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平安好医生(01833):收入好于预期,关注集团协同与AI赋能效果
华泰证券· 2025-03-14 03:14
Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" with a target price of HKD 9.00 [6][15][8]. Core Insights - The company's revenue for 2H24 was HKD 2.71 billion, a year-on-year increase of 10.7%, exceeding the consensus estimate of HKD 2.47 billion, primarily due to better-than-expected income from health and elderly care services [1]. - Non-IFRS net profit was HKD 0.07 billion, slightly below the consensus estimate of HKD 0.09 billion, attributed to upfront investments in elderly care, corporate health, and AI initiatives, resulting in a non-IFRS net profit margin of 2.5% [1]. - The report emphasizes the importance of synergies with the group and the progress of AI technology in reducing costs and enhancing efficiency [1]. Revenue and Profitability - The company's medical services revenue increased by 6.7% to HKD 1.11 billion in 2H24, driven by enhanced collaboration with group medical insurance and the development of family doctor compensation models [2]. - The gross margin for medical services improved to 46.6%, up 9.6 percentage points year-on-year, due to structural changes within the business [2]. - The health services revenue decreased by 0.2% to HKD 1.37 billion in 2H24, primarily due to one-time factors affecting high base revenue from 2H23 [3]. Strategic Developments - The company achieved steady progress in expanding high-value strategic users, with F-end strategic business revenue growing by 9.6% to HKD 2.42 billion in 2H24 [4]. - The B-end strategic business recorded a revenue increase of 32.7% to HKD 1.43 billion, with the number of serviced enterprises reaching 2,049 [4]. - The report highlights significant growth potential in corporate health management services, which saw nearly 70% revenue growth quarter-on-quarter in 2H24 [4]. Financial Forecasts and Valuation - The non-IFRS net profit forecasts for 2025 and 2026 have been raised by 23.3% and 22.1% to HKD 0.30 billion and HKD 0.39 billion, respectively, due to AI cost reductions and cautious expense management [5]. - The new target price of HKD 9.00 is based on a DCF valuation, reflecting a price-to-sales ratio of 3.3x and 3.0x for 2025 and 2026 [15]. - The report projects revenue for 2025 to be HKD 5.385 billion, with a year-on-year growth of 12% [7].
中银航空租赁(02588):保险赔偿拉高利润,NLY有望改善
华泰证券· 2025-03-14 03:14
证券研究报告 中银航空租赁 (2588 HK) 港股通 保险赔偿拉高利润,NLY 有望改善 | 华泰研究 | | 年报点评 | | --- | --- | --- | | 2025 年 3 月 | 14 日│中国香港 | 租赁 | 中银航空租赁(BOCA)24 年归母净利润 9.2 亿美元(同比+21%),好于 我们预计的 7.5 亿美元,主要由于下半年与滞俄飞机有关的 1.15 亿保险赔 偿拉高了利润。剔除涉俄因素后的核心净利润为 6.3 亿美元。净租赁收益率 (NLY)同比提升 10bps 至 7.2%,主因经营租赁业务的资金成本逐渐下降。 预计未来飞机供不应求仍将带动飞机价值和租金提升,并利好公司租赁收入 和飞机处置收入。上游飞机制造商的产能边际好转亦将部分缓解交付压力。 同时倘若海外利率进一步下行,公司负债成本压力将进一步下降。"买入" 资本开支目标保持不变,25 年飞机交付有望边际好转 2024 年末自有飞机和引擎 445 架,在管飞机 32 架,已订飞机 232 架。飞 机资产的账面净值为 180 亿美元,同比下滑 5%,主因飞机出售数量增多, 以及上游飞机制造商产能短缺拖累交付(27 架飞机延期 ...
中国飞鹤(06186):生育政策加码,婴配粉龙头有望迎来利好
华泰证券· 2025-03-14 03:14
证券研究报告 中国飞鹤 (6186 HK) 港股通 生育政策加码,婴配粉龙头有望迎来利好 华泰研究 动态点评 2025 年 3 月 14 日│中国香港 食品 今年以来,生育刺激政策正在加速落地:3 月 6 日财政部部长蓝佛安表示今 年加大对民生领域的投入力度,让居民收入更稳定,同时提出对幼儿发放育 儿补贴,建立学前教育国家资助制度;3 月 7 日国家卫生健康委员会主任雷 海潮指出今年将发放育儿补贴,国家卫健委正在会同有关部门起草相关的育 儿补贴的操作方案(据第一财经);3 月 13 日内蒙古呼和浩特发布育儿补贴 细则(对于生育一孩/二孩/三孩及以上分别发放补贴 1/5/10 万元),3 月 1 日起实施,提供产妇 "一杯奶"生育关怀,同时,义务教育阶段二孩入学 "幼随长走、就近择优"&三孩及以上家庭孩子入学可在全市自由选择。政 策端多措并举、居民生育意愿有望提升,公司作为婴配粉龙头企业迎来利好, 维持"买入"评级。 24 年新生人口数量同比增加,生育刺激落地有望带来发展新机遇 伴随着新国标出台后中小品牌促销及去库存已步入尾声,婴配粉行业竞争趋 于理性,整体价盘逐步企稳,据国家统计局数据,24 年我国出生人口数 ...
361度:2024年业绩点评:24年业绩较快增长,期待继续强化核心竞争力-20250314
光大证券· 2025-03-14 02:45
2025 年 3 月 14 日 公司研究 24 年业绩较快增长,期待继续强化核心竞争力 ——361 度(1361.HK)2024 年业绩点评 买入(维持) 当前价:4.49 元港币 作者 分析师:姜浩 执业证书编号:S0930522010001 021-52523680 jianghao@ebscn.com 分析师:孙未未 执业证书编号:S0930517080001 021-52523672 sunww@ebscn.com 分析师:朱洁宇 执业证书编号:S0930523070004 021-52523842 zhujieyu@ebscn.com 24 年收入、归母净利润同比+19.6%、+19.5% 361 度发布 2024 年业绩。公司 2024 年实现营业收入 100.7 亿元,同比增长 19.6%, 归母净利润 11.5 亿元,同比增长 19.5%,EPS 为 0.56 元,拟每股派发末期现金红 利 0.10 港元,结合中期现金红利 0.165 港元,全年派息率为 45.0%。分上下半年来 看,2024 年上半年收入/归母净利润分别同比+19.2%/+12.2%,下半年分别同比 +20.0%/+39.2 ...
小鹏汽车-W:新款G6爆款潜力大,加速全场景智驾平权-20250314
平安证券· 2025-03-14 02:40
汽车 2025 年 03 月 14 日 小鹏汽车-W(9868.HK) 新款G6爆款潜力大,加速全场景智驾平权 推荐(维持) 事项: 公司举办 2025 小鹏汽车春季发布会,上市 2025 款小鹏 G6 和 2025 款小鹏 G9 两款新车,其中 2025 款小鹏 G6 共推出 3 款配置车型,售价 17.68 万~19.88 万元,2025 款小鹏 G9 同样推出 3 款配置车型,售价 24.88 万~27.88 万元。 平安观点: | | 2022A | 2023A | 2024E | 2025E | 2026E | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 营业收入(百万元) | 26855 | 30676 | 40994 | 90887 | 128262 | | YOY(%) | 28.0 | 14.2 | 33.6 | 121.7 | 41.1 | | 净利润(百万元) | -9139 | -10376 | -5580 | -1175 | 2057 | | YOY(%) | -87.9 | -13.5 | 46.2 | 79.0 | 275.1 | | 毛利率( ...
中广核矿业:利润警报主要与一次性项目相关;核心利润保持稳定。-20250314
招银国际· 2025-03-14 02:23
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for China General Nuclear Power Group (1164 HK) with a target price of HKD 2.36, representing a potential upside of 55.5% from the current price of HKD 1.52 [4][5][25] Core Insights - The profit warning issued by China General Nuclear Power Group indicates a projected net profit decline of HKD 130-180 million for 2024, primarily due to one-off items such as dividend withholding tax and fair value changes from stock exchanges [1][2] - Excluding these one-off factors, the pre-tax profit from ongoing operations is expected to grow by HKD 230-280 million in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 41-50%, slightly above previous forecasts [1][2] - The company reported a significant increase in income tax expenses for the first half of 2024, attributed to changes in Kazakhstan's tax policy regarding dividend withholding tax [1] Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from HKD 7,363 million in FY23A to HKD 10,992 million in FY24E, representing a year-on-year growth rate of 49.3% [3][12] - Adjusted net profit is expected to decline from HKD 497.1 million in FY23A to HKD 443.4 million in FY24E, a decrease of 10.8% [3][12] - The company’s earnings per share (adjusted) is forecasted to decrease from HKD 6.54 in FY23A to HKD 5.83 in FY24E [3][12] Shareholder Structure - China General Nuclear Power Group holds a 56.9% stake in the company, with China Chengtong Holdings holding 10.0% [5] Stock Performance - The stock has experienced a decline of 2.6% over the past month and 7.9% over the past three months [6]
361度(01361):2024年业绩点评:24年业绩较快增长,期待继续强化核心竞争力
光大证券· 2025-03-14 02:15
2025 年 3 月 14 日 公司研究 24 年业绩较快增长,期待继续强化核心竞争力 ——361 度(1361.HK)2024 年业绩点评 买入(维持) 当前价:4.49 元港币 作者 分析师:姜浩 执业证书编号:S0930522010001 021-52523680 jianghao@ebscn.com 分析师:孙未未 执业证书编号:S0930517080001 021-52523672 sunww@ebscn.com 分析师:朱洁宇 执业证书编号:S0930523070004 021-52523842 zhujieyu@ebscn.com | 市场数据 | | | --- | --- | | 总股本(亿股) | 20.68 | | 总市值(亿港元): | 92.84 | | 一年最低/最高(港元): | 3.15/4.85 | | 近 3 月换手率: | 21.4% | 股价相对走势 -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 24/01 24/02 24/03 24/04 24/05 24/06 24/07 24/08 24/09 24/10 24/11 24/12 25 ...
中创新航(03931):海外业务可期,入通改善流动性
国盛证券· 2025-03-14 01:40
证券研究报告 | 公司点评 gszqdatemark 2025 03 13 年 月 日 中创新航(03931.HK) 海外业务可期,入通改善流动性 2025 年 2 月 24 日,公司发布盈利预喜。根据公司初步评估,2024 年公 司净利润介于 7.86-8.74 亿元,较 2023 年的 4.37 亿元同比增长 80%- 100%。业绩增长的主要驱动因素包括: Q1 出货规模值得期待,关注海外业务。根据高工锂电,中创新航 2025Q1 动储电池出货量预计达 20GWh,同比增幅近 150%。其中,面向出口车型 的出货量预计占中创新航动力板块整体出货量的 30%以上,这可能得益 于:1)2024 年 7 月阳光电源与沙特 ALGIHAZ 成功签约当时全球最大储 能项目,容量高达 7.8GWh,中创新航为该项目供应高性能电芯;2)2024 年 11 月,阳光电源再获欧洲市场 4.4GWh 储能订单,中创新航再次为阳 光电源储能项目配套高性能电芯;3)公司和多家国际车企就新平台项目 达成合作,并助力多个国内车企实现整车出口。 2025 年 3 月 10 日起,中创新航被正式纳入港股通。3 月 9 日中创新航 在港 ...
友邦保险(01299):发展壁垒稳固,有望迎来价值重估
国金证券· 2025-03-14 01:09
投资逻辑 友邦业务覆盖亚太地区 18 个市场,经营及财务表现稳健。1)新 单保费与 NBV 底部周期有韧性,2023 年来重回高增长,2024 年 NBV Margin 企稳回升。2019 年开始受香港社会事件、公共卫生事件等 因素 NBV 承压,2018-2022 年 4 年 NBV 复合增速为-6%,但好于内 地其他寿险公司。在公共卫生事件因素消除、香港通关、内地预 定利率切换下 2023-24 年 NBV 重回双位数正增长,2024Q1-3 NBV 同比+20%,NBV Margin 开始企稳回升。2)得益于新业务价值的稳 定增长以及存量高价值保单的稳定摊销,营运利润实现平稳增长。 2024H1,公司税后归母营运利润同比+3.5%(固定汇率口径同比 +7%)。3)公司内含价值的成长性和可信性兼具。友邦投资回报假 设和贴现率假设根据市场收益率变动及时调整,以保证价值评估 的审慎性。且资产负债久期缺口较小,其内含价值和新业务价值 的利率敏感性远低于内地上市公司。NBV 增长稳健及营运差异优 秀,使得友邦的 ROEV 维持在较高位。4)公司资本管理政策优化, 股东回报的可预期性、稳定性提升。友邦自上市以来分红 ...
波司登:期待春夏户外新品-20250314
天风证券· 2025-03-13 16:30
Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price yet to be specified [6]. Core Insights - The company is enhancing its product offerings with innovative urban light outdoor series and stylish functional jackets, catering to the diverse needs of young consumers [1]. - The brand is transitioning from being recognized as a global leader in down jackets to a comprehensive leader in the category, focusing on brand awareness and consumer perception [2]. - The company is leveraging smart logistics and inventory management to ensure efficient operations and quick response to market demands, which is a key competitive advantage [3]. - The revenue forecasts for FY25-27 have been slightly adjusted, with expected revenues of RMB 25.7 billion, RMB 28.6 billion, and RMB 32.2 billion respectively, alongside adjusted net profits and EPS figures [4]. Summary by Sections Product Development - The company is launching a new collection of light outdoor and functional jackets that balance style and protective features, appealing to urban and outdoor consumers [1]. Brand Strategy - The brand is focusing on enhancing its image as a leading down jacket expert through integrated marketing strategies and consumer engagement initiatives [2]. Supply Chain Management - The company has implemented a smart logistics system that manages inventory across various channels, ensuring high availability of popular products and quick replenishment [3]. Financial Projections - Adjustments to financial forecasts reflect a cautious outlook on the macro consumption environment, with revised revenue and profit expectations for the upcoming fiscal years [4].