当地时间7月15日，美国劳工统计局公布数据显示，6月美国消费者价格指数（CPI）环比增长0.3%，经 季节性调整前同比增长2.7%。当月，剔除波动较大的食品和能源价格后，核心CPI环比增长0.2%，经季 节性调整前同比增长2.9%。（央视新闻） ...

智通财经7月15日电，美国6月核心CPI同比增长2.9%，预估为2.9%；6月核心CPI环比增长0.2%，预估为 0.3%。 ...

美国6月核心CPI环比 0.2%，预期 0.3%，前值 0.1%。 ...

美国6月核心CPI同比 2.9%，预期 2.9%，前值 2.8%。 ...

Core Insights - The core Consumer Price Index (CPI) for June in the United States fell short of expectations, leading to a short-term increase in spot gold prices by $6, now reported at $3,355.95 per ounce [1] Economic Indicators - The June core CPI data indicates a weaker inflationary trend than anticipated, which may influence monetary policy decisions [1] - The immediate market reaction saw spot gold prices rise, reflecting a typical safe-haven response to lower-than-expected inflation data [1] Market Reaction - Spot gold experienced a short-term price increase of $6 following the release of the CPI data, highlighting its role as a hedge against inflation [1] - The current price of spot gold is reported at $3,355.95 per ounce, indicating a significant market response to the economic data [1]

Group 1 - The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for June, including both seasonally adjusted and core CPI month-over-month rates, is set to be released shortly [1] - The year-over-year rates for unadjusted CPI and core CPI will also be published [1] - The New York Federal Reserve's manufacturing index for July is expected to be announced [1] Group 2 - Canada's CPI month-over-month rate for June will be disclosed soon [1]

Core Insights - In June 2025, Heilongjiang Province's consumer price index (CPI) turned to a slight increase of 0.1% year-on-year after four months of decline, while month-on-month it continued to show a seasonal decrease of 0.2%, though the decline was less than the previous month’s 0.3% [1][2] Year-on-Year Price Changes - The year-on-year price changes in Heilongjiang showed a "five increases and three decreases" pattern across eight major categories of goods and services. The largest increase was in other goods and services, up 8.4%, followed by clothing at 3.7%, and other increases included daily necessities (1.1%), education and cultural entertainment (0.9%), and housing (0.3%). The categories that saw decreases included transportation and communication (down 3.7%), food, tobacco, and alcohol (down 0.5%), and healthcare (down 0.1%) [1][2] Month-on-Month Price Changes - Month-on-month, the price changes in Heilongjiang reflected a "four increases, one decrease, and three stable" trend. The main factor for the overall month-on-month decline was the 0.9% decrease in food, tobacco, and alcohol prices due to seasonal drops in vegetable and fruit prices. The four categories that increased were other goods and services (1.1%), daily necessities (0.3%), transportation and communication (0.2%), and education and cultural entertainment (0.1%), while clothing, housing, and healthcare prices remained stable [2] Core CPI Insights - The core CPI, excluding food and energy prices, showed a year-on-year increase of 1.0%, which is an increase of 0.2 percentage points from the previous month (0.8%), marking the highest increase of the year. This core CPI contributed to a 0.7 percentage point rise in the overall consumer price level, indicating a solid long-term price trend. In contrast, food prices and energy prices decreased by 1.1% and 4.5% year-on-year, negatively impacting the overall consumer price level by 0.2 and 0.4 percentage points, respectively [2]

Core Insights - Most economists expect a significant jump in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) report for June [1] - Goldman Sachs estimates that tariffs may contribute approximately 0.08 percentage points to the core CPI reading for June [1] - Specific categories potentially affected by tariffs include furniture, entertainment products, education-related items, communication devices, and personal care products [1]

Economic Performance - In the first half of the year, China's GDP reached 66,053.6 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 5.3% at constant prices [1] - The GDP growth for the first quarter was 5.4%, while the second quarter saw a growth of 5.2% [1] - The quarter-on-quarter GDP growth in the second quarter was 1.1% [1] Sector Performance - Agricultural value added grew by 3.7%, with a total summer grain output of 149.74 million tons [1] - Industrial value added for large-scale enterprises increased by 6.4%, with equipment manufacturing and high-tech manufacturing growing by 10.2% and 9.5% respectively, outpacing the overall industrial growth by 3.8 and 3.1 percentage points [1] - The service sector's value added rose by 5.5%, accelerating by 0.2 percentage points compared to the first quarter [1] Investment and Consumption - The total retail sales of consumer goods reached 24,545.8 billion yuan, growing by 5% year-on-year, which is an acceleration of 0.4 percentage points from the first quarter [1] - Fixed asset investment (excluding rural households) amounted to 24,865.4 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 2.8%; excluding real estate development investment, the growth was 6.6% [1] Trade and Employment - The total import and export value of goods was 21,787.6 billion yuan, with a year-on-year increase of 2.9% [2] - The share of private enterprises in total imports and exports rose to 57.3%, an increase of 2.3 percentage points from the previous year [2] - The average urban unemployment rate was 5.2%, a decrease of 0.1 percentage points from the first quarter [2] Consumer Prices and Income - The Consumer Price Index (CPI) decreased by 0.1% year-on-year, while the core CPI, excluding food and energy, increased by 0.4%, expanding by 0.1 percentage points from the first quarter [2] - The per capita disposable income of residents was 21,840 yuan, with a nominal year-on-year growth of 5.3%, and a real growth of 5.4% after adjusting for price factors [2] Policy Outlook - The macroeconomic policies have shown effectiveness, contributing to a stable and improving economic performance [2] - There is a need to strengthen domestic demand and ensure sustainable economic recovery amidst external uncertainties [2]

Core Viewpoint - The June Consumer Price Index (CPI) showed a year-on-year increase of 0.1%, marking the first rebound after several months of decline, while the core CPI rose by 0.7%, the highest since last year, indicating positive changes in the price market [1][3]. Group 1: CPI Trends - The June CPI increase is attributed to the "two new" policies that supported the rise in industrial consumer goods prices, particularly in categories like home appliances and office supplies [1]. - The rise in international oil prices has alleviated the downward pressure on energy prices, contributing to the CPI's rebound [1]. - In June, the prices of precious metals increased, which positively impacted the prices of related domestic products, such as platinum jewelry, supporting the CPI's recovery [1]. Group 2: Future Price Outlook - The overall judgment is that prices are expected to experience a mild recovery at low levels in the second half of the year, supported by several factors [3]. - Economic stability and continuous expansion of total demand provide a macro foundation for stable price operations [3]. - Policies aimed at expanding domestic demand are expected to effectively stimulate consumer demand, thereby promoting the stabilization and increase of consumer goods prices [3]. - Regulatory measures against disorderly low-price competition are anticipated to improve market order and environment [3].