New Energy Industry - The report highlights that despite uncertainties, opportunities still exist in the new energy sector, particularly focusing on dividend stability [1] - The preferred investment order is operators > photovoltaic glass > polysilicon > inverters > battery cells, with China Power (2380 HK) and Jingneng Clean Energy (579 HK) being top picks [1] - The photovoltaic sector is expected to see significant earnings improvement in Q1 2025, with Fuyat (6865 HK) and GCL-Poly Energy (3800 HK) also recommended for investment [1] Wind Power - The report anticipates a 23% year-on-year increase in new wind power installations in 2025, although adjustments may occur post-installation [2] - A conservative estimate suggests a slight decline in new installations in 2026, contingent on new policy impacts and project pricing [2] Zhiwen Group - The company is projected to experience a revenue turning point in the second half of 2025, driven by accelerated overseas growth [3] - Revenue and adjusted net profit forecasts for 2025 have been raised by 5% and 13% respectively, with a target price increase to $8.30 [3][4] - The first quarter of 2025 showed a revenue of 2.52 billion yuan, exceeding market expectations by 4%, primarily due to a 72% year-on-year growth in overseas business [3] IBI363 by Innovent Biologics - Early clinical data for IBI363 in treating I/O resistant NSCLC shows promising results, with an overall response rate (ORR) of 26-37% and median progression-free survival (PFS) of 5.5-9.3 months [7][8] - The potential market for IBI363 is significant, especially given the limited effective therapies available for post-PD-(L)1 treatment [8] - The target price for IBI363 has been raised to 84 HKD, reflecting its strong market potential [8] Economic Data - Upcoming economic data releases include the Consumer Price Index and unemployment claims in the US, with expectations set for various metrics [9]

证券研究报告·行业跟踪周报·建筑材料 建筑材料行业跟踪周报 家庭消费仍有潜力，期待服务消费刺激 2025 年 06 月 08 日 增持（维持） [Table_Tag] [Table_Summary] 投资要点 证券分析师 黄诗涛 执业证书：S0600521120004 huangshitao@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 房大磊 执业证书：S0600522100001 fangdl@dwzq.com.cn 证券分析师 石峰源 执业证书：S0600521120001 shify@dwzq.com.cn 行业走势 -20% -16% -12% -8% -4% 0% 4% 8% 12% 16% 2024/6/11 2024/10/9 2025/2/6 2025/6/6 建筑材料 沪深300 相关研究 《建筑业 PMI 底部区间波动，推荐消 费建材》 2025-06-03 《继续推荐消费建材》 2025-05-25 东吴证券研究所 1 / 20 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 ◼ 本周（2025.6.3–2025.6.6，下同）：本周建筑材料板块（SW）涨跌幅 0.63%， 同期沪深 300、万得全 A 指数 ...

Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating to multiple companies in the renewable energy sector, including China Power (2380 HK), China Resources Power (836 HK), and GCL-Poly Energy (3800 HK) [2][4]. Core Insights - The renewable energy operators face both challenges and opportunities under new policies, with dividend levels showing relative certainty. The introduction of Document No. 136 in 2025 is expected to shift the long-term strategies of operators significantly [1][7]. - The solar photovoltaic (PV) industry is anticipated to experience a substantial capacity clearance, with stock prices declining, presenting opportunities for leading companies. The demand for solar PV is expected to remain strong in 2024, but a short-term adjustment in demand is likely following the end of the rush to install projects [17][20]. - Wind power installations are projected to grow by 23% in 2025, reaching 98 GW, but a slight decline is expected in 2026 due to adjustments in pricing mechanisms [4][6]. Summary by Sections Operators - Operators are expected to focus on maintaining dividend rates, with an average dividend yield of around 6% across the covered companies. The report highlights that operators with strong technical capabilities and scale advantages will be better positioned to adapt to market changes [11][14]. - The new pricing mechanism will require operators to optimize project management and respond to fluctuations in electricity prices [7][8]. Photovoltaic Industry - The report predicts that the global demand for solar PV will slow down in 2025, with a projected installation of approximately 270 GW in China, a 3% decrease year-on-year [22]. - The solar glass sector is expected to see a rebound in prices after a strong recovery, but future supply may decrease due to regulatory requirements for capacity replacement [37][38]. Wind Power - The report anticipates that the wind power sector will see a significant increase in new installations in 2025, but a potential decline in 2026 due to the new pricing mechanism and market adjustments [4][6]. - The profitability of wind turbine manufacturers will depend on their ability to deliver projects in offshore and international markets [4][6]. Financial Metrics - The report provides detailed financial metrics for various companies, including earnings per share, price-to-earnings ratios, and dividend yields, indicating a generally favorable outlook for operators in the renewable energy sector [2][4][14].

Core Viewpoint - Lithium prices have dropped below 60,000 yuan/ton, leading to a trend of capacity reduction in the industry, particularly among cross-industry companies that have entered the lithium battery sector [1][2] Industry Trends - The trend of capacity reduction is becoming more pronounced, especially among companies that have crossed into the lithium battery industry, as they face operational difficulties due to falling lithium prices and increased cost pressures [1][2] - The lithium industry is experiencing a shift, with traditional lithium iron phosphate (LFP) competition becoming more intense, leading to the potential exit of underperforming capacities [3] Company Actions - Zhongke Titanium White has announced the termination of its 500,000-ton/year lithium iron phosphate project, which had previously seen an investment of 1.309 billion yuan, with only 100,000 tons/year of capacity completed [2] - Other companies, such as Jinpu Titanium Industry and Huiyun Titanium Industry, have also paused or terminated their lithium iron phosphate project investments, reflecting a broader trend among titanium dioxide and phosphate chemical companies [2] - Despite the downturn, some companies like Ganfeng Lithium and Yahua Group have increased their lithium carbonate production by approximately 24% and 10%, respectively, indicating a divergence in operational strategies within the industry [5] Market Dynamics - The lithium market is currently facing an oversupply, with an estimated surplus of 32,200 tons of lithium carbonate equivalent (LCE) expected for the year, which has been revised upward [5] - The production of lithium carbonate, lithium hydroxide, and lithium chloride in China is projected to increase significantly, with year-on-year growth rates of 35.35%, 29.54%, and 37.14%, respectively [4] - The overall capacity utilization rates for companies like Cangge Mining and Salt Lake Co. have reached 116% and 100%, respectively, indicating that some low-cost lithium producers are operating at full capacity despite the market downturn [5][6] Future Outlook - The lithium carbonate price has plummeted from a peak of 500,000 yuan/ton in early 2023 to below 60,000 yuan/ton, raising concerns about the sustainability of current production levels [6] - The demand for lithium carbonate is uncertain due to fluctuating market conditions and potential changes in U.S. tariff policies, which may impact the supply-demand balance in the medium to long term [6]

Core Viewpoint - The lithium iron phosphate (LFP) industry is experiencing a significant downturn, with many companies halting or terminating projects due to oversupply, while leading firms are securing large orders, indicating a bifurcation in the market dynamics [2][3][4]. Group 1: Industry Dynamics - The LFP industry is currently in a down cycle, with companies like Zhongke Titanium White announcing the termination of their LFP projects due to severe oversupply conditions [2][3]. - The price of lithium iron phosphate has plummeted from 166,000 yuan/ton at the beginning of the year to 46,000 yuan/ton by year-end, reflecting a drastic decline in market conditions [3]. - Despite many companies pausing expansion, some capacity is still being released, leading to continued price declines, with current market prices for power-type LFP ranging from 31,750 to 34,750 yuan/ton [4]. Group 2: Major Contracts and Market Trends - Leading companies like Longpan Technology and Wanrun New Energy have recently signed significant contracts, with Longpan securing agreements worth over 5 billion yuan for LFP sales to major battery manufacturers [6][8]. - The demand for LFP is increasing, with a projected shipment of 2.46 million tons in 2024, representing a 49% year-on-year growth, capturing nearly 74% of the total cathode material shipments [9]. - The utilization rate of LFP production capacity is currently around 55%-60%, with improvements expected due to strong demand in energy storage and favorable policies [9]. Group 3: Technological Advancements - The industry is shifting towards high-pressure dense LFP products, which are becoming the mainstream due to their superior performance and efficiency [12][13]. - Only a few companies, such as Hunan Youneng and Fulin Precision, have mastered the technology for fourth-generation high-pressure dense LFP, indicating a significant technological barrier in the market [12]. - The market is expected to see a further concentration of production capacity among leading and low-cost firms, as traditional LFP competition remains intense [13]. Group 4: Supply and Demand Outlook - The overall capacity in the LFP market has reached 5.2985 million tons, with a projected demand of 3.1867 million tons by 2025, indicating a significant oversupply situation [14]. - Analysts predict that supply and demand will reach a balance by 2027, with a gradual recovery in capacity utilization rates expected thereafter [14]. - The price of LFP is anticipated to remain under pressure in the short term, primarily influenced by the declining prices of lithium carbonate [15].

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the historical context and implications of price wars in the automotive industry, particularly focusing on the U.S. market and the recent price competition initiated by Tesla in the electric vehicle sector. It emphasizes the cyclical nature of these price wars and their impact on market dynamics, competition, and technological advancements. Group 1: Historical Price Wars - The introduction of the assembly line by Ford in the early 20th century drastically reduced production costs, leading to the first price war in the automotive industry, where car prices fell from approximately $850 in 1913 to $290 in 1925 [2] - In the 1980s, Japanese automakers entered the U.S. market aggressively, leading to significant price reductions by American manufacturers, with GM lowering prices by 10% and Ford offering discounts up to $1,000 (equivalent to about $3,500 today) [4] - By 1985, Japanese brands captured 20% of the U.S. market share, doubling from 10% in 1975, forcing American companies to accept price cuts to maintain market presence [4] Group 2: Tesla's Impact on the Market - Since 2023, Tesla's pricing strategy has significantly affected traditional automakers, with average electric vehicle prices in the U.S. dropping to $50,683, a decrease of over 20% year-on-year [6] - Traditional manufacturers like Ford and Lucid have responded with their own price reductions, with Ford offering cash rebates of up to $7,500 on certain electric models [6] - The price war initiated by Tesla, while boosting sales in the short term, has created financial pressures for startups like Lucid and Fisker, leading to cash reserve depletion [8] Group 3: Current Market Dynamics in China - In 2024, the Chinese automotive market is expected to see significant price reductions, with new energy vehicles experiencing an average price drop of 9.2% and fuel vehicles by 6.8% [12] - The market is characterized by structural oversupply, with 77 brands and a total production capacity of 40 million units, while actual sales were only around 12.9 million units [13] - The ongoing price war is driven by the need for market clearing and efficiency, with many companies facing cash flow pressures leading to production delays [14] Group 4: R&D and Market Consolidation - Many domestic brands are increasing R&D investments, with some exceeding 5% of their revenue, contrasting with foreign automakers who are reducing R&D spending [17] - The automotive industry is shifting from a scale competition to a cost control paradigm, emphasizing the need for efficiency and technological advancement [20] - Market consolidation is accelerating, with companies like BYD restructuring their sales networks to enhance efficiency and reduce redundancy [18] Group 5: Future Outlook - The end of the current price war will depend on the resolution of capacity adjustments, market concentration, and the convergence of new energy vehicle technologies [21] - The article warns against unsustainable price competition that undermines product quality and consumer trust, advocating for competition based on technological innovation and quality improvement [23]

光伏产业作为强周期产业，如今陷入了"内卷式"竞争引发的困境。2024年以来，面对全产业链亏损、供 需错配等状况，光伏产业率先开启"反内卷"行动。多晶硅期货和期权的上市，为企业提供了稳定生产经 营的新方案，产业企业纷纷积极投身其中，以期在艰难时局中实现突围与发展。 光伏产业吹响"反内卷"号角 2024年年底以来，破除"内卷式"竞争备受重视。从去年的中央经济工作会议到今年的《政府工作报 告》，都释放出规范过度竞争的明确信号。近日，国务院反垄断反不正当竞争委员会专家咨询组全体会 议提出，要紧扣加快构建全国统一大市场、综合整治"内卷式"竞争等重点任务，更好履行专家咨询组职 责。 所谓"内卷式"竞争，是指在某一领域或产业内，由于竞争过于激烈，参与者为争夺有限资源和机会，不 惜过度投入，最终导致资源浪费和效率下降的现象。这种竞争模式违背了经济运行基本规律，也是促进 市场公平竞争、激发创新活力、提高发展效率的大敌。 "产能出清"与"高质量发展"并举 作为一个强周期产业，光伏产业一直存在"短缺是暂时现象，过剩才是常态"的观点。回顾历史，光伏产 业经历过2008年全球金融风暴、2012年"双反"、2018年"5·31"政策调整 ...

Group 1 - Lithium carbonate futures have dropped significantly, with a decrease of 2.23% on May 29, closing at 58,860 yuan/ton, marking a year-to-date low and a cumulative decline of 23.66% from the peak price of 80,000 yuan/ton at the beginning of the year [2] - The spot price for battery-grade lithium carbonate also fell, with a decrease of 1,000 yuan per ton on the same day, averaging 61,000 yuan/ton, which is also a year-to-date low [2] - The primary reason for the continuous decline in lithium prices is insufficient downstream demand, as global lithium resource and lithium salt production capacity continue to expand, leading to an oversupply in the market [2] Group 2 - The future outlook for lithium prices is challenging, with an increase in supply and stable downstream demand, making a significant rebound unlikely [3] - The price decline may lead to the elimination of high-cost, low-efficiency companies, promoting a competitive environment where resources concentrate in more competitive enterprises [3] - Ongoing low prices may increase merger and acquisition activities within the lithium industry, potentially raising industry concentration [3]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No specific industry investment rating is provided in the report. 2. Core Views - For industrial silicon, in the context of expected supply increase, low demand, weakened cost support, high industry inventory, and a large number of warehouse receipts, the industry's fundamentals are weak, trapped in a dilemma of "cost collapse + lagging capacity clearance", and prices are continuously hitting new lows. In the short term, there is still no positive driving force, and the market is expected to continue to fluctuate weakly and explore the bottom. Attention should be paid to the volatility risk caused by short - covering and position reduction [2]. - For polysilicon, since May, many enterprises have carried out maintenance or postponed resumption of production, and the short - term supply pressure has been slightly relieved, but the downstream demand is generally low. The current polysilicon market is in a situation of weak supply and demand, and the price trend is highly uncertain. As the first delivery approaches, the long - short game in the market intensifies, and there is a lack of demand driving force in the short term. Prices are expected to fluctuate widely, and range operation is recommended [7]. 3. Summary by Related Catalogs Industrial Silicon Market Analysis - On May 28, 2025, the industrial silicon futures price rebounded after a decline. The main contract 2507 opened at 7460 yuan/ton and closed at 7340 yuan/ton, a change of (- 190) yuan/ton or (- 2.52)% compared with the previous trading day's settlement price. As of the close, the main contract 2505 held 226,069 lots, and the total number of warehouse receipts on May 28, 2025, was 64,286 lots, a change of - 340 lots compared with the previous day [1]. - The spot price of industrial silicon remained stable. According to SMM data, the price of East China oxygen - passing 553 silicon was 8400 - 8600 (0) yuan/ton; 421 silicon was 9000 - 9400 (- 50) yuan/ton, the price of Xinjiang oxygen - passing 553 silicon was 7900 - 8000 (0) yuan/ton, and the price of 99 silicon was 7900 - 8000 (0) yuan/ton. Silicon prices in Kunming, Huangpu Port, Tianjin, Sichuan, Shanghai, and the northwest region also decreased individually. The silicon price in Xinjiang remained stable today, and the price of 97 silicon also decreased, with the purchasing intention improving [1]. - On the consumption side, according to SMM statistics, the quotation of silicone DMC was 11400 - 11600 (0) yuan/ton. A monomer enterprise in North China plans to start a full - line shutdown for maintenance on June 3, with a maintenance period of about 15 days [1]. Strategy - In the short term, the market is expected to continue to fluctuate weakly and explore the bottom. Attention should be paid to the volatility risk caused by short - covering and position reduction [2]. Polysilicon Market Analysis - On May 28, 2025, the main polysilicon futures contract 2507 mainly fluctuated. It opened at 35,360 yuan/ton and closed at 35,100 yuan/ton, with a closing price change of 0.23% compared with the previous trading day. The main contract held 79,868 lots (80,800 lots on the previous trading day), and the trading volume on the day was 153,272 lots [4]. - The spot price of polysilicon remained stable. According to SMM statistics, the quotation of polysilicon re - feeding material was 32.00 - 35.00 (0.00) yuan/kg; polysilicon dense material was 30.00 - 34.00 (0.00) yuan/kg; polysilicon cauliflower material was 29.00 - 31.00 (0.00) yuan/kg; granular silicon was 32.00 - 33.00 (0.00) yuan/kg, N - type material was 35.00 - 38.00 (0.00) yuan/kg, and n - type granular silicon was 33.00 - 35.00 (0.00) yuan/kg. The inventory of polysilicon manufacturers increased slightly, and the silicon wafer inventory increased. The latest statistics showed that the polysilicon inventory was 26.00, with a month - on - month change of 3.88%, the silicon wafer inventory was 18.95GW, with a month - on - month change of - 2.50%, the weekly polysilicon output was 21,500.00 tons, with a month - on - month change of 0.40%, and the silicon wafer output was 13.30GW, with a month - on - month change of 7.10% [4]. - In terms of silicon wafers, the price of domestic N - type 18Xmm silicon wafers was 0.94 (0.00) yuan/piece, the price of N - type 210mm was 1.28 (0.00) yuan/piece, and the price of N - type 210R silicon wafers was 1.08 (0.00) yuan/piece [4][6]. - In terms of battery cells, the price of high - efficiency PERC182 battery cells was 0.29 (0.00) yuan/W; the price of PERC210 battery cells was about 0.28 (0.00) yuan/W; the price of Topcon M10 battery cells was about 0.25 (- 0.01) yuan/W; the price of Topcon G12 battery cells was 0.27 (0.00) yuan/W; the price of Topcon210RN battery cells was 0.27 (0.01) yuan/W; and the price of HJT210 half - piece battery cells was 0.37 (0.00) yuan/W [6]. - For components, the mainstream transaction price of PERC182mm was 0.67 - 0.74 (0.00) yuan/W, the mainstream transaction price of PERC210mm was 0.69 - 0.73 (0.00) yuan/W, the mainstream transaction price of N - type 182mm was 0.69 - 0.69 (0.00) yuan/W, and the mainstream transaction price of N - type 210mm was 0.69 - 0.69 (0.00) yuan/W [6]. Strategy - The price is expected to fluctuate widely, and range operation is recommended. For unilateral operations, it is advisable to be neutral; for inter - period, inter - variety, spot - futures, and options operations, there are no specific strategies [7].

Core Viewpoint - The solar industry is currently facing challenges, but there is a long-term positive outlook due to expected growth in installation capacity and the need for companies to strengthen their internal capabilities to survive the current market conditions [3][4]. Industry Outlook - The solar installation capacity in China is projected to experience explosive growth in 2023 and 2024, with an expected increase of 28.3% to 277.6 GW, contributing over 50% of global growth [3]. - The global solar market is expected to add 530 GW of new capacity in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 35.9% [3]. - Despite current pressures from supply-demand mismatches, the long-term prospects for the solar industry remain positive, driven by sustained global demand [3]. Company Strategy - The company emphasizes the importance of mastering core technologies and managing quality and cost effectively to thrive in the industry [2]. - The company has over 90,000 tons of high-purity silicon production capacity, over 150 GW of solar cell capacity, and over 90 GW of module capacity [5]. - The company plans to enhance its R&D efforts without setting a cap on investment, focusing on various research directions including TOPCON, BC, heterojunction, and perovskite technologies [6]. Financial Position - The company currently holds approximately 40 billion yuan in cash reserves, indicating a strong cash flow position despite previous losses [6]. - Future profit growth is anticipated from improvements in supply-demand dynamics, technological advantages, and ongoing cost control measures [6].