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京东集团-SW:京东集团24Q4点评:24Q4业绩超预期,25年国补红利持续释放-20250314
东方证券· 2025-03-14 13:05
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for JD Group, with a target price of 220.5 HKD per share [4][9]. Core Insights - JD Group's Q4 2024 performance exceeded expectations, with revenue of 3469.9 billion CNY, representing a year-over-year increase of 13.4%, and a Non-GAAP net profit of 112.9 billion CNY, up 34.2% year-over-year [6][9]. - The company benefits from the "old-for-new" policy, which has significantly boosted revenue, particularly in the electronics sector [6][9]. - The forecast for revenue from 2024 to 2026 has been adjusted upward due to the better-than-expected impact of the old-for-new policy, with projected revenues of 11588 billion CNY, 12586 billion CNY, and 13322 billion CNY respectively [3][9]. Financial Performance Summary - For Q4 2024, JD Group achieved a product revenue of 2809.8 billion CNY, a 14.0% increase year-over-year, with the electronics category generating 1741.5 billion CNY, up 15.8% year-over-year [6][9]. - The service revenue for Q4 2024 was 660.1 billion CNY, reflecting a 10.8% year-over-year growth, driven by increased user engagement and advertising revenue [6][9]. - The adjusted net profit for 2024 is projected to be 436 billion CNY, with further increases to 483 billion CNY in 2025 and 510 billion CNY in 2026 [3][9]. Segment Performance - JD Retail's revenue for Q4 2024 was 3070.6 billion CNY, a 14.7% increase year-over-year, benefiting from high growth in home appliances and electronics [6][9]. - JD Logistics reported revenue of 521.0 billion CNY for Q4 2024, a 10.4% year-over-year increase, with operating profit rising by 37.1% [6][9]. - New business initiatives, including the launch of JD's food delivery service, are in early stages but are expected to leverage existing logistics capabilities without significant immediate financial impact [6][9]. Shareholder Returns - In 2024, JD Group repurchased 2.553 million shares for approximately 36 billion USD, representing 8.1% of the total shares outstanding as of the end of 2023 [6][9]. - The company plans to distribute a dividend of 0.5 USD per share in 2024, totaling around 1.5 billion USD [6][9].
零跑汽车(09863):2月销量点评:月交付同比持续高增,期待3月B10发布
长江证券· 2025-03-14 12:08
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - In February, the company delivered 25,287 vehicles, representing a year-on-year increase of 285.1% and a month-on-month increase of 0.5%. Cumulatively, the company delivered over 50,000 vehicles in the first two months of the year, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 167.8%. The company anticipates continued sales growth driven by a strong new car cycle and overseas expansion through collaboration with Stellantis [2][4][6]. Summary by Sections Sales Performance - The company achieved a delivery of 25,287 vehicles in February, marking a year-on-year growth of 285.1% and a slight month-on-month growth of 0.5%. The total deliveries for January and February reached over 50,000 vehicles, which is a 167.8% increase year-on-year [2][4]. Future Outlook - The company is optimistic about future sales growth, with a target of 500,000 vehicles for 2025. The upcoming launch of the B10 model on March 10 is expected to further boost sales. The company plans to introduce 2-3 new products globally each year over the next three years, with three models from the B series planned for 2025 [6]. Market Strategy - The company is focusing on a strong new car cycle and competitive pricing to enhance sales. It has established a "1+N" channel development model in China, with 860 stores as of the end of 2024. Internationally, the company has 339 stores in Europe and aims to exceed 500 globally by 2025 [6]. Technological Advancements - The company is investing in advanced driving technology, planning to implement high-level driving functions based on a new architecture in the first half of 2025. The B10 model will be the first in its price range to feature laser radar for urban driving [6].
京东集团-SW(09618):24Q4业绩点评:盈利改善超预期,国补扩类物流协同打开增量空间
天风证券· 2025-03-14 12:08
港股公司报告 | 公司点评 京东集团-SW(09618) 证券研究报告 24Q4 业绩点评:盈利改善超预期,国补扩类物流协同打开增量空间 事件:北京时间 2025 年 3 月 6 日,京东集团(9618.SW)发布 2024 年第四季度及全年业 绩报告。2024 年第四季度,公司实现营业收入 3470 亿元,同比增长 13.4%,超彭博一致 预期;其中,商品收入 2,810 亿元,同比增长 14.0%;服务收入 660 亿元,同比增长 10.8%。 从 费 用 端 来 看 , 2024 年 第 四 季 度 研 发 / 销 售 / 管 理 / 履 约 费 用 率 分 别 为 1.3%/4.9%/0.7%/5.8%,研发/管理/履约费用率环比下降 0.4/0.2/0.5pct,销售费用率环比 上升 1.0pct。利润端表现强劲:2024 年第四季度 Non-GAAP 归属于公司普通股股东净利 润为 113 亿元,同比增长 34.5%,Non-GAAP 净利润率达 3.3%,同比优化 0.6pct。全 年来看,2024 年总收入 11,588 亿元,同比增长 6.8%;Non-GAAP 归母净利润 478 亿元, ...
吉利汽车(00175):2025年2月销量点评:2月销量再超20万辆,AI智能化大战略即将开启
长江证券· 2025-03-14 12:08
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Insights - In February 2025, the company achieved sales of 205,000 vehicles, representing a year-on-year increase of 83.9% but a month-on-month decrease of 23.2% [2][4]. - Cumulative sales for January and February 2025 reached 472,000 vehicles, up 45.2% year-on-year [2][4]. - The company is expected to enter a new product era supported by the GEA platform, with strong performance across its brands including Geely, Lynk & Co, and Zeekr [2][6]. - The transition to new energy vehicles is progressing smoothly, with significant scale effects anticipated to enhance profitability [2][6]. - The company has a solid foundation in fuel vehicles and is exploring innovative overseas expansion strategies [2][6]. - An AI-driven smart driving strategy is set to accelerate the enhancement of intelligent driving capabilities [2][6]. - The company aims for a sales target of 2.71 million vehicles in 2025, representing a 25% year-on-year growth, with specific targets for each brand [2][6]. Summary by Sections Sales Performance - February 2025 sales were 205,000 vehicles, with a year-on-year increase of 83.9% and a month-on-month decrease of 23.2% [2][4]. - January-February 2025 cumulative sales reached 472,000 vehicles, up 45.2% year-on-year [2][4]. - Breakdown by brand: Geely brand sold 174,000 vehicles (+91.5% YoY), Lynk & Co sold 17,000 vehicles (+30.5% YoY), and Zeekr sold 14,000 vehicles (+86.9% YoY) [2][6]. New Energy Transition - New energy vehicle sales in February reached 98,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 193.8% [2][6]. - The share of new energy vehicles in total sales was 48.0%, up 18.0 percentage points year-on-year [2][6]. - The company is focusing on high-quality overseas expansion, launching models in over 40 countries [2][6]. Strategic Developments - The GEA platform is expected to drive a new cycle of technology and product development, enhancing profitability [2][6]. - The company plans to fully embrace AI technology to improve smart driving capabilities [2][6]. - Expected net profits for 2024-2026 are projected at 16.4 billion, 12.4 billion, and 16.8 billion respectively, with corresponding PE ratios of 9.9X, 13.2X, and 9.7X [2][6].
零跑汽车2月销量点评:月交付同比持续高增,期待3月B10发布
长江证券· 2025-03-14 11:56
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and is maintained [6]. Core Views - In February, the company delivered 25,287 vehicles, representing a year-on-year increase of 285.1% and a month-on-month increase of 0.5%. Cumulatively, the company delivered over 50,000 vehicles in the first two months of the year, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 167.8% [2][4][7]. - The company is expected to continue benefiting from a strong new car cycle domestically, with plans for the B10 model to be launched in March, which is anticipated to drive further sales growth. Additionally, the partnership with Stellantis is expected to facilitate overseas expansion and enhance global sales potential [2][7]. Summary by Sections Sales Performance - February deliveries reached 25,287 units, marking a year-on-year increase of 285.1% and a month-on-month increase of 0.5%. The cumulative delivery for January and February exceeded 50,000 units, with a year-on-year growth of 167.8% [2][4][7]. Future Outlook - The company aims to achieve a sales target of 500,000 vehicles in 2025, with expectations for continued rapid growth driven by new vehicle launches and increased demand for high-priced models [7]. - The company plans to introduce 2-3 new products globally each year over the next three years, with three models from the B series set to launch in 2025, priced between 100,000 to 150,000 RMB [7]. Strategic Initiatives - The company is focusing on enhancing its competitive advantage through technological innovation and maintaining a strong price-performance ratio. The domestic market is expected to see a rapid increase in sales, while the overseas strategy with Stellantis aims to leverage global resources for efficient market entry [7].
零跑汽车(09863):点评:四季度实现净利润转正,B10发布即爆款
长江证券· 2025-03-14 11:54
丨证券研究报告丨 港股研究丨公司点评丨零跑汽车(9863.HK) [Table_Title] 零跑汽车点评:四季度实现净利润转正,B10 发 布即爆款 报告要点 [Table_Summary] 零跑汽车专注全域自研构造成本优势,造就极致品价比,产品覆盖 5-20 万价格带,2024 年四 季度营收 135 亿元,毛利率 13.3%。B10 发布 1 小时后,订单突破 1.5 万辆,订单火爆。展望 未来,公司国内新车周期带来销量持续增长,海外与 Stellantis 合作实现轻资产出海,打开全球 销量空间。 分析师及联系人 [Table_Author] 高伊楠 王子豪 SAC:S0490517060001 SAC:S0490524070004 SFC:BUW101 请阅读最后评级说明和重要声明 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 [Table_Title 零跑汽车点评:四季度实现净利润转正, 2] B10 发 布即爆款 [Table_Summary2] 事件描述 公司 2024 年年报发布,同时零跑 B10 正式发布上市。 事件评论 丨证券研究报告丨 2025-03-14 港股研究 ...
阅文集团(00772):新丽项目递延影响2024年盈利预期,关注短剧、衍生品等IP业务增长
交银国际· 2025-03-14 11:53
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Neutral" investment rating to the company,阅文集团 (772 HK), with a target price adjusted to HKD 28.00, indicating a potential upside of 12.7% from the current price of HKD 24.85 [1][4][12]. Core Insights - The report highlights that the delay in the 新丽 project impacts the 2024 profit expectations, while growth is anticipated in short dramas and derivative IP businesses [2]. - The company is expected to face a net loss of RMB 150-250 million for 2024, primarily due to non-cash goodwill impairment related to the acquisition of 新丽传媒 [5]. - Revenue expectations for 2024 have been slightly reduced by 1% to RMB 7.7 billion, with online business remaining stable and core IP operations expected to grow by 34% [5][8]. - The report emphasizes the potential for growth in core IP operations, driven by the integration of 腾讯动漫 and the launch of short dramas [5][8]. Financial Overview - Revenue projections for the years 2023 to 2026 are as follows: RMB 7,012 million (2023), RMB 7,695 million (2024E), RMB 7,882 million (2025E), and RMB 8,220 million (2026E), with a projected growth rate of 9.8% in 2024 [3][8][13]. - Net profit is forecasted to be RMB 1,130 million (2023), RMB 1,139 million (2024E), RMB 1,445 million (2025E), and RMB 1,568 million (2026E), with a notable increase of 23.7% in 2025 [3][8][13]. - The report indicates a decrease in the adjusted net profit expectation for 2024 by 18% to RMB 1.1 billion, reflecting a profit margin of 15% [5][8]. Valuation - The valuation is based on a projected adjusted net profit of RMB 1.4 billion for 2025, with a reference to a price-to-earnings ratio of 18 times for comparable quality content and copyright companies [5][8]. - The target price has been slightly adjusted from HKD 29.00 to HKD 28.00, maintaining a neutral stance on the stock [5][12].
布鲁可(00325):被低估的品牌力
信达证券· 2025-03-14 11:45
[Table_ReportType] 公司点评报告 [Table_StockAndRank] 布鲁可(0325.HK) 证券研究报告 公司研究 | | | 上次评级 买入 [Table_A 姜文镪 uthor新消费] 行业首席分析师 执业编号:S1500524120004 邮 箱:jiangwenqiang@cindasc.com [Table_Title] 布鲁可:被低估的品牌力 2025 YYYY 年年MM3 月月14DD 日日 [Table_S 事件:我们预计 ummary] 2 月出货延续景气,渠道库存健康。 深度思考:1)布鲁可的品牌价值某种程度上是被低估的,货架占领力可侧 面印证;2)产品力本身优势显著,除涂色、质感、拼搭手感外,我们可以 观察到产品的一些小巧思(果酱、香蕉、肩甲等细节),拼搭作为一种沉浸 式体验,产品 know-how 本身就是一种壁垒;3)布鲁可有在用心运营粉丝, BFC 创作赛、每月玩家生日抽奖等私域活动持续沉淀粉丝;根据国家统计 局,2023 年我国 5-14 岁儿童数量约 1.8 亿人(其中预估男童约 9800 万人), 公司 24 年出货粗略估计在 1 亿件左右,考虑端 ...
京东集团-SW(09618):24Q4点评:24Q4业绩超预期,25年国补红利持续释放
东方证券· 2025-03-14 11:29
24Q4 业绩超预期,25 年国补红利持续释 放 ——京东集团 24Q4 点评 核心观点 盈利预测与投资建议 ⚫ 我们调整盈利预测,预测 2024-2026 年收入为 11588/12586/13322 亿元(原 2024- 2026 年预测为 11385/12098/12878 亿元,因以旧换新政策效果超预期上调收 入),经调整归母净利润为 436/483/510 亿元(原 2024-2026 年预测为 421/472/507 亿元,因带电类等高毛利商品占比增加上调利润率)。参考可比公 司,给予京东零售业务 2025 年 12xPE,分部估值计算公司市值 6480 亿元,对应每 股股价 220.48 港元(人民币兑港币汇率 1.083),维持"买入"评级。 风险提示:政策效果不及预期,行业竞争加剧,行业监管趋严。 京东集团-SW 公司研究 | 季报点评 | | 09618.HK | | --- | --- | | | 买入(维持) | | 股价(2025年03月12日) | 156.7 港元 | | 目标价格 | 220.5 港元 | | 52 周最高价/最低价 | 192.3/94.65 港元 | | 总 ...
361度(01361):2025年指引积极,加速发力超品店
民银证券· 2025-03-14 11:18
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to the company 361 Degrees (1361.HK) with a target price of HKD 5.63, indicating a potential upside of 22.7% from the current price of HKD 4.59 [3][8]. Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a revenue growth of 20% and a net profit growth of 19% for 2024, aligning with expectations. The end-of-period inventory increased by 56% to HKD 2.1 billion due to early stocking for the Spring Festival [5][6]. - The company plans to expand its "super product stores" to 100 by the end of 2025, aiming to create a store model similar to "Uniqlo" in the sports industry [7][8]. - The report anticipates a revenue growth of 10-15% for 2025, with a net profit margin projected between 10-12% [8]. Financial Performance - For 2024, the company reported a revenue of HKD 10.07 billion, with a gross profit margin of 41.5% and a net profit margin of 11.4% [5][9]. - The forecast for 2025E-2027E indicates revenues of HKD 11.24 billion, HKD 12.41 billion, and HKD 13.66 billion, representing year-on-year growth rates of 11.5%, 10.4%, and 10.1% respectively [8][9]. - The net profit for the same period is expected to be HKD 1.28 billion, HKD 1.41 billion, and HKD 1.57 billion, with growth rates of 11.3%, 10.5%, and 11.0% respectively [8][9]. Market Position and Strategy - The company has seen strong performance in its running and basketball categories, with year-on-year growth rates of 30% and 20% respectively. High-end products have also made significant contributions to sales [6][8]. - The company is focusing on enhancing its inventory management and improving cash flow, with a projected operating cash flow of HKD 70 million for 2024 [5][8].