Workflow
基差
icon
Search documents
尿素日报:强势走高-20260106
Guan Tong Qi Huo· 2026-01-06 11:13
【冠通期货研究报告】 发布日期:2026 年 1 月 6 日 【行情分析】 今日尿素高开高走,冲高回落。受期货市场情绪带动,上游工厂收单形势 好,多半工厂上调报价。山东、河南及河北尿素工厂小颗粒尿素出厂价格范围 多在 1680-1710 元/吨,河南工厂价格偏低端。基本面来看,停产企业陆续复 产,气头工厂受冬季限气的影响较小,日产呈现出同比去年偏高的现象,且目 前的产量高于去年大部分时期,供应充裕下价格延续承压。农业需求处于淡 季,下一季的集中农需大约为农历年前后的小麦返青追肥。工业需求端大多收 到环保预警的限制,开工多有下滑,复合肥工厂主产区开工负荷承压,目前整 体开工位于历年同期低位,但临近年底假期,开工负荷难有大幅回升,采购趋 于谨慎,三聚氰胺工厂后续复产有所增加,但支撑不足。而冬储需求叠加出口 持续放量,而上游装置多发检修,尿素厂内库存连续去化,支撑盘面价格上 移,后续随着工厂装置的复产,去化幅度将进一步收窄。1 月 2 日 NFL 尿素进 口招标结果分析:东海岸最低报价 CFR426.8 美元/吨,西海岸最低报价 424.8(424.9)美元/吨,最低报价均来自 Koch。国际地缘冲突下,国际尿素供 ...
股指期货日度数据跟踪2026-01-06-20260106
Guang Da Qi Huo· 2026-01-06 06:35
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the document Core Viewpoints - Not provided in the document Summary by Relevant Catalogs Index Trends - On January 5th, the Shanghai Composite Index rose 1.38% to close at 4023.42 points with a trading volume of 1067.334 billion yuan; the Shenzhen Component Index rose 2.24% to close at 13828.63 points with a trading volume of 1478.937 billion yuan [1] - The CSI 1000 Index rose 2.09% with a trading volume of 542.231 billion yuan, opening at 7639.54, closing at 7753.88, with a daily high of 7753.96 and a low of 7623.75 [1] - The CSI 500 Index rose 2.49% with a trading volume of 504.69 billion yuan, opening at 7523.88, closing at 7651.2, with a daily high of 7651.24 and a low of 7523.25 [1] - The SSE 50 Index rose 2.26% with a trading volume of 169.562 billion yuan, opening at 3052.13, closing at 3099.75, with a daily high of 3105.4 and a low of 3052.13 [1] - The CSI 300 Index rose 1.9% with a trading volume of 630.577 billion yuan, opening at 4661.62, closing at 4717.75, with a daily high of 4721.64 and a low of 4661.62 [1] Impact of Sector Fluctuations on Index - The CSI 1000 rose 158.6 points from the previous closing price, with sectors such as Medicine and Biology, Electronics, and Computer significantly pulling the index upwards [2] - The CSI 500 rose 185.63 points from the previous closing price, with sectors such as Electronics and Medicine and Biology significantly pulling the index upwards [2] - The CSI 300 rose 87.81 points from the previous closing price, with sectors such as Electronics, Non - Banking Finance, and Power Equipment significantly pulling the index upwards [2] - The SSE 50 rose 68.62 points from the previous closing price, with sectors such as Non - Banking Finance, Electronics, and Food and Beverage significantly pulling the index upwards [2] Stock Index Futures Basis and Annualized Opening Costs Converted from Basis - IM00 average daily basis was - 1.83, IM01 was - 71.31, IM02 was - 129.65, and IM03 was - 365.56 [13] - IC00 average daily basis was 3.91, IC01 was - 40.19, IC02 was - 71.53, and IC03 was - 257.64 [13] - IF00 average daily basis was - 1.41, IF01 was - 14.05, IF02 was - 21.11, and IF03 was - 68.62 [13] - IH00 average daily basis was - 0.73, IH01 was - 2.59, IH02 was - 0.68, and IH03 was - 10.96 [13] Stock Index Futures Roll - over Point Differences and Their Annualized Costs Converted - For IM, data on roll - over point differences and their annualized costs at different times (e.g., 09:45, 10:00, etc.) are provided [22][27] - For IC, data on roll - over point differences and their annualized costs at different times (e.g., 09:45, 10:00, etc.) are provided [24] - For IF, data on roll - over point differences and their annualized costs at different times (e.g., 09:45, 10:00, etc.) are provided [25] - For IH, data on roll - over point differences and their annualized costs at different times (e.g., 09:45, 10:00, etc.) are provided [26]
供需改善有限,制约反弹空间
Hua Tai Qi Huo· 2026-01-06 03:12
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Viewpoints - For PE, short - term sentiment boost and cost - side disturbances drive the price to stop falling and rebound, but limited improvement in supply - demand fundamentals restricts the rebound space. The supply pressure increases due to new device production, limited planned maintenance, and expected increase in low - price imported goods, while the demand is weak as it's the off - season, and the downstream开工 rate continues to decline [1][2]. - For PP, short - term market sentiment turning warm, supply - side shrinkage expectations, and cost - side support drive the price to stop falling and rebound. However, the supply - demand contradiction is large, with high inventory levels. The short - term rebound depends on the increase in supply - side maintenance scale, but the price rebound space may be limited due to insufficient demand improvement [1][3]. 3. Summary by Directory 3.1 Market News and Important Data - Price and basis: L main contract closed at 6449 yuan/ton (-23), PP main contract at 6330 yuan/ton (-18). LL North China spot was 6400 yuan/ton (+100), LL East China spot at 6480 yuan/ton (+30), PP East China spot at 6190 yuan/ton (+30). LL North China basis was - 49 yuan/ton (+123), LL East China basis at 31 yuan/ton (+103), PP East China basis at - 140 yuan/ton (+48) [1]. - Upstream supply: PE开工 rate was 83.2% (+0.6%), PP开工 rate was 76.7% (-0.1%) [1]. - Production profit: PE oil - based production profit was 64.5 yuan/ton (+78.3), PP oil - based production profit was - 415.5 yuan/ton (+78.3), PDH - made PP production profit was - 828.8 yuan/ton (-35.7) [1]. - Import and export: LL import profit was 99.3 yuan/ton (-2.5), PP import profit was - 351.2 yuan/ton (+7.4), PP export profit was - 22.4 US dollars/ton (-0.9) [1]. - Downstream demand: PE downstream agricultural film开工 rate was 39.0% (-4.9%), PE downstream packaging film开工 rate was 48.4% (+0.2%), PP downstream plastic weaving开工 rate was 43.1% (-0.6%), PP downstream BOPP film开工 rate was 63.2% (+0.0%) [1]. 3.2 Market Analysis - **PE**: Short - term sentiment and cost factors drive the price to stop falling, but the supply - demand situation is unfavorable. New device production and expected increase in imports increase supply, while downstream demand remains weak as it's the off - season, and the开工 rate is expected to decline further [2]. - **PP**: Market sentiment, supply - side expectations, and cost support drive the price to rebound. However, the supply - demand contradiction is large, with high inventory and limited downstream demand improvement [3]. 3.3 Strategy - Unilateral: LLDPE and PP are under the "wait - and - see" strategy. The short - term may continue the volatile trend, and attention should be paid to the implementation of upstream device maintenance [4]. - Inter - period: Not provided - Inter - variety: Short the spread of L05 - PP05 when it is high [4]
《金融》日报-20260106
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2026-01-06 02:34
Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given documents Core Views of the Reports 1. **Stock Index Futures Spread Daily Report** - Presents detailed data on the latest values, changes from the previous day, historical 1 - year and all - time quantiles of various stock index futures spreads and cross - variety ratios, including IF, IH, IC, and IM [1] 2. **Interest Rate Futures Basis and Spread Daily Report** - Provides data on the basis, cross - period spreads, and cross - variety spreads of TS, TF, T, and TL interest rate futures, along with their changes and percentiles since listing [2] 3. **Precious Metals Spot - Futures Daily Report** - Future market may focus on the impact of US economic data on Fed policy and geopolitical situation in South America. Precious metals are expected to maintain high volatility in January. Suggestions include long - position gold allocation on dips, light long - position silver trading with option hedging, and long - position platinum trading due to its strong external market performance [3] 4. **Container Shipping Industry Spot - Futures Daily Report** - Shows the increase in settlement price indices and Shanghai export container freight rates. Futures prices of container shipping indices have also risen, and there are changes in fundamental data such as supply, port indicators, and overseas economic indicators [7][8] Summary of Relevant Catalogs 1. **Stock Index Futures Spread Daily Report** - **Spread Data**: Includes IF, IH, IC, and IM futures' spot - futures spreads, cross - period spreads, and cross - variety ratios, with specific values, changes, and quantiles [1] 2. **Interest Rate Futures Basis and Spread Daily Report** - **Basis Data**: TS, TF, T, and TL futures' basis values, changes, and percentiles since listing [2] - **Cross - Period Spread Data**: Cross - period spreads of different contracts and their changes and percentiles [2] - **Cross - Variety Spread Data**: Cross - variety spreads among different interest rate futures and their changes and percentiles [2] 3. **Precious Metals Spot - Futures Daily Report** - **Futures Closing Price**: Domestic and foreign precious metals futures closing prices, price changes, and percentage changes [3] - **Spot Price**: Spot prices of various precious metals, price changes, and percentage changes [3] - **Basis**: Basis values of different precious metals, price changes, and 1 - year quantiles [3] - **Ratio**: Ratios of different precious metals, price changes, and percentage changes [3] - **Interest Rate and Exchange Rate**: 10 - year and 2 - year US Treasury yields, 10 - year TIPS Treasury yields, US dollar index, and offshore RMB exchange rate, along with their changes and percentage changes [3] - **Inventory and Position**: Inventory and position data of precious metals, changes, and percentage changes [3] 4. **Container Shipping Industry Spot - Futures Daily Report** - **Settlement Price Index**: SCFIS for European and US West routes, with price changes and percentage changes [7] - **Shanghai Export Container Freight Rate**: SCFI comprehensive index, European, US West, and US East routes, with price changes and percentage changes [7] - **Futures Price and Basis**: Futures prices of different container shipping index contracts, price changes, percentage changes, and basis value changes of the main contract [7] - **Fundamental Data**: Global container shipping capacity supply, Shanghai port indicators (quasi - arrival rate, berthing situation), monthly export amount, overseas economic indicators (euro - zone PMI, EU consumer confidence index, US manufacturing PMI, OECD leading indicators), with their changes and percentage changes [7] - **Spot Quotation**: Spot freight rates of Shanghai - Europe routes for different shipping companies, price changes, and percentage changes [8]
LPG早报-20260106
Yong An Qi Huo· 2026-01-06 02:02
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core View of the Report - The domestic LPG market showed internal differentiation this week, with the internal market fluctuating. It soared after the high - opening of CP on Wednesday and then declined. The external market rose, and the official price of January CP was higher than expected. The overall market was affected by factors such as the Venezuela event, oil prices, and PDH device conditions. The internal - external valuation was high, but the basis was low, and the feedback of poor PDH profits might occur, with a bearish driving force [1]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Daily Data - On January 5, 2026, the prices of civil LPG in East China, Shandong, and South China were 4413 (+37), 4400 (+150), and 4860 (+270) respectively. The price of ether - post carbon four was 4470 (+30). The lowest delivery location was Shandong. The basis was 216 (-49), the 02 - 03 month spread was 109 (+2), and the 03 - 04 month spread was - 180 (+14). As of 20:00 PM, the FEI and CP paper - cargo prices were 512 and 517.5 US dollars respectively [1]. Weekly Data - This week, the internal market fluctuated. The 02 basis was 118 (-92), the 02 - 03 month spread was 119 (+7), the 03 - 04 month spread was - 184 (+14), and the number of warehouse receipts was 6398 (+30). The domestic civil LPG was differentiated, with the cheapest delivery product being Shandong civil LPG at 4250 (-20), East China at 4376 (-8), and South China at 4590 (+80). The external market rose, and the official price of January CP for propane and butane was 520/525 (+35/+30) respectively. The internal - external market strengthened. The PG - FEI reached 85 (+25). The arrival premium of propane in East China was 66 (-18), and the FOB premiums of AFEI, Middle - East, and US propane in January were 8.25 (-10.5), 50 (+0), and 37.8 (-5.21) respectively. Freight rates declined, and the FEI - MOPJ spread was - 15 (a month - on - month decrease of 5.5) [1].
LLDPE:上游库存转移,基差走强
Guo Tai Jun An Qi Huo· 2026-01-06 01:54
商 品 研 究 2026 年 1 月 6 日 LLDPE:上游库存转移,基差走强 周富强 投资咨询从业资格号:Z0023304 zhoufuqiang@gtht.com 【基本面跟踪】 LLDPE 基本面数据 | 期 货 | | 昨日收盘价 | 日涨跌 | 昨日成交 | 持仓变动 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | L2605 | 6449 | -0.36% | 452112 | 7498 | | 基差月差变化 | | 昨日价差 | | 前日价差 | | | | 05合约基差 | -129 | | -182 | | | | 05-09合约价差 | -47 | | -37 | | | 重要现货价格 | | 昨日价格 | (元/吨) | 前日价格 | (元/吨) | | | 北 华 | 6320 | | 6290 | | | | 华 东 | 6400 | | 6380 | | | | 华 南 | 6470 | | 6370 | | 资料来源:卓创资讯,国泰君安期货 【现货消息】 期货震荡,节前盘面反弹给到代理、期现商建仓机会,市场补空和套保成交积极,现货短期正反 ...
甲醇聚烯烃早报-20260106
Yong An Qi Huo· 2026-01-06 01:37
1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No information provided 2. Core Viewpoints - For methanol, the inland market has bottomed out, and the port market is trading on significant inventory reduction. However, the pre - condition for significant inventory reduction is high MTO operation rate. Currently, MTO profit is average, which restricts the upside of methanol. Venezuelan shipments are expected to be 2 - 3 vessels per month, with an average of 80,000 - 100,000 tons per month. Pay attention to subsequent developments, and short - term shipments may remain normal. Also, monitor the change in oil prices. The limited upside of methanol is due to the poor performance of other downstream sectors, and if oil prices drive up other products, it may lift the upper limit of methanol prices [2]. - For polyethylene, the inventory of Sinopec and PetroChina is neutral year - on - year. The upstream (Sinopec and PetroChina) and coal - chemical enterprises are reducing inventory, while social inventory remains flat. Downstream inventory of raw materials and finished products is also neutral. Overall inventory is neutral. The 09 contract basis is around - 110 in North China and - 50 in East China. The overseas market in Europe, America, and Southeast Asia is stable. The import profit is around - 200, with no further increase for now. The price of non - standard HD injection molding remains stable, other price spreads are fluctuating, and LD is weakening. The number of maintenance in September is flat compared to the previous month, and the domestic linear production has decreased recently. Pay attention to the LL - HD conversion situation and US quotes. In 2025, the pressure from new plants is significant, so monitor the commissioning of new plants [6]. - For polypropylene, the upstream (Sinopec and PetroChina) and mid - stream are reducing inventory. In terms of valuation, the basis is - 60, the non - standard price spread is neutral, and the import profit is around - 700. Exports have been performing well this year. The non - standard price spread is neutral, and the markets in Europe and America are stable. The PDH profit is around - 400, propylene prices are fluctuating, and the powder production rate is stable. The production of drawn products is neutral. The subsequent supply is expected to increase slightly month - on - month. Currently, downstream orders are average, and the inventory of raw materials and finished products is neutral. In the context of over - capacity, the pressure on the 01 contract is expected to be moderately excessive. If exports continue to increase or there are more PDH plant maintenance, the supply pressure can be alleviated to a neutral level [7]. - For PVC, the basis remains at 01 - 270, and the ex - factory basis is - 480. Downstream operation rate is seasonally weakening, and the willingness to hold inventory at low prices is strong. The inventory of mid - upstream is continuously accumulating. In summer, Northwest plants have seasonal maintenance, and the load center is between the spring maintenance and the high production in Q1. In Q4, pay attention to the commissioning of new plants and the sustainability of exports. The recent export orders have declined slightly. The sentiment in the coal market is positive, the cost of semi - coke is stable, and the profit of calcium carbide is under pressure due to PVC maintenance. The counter - offer for caustic soda exports is FOB380. Pay attention to whether subsequent export orders can support the price of caustic soda. The comprehensive profit of PVC is - 100. Currently, the accumulation of static inventory contradictions is slow, the cost is stable, downstream performance is mediocre, and the macro - environment is neutral. Monitor exports, coal prices, commercial housing sales, terminal orders, and operation rate [7]. 3. Summary by Commodity Methanol - **Price Data**: From December 26, 2025, to January 5, 2026, the price of动力煤期货 remained at 801. The price of Jiangsu spot increased from 2145 to 2233, with a daily change of 23 on January 5. The price of South China spot increased from 2120 to 2205, with a daily change of 12 on January 5. Other regional prices also showed certain changes [2]. - **Viewpoint**: The inland market has bottomed out, and the port market is trading on significant inventory reduction. However, MTO profit restricts the upside of methanol. Monitor Venezuelan shipments and oil price changes [2]. Polyethylene - **Price Data**: From December 26, 2025, to January 5, 2026, the price of华东LD increased from 8175 to 8700, with a daily change of 375 on January 5. Other prices also had corresponding changes. The主力期货 price decreased from 6465 to 6449, with a daily change of - 23 on January 5 [6]. - **Viewpoint**: Overall inventory is neutral. Pay attention to LL - HD conversion, US quotes, and new plant commissioning [6]. Polypropylene - **Price Data**: From December 26, 2025, to January 5, 2026, the price of山东丙烯 increased from 5690 to 5730, with a daily change of 50 on January 5. The主力期货 price decreased from 6292 to 6330, with a daily change of - 18 on January 5 [7]. - **Viewpoint**: Upstream and mid - stream are reducing inventory. Monitor exports and PDH plant maintenance [7]. PVC - **Price Data**: From December 26, 2025, to January 5, 2026, the price of电石法 - 华东 decreased from 4520 to 4530, with a daily change of - 70 on January 5. The基差(高端交割品) increased from - 20 to - 250, with a daily change of 10 on January 5 [7]. - **Viewpoint**: Downstream operation rate is seasonally weakening, and mid - upstream inventory is accumulating. Monitor exports, coal prices, etc. [7].
沥青早报-20260106
Yong An Qi Huo· 2026-01-06 01:17
Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Report's Core View No clear core view is presented in the given content. It mainly provides data on asphalt including basis, spreads, futures contract prices, trading volume, open interest, spot prices, and profit. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Basis and Spreads - **Basis**: The Shandong basis (+80) (non - Jingbo) 01 - 03 changed from 48 - 28 on 12/4 to 17 - 43 on 1/5 with a daily change of 14; the East China basis (Zhenjiang warehouse) changed from 88 to - 33 with a daily change of 49; the South China basis (Foshan warehouse) changed from - 2 to - 63 [3]. - **Spreads**: The 02 - 03 spread changed from - 17 to - 8; the 03 - 06 spread changed from - 37 to 16 with a daily change of 39 [3]. Futures Contracts - **BU Main Contract (02)**: The price of the BU main contract (02) increased from 2952 on 12/4 to 3133 on 1/5, with a daily increase of 111 [3]. - **Trading Volume**: The trading volume increased from 290157 on 12/4 to 687942 on 1/5, with a daily increase of 376665 [3]. - **Open Interest**: The open interest increased from 429348 on 12/4 to 464952 on 1/5, with a daily increase of 38946 [3]. Spot Prices - **Jingbo**: The spot price of Jingbo increased from 2950 on 12/4 to 3100 on 1/5, with an increase of 120 [3]. - **Shandong (non - Jingbo)**: The spot price increased from 2920 on 12/4 to 3070 on 1/5, with an increase of 180 [3]. - **Zhenjiang Warehouse**: The spot price increased from 3040 on 12/4 to 3100 on 1/5, with an increase of 160 [3]. - **Foshan Warehouse**: The spot price increased from 2950 on 12/4 to 3070 on 1/5, with an increase of 170 [3]. Profit - **Asphalt Marrow Profit**: The asphalt Marrow profit increased from 163 to 513 [3]. Weekly Changes - Various indicators showed weekly changes such as 82, 82, 115, - 8, - 1, 41, 125, 301769, 22249, 4080, - 1.2, 160, 210, 210, 240, 192, 2025 [6].
燃料油早报-20260106
Yong An Qi Huo· 2026-01-06 01:16
Report Overview - Report Title: Fuel Oil Morning Report - Research Team: Energy and Chemicals Team of the Research Center - Report Date: January 6, 2026 [2] Key Points 1. Price Data and Changes - **Rotterdam Fuel Oil**: From December 26, 2025, to January 5, 2026, the price of Rotterdam 3.5% HSF O swap M1 increased by 1.27, Rotterdam 0.5% VLS FO swap M1 increased by 7.62, and other related spreads also had corresponding changes [3]. - **Singapore Fuel Oil**: The price of Singapore 380cst M1 and 180cst M1, VLSFO M1, etc., had different changes during the same period. For example, the price of Singapore 380cst M1 decreased by 2.10 from December 26 to January 5 [3][4]. - **Singapore Fuel Oil Spot**: The FOB 380cst price decreased by 8.13, and the FOB VLSFO price decreased by 7.06 from December 26, 2025, to January 5, 2026 [4]. - **Domestic FU**: The prices of FU 01, FU 05, and FU 09 decreased by 35, 21, and 30 respectively from December 26, 2025, to January 5, 2026 [4]. - **Domestic LU**: The price of LU 01 increased by 253, while LU 05 and LU 09 decreased by 26 and 29 respectively from December 26, 2025, to January 5, 2026 [5]. 2. Core Views - Before the festival, the cracking of 380 fuel oil fluctuated, and it weakened slightly after the festival. The 380 monthly spread rebounded from the low point but remained weak year - on - year. The high - sulfur cracking in Europe weakened, and the monthly spread oscillated at a low level [5]. - The cracking of Singapore 0.5% fuel oil oscillated at a historical low, with the structure turning to C at a historical low and the basis oscillating at a historical low [5]. - In terms of inventory, Singapore residue oil had a significant inventory build - up, high - sulfur floating storage had a significant inventory draw - down, ARA residue oil had a small inventory build - up, Fujairah residue oil had an inventory draw - down, and EIA residue oil had a small inventory build - up [11]. - The conflict in Venezuela escalated over the weekend, having a short - term positive and long - term negative impact on heavy crude oil. It is necessary to pay attention to the duration of logistics interruption. The arrival premium of Merey crude oil at the end of December remained around - 12 [11]. - The high - sulfur spot market remained loose, and attention should be paid to the boost brought by the premium of heavy raw materials recently. The low - sulfur market maintained a weak oscillation pattern [11].
广发期货日报-20260106
Guang Fa Qi Huo· 2026-01-06 01:05
Report Investment Ratings - No investment ratings provided in the reports Core Views - In the precious metals market, the gold market has completed its correction. Future market attention may shift to the impact of US economic data on Fed policies and geopolitical situations in South America. Platinum and palladium prices may gradually stabilize, with the platinum price rising due to strong overseas markets. Palladium, with a relatively weaker fundamental situation, may follow the trend. The platinum-palladium ratio is expected to rise, presenting a hedging arbitrage opportunity. Silver may face a pullback risk due to global commodity index rebalancing, and investors are advised to maintain a light long position and use options to lock in profits [3] - In the container shipping industry, the freight rates for European and US routes have increased, with significant growth on the US - West route. The fundamental data shows that the global container shipping capacity supply remains stable, while port - related indicators and overseas economic data present a mixed picture [5] Summary by Category Stock Index Futures Spread - **Price Difference Data**: F, H, IC, and IM have different current - spot price differences and inter - period price differences, with varying changes compared to the previous day and percentile rankings in different time frames. There are also cross - variety ratios such as IC/IF, IC/IH, etc., with corresponding changes and percentile rankings [1] Bond Futures - **Basis and Spread Data**: TS, TF, T, and TL have different basis values, inter - period spreads, and cross - variety spreads, with corresponding changes compared to the previous day and percentile rankings since listing [2] Precious Metals - **Domestic Futures**: AU2602, AG2602, PT2606, and PD2606 contracts all declined in price, with varying decline rates [3] - **Foreign Futures**: Contracts for COMEX gold, COMEX silver, NYMEX platinum, and NYMEX palladium all rose in price, with varying increase rates [3] - **Spot Prices**: The spot prices of London gold and London silver rose, while the spot prices of platinum and palladium declined. The prices of gold T + D and silver T + D on the Shanghai Gold Exchange also declined [3] - **Basis and Ratio**: There are different basis values and cross - variety ratios among various precious metals, with corresponding changes [3] - **Interest Rates and Exchange Rates**: The 10 - year US Treasury yield, 2 - year US Treasury yield, 10 - year TIPS Treasury yield, and the US dollar index all changed slightly, while the on - shore RMB exchange rate declined slightly [3] - **Inventory and Holdings**: The inventories of Shanghai Futures Exchange gold and silver, COMEX gold and silver, and the holdings of SPRD gold ETF and SLV silver ETF all changed to different extents [3] Container Shipping Industry - **Freight Index**: The SCFIS for European and US - West routes increased, with a significant increase on the US - West route. The SCFI comprehensive index and the SCFI for US - West and US - East routes also increased, while the SCFI for the European route declined slightly [5] - **Futures Prices and Basis**: The prices of EC2602 (main contract), EC2604, etc. changed slightly, and the basis of the main contract increased [5] - **Fundamental Data**: The global container shipping capacity supply remained unchanged. Port - related indicators such as the port punctuality rate and port calls in Shanghai, and overseas economic data such as the euro - zone composite PMI, EU consumer confidence index, and US manufacturing PMI all changed to different extents [5]