positively [20][23]. Economic Dynamics in Hunan - Times New Materials (600458.SH) reported a revenue of 9.256 billion yuan in H1 2025, a 6.87% increase, with a net profit of 303 million yuan, up 36.66% [47]. - The large aircraft supply chain intelligent manufacturing base project has commenced in Hunan, with an investment of 5.1 billion yuan, focusing on the aircraft landing gear and related industries [49].

Market Overview - The overall A-share market showed positive performance with the Wind All A Index rising by 1.64% to 6060.82 points, while the Shanghai Composite Index increased by 1.45% to 3825.76 points [7] - The hard technology sector, represented by the Sci-Tech 50 Index, outperformed with an increase of 8.59% to 1247.86 points, indicating strong investor interest in this area [7] - The market saw a total trading volume of 25,788.42 billion yuan, an increase of 1,185.07 billion yuan compared to the previous trading day [8] Company Dynamics - Bilibili reported a net profit attributable to shareholders of 209 million yuan for the first half of 2025, marking a turnaround from a loss in the same period last year. The company achieved a revenue of 14.34 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21.6% [34] - Kingmed Diagnostics (603882.SH) faced a decline in revenue of 22.78% year-on-year, with a net loss of 85 million yuan in the first half of 2025, primarily due to external environmental impacts and credit impairment losses [37][39] - Muyuan Foods (002714.SZ) announced an employee stock ownership plan, aiming to incentivize up to 5,437 core employees and business leaders, with a total estimated cost of 1.06 billion yuan [41] Industry Trends - The Chinese photovoltaic industry is shifting towards high-quality competition, with the China Photovoltaic Industry Association advocating against price competition below cost [26] - The semiconductor industry is witnessing significant developments, with NVIDIA launching the Spectrum-XGS Ethernet technology to enhance data center capabilities and Intel initiating the licensing of semiconductor glass substrate technology [28][32] - The smart computing sector in China is expected to grow by over 40% in 2025, driven by the rapid development of artificial intelligence and the establishment of regional computing platforms [19][20]