Group 1 - The core focus of the news is on the performance and trends of actively managed equity funds, highlighting their significant stock positions and preference for value style investments [1][2][4] - As of the end of 2025, the total scale of actively managed equity funds reached 3.91 trillion yuan, with equity mixed funds dominating both in number (2,770 products) and scale (2.41 trillion yuan), accounting for over 61% of the total [1][2] - The number of new actively managed equity fund products launched in Q4 2025 was 112, with a total scale of 570.83 billion yuan, maintaining stability compared to Q3 2025 [2] Group 2 - The top three sectors favored by actively managed equity funds as of the end of 2025 were electronics, pharmaceuticals and biology, and power equipment, with the electronics sector having the highest holding ratio at 23.76% [4] - The top three individual stocks held by actively managed equity funds were Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, and Ningde Times [4] - The overall performance of actively managed equity funds in Q4 2025 was weaker compared to Q3 2025, although flexible allocation mixed funds outperformed the CSI 300 index with a quarterly return of 0.26% [2][3] Group 3 - The stock positions of actively managed equity funds remained high in Q4 2025, with equity investment funds at 90.54%, equity mixed funds at 87.82%, and flexible allocation mixed funds at 74.20% [3] - The market outlook for 2026 is optimistic, with expectations of a shift from valuation-driven growth to fundamental-driven growth as corporate earnings stabilize [5][6] - The current low interest rate environment enhances the attractiveness of equity assets, with potential for significant capital inflow into A-shares and Hong Kong stocks [6]

长安基金王浩聿：以产业周期视角迎接AI投资浪潮 ◎记者 赵明超 历经苹果产业链崛起、5G爆发及新能源浪潮等多轮产业周期，长安宏观策略混合基金经理王浩聿直 言，"水大才能鱼多"。他沉淀出一套"锚定趋势、验证业绩、敬畏估值"的核心框架。当人工智能成为席 卷全球的科技浪潮时，王浩聿表示这是"20年一遇的大机会"，需要沉下心做好研究与跟踪，才能把握好 这次投资机会。 聚焦产业发展趋势 在担任基金经理前，王浩聿在科技行业深耕多年，覆盖电子、传媒、通信、计算机、机器人等领域，也 逐渐形成了一套完整的投资框架，即从产业发展趋势入手，聚焦行业竞争格局，精选优质公司，通过对 订单和业绩的持续跟踪，结合市场走势和估值水平，对仓位进行灵活调整。 "任何产业趋势背后都有核心驱动力。以苹果产业链为例，很多人在研究苹果产业链时，可能会聚焦供 应链公司的订单业绩情况，但就本质而言，这些其实是产业趋势发展的结果。真正关键的是研究苹果公 司自身的发展逻辑，比如它如何规划产品线、未来手机的创新方向在哪里、TWS耳机为何能实现爆发 式增长、AI手机应该如何设计等，这才是产业链研究的核心。"王浩聿表示。 在锚定方向后，王浩聿会从竞争格局、订单及业绩 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the semiconductor industry, particularly focusing on CPU and memory sectors [6]. Core Insights - The emergence of Agentic AI is creating structural shortages in the CPU market, leading to price increases for server CPUs. The demand for AI servers is expected to grow significantly, with a projected annual increase of 28.3% in 2026 [1][12]. - The overall server shipment is anticipated to rise by 12.8% in 2026, driven by the need for both AI and general-purpose servers [12]. - Intel and AMD have sold out their server CPU capacities for 2026 and plan to raise prices by 10%-20% depending on the model, which will impact the entire supply chain [21]. - The memory market, particularly DRAM and NAND Flash, is expected to see substantial growth, with DRAM revenue projected to reach $404.3 billion in 2026, a 144% increase year-on-year [40][41]. Summary by Sections AI Agent Impact on CPU Demand - The demand for CPUs is being driven by AI inference, leading to a replacement cycle for general-purpose servers. Major cloud service providers (CSPs) are increasing their capital expenditures significantly [11]. - The introduction of DeepSeek's Engram architecture highlights the growing importance of CPUs, as it allows for efficient data storage and retrieval without relying solely on expensive GPU memory [15][19]. - Agentic AI's influence on CPUs is multiplicative, making them a critical performance bottleneck in AI systems [20]. Memory Market Growth - The memory market is expected to reach $5.516 trillion in 2026, with NAND Flash revenue projected to double to $1.473 trillion [40][41]. - The demand for DRAM is expected to grow significantly due to high data access needs, with a projected revenue of $1.657 trillion in 2025, increasing to $4.043 trillion in 2026 [40]. - The ongoing AI wave is driving the need for high-performance memory solutions, which are essential for supporting large-scale AI models and applications [42]. Intel's Performance and Outlook - Intel's Q4 2025 revenue was $13.7 billion, a 4% decline year-on-year, primarily due to supply constraints [22][28]. - The company is focusing on improving its production capacity and yield rates, with expectations of a gradual increase in supply starting in Q2 2026 [37]. - Intel's Data Center and AI (DCAI) business is expected to have a strong year, driven by the increasing demand for AI infrastructure [37].

Core Viewpoint - The latest public fund top ten heavy stocks show a significant shift, with AI technology and new energy stocks occupying nine positions, leaving only one for Kweichow Moutai, indicating a divergence in the consumer sector [1][2]. Group 1: Changes in Fund Holdings - As of 2025, only Kweichow Moutai remains among the top ten heavy stocks in public active equity funds, with the other nine being tech and new energy companies like Zhongji Xuchuang and Ningde Times [2]. - In Q4 2021, three liquor stocks were among the top ten heavy stocks, including Moutai and Wuliangye, which were key players in the previous structural market [2]. - By the end of 2025, 1,048 funds held Kweichow Moutai, with a total market value of 118.203 billion yuan, ranking fourth among the top ten heavy stocks [2]. Group 2: Performance of Traditional Consumer Funds - Some funds have been loyal to traditional liquor stocks, with E Fund Blue Chip Select holding Kweichow Moutai for 29 consecutive quarters and Invesco Great Wall New Growth for 36 quarters [3]. - Many funds focusing on traditional consumption have seen poor performance, with some funds losing over 30% since inception and others reporting negative returns for four consecutive years [3]. - Fund managers focusing on traditional consumption often neglect to analyze their heavy holdings, instead discussing macroeconomic factors, which may indicate a disconnect from their investment strategies [3]. Group 3: Emergence of New Consumption Trends - New consumption trends, such as collectible toys and the "millet economy," have gained traction, with funds increasingly investing in these areas, while traditional consumer funds remain unresponsive [4][5]. - For example, Pop Mart has 123 funds holding it, with significant positions taken by active equity funds that are not traditional consumer funds [5]. - The divide between new and old consumption is perceived as non-existent, with both being products of changing market demands and technological advancements [5][6]. Group 4: Future Consumption Opportunities - Consumption remains a vital driver of economic growth, with expectations for service consumption in entertainment, gaming, and tourism to provide new investment opportunities [6][7]. - Fund managers suggest that the previous optimism surrounding traditional consumption stocks may be misplaced, advocating for a focus on emerging sectors like gaming and sports as new growth areas [7]. - The integration of technology and manufacturing is expected to create synergies, particularly in the robotics sector, which is becoming increasingly relevant across various industries [7].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Outperform the Market" (maintained) [4][40]. Core Insights - Intel's Q4 2025 revenue was $13.7 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 4.1% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 3%. The revenue from the Client Computing Group (CCG) was $8.19 billion, down 6.6% year-on-year, while the Data Center and AI (DCAI) segment saw revenue of $4.74 billion, up 8.9% year-on-year. The Foundry business generated $4.51 billion, an increase of 3.8% year-on-year. Despite a recovery in core DCAI business, Intel's Q1 2026 guidance was significantly below market expectations, forecasting revenue between $11.7 billion and $12.7 billion [4][7][8]. - TE Connectivity reported Q1 2026 net sales of $4.7 billion, a 22% year-on-year increase, driven by growth in industrial and transportation sectors. Earnings per share rose to $2.53, up 45% year-on-year, with adjusted EPS at $2.72, a 33% increase. The company expects Q2 2026 sales of approximately $4.7 billion, a 13% year-on-year increase [4][7][8]. - Resonac, a major semiconductor materials manufacturer, announced a 30% price increase for all series of copper-clad laminates and adhesive films starting March 1, 2026, due to tight supply and rising costs of raw materials [4][8]. - The semiconductor industry is expected to benefit from AI advancements, with a projected 10,000-fold increase in total computing power by 2035. Key investment targets include companies across the semiconductor supply chain, such as SMIC, Hua Hong Semiconductor, and others [4][36]. Summary by Sections Industry Dynamics - Intel's Q4 2025 revenue was $13.7 billion, with a decline in CCG but growth in DCAI. Q1 2026 revenue guidance is significantly lower than expected [4][7]. - TE Connectivity's Q1 2026 net sales were $4.7 billion, with strong performance in industrial and transportation sectors [4][8]. - Price increases announced by Resonac and other companies in the semiconductor materials sector due to rising costs [4][8]. Market Review - The electronic industry saw a weekly increase of 1.39% from January 19 to January 23, 2026, with the construction materials sector leading the gains [9][10]. Industry High-Frequency Data Tracking - TV panel prices are expected to see mild increases in January 2026, while monitor panel prices are predicted to remain stable [16][18]. - Memory prices for various DRAM types have shown an upward trend from January 19 to January 23, 2026 [21].

Core Viewpoint - The E Fund Reform Dividend Mixed Fund (001076) reported a profit of 149 million yuan in Q4 2025, with a weighted average profit per fund share of 0.2411 yuan, and a net value growth rate of 8.74% for the period [2]. Fund Performance - As of January 22, the fund's unit net value was 3.343 yuan, with a one-year cumulative net value growth rate of 103.59%, ranking 2nd among comparable funds [2][3]. - Over the past three months, the fund's net value growth rate was 19.82%, ranking 11th out of 185 comparable funds; over the past six months, it was 77.54%, ranking 2nd out of 185 [3]. - The fund's three-year net value growth rate was 77.07%, ranking 8th out of 176 comparable funds [3]. Risk and Return Metrics - The fund's Sharpe ratio over the past three years was 1.0696, ranking 7th out of 176 comparable funds [7]. - The maximum drawdown over the past three years was 33.13%, with the largest single-quarter drawdown occurring in Q1 2021 at 28.24% [9]. Investment Strategy and Outlook - The fund manager anticipates a continuation of an active market in 2026, with structural opportunities expected to emerge, driven by macro liquidity easing, supply-demand structure improvement, policy catalysts, and valuation recovery [2]. - The fund maintains an average stock position of 87.31% over the past three years, with a peak of 92.71% at the end of 2022 and a low of 74.88% in Q3 2021 [12]. Fund Composition - As of Q4 2025, the fund's total size was 1.914 billion yuan [14]. - The top ten holdings included Dongshan Precision, Zhongji Xuchuang, Huashu High-Tech, Mingyang Smart Energy, Xinyi Sheng, Xinwangda, Century Huatong, Juhua Co., Industrial Fulian, and Meinian Health [17].

Core Insights - The active equity public funds have seen a significant shift in their top holdings, with Zhongji Xuchuang surpassing Ningde Times to become the largest holding, indicating a transition in investment focus from new energy to AI hardware [2][3][10] Group 1: Company Performance - Zhongji Xuchuang's market capitalization reached 825.40 billion yuan, while Ningde Times held a market cap of 818.28 billion yuan, indicating a close competition for the top position [2] - Zhongji Xuchuang's stock price surged from 70 yuan to 585 yuan within nine months, reflecting a sevenfold increase and a total market value nearing 650 billion yuan [7][9] - The company reported a revenue of 14.79 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 36.95%, and a net profit of 3.995 billion yuan, up 69.40% [9] Group 2: Market Trends - The shift in top holdings reflects a broader trend where institutional funds are reallocating from traditional sectors like new energy to emerging sectors such as AI hardware [10] - The global market for Ethernet optical modules is projected to grow significantly, with a forecasted increase of 35% to 18.9 billion USD in 2026, driven by the demand for data center infrastructure [9] Group 3: Fund Holdings - As of the end of Q4 2025, the top ten holdings of active equity funds included Zhongji Xuchuang, Ningde Times, and Xinyi Technology, highlighting the dominance of AI-related stocks [4] - Zhongji Xuchuang was held by 1,273 active equity funds, with a total holding of 135.31 million shares, representing 12.24% of its circulating shares [3][4]

Core Viewpoint - The AI Fund, Fuguo New Materials New Energy Mixed A, reported a profit of 51.271 million yuan for Q4 2025, with a weighted average profit per fund share of 0.1231 yuan, and a net value growth rate of 3.82% during the reporting period [2]. Fund Performance - As of January 22, the fund's unit net value was 2.398 yuan, with a fund size of 932 million yuan [2][14]. - The fund's performance over various time frames includes a 19.32% growth rate over the last three months, ranking 21 out of 100 among comparable funds; a 53.49% growth rate over the last six months, ranking 9 out of 100; a 53.09% growth rate over the last year, ranking 34 out of 92; and a 63.67% growth rate over the last three years, ranking 4 out of 68 [3]. Investment Strategy - The fund primarily invests in advanced manufacturing stocks, focusing on the robotics sector and some leading companies in computing power, with minor investments in solid-state battery-related companies [2]. - The fund manager indicated adjustments in the robotics holdings during Q4, as the robotics sector is expected to enter mass production, presenting significant market opportunities [2]. Risk and Return Metrics - The fund's Sharpe ratio over the last three years is 0.8822, ranking 3 out of 66 among comparable funds [7]. - The maximum drawdown over the last three years is 46.77%, with the highest quarterly drawdown occurring in Q1 2024 at 35.24% [9]. Portfolio Composition - The average stock position over the last three years was 88.12%, slightly above the comparable average of 87.15%, with a peak of 92.47% expected by mid-2024 [12]. - The top ten holdings of the fund as of Q4 2025 include companies such as Zhongji Xuchuang, Xinyi Sheng, Hengbo Co., Zhejiang Rongtai, and others [17].

"从宏观角度看，市场资金在追求短期收益与长期战略配置之间寻求平衡，对行业发展前景与政策环境的综合 考量导致了资金流向的调整。"受访人士向21世纪经济报道记者指出。 公募主动权益基金第一大重仓股有了"新面孔"。 机构最新统计数据显示，截至2025年4季度末，中际旭创代替宁德时代成为主动权益基金（包括主动股票基 金、偏股混合基金、灵活配置基金）第一大重仓股。 截至1月23日收盘，中际旭创股价报585元，总市值6500亿元。 同时，主动权益基金第二大至第十大重仓股排序均较上一季度发生变化，如新易盛取代腾讯控股成为基金第二 大重仓股，紫金矿业从第八大重仓股晋级为第五大重仓股，寒武纪-U升为第七大重仓股；而宁德时代、腾讯控 股分别退为第三、第四大重仓股，中芯国际退出了前十大重仓股队列。 另外，主动权益基金在行业配置层面也有调整。据机构统计，2025年4季度，主动权益基金增配较多的行业包 括有色金属、通信、非银、化工、机械；主要减配了电子、医药生物、传媒、计算机、电力设备等行业。 重仓股排序更迭 截至2026年1月22日，公募基金2025年第4季度报告基本披露完毕，主动权益基金前十大重仓股名单随之更新。 从持股绝对市值来 ...

作者丨易妍君 编辑丨张星 机构最新统计数据显示，截至2025年4季度末，中际旭创代替宁德时代成为主动权益基金（包括主动股 票基金、偏股混合基金、灵活配置基金）第一大重仓股。 截至1月23日收盘，中 际旭创 股价报585元，总市值6500亿元。 公募主动权益基金第一大重仓股有了"新面孔"。 同时，主动权益基金第二大至第十大重仓股排序均较上一季度发生变化，如新易盛取代腾讯控股成为基 金第二大重仓股，紫金矿业从第八大重仓股晋级为第五大重仓股，寒武纪-U升为第七大重仓股；而宁 德时代、腾讯控股分别退为第三、第四大重仓股，中芯国际退出了前十大重仓股队列。 另外，主动权益基金在行业配置层面也有调整。据机构统计，2025年4季度，主动权益基金增配较多的 行业包括有色金属、通信、非银、化工、机械；主要减配了电子、医药生物、传媒、计算机、电力设备 等行业。 "从宏观角度看，市场资金在追求短期收益与长期战略配置之间寻求平衡，对行业发展前景与政策环境 的综合考量导致了资金流向的调整。"受访人士向21世纪经济报道记者指出。 重仓股排序更迭 截至2026年1月22日，公募基金2025年第4季度报告基本披露完毕，主动权益基金前十大重仓股 ...