[Overview of Performance Forecast](index=1&type=section&id=%E4%B8%80%E3%80%81%E6%9C%AC%E6%9C%9F%E4%B8%9A%E7%BB%A9%E9%A2%84%E5%91%8A%E6%83%85%E5%86%B5) The company forecasts over 170% growth in Q1-Q3 2025 net profit and adjusted net profit attributable to shareholders [Performance Forecast Period](index=1&type=section&id=(%E4%B8%80)%20%E4%B8%9A%E7%BB%A9%E9%A2%84%E5%91%8A%E6%9C%9F%E9%97%B4) This performance forecast covers the period from January 1, 2025, to September 30, 2025 - The performance forecast period is from January 1, 2025, to September 30, 2025[2](index=2&type=chunk) [Performance Forecast Details](index=1&type=section&id=(%E4%BA%8C)%20%E4%B8%9A%E7%BB%A9%E9%A2%84%E5%91%8A%E6%83%85%E5%86%B5) The company provides specific estimated profit ranges and growth rates for Q1-Q3 2025 2025 Q1-Q3 Performance Forecast (Unit: 10,000 yuan) | Indicator | Estimated Amount Range | Year-over-Year Increase Range | Year-over-Year Growth Rate Range | | :--- | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Net profit attributable to shareholders of listed company | 152,403.85 - 164,596.15 | 96,316.59 - 108,508.89 | 171.73% - 193.46% | | Net profit attributable to shareholders of listed company after deducting non-recurring gains and losses | 151,303.85 - 163,496.15 | 96,449.41 - 108,641.71 | 175.83% - 198.05% | [Audit Status Explanation](index=2&type=section&id=(%E4%B8%89)%20%E6%9C%AC%E6%AC%A1%E4%B8%9A%E7%BB%A9%E9%A2%84%E5%91%8A%E6%9C%AA%E7%BB%8F%E6%B3%A8%E5%86%8C%E4%BC%9A%E8%AE%A1%E5%B8%88%E5%AE%A1%E8%AE%A1) This preliminary performance forecast data has not been audited by a certified public accountant, and no special statement has been issued - This performance forecast has not been audited by a certified public accountant, and the certified public accountant has not issued a special statement regarding the company's performance forecast for this period[3](index=3&type=chunk) [Review of Prior Period Performance](index=2&type=section&id=%E4%BA%8C%E3%80%81%E4%B8%8A%E5%B9%B4%E5%90%8C%E6%9C%9F%E7%BB%8F%E8%90%A5%E4%B8%9A%E7%BB%A9%E5%92%8C%E8%B4%A2%E5%8A%A1%E7%8E%B0%E7%8A%B6) Key financial data for Q1-Q3 2024 is presented as a comparative baseline for the current performance forecast 2024 Q1-Q3 Operating Performance (Unit: 10,000 yuan) | Indicator | Amount | | :--- | :--- | | Total profit | 70,742.16 | | Net profit attributable to shareholders of listed company | 56,087.26 | | Net profit attributable to shareholders of listed company after deducting non-recurring gains and losses | 54,854.44 | | Basic earnings per share | 0.92 yuan | [Primary Reasons for Estimated Performance Increase](index=2&type=section&id=%E4%B8%89%E3%80%81%E6%9C%AC%E6%9C%9F%E4%B8%9A%E7%BB%A9%E9%A2%84%E5%A2%9E%E7%9A%84%E4%B8%BB%E8%A6%81%E5%8E%9F%E5%9B%A0) Performance growth is mainly due to rising fluorocarbon refrigerant prices and an optimized competitive landscape, with minimal non-recurring impact [Impact of Main Business](index=2&type=section&id=(%E4%B8%80)%20%E4%B8%BB%E8%90%A5%E4%B8%9A%E5%8A%A1%E5%BD%B1%E5%93%8D) Main business profitability significantly improved due to fluorocarbon refrigerant quota reductions, optimized competition, and increased demand - In 2025, the production quota for **second-generation fluorocarbon refrigerants (HCFCs)** was further reduced, and **third-generation fluorocarbon refrigerants (HFCs)** continued to implement production quota management, leading to a continuous optimization of the competitive landscape[5](index=5&type=chunk) - Downstream demand increased, market prices steadily rose, and the average price of the company's fluorocarbon refrigerant products significantly increased year-over-year[5](index=5&type=chunk) - The steady improvement in the profitability of the main business is the primary driver for the estimated performance increase in this period[5](index=5&type=chunk) [Impact of Non-Recurring Gains and Losses](index=2&type=section&id=(%E4%BA%8C)%20%E9%9D%9E%E7%BB%8F%E8%90%A5%E6%80%A7%E6%8D%9F%E7%9B%8A%E5%BD%B1%E5%93%8D) Non-recurring gains and losses for Q1-Q3 2025 are estimated at 11 million yuan, primarily from government subsidies and investment income, with a slight decrease 2025 Q1-Q3 Estimated Non-Recurring Gains and Losses (Unit: 10,000 yuan) | Indicator | Estimated Amount (10,000 yuan) | Year-over-Year Change (10,000 yuan) | | :--- | :--- | :--- | | Non-recurring gains and losses | 1,100.00 | Decrease of 132.82 | - Non-recurring gains and losses primarily include government subsidies, investment income, and asset disposal gains and losses[5](index=5&type=chunk) [Risk Alert](index=2&type=section&id=%E5%9B%9B%E3%80%81%E9%A3%8E%E9%99%A9%E6%8F%90%E7%A4%BA) This preliminary forecast data is unaudited, cautioning investors about potential investment risks - This forecast data represents the company's preliminary estimates based on its operating conditions and has not been audited by an accounting firm[6](index=6&type=chunk) - The company has no significant uncertainties that would affect the accuracy of this performance forecast[6](index=6&type=chunk) [Other Explanatory Notes](index=2&type=section&id=%E4%BA%94%E3%80%81%E5%85%B6%E4%BB%96%E8%AF%B4%E6%98%8E%E4%BA%8B%E9%A1%B9) Preliminary forecast data is subject to the final Q3 2025 report, cautioning investors about investment risks - The forecast data is preliminary, and the specific accurate financial data will be subject to the company's officially disclosed 2025 Third Quarter Report[7](index=7&type=chunk) - Investors are kindly requested to pay attention to investment risks[7](index=7&type=chunk)

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the oil and petrochemical sector [1]. Core Views - The Israeli government's approval of the Gaza ceasefire agreement has led to a continued decline in oil prices, with WTI crude futures dropping by 4.15% and Brent crude by 3.53% during the specified period [6]. - Geopolitical tensions remain, particularly with the U.S. halting diplomatic engagement with Venezuela and potential military escalations, which could disrupt Venezuelan oil supplies [6]. - OPEC+ plans a cautious production increase of 137,000 barrels per day in November 2025, but Russia advocates for maintaining current production levels to avoid downward pressure on oil prices [6]. - The EIA has raised its short-term price forecasts for WTI to $65 per barrel and Brent to $68.64 per barrel, while also slightly increasing U.S. oil production expectations to 13.53 million barrels per day [6]. - The report highlights a tightening supply in the fluorochemical sector, with prices for popular refrigerants like R32 and R134a remaining stable at high levels due to production constraints and increasing demand from the air conditioning and automotive sectors [6]. Summary by Sections Oil and Petrochemicals - The report discusses the impact of geopolitical events on oil prices, noting a significant drop in both WTI and Brent crude prices following the ceasefire agreement [6]. - It tracks OPEC+ production strategies and U.S. oil production forecasts, indicating a cautious approach to increasing supply amidst fluctuating demand [6][7]. Fluorochemicals - The fluorochemical market is experiencing a tight supply for popular refrigerants, with stable high prices due to production limitations and recovering demand in the domestic market [6]. - The report notes a projected increase in production for household air conditioners and automotive refrigerants, driven by government incentives [6]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on the oil and petrochemical sector, particularly on companies with resilient earnings such as China National Petroleum, Sinopec, and CNOOC [7]. - In the fluorochemical sector, it recommends companies leading in third-generation refrigerant production and upstream fluorite resources [7]. - The semiconductor materials sector is also highlighted, with a positive outlook due to inventory reduction trends and domestic substitution [7].

Key Insights - The report emphasizes the importance of performance fundamentals during the earnings season, focusing on technology and resource sectors as key investment themes [5][6][7] - The mechanical equipment industry is experiencing upgrades in perception capabilities with the release of Figure03, a new humanoid robot that showcases enhanced functionalities for both household and commercial applications [10][11][12] - The fluorochemical industry is witnessing a price increase in refrigerants, with a recovery in the market for fluorite and hydrofluoric acid, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [16][17][18] Group 1: Earnings Season and Market Overview - Global stock markets mostly declined in the week ending October 10, 2025, with the Nikkei 225 leading gains due to policy expectations from Japan's new leadership [5] - The report notes a significant drop in oil prices due to OPEC+ production increases and trade tensions, while gold prices remain high due to safe-haven demand [5][6] - The domestic equity market saw a mixed performance, with 17 sectors rising and 14 falling, highlighting the volatility influenced by U.S.-China trade relations [6][7] Group 2: Mechanical Equipment Industry - Figure03, released by Figure AI, demonstrates significant advancements in robotic capabilities, including improved motion fluidity and precision in tasks such as household chores and logistics [10][11] - The design of Figure03 incorporates innovative materials and structures, enhancing its usability and maintenance, which reflects a shift towards practical applications in real-world scenarios [11][12] - The humanoid robot's sensory and visual systems have been upgraded, allowing for better interaction in complex environments, which is crucial for its operational reliability [12][13] Group 3: Fluorochemical Industry - The prices of third-generation refrigerants have increased, with R32, R125, and R134a showing significant year-on-year price rises of 64.47%, 55.22%, and 40.00% respectively [16][18] - The report indicates a tightening supply-demand relationship for refrigerants, driven by strong downstream demand and regulatory changes affecting production quotas [18] - The rising prices of raw materials such as fluorite and anhydrous hydrofluoric acid further support the optimistic outlook for the fluorochemical sector [17][18]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Optimistic" rating for the chemical industry [6][11]. Core Insights - The report highlights a significant increase in titanium dioxide prices, with domestic prices rising by 300 CNY/ton and international prices by 40 USD/ton, marking the second price hike since August [6][12]. - The macroeconomic outlook for the chemical sector indicates stable demand for crude oil, with global GDP growth projected at 2.8%, while geopolitical tensions are expected to ease, keeping oil prices low [6][7]. - The report emphasizes the potential recovery in profitability for titanium dioxide due to improved overseas real estate conditions and seasonal demand [6][12]. Industry Dynamics - Crude Oil: Non-OPEC production is expected to rise, with OPEC+ anticipated to increase output, leading to significant supply growth. Global crude oil demand is stabilizing despite some slowdown due to tariffs [6][7]. - Coal: Prices are expected to stabilize at a low level, with easing pressure on downstream sectors [6]. - Natural Gas: The U.S. is likely to accelerate natural gas export facility construction, potentially lowering import costs [6]. Price Trends - The report notes that as of October 10, Brent crude oil prices decreased by 3.5% to 62.09 USD/barrel, while WTI prices fell by 4.2% to 58.17 USD/barrel [11]. - The PPI for all industrial products in August showed a year-on-year decline of 2.9%, with a narrowing decline compared to July, indicating improved supply-demand dynamics [9]. Sector Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on four key areas for investment: 1. Textile and Apparel Chain: Demand remains high, with supply-side production peaks passed, indicating a favorable supply-demand balance [6]. 2. Agricultural Chain: Continuous growth in planting areas supports stable fertilizer demand [6]. 3. Export Chain: Overseas inventory levels are at historical lows, with a strengthening expectation for demand in real estate [6]. 4. "Anti-Internal Competition" Policies: These policies are expected to accelerate the elimination of outdated production capacity [6]. Key Companies to Watch - The report recommends monitoring companies such as Juhua Co., Sanmei Co., Yonghe Co., Dongyangguang, Dongyue Group, and Haohua Technology in the titanium dioxide sector [6].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Optimistic" rating for the chemical industry [6][4]. Core Views - Recent price increases in titanium dioxide and significant rises in refrigerant long-term contract prices are noted, indicating a potential recovery in profitability for the titanium dioxide sector [6]. - The macroeconomic outlook for the chemical industry is influenced by stable global GDP growth of 2.8%, with oil demand expected to rise despite some slowdown due to tariffs [6][7]. - The report suggests a strategic focus on sectors benefiting from "anti-involution" policies, including textiles, agriculture, and export-related chemicals [6]. Industry Dynamics - Oil supply is expected to increase significantly, driven by non-OPEC production, while demand remains stable [7]. - The chemical sector is experiencing a recovery phase, with improvements in supply-demand relationships and policy effects leading to price stabilization in various industrial products [9]. - The report highlights the importance of monitoring the performance of key materials in the semiconductor and OLED sectors, as well as the impact of geopolitical events on oil prices [6][12]. Sector Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on specific companies within the textile chain, agricultural chain, and export-related chemicals, such as: - Textile: Companies like Lu Xi Chemical and Tongkun Co. - Agriculture: Companies like Hualu Hengsheng and Baofeng Energy [6]. - Emphasis is placed on the potential for recovery in the titanium dioxide market, particularly with the easing of trade tensions and seasonal demand increases [6][4]. - The report also suggests monitoring the performance of companies in the fine chemicals sector, such as Xinhecheng and Juhua Co., as they may benefit from ongoing market trends [20].

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the fluorochemical industry [5][9]. Core Views - The fluorochemical industry is experiencing a significant price increase in refrigerants, driven by supply constraints and rising demand from both domestic and international markets [2][5][8]. - The transition to liquid cooling technologies in data centers is expected to boost the demand for fluorinated liquids and refrigerants, indicating a positive outlook for companies involved in this sector [3][6][8]. Summary by Sections 1. Industry Performance - As of September 30, the fluorochemical index rose by 7.61% compared to the end of August, outperforming major indices such as the Shanghai Composite and the CSI 300 [1][16]. 2. Refrigerant Market Review - The long-term contract prices for R32 and R410A have increased by 18.97% and 7.26% respectively in Q4, reflecting a strong market sentiment [1][23]. - R32's external trade demand is growing due to environmental regulations, with prices reaching 62,000 CNY/ton for exports and 61,000-63,000 CNY/ton for domestic sales [2][25]. 3. Production and Export Data - Domestic air conditioning production is expected to adjust upwards in Q4 2025, despite a decline in September-October due to high inventory levels from the previous year [3][4]. - The export of refrigerants like R32 has shown a 19% increase year-on-year, while R22 exports have decreased by 33% due to quota reductions [33][4]. 4. Liquid Cooling Demand - The shift towards liquid cooling in data centers is anticipated to significantly increase the demand for fluorinated liquids, with the market expected to exceed 100 billion CNY by 2027 [6][67]. - Companies such as Juhua Co., Dongyue Group, and Sanmei Co. are highlighted as key players benefiting from this trend [3][69]. 5. Regulatory Environment - China's commitment to the Montreal Protocol includes significant reductions in HCFCs and HFCs, which will impact the production quotas for refrigerants like R22 and R32 [70][73]. - The report emphasizes that the tightening of refrigerant quotas will support long-term price increases and profitability for leading companies in the fluorochemical sector [8][73].

Core Viewpoint - The prices of third-generation refrigerants have increased as of September 2025, while prices of PVDF and HFP have decreased [2] Group 1: Refrigerant Prices - As of September 30, 2025, the prices for third-generation refrigerants R32, R125, and R134a are 62,500 yuan/ton, 45,500 yuan/ton, and 52,000 yuan/ton, reflecting increases of 4.17%, 0.00%, and 0.97% respectively compared to the end of August [2][4] - The price of R22 has decreased by 4.23% month-on-month to 34,000 yuan/ton, but has increased by 13.33% year-on-year [2] Group 2: Fluorspar and Hydrofluoric Acid Prices - As of September 30, 2025, the prices for wet and dry fluorspar are 3,628 yuan/ton and 3,828 yuan/ton, showing month-on-month increases of 10.07% and 9.50% respectively [2][4] - The market price for anhydrous hydrofluoric acid is 11,704 yuan/ton, with a month-on-month increase of 11.83% [2][4] Group 3: Air Conditioning Production Trends - Domestic air conditioning production is expected to decline year-on-year in October, November, and December 2025, with production volumes of 11.53 million units, 12.96 million units, and 16.36 million units respectively, reflecting year-on-year decreases of 17.98%, 14.70%, and 8.60% [3] - Since June 2024, the export volume of R32 has shown an upward trend due to increased overseas demand and enhanced production capacity of domestic air conditioning companies [3] Group 4: Investment Recommendations - The reduction of second-generation refrigerant quotas and the maintenance of third-generation refrigerant production quotas at baseline levels indicate a tightening supply-demand relationship [4] - The prices of refrigerants have been steadily increasing since 2025, with significant year-on-year price increases for R32, R134a, and R125 of 64.47%, 55.22%, and 40.00% respectively [4] - Companies such as Juhua Co., Ltd., Sanmei Co., Ltd., and Jinshi Resources are recommended for investment due to their strong positions in the refrigerant industry and complete industrial chains [4]

Core Viewpoint - The joint release of the "Petrochemical Industry Stabilization and Growth Work Plan (2025-2026)" by seven government departments aims to address industry bottlenecks and promote stable operation and structural optimization in the petrochemical sector [1][3]. Group 1: Policy and Industry Outlook - The "Work Plan" outlines ten key tasks across five major directions to create a dual driving force for growth and transformation in the petrochemical industry [3]. - The plan is a collaborative effort involving the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology, Ministry of Ecology and Environment, Ministry of Emergency Management, People's Bank of China, State Administration for Market Regulation, National Financial Supervision Administration, and the All-China Federation of Supply and Marketing Cooperatives [1][3]. Group 2: Market Performance - The top five chemical products with price increases this week include hydrogen peroxide (+16.7%), anhydrous hydrofluoric acid (+10.5%), coking coal (+7.1%), paraquat (+6.3%), and Brent crude oil (+5.2%) [1][5]. - The WTI oil price rose by 4.9% to $65.72 per barrel this week [4]. Group 3: Subsector Analysis - The prices of DMF, organic silicon, titanium dioxide, acetic acid, and caustic soda increased by 2.6%, 0.9%, 0.8%, 0.3%, and 0.1%, respectively [5]. - Conversely, the prices of VE, urea, ethylene glycol, calcium carbide PVC, VA, rubber, polymer MDI, liquid methionine, ethylene PVC, and solid methionine decreased by 7.3%, 1.8%, 1.4%, 1.1%, 0.8%, 0.7%, 0.6%, 0.6%, 0.3%, and 0.2%, respectively [5]. Group 4: Sector Performance - The basic chemical sector increased by 0.32% this week, underperforming the CSI 300 index, which rose by 1.07%, resulting in a 0.75 percentage point lag [7]. - The sub-industries with significant weekly gains include synthetic resin (+15.49%), rubber additives (+12.33%), coatings and inks (+5.22%), polyester (+3.74%), and viscose (+2.26%) [7].

Market Performance - The basic chemical index decreased by 0.95% from September 20 to September 26, while the CSI 300 index increased by 1.07%, indicating that the basic chemical sector underperformed the CSI 300 by 2.02 percentage points, ranking 17th among all sectors [1][2] - The top-performing sub-industries included: organic silicon (15.44%), rubber additives (7.52%), synthetic resin (2.86%), viscose (2.73%), and coatings and inks (1.79%) [1][2] Price Trends - The top five products with the highest weekly price increases were: hydrochloric acid (Shandong) at 102.50%, hydrochloric acid (Jiangsu) at 100.00%, liquid chlorine at 33.33%, hydrofluoric acid at 10.85%, and Brent crude oil at 5.17% [3] - The top five products with the largest weekly price declines were: sulfuric acid at -10.91%, domestic vitamin B6 at -9.09%, domestic vitamin E at -7.69%, paraxylene (PX) at -5.56%, and methyl acrylate at -4.26% [3] Industry Developments - The "Stabilization and Growth Work Plan for the Petrochemical and Chemical Industry (2025-2026)" was jointly issued by seven departments, focusing on "anti-involution" and optimizing industrial structure [4] - The plan aims for an average annual growth of over 5% in the added value of the petrochemical and chemical industry from 2025 to 2026, with significant improvements in economic benefits and innovation capabilities [4] - Key tasks include enhancing innovation in electronic chemicals, high-end polyolefins, and special rubber, as well as expanding effective investment while controlling new refining capacity [4] Investment Recommendations - Suggested focus areas include: refrigerants sector, with potential price increases; chemical fiber sector; high-quality companies such as Wanhua Chemical and Hualu Hengsheng; tire sector; agricultural chemicals sector; and high-growth companies like Bluestar Technology and Shengquan Group [5] Industry Rating - The basic chemical industry maintains an "overweight" rating [6]

Core Viewpoint - Yonghe Co., Ltd. expects a significant increase in net profit attributable to shareholders for the first three quarters of 2025, driven by the sustained high demand in the refrigerant industry [1][3]. Financial Performance - The company anticipates a net profit of between 456 million to 476 million CNY for the first three quarters, representing a year-on-year growth of 211.59% to 225.25% [1]. - For the third quarter alone, Yonghe expects a net profit of 185 million to 205 million CNY, indicating a year-on-year increase of 447.64% to 506.85% and a quarter-on-quarter growth of 6.34% to 17.83% [3]. Industry Context - The refrigerant industry continues to experience high demand due to supply-side quota policies and steady growth in downstream demand, particularly in air conditioning and cold chain sectors [6][8]. - The transition from second-generation refrigerants (HCFCs) to third-generation refrigerants (HFCs) is ongoing, with production quotas tightening, which enhances the supply-demand structure [6][8]. Operational Strategy - Yonghe Co., Ltd. is optimizing its product structure and enhancing operational efficiency across its production bases, which is expected to lead to sustained profitability starting from Q4 2024 [6]. - The company is leveraging its complete industrial chain from fluorite mining to fine chemical products to capture market opportunities and improve profitability through lean management and market expansion [6][8]. Market Outlook - The overall outlook for the refrigerant market remains optimistic, with expectations of continued demand growth driven by consumer upgrades and technological innovations [11]. - The domestic refrigerant market is primarily driven by air conditioning (62.18%), refrigerators (4.78%), and automotive applications (9.87%) [8].