Group 1 - The core viewpoint indicates that the ongoing geopolitical tensions in Europe are suppressing the euro's outlook while increasing demand for traditional safe-haven assets, particularly the US dollar [1] - The Federal Reserve's persistent hawkish stance supports the strength of the dollar, with officials suggesting that interest rates need to remain at current levels longer than previously expected [1] - In contrast, the Eurozone is facing a significant slowdown in business activity, with recent PMI data confirming contractions in both manufacturing and services [1] Group 2 - The European Central Bank (ECB) has adopted a cautious tone, indicating substantial downside risks to economic growth, which exacerbates downward pressure on the euro [1] - The widening divergence in monetary policy between the ECB and the US is creating fundamental imbalances, further supporting the dollar [1] - Overall fundamentals continue to favor the dollar, suggesting further downside potential for the euro against the dollar [1] Group 3 - Technical analysis shows that the EUR/USD pair is forming a narrow consolidation range around 1.1600 after a significant downward move, indicating the potential for a third wave of downward trend [4] - A decisive break below this consolidation range could signal a resumption of bearish momentum, with an initial target of 1.1488 [4] - The MACD indicator confirms this bearish technical outlook, with its signal line remaining below the zero line and pointing downward, indicating ongoing selling pressure [4] Group 4 - The one-hour chart indicates that a downward move has completed at 1.1576, followed by a pullback to 1.1620, outlining the current consolidation area [6] - A breakout from this range could trigger a short-term pullback to 1.1655 before resuming a broader downward trend, targeting 1.1500 [6] - Conversely, a break below this range would directly trigger bearish fluctuations, with a target of 1.1488, marking the completion of the first phase of the third downward wave [6] Group 5 - The combination of fundamental support for the dollar and the deteriorating outlook for the Eurozone maintains a bearish bias for the EUR/USD pair [7] - The currency pair appears to be pausing within a broader downward trend, with a break below 1.1600 potentially triggering the next leg down, targeting 1.1488 [7]

23日国际金价上涨近2% 1 0月23日国际金价上涨近2%，国际油价大涨超5%。 3日国际金价上 当地时间周四，投资者等待即将公布的美国重要通胀数据，以此来判断美联储接下来的货 币政策走向。美国全国房地产经纪人协会当天公布的数据显示，由于美国抵押贷款利率降 至一年多来的最低水平，缓解了购房者对还款压力的担忧，美国9月成屋销量小幅上升， 显示出美国房地产市场出现了回暖迹象。 此外，科技股和芯片股在接连下跌后迎来反弹，推动美国三大股指集体上涨。截至收盘， 道指上涨0.31%，标普500指数上涨0.58%，纳指涨幅为0.89%。 中概股普遍走高，纳 斯达克中国金龙指数上涨约1.7% 。公司方面，周四盘后芯片公司英特尔公布的最新财报 好于分析师预期，公司股价盘后涨超7%。 贵金属市场方面，地缘政治风险加剧再度推升市场避险情绪，叠加金价在此前两个交易日 累计下跌约6.7%后，市场出现了技术性买盘，推动 国际金价周四反弹 。截至收盘，纽 约商品交易所12月黄金期价收于每盎司4145.6美元， 涨幅为1.97% 。 美欧宣布对俄实施新制裁 23日国际油价大涨超5% 原油期货方面，美国日前宣布对俄罗斯最大的两家石油企业实施制 ...

Group 1 - The U.S. housing market shows signs of recovery as September existing home sales slightly increased due to mortgage rates dropping to the lowest level in over a year, alleviating repayment pressure for buyers [1] - Technology and semiconductor stocks rebounded after previous declines, contributing to a collective rise in the three major U.S. stock indices, with the Dow Jones up 0.31%, S&P 500 up 0.58%, and Nasdaq up 0.89% [1] - Chinese concept stocks generally rose, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index increasing by approximately 1.7% [1] Group 2 - Intel reported better-than-expected earnings after the market closed on Thursday, leading to a more than 7% increase in its stock price in after-hours trading [1]

Market Overview - Bitcoin trading price hovers around $107,000, while Ethereum fluctuates around $3,800, following a brief attempt to break through $110,000 and $4,000 [2] - The total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies has decreased by 0.4% to approximately $3.745 trillion, with the Fear and Greed Index currently at 29, indicating a state of "fear" [2] ETF Fund Flows - Significant outflows from U.S. spot crypto ETFs have been observed, with Bitcoin ETFs recording a net outflow exceeding $1.2 billion over four consecutive trading days, marking the second-largest weekly withdrawal since the product's launch in January 2024 [2] - BlackRock's IBIT saw a withdrawal of $107 million, while Fidelity's FBTC and ARK's ARKB combined experienced outflows of over $589 million during the same period [2][3] - Ethereum ETFs also faced outflows totaling $312 million, with BlackRock's ETHA and Grayscale's ETHE contributing significantly to this decline [3] Recent Inflows and Market Sentiment - On a positive note, ETFs returned to a net inflow status with a total of $477.2 million on a recent Tuesday, suggesting a potential stabilization in institutional sentiment [4] - Nine out of twelve Bitcoin funds reported net inflows, led by BlackRock's IBIT with $210.9 million, indicating a shift in investor confidence [5] - The demand for cryptocurrencies as a diversification tool is being reinforced as gold demand peaks and its price experiences a significant drop [5] Macroeconomic Factors - The market is facing multiple pressures, including tightening global liquidity and rising inflation concerns, particularly with the Bank of Japan nearing its first interest rate hike in two decades [5][6] - Analysts predict that the upcoming U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) report will be crucial for market sentiment, with expectations of a rise in CPI from 2.9% to 3.1% year-over-year [6] - The probability of a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve is currently at 96%, indicating a strong market focus on potential policy shifts [7] Market Outlook - The combination of ETF outflows, macroeconomic uncertainty, and aggressive short positions has led to a defensive market posture [8] - Long-term bullish investors view the current cooling period as a healthy adjustment following months of overheated speculation [8]

【华通白银网10月23日讯】•黄金下跌超1.5%，徘徊在4050美元附近，尽管美元略有疲软。 •由于市场押注美联储将延长宽松政策，金价今年迄今仍上涨54%。 •据报道，白宫正在考虑对中国科技产品实施新的出口限制，这加剧了地缘政治的矛盾。 黄金价格周二暴跌超5%，创下五年来最大单日跌幅后，周三下跌超1.50%，交易员们为美国最新通胀报告的发布做准备。截至撰写本文 时，黄金在达到4,161美元的高点之后回落至4,050美元。 技术展望：尽管金价有所回落，但仍保持看涨 尽管金价持续回落，但今年迄今为止的涨幅仍超过54%，原因是越来越多的人猜测美联储将继续降低借贷成本。交易员预计，在2025年 的最后两次政策会议上，美联储将放松50个基点。 本周五，美国劳工统计局（BLS）将公布9月份美国消费者价格指数（CPI），分析师预计核心CPI将稳定在3.1%左右。 近日，路透社消息人士报道称，白宫正在考虑限制美国软件对华出口。 每日市场动向：尽管华盛顿发出威胁，但黄金仍在下跌 •路透社透露："特朗普政府正在考虑一项计划，限制从笔记本电脑到喷气发动机等一系列软件驱动对华出口。"其中一名消息人士称，这 篇文章提到，美国政府的一些 ...

汇通财经APP讯——今年以来，黄金表现依然抢眼，受地缘政治紧张局势、经济不确定性、美国降息预 期以及ETF强劲流入的推动，金价累计涨幅高达57%。这一亮眼表现离不开全球市场对避险资产的旺盛 需求。然而，近期国际贸易局势的缓和以及俄乌和平前景的初步显现，部分削弱了黄金的避险吸引力， 导致部分投资者选择在高位获利了结。 周三（10月22日）现货黄金盘中一度下跌近3%，触及近两周低点4004.46美元/盎司，延续了前一日5.3% 的罕见单日跌幅。然而，多重因素吸引逢低买盘帮助金价守住4000关口，并一度回升至4160附近，纽约 时段再度下探4000关口附近支撑，但再度在逢低买盘的支撑下反弹，尾盘金价回升至4098.29美元/盎 司，跌幅收窄至0.64%。这一走势反映了市场在关键经济数据发布前的谨慎情绪。周四（10月23日）亚 市早盘，现货黄金窄幅震荡，目前交投于4195美元/盎司附近。 High Ridge Futures金属交易主管David Meger指出，鉴于金价过去几周的显著上涨，在美国消费者物价 指数（CPI）报告发布前出现获利回吐并不意外。技术面上，金价在4005美元的21日移动均线处获得支 撑，显示短 ...

换资前言： 市场瞬息万变，顺势而为，才是王道，趋势来了就是干，不要逆势操作，免得难受煎熬。交易切记不要 意气用事，市场专治各种不服，所以一定不要扛单，相信很多人都深有体会，越抗越慌，浮亏不断放 大，搞的吃不好睡不好，还白白错过很多机会，如果你也有这些烦恼，那不妨跟上金晟富的节奏来试 试，看看能否让你豁然开朗。如果你需要帮助，本人金晟富会一直在这儿，但如果你连手都不伸，我又 怎么能帮到你呢？ 近期有哪些消息面影响黄金原油走势？后市黄金多空该如何研判？ 周四（10月23日）亚市早盘，现货黄金窄幅震荡，目前交投于4085美元/盎司附近。周三（10月22日） 现货黄金盘中一度下跌近3%，触及近两周低点4004.46美元/盎司，延续了前一日5.3%的罕见单日跌 幅。然而，多重因素吸引逢低买盘帮助金价守住4000关口，并一度回升至4160附近，纽约时段再度下探 4000关口附近支撑，但再度在逢低买盘的支撑下反弹，尾盘金价回升至4098.29美元/盎司，跌幅收窄至 0.64%。这一走势反映了市场在关键经济数据发布前的谨慎情绪。今年以来，黄金表现依然抢眼，受地 缘政治紧张局势、经济不确定性、美国降息预期以及ETF强劲流入的推 ...

Core Viewpoint - The lower-than-expected UK inflation data released on Wednesday increases the likelihood of a Bank of England rate cut in December, posing further downside risks for the GBP against the EUR [1] Inflation Data - The overall UK inflation rate for September remained at 3.8%, while the core inflation rate slowed to 3.5%, contrary to market expectations for both metrics to accelerate [1] Wage Growth - Private sector wage growth, excluding bonuses, has also slowed down, indicating potential economic weakness [1] Fiscal Measures - The upcoming UK autumn budget in November is expected to include fiscal tightening measures, which could further influence the Bank of England's decision on interest rates [1] Future Outlook - Analysts suggest that the Bank of England may only need to see further evidence of easing price pressures in the November inflation data to justify a rate cut in December [1]

Core Point - The prolonged U.S. government shutdown complicates the Labor Department's ability to publish essential reports, even with potential White House approval [1] Group 1 - The longer the shutdown lasts, the more challenging it becomes for the Labor Department to release key economic data [1]

Core Viewpoint - International spot gold rebounded on Wednesday, supported by a weaker dollar and bargain hunting, as investors focused on the upcoming U.S. inflation data for September, which will provide clues for the Federal Reserve's interest rate path [1] Group 1 - Gold momentum trading experienced a collapse and reversal, indicating a technical repositioning in the market after breaking the $4000 level, suggesting a need for a correction [1] - There is skepticism about whether the worst daily volatility has been seen, as further bargain buying may still occur [1]