1. Report Industry Investment Rating There is no information provided regarding the report's industry investment rating. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The bond market is expected to remain volatile in the short - term. Although there are uncertain positive factors, the duration of the bond market should be maintained. If the funding rate declines, leverage can be appropriately increased [2][7][13][14]. - The relative loosening of funds lower than expected is the current main line of interest - rate trading. However, the loosening of funds should not be a continuous reason for bulls to be optimistic about the bond market. The significant decline of the funding rate is "unrealistic" according to experience, and if the expectation of loose funds persists, a lower - than - expected situation may lead to a bond - market correction [3][4][13][14]. - To be more bullish on the bond market, the main factors should revolve around the fundamental situation and risk appetite. There are uncertainties in the fundamental situation, such as the possible recurrence of trade frictions and the lower - than - expected results of "front - loading exports" [4][14]. 3. Summaries According to Relevant Catalogs 3.1 This Week's Institutional Behavior Review: What Cards Do Bond Bulls Still Have? - This week, the credit market was strong, but interest rates fluctuated upward. The 3 - year medium - and short - term notes decreased by about 5bp, while the 10 - year Treasury bonds fluctuated up by nearly 5bp, and the credit spread narrowed overall [2][13]. - The relative loosening of funds lower than expected is the current main line of interest - rate trading. The funding rate (DR007) rose from 1.50% to around 1.60% this week, which impacted short - term bonds and caused long - term bonds to fluctuate weakly. After a 10bp interest - rate cut, some lower funding rates have formed a positive carry with many credit - bond varieties, so the credit market performed relatively strongly [3][13]. 3.2 Bond Market Yield Curve and Term Spread 3.2.1 Yield Curve: Yields of Treasury Bonds and China Development Bank Bonds Generally Rose - Treasury bond yields: The 1 - year yield rose 3bp, the 3 - year yield rose 4bp, the 5 - year yield rose 8bp, the 7 - year yield rose 6bp, the 10 - year yield rose 4bp, the 15 - year yield rose 6bp, and the 30 - year yield rose 4bp. The percentile points also increased to varying degrees [17]. - China Development Bank bond yields: The 1 - year yield rose 3bp, the 3 - year yield rose 3bp, the 5 - year yield rose 6bp, the 7 - year yield rose 6bp, the 10 - year yield rose 5bp, the 15 - year yield rose 4bp, and the 30 - year yield rose 4bp. The percentile points also changed accordingly [17]. 3.2.2 Term Spread: The Inversion of Treasury Bond Yield Spreads Eased, while that of China Development Bank Bonds Deepened; Treasury Bond Spreads Widened at the Short End, and China Development Bank Bond Spreads Widened Overall - Treasury bonds: The inversion of interest - rate spreads eased, and the term spread widened at the short end and narrowed at the long end. The 1Y - DR001 interest - rate spread inversion eased by 14bp, and the 1Y - DR007 interest - rate spread inversion eased by 11bp. The 3Y - 1Y spread widened by 3bp, the 5Y - 3Y spread widened by 2bp, the 7Y - 5Y spread narrowed by 1bp, the 10Y - 7Y spread narrowed by 2bp, the 15Y - 10Y spread widened by 1bp, and the 30Y - 15Y spread narrowed by 1bp. The percentile points also changed [18]. - China Development Bank bonds: The inversion of interest - rate spreads deepened, and the term spread widened overall. The 1Y - DR001 interest - rate spread inversion deepened by 11bp, and the 1Y - DR007 interest - rate spread inversion deepened by 7bp. The 3Y - 1Y spread changed by less than 1bp, the 5Y - 3Y spread widened by 3bp, the 7Y - 5Y spread changed by less than 1bp, the 10Y - 7Y spread narrowed by 1bp, the 15Y - 10Y spread changed by less than 1bp, and the 30Y - 15Y spread widened by 1bp. The percentile points also changed [20]. 3.3 Bond Market Leverage and Funding Situation 3.3.1 Leverage Ratio: Maintained at 106.70% From May 12 to May 16, 2025, the leverage ratio first rose and then fell during the week. As of May 16, the leverage ratio was about 106.70%, the same as last Friday and 0.19pct lower than Monday [24]. 3.3.2 This Week's Average Daily Turnover of Pledged Repurchase was 7.1 Trillion Yuan, with an Average Daily Overnight Proportion of 88.36% The average daily repurchase turnover increased compared with last week. From May 12 to May 16, the average daily turnover of pledged repurchase was about 7.1 trillion yuan, an increase of 0.3 trillion yuan from last week. The average overnight repurchase turnover was 6.3 trillion yuan, a month - on - month increase of 0.47 trillion yuan, and the average overnight trading proportion was 88.36%, a month - on - month increase of 2.57pct [29][34]. 3.3.3 Funding Situation: Banks' Fund Lending First Rose and then Fell From May 12 to May 16, the net lending of bank - related funds first rose and then fell. On May 16, the net lending of large - scale and policy banks was 3.24 trillion yuan; joint - stock banks, city commercial banks, and rural commercial banks had an average daily net borrowing of 0.05 trillion yuan, and on May 16, the net borrowing was 0.2 trillion yuan. The net lending of the banking system was 3.05 trillion yuan. The main fund - borrowing party was funds, and the lending of money - market funds first decreased and then increased [35]. 3.4 Duration of Medium - and Long - Term Bond Funds 3.4.1 The Median Duration Decreased to 2.73 Years This week (from May 12 to May 16), the median duration of medium - and long - term bond funds was 2.73 years (de - leveraged) and 2.95 years (including leverage). On May 16, the median duration (de - leveraged) was 2.73 years, a decrease of 0.05 years from last Friday; the median duration (including leverage) was 2.95 years, a decrease of 0.01 years from last Friday [48]. 3.4.2 The Duration of Interest - Rate Bond Funds Rose to 3.90 Years In terms of different types of bond funds, the median duration of interest - rate bond funds (including leverage) rose to 3.90 years, an increase of 0.12 years from last Friday; the median duration of credit - bond funds (including leverage) decreased to 2.64 years, a decrease of 0.03 years from last Friday. The median duration of interest - rate bond funds (de - leveraged) was 3.35 years, a decrease of 0.02 years from last Friday; the median duration of credit - bond funds (de - leveraged) was 2.55 years, a decrease of 0.02 years from last Friday [52]. 3.5 Comparison of Category Strategies 3.5.1 Sino - US Interest - Rate Spread: The Overall Inversion Deepened The inversion of the Sino - US Treasury - bond spread deepened overall. The 1 - year spread inversion deepened by 5bp, the 2 - year by 5bp, the 3 - year by 6bp, the 5 - year spread inversion eased by 2bp, the 7 - year spread changed by less than 1bp, the 10 - year spread inversion deepened by 2bp, and the 30 - year spread inversion deepened by 2bp [54]. 3.5.2 Implied Tax Rate: The Short - End Narrowed, and the Long - End Widened As of May 16, the spread between China Development Bank bonds and Treasury bonds changed by less than 1bp for the 1 - year, narrowed by 1bp for the 3 - year, narrowed by 2bp for the 5 - year, changed by less than 1bp for the 7 - year, changed by less than 1bp for the 10 - year, narrowed by 1bp for the 15 - year, and widened by 1bp for the 30 - year [58]. 3.6 Changes in Bond - Lending Balances - On May 16, the concentration trend of lending for the active 10 - year China Development Bank bonds rose, while that for the active 10 - year Treasury bonds, the second - active 10 - year Treasury bonds, the second - active 10 - year China Development Bank bonds, and the active 30 - year Treasury bonds declined [60]. - In terms of institutions, the lending balance of securities companies increased, while that of large - scale and small - and medium - sized banks decreased [61].

Investment Rating - Industry investment rating: Overweight [2] Core Views - The report highlights the rapid iteration of multimodal large models in the domestic market, indicating that computing power remains a long-term theme for the computer industry [1][4] - The supply and demand sides of computing power are both favorable, with TSMC planning to open or upgrade nine advanced manufacturing plants in 2025, with an annual budget set between $38 billion and $42 billion [4][5] - The report emphasizes the strong momentum in AI development both domestically and internationally, suggesting potential investment opportunities in related companies [6][8] Weekly Market Review - From May 12 to May 16, 2025, the Shanghai Composite Index rose by 0.76%, the ChiNext Index increased by 1.38%, and the CSI 300 Index gained 1.12%. The Hang Seng Technology Index rose by 1.95%, while the Nasdaq Index surged by 7.15% [3][26] - Sector performance showed the Media Index decreased by 0.67%, while the Hang Seng Internet Technology Index increased by 2.1%. The AI Index fell by 0.95%, and the Computer Index dropped by 1.26% [3][26] AI Developments - Tencent released the Hunyuan Image 2.0 model on May 16, 2025, achieving real-time image generation capabilities, which enhances the creative process for professional designers [4][42] - Alibaba open-sourced the Wan2.1-VACE model on May 14, 2025, which supports video generation and editing, with versions that can run on consumer-grade graphics cards [4][43] Semiconductor Sector - TSMC is accelerating the production of 2nm technology in Taiwan and has completed the second phase of its Arizona plant, with plans for further expansion [5] - AMD achieved a 39.4% revenue share in the global server CPU market in Q1 2025, marking a significant increase from previous quarters [10][43] Investment Recommendations - Focus on overseas AI companies such as Meta, Adobe, Microsoft, Apple, Nvidia, AMD, and Amazon due to their advancements in model iterations [6][8] - In the domestic AI sector, companies like Baidu, Alibaba, Tencent, and Kuaishou are highlighted for their innovative developments [9][10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the industry, particularly recommending stocks like Muyuan, Wens, and New Hope due to their competitive cost structures and potential for excess returns in the pig farming sector [1]. Core Insights - The report highlights a 2% week-on-week decline in live pig prices, with a significant year-on-year increase of 37.9% in the output of 20 listed pig companies in April [2]. - The report indicates that the breeding stock of sows has increased, suggesting a potential for normal profitability in pig farming in 2025, despite entering a downward price cycle [2]. - The report emphasizes the historical low valuations of leading pig farming companies, suggesting that they are well-positioned for recovery [2]. Summary by Sections 1. Market Overview - The agricultural sector index increased by 0.05% in the week of May 12-16, 2025, underperforming compared to the Shanghai Composite Index [14]. - The agricultural sector ranks 7th among 31 sub-industries in terms of performance since the beginning of 2025, with a year-to-date increase of 3.54% [14]. 2. Industry Data 2.1 Primary Agricultural Products - Corn prices are reported at 2374.90 CNY/ton, showing a week-on-week increase of 0.48% but a year-on-year decrease of 1.63% [35]. - Soybean prices remain stable at 3927.89 CNY/ton, with a year-on-year decline of 10.48% [35]. 2.2 Livestock - The average weight of pigs at slaughter remains stable at 129.71 kg, which is higher than the same period in 2023 and 2024 [2]. - The report notes that the output of listed pig companies reached 69.18 million heads in the first four months of 2025, marking a 30.1% year-on-year increase [2]. 3. Company Performance - The report lists the output of major listed pig companies, with Muyuan leading at 30.77 million heads, followed by Wens and New Hope [2]. - The report suggests that the introduction of new products in the pet food sector is driving rapid growth for domestic companies like Zhongchong and Guobao [5]. 4. Global Agricultural Trends - The global corn stock-to-use ratio for 2025/26 is projected to be the lowest since the 2015/16 season, indicating tightening supply conditions [3]. - The report forecasts a decrease in the global soybean stock-to-use ratio, reflecting similar trends in the corn market [3].

Investment Rating - Investment Rating: Buy (Maintain) [1] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 16.964 billion yuan in 2024, a slight decrease of 0.46% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 44.32% to 653 million yuan [4][5] - The company is focusing on resource integration to drive performance, with significant improvements in profitability from its coal-phosphorus-fluorine integration strategy [1][6] - The company plans to enhance its competitive edge through capacity expansion and technological upgrades, particularly in the fields of phosphate and fluorine chemicals [7][8] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company reported a revenue of 3.443 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.11%, but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 22.78% [5] - For Q1 2025, the revenue was 3.946 billion yuan, down 6.00% year-on-year but up 14.60% quarter-on-quarter [5] - The company expects net profits for 2025-2027 to be 1.065 billion, 1.218 billion, and 1.309 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 63.2%, 14.3%, and 7.5% [9] Market Position and Strategy - The company is enhancing its high-end product offerings, particularly in the isoprene alcohol market, with prices for single and double isoprene alcohol showing significant increases [6] - The company is also expanding its fluorine chemical production capacity, with a new project set to begin operations in 2024 [7] - A major acquisition of 100% equity in Yichang New Investment is planned, which will increase the company's stake in Xinjiang Yihua from 36% to 75%, further integrating its coal and chemical operations [8] Future Outlook - The company is expected to benefit from the integration of its coal and chemical resources, enhancing its cost control and market position in the fertilizer and chlor-alkali sectors [8] - The projected revenue growth for 2025 is 19.48 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 14.8% [10] - The company aims to maintain a competitive edge through continuous technological advancements and capacity expansions in its core business areas [7][9]

Investment Rating - Investment Rating: Buy (Maintain) [1] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 16.964 billion yuan in 2024, a slight decrease of 0.46% year-on-year, while the net profit attributable to shareholders increased by 44.32% to 653 million yuan [4] - The company is focusing on resource integration to drive performance, with significant improvements in profitability from its coal-phosphorus-fluorine integration strategy [1][6] - The company plans to enhance its competitive edge through capacity expansion and technological upgrades, particularly in the fields of phosphoric acid and fluorine chemicals [7][8] Financial Performance Summary - In Q4 2024, the company reported a revenue of 3.443 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 3.11%, but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 22.78% [5] - For Q1 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 3.946 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 6.00% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 14.60% [5] - The company expects net profits for 2025-2027 to be 1.065 billion, 1.218 billion, and 1.309 billion yuan respectively, with year-on-year growth rates of 63.2%, 14.3%, and 7.5% [9] Strategic Developments - The company is set to complete the acquisition of 100% equity in Yichang Xinfatou, enhancing its coal and chemical industry chain integration [8] - The company is investing in high-value sectors such as fluorine chemicals, with a new project for anhydrous hydrogen fluoride expected to start in October 2024 [7] - The company is also focusing on expanding its production capacity in phosphoric acid and ammonium phosphate, which will strengthen its raw material supply capabilities [7][8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for Tencent Holdings is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Views - Tencent's Q1 revenue reached 1800.2 billion CNY, representing a year-over-year increase of 12.9% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 4.4%, exceeding consensus expectations of 1756.0 billion CNY [4] - The company's gross profit for Q1 was 1004.9 billion CNY, up 19.8% year-over-year and 10.9% quarter-over-quarter, also surpassing the consensus estimate of 947.7 billion CNY [4] - Adjusted net profit for Q1 was 613.3 billion CNY, reflecting a year-over-year growth of 22.0% and a quarter-over-quarter increase of 10.9%, exceeding the consensus forecast of 596.8 billion CNY [4] Summary by Sections Q1 Performance - Tencent's Q1 revenue was 1800.2 billion CNY, with a gross profit of 1004.9 billion CNY and adjusted net profit of 613.3 billion CNY, all beating market expectations [4] Value-Added Services (VAS) - Domestic game revenue in Q1 was 429 billion CNY, up 24% year-over-year, driven by seasonal peaks in popular games like "Honor of Kings" and "Crossfire Mobile" [5] - International game revenue reached 166 billion CNY, a 22% year-over-year increase, supported by titles such as "Brawl Stars" and "PUBG MOBILE" [5] Marketing Business - Marketing revenue for Q1 was 319 billion CNY, a 20% year-over-year increase, driven by strong demand for advertising on platforms like WeChat and video accounts [6] - The combined monthly active users (MAU) for WeChat and WeChat reached 1.402 billion, a 3% year-over-year increase [6] Financial Technology - Financial technology revenue was 549 billion CNY, a 5% year-over-year increase, with gross margin improving to 50% [7] AI Investments - Tencent's capital expenditure in Q1 was 274.8 billion CNY, a 91% year-over-year increase, reflecting ongoing investments in AI across various business lines [8] Profit Forecast - The projected net profits for Tencent for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 2560.2 billion CNY, 2973.9 billion CNY, and 3384.8 billion CNY respectively, with a stable pipeline of new games and AI integration across business lines [10]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 2.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 35%, but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 39%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 300 million yuan, up 26% year-on-year but down 55% quarter-on-quarter. The non-recurring net profit was also 300 million yuan, reflecting a 13% year-on-year increase but a 48% quarter-on-quarter decrease [4][5] - For the year 2024, the company is projected to achieve revenue of 9.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 45%, with a net profit of 1.6 billion yuan, down 10% year-on-year, and a non-recurring net profit of 1.4 billion yuan, up 17% year-on-year [4][5] - The company invested 2.5 billion yuan in R&D in 2024, a 94% increase year-on-year, with an R&D expense ratio of 16%. The company is developing over twenty new devices, significantly accelerating the development timeline from 3-5 years to 2 years or less. This high R&D investment has resulted in substantial new order growth, as evidenced by a 162% year-on-year increase in contract liabilities to 3.1 billion yuan [5] Financial Summary - The company’s projected financials for 2025-2027 include net profits of 2.48 billion yuan, 3.41 billion yuan, and 4.29 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 3.96 yuan, 5.46 yuan, and 6.87 yuan. The price-to-earnings ratios (PE) are expected to be 45x, 33x, and 26x, respectively [6][8] - The company’s revenue is expected to grow from 9.07 billion yuan in 2024 to 12.12 billion yuan in 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth rate of 33.7%. The gross margin is projected to improve from 41.1% in 2024 to 43.5% in 2025 [8]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [6] Core Views - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 2.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 35%, but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 39%. The net profit attributable to the parent company was 300 million yuan, up 26% year-on-year but down 55% quarter-on-quarter. The non-recurring net profit was also 300 million yuan, reflecting a 13% year-on-year increase but a 48% quarter-on-quarter decrease [4][5] - For the year 2024, the company is projected to achieve revenue of 9.1 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 45%, with a net profit of 1.6 billion yuan, down 10% year-on-year, and a non-recurring net profit of 1.4 billion yuan, up 17% year-on-year [4][5] - The company invested 2.5 billion yuan in R&D in 2024, a 94% increase year-on-year, with an R&D expense ratio of 16%. The company is developing over 20 new devices, significantly accelerating the development timeline from 3-5 years to 2 years or less. This high R&D investment has led to increased product breakthroughs and new order growth [5] - The company's contract liabilities surged to 3.1 billion yuan in Q1, a year-on-year increase of 162%, indicating a strong order backlog [5] Financial Summary - The company’s projected financials for 2025-2027 include net profits of 2.48 billion, 3.41 billion, and 4.29 billion yuan respectively, with corresponding EPS of 3.96, 5.46, and 6.87 yuan. The price-to-earnings ratios (PE) are expected to be 45x, 33x, and 26x respectively [6] - Key financial metrics for 2024A to 2027E include: - Revenue growth rates of 44.7%, 33.7%, 28.9%, and 18.2% respectively - Net profit growth rates of -9.5%, 53.2%, 37.9%, and 25.8% respectively - Gross margin expected to improve from 41.1% in 2024 to 44.6% in 2027 [8]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The company reported a net profit of 4.285 billion yuan for 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 9.62%, while the net profit for Q1 2025 was 1.323 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 63.08%, exceeding expectations [4][5] - The company's revenue for 2024 was 37.04 billion yuan, up 21.77% year-on-year, and for Q1 2025, revenue reached 8.978 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 38.28% [4][5] - The company is strategically expanding into humanoid robotics, with core component R&D already initiated, which is expected to contribute to future growth [4] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 37.04 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 21.77%, and a net profit of 4.285 billion yuan, down 9.62% year-on-year [4][5] - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 8.978 billion yuan, up 38.28% year-on-year, and a net profit of 1.323 billion yuan, up 63.08% year-on-year [4][5] - The gross margin for 2024 was 28.7%, a decrease of 4.85 percentage points, while the net margin was 11.73%, down 3.97 percentage points [4] Business Segments - The general automation segment achieved sales of 15.24 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 1.36%, with Q1 2025 showing a significant growth of 29% [4] - The new energy segment reported sales of 16.64 billion yuan in 2024, up 67.76% year-on-year, and Q1 2025 revenue was approximately 3.9 billion yuan, reflecting a 66% increase [4] - The smart elevator segment faced challenges due to a weak real estate market, with 2024 sales of approximately 4.94 billion yuan, down 6.65% year-on-year [4] Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on internationalization, having established 18 subsidiaries and offices globally, achieving overseas revenue of approximately 2 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 17% [4] - The company is also advancing in digitalization and AI technologies, with plans to enhance its capabilities in these areas [4] - The formal entry into humanoid robotics is expected to create new growth avenues for the company [4]

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 14.08 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year decrease of 3.75%, with a net profit of 1.364 billion yuan, down 61.63% year-on-year, primarily due to changes in corporate income tax policies [5][6] - The company maintains a stable leading position in the variety show market, launching 160 variety shows in 2024, with 40% being innovative shows, and holding 5 out of the top 10 spots in online variety show views [7] - The company’s membership numbers and revenue reached new highs, with 73.31 million members and membership revenue of 5.148 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 19.3% [8] - The company is leveraging AI technology for content creation, with a rich project reserve including various content categories [9] - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 14.92 billion, 16.00 billion, and 17.29 billion yuan respectively, with net profits expected to be 1.824 billion, 2.125 billion, and 2.412 billion yuan [11] Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 2.9 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 12.76%, and a net profit of 379 million yuan, down 19.80% year-on-year [6] - The company’s net profit margin for 2024 was 9.7%, with a gross margin of 29.0% [5] - The company’s financial indicators for 2024 include a return on equity (ROE) of 6.1% and earnings per share (EPS) of 0.73 yuan [13][15]