【导读】沪指创年内新高，公募解读后市 中国基金报记者 曹雯璟 对下半年市场维持中性偏乐观 展望后市，景顺长城基金表示，年初以来中国在AI、军工和创新药等领域取得突破，创新叙事不仅提振国内投资者信心，也使外资重新认识 中国的创新能力；美元步入下行周期利好人民币资产，A股和港股在流动性层面相对受益；市场估值仍然具备吸引力，尤其是相比债市具有 较高性价比，因此，对A股市场保持乐观。 熟悉的 " 牛味 " 又回来了! 6月25日， A股三大指数集体走强 。 截至 收盘，沪指涨1.0 4 %，创年内新高， 报收于 3455.97点；深证成指涨1.72%， 报收于 10393.72点；创业板指涨3.11%， 报收于 2128.39点 。 行业板块多数收涨，多元金融、船舶制造、证券、航天航空、半导体 等 板块涨幅居前，采掘、石油、农药 等 板块跌幅居前。 今日A股缘何大涨？后续市场怎么走？哪些板块值得关注？对此，中国基金报采访了景顺长城、招商、中欧、创金合信、信达澳亚、博时、 永赢等多家基金公司。 多位业内人士表示，多重因素导致今日A股大涨。风险偏好改善，对A股市场保持乐观，但未来仍需关注不确定性，可关注金融、科技成 长、 ...

来 源： 每晚一卷书 （ID: JYXZ89896） 洞见 （ DJ00123987 ） —— 不一样的观点，不一样的故事， 3000 万人订阅的微信大号。点击标题下 蓝字 " 洞见 " 关注，我们将为您提供有价值、有意思的延伸阅读。 凡是经历，皆是成长。 ♬ 点上方播放按钮可收听洞见主播安东尼 朗读音频 作 者：Leyla 松下幸之助曾经说过，自己的成功之道归因于三点： 以前常生病，生活困顿潦倒，而且学历是零。 因为身体不好，所以他特别珍惜时间，总想着在短暂的生命中创出一番事业； 因为贫穷潦倒，他不得不十分努力，所以被迫成为一个不会因为一点困难就放弃的人； 再加上完全没有学历可言，他只好持续学习、终生不辍，来提升自己的水平。 后来他就明白了一个顶级思维： 凡事发生，其实皆有利于我。 正如生命中那些看似不利的条件，却造就了他的辉煌。 人生所有的磨难，换个角度看，其实都是成功的垫脚石。 想通了这一点，你就不再惧怕任何困难的来临。 逢低谷，是老天给你的转机。 作家张德芬说： "当你脚下的那块安全毯突然被抽走的时候，这是人生的关键时刻。你的反应，都一再地左右 着你此后的人生格局和布局。" 许多挫折的来临，看似是命运 ...

分析师：柏逸凡 登记编号：S0890524100001 分析师：程秉哲 登记编号：S0890522110001 投资要点 本报告统计时间为2025.06.16-2025.06.20。 先调整才能见彩虹，防守待反击。A股短期内缺乏催化，市场波动压力有所增加。在中央汇金托底 的背景下，大盘权重风格下行空间相对有限，建议短期可关注银行、红利低波等防守方向。新消 费、创新药等题材以及小微盘方向短期调整风险偏高，投资者可适度等待，在风险释放之后，将 迎来更具性价比的布局机会。从成交占比来看，科技方向4月以来持续回落，当前风险相对较低， 在高弹性方向上的短期性价比更优。 权益市场， 上周，市场风格方面，大盘价值风格仍占优势；市场风格波动方面，大小盘风格波动 下降，价值成长风格波动保持在近一年低位。市场结构方面，上周，行业指数超额收益离散度保 持在近一年低位，成分股上涨比例有所下降，行业轮动速度上升；交易集中度方面，前100个股成 交集中度以及前5行业成交额占比均维持在近一年较低水平。市场活跃度方面，上周，市场波动率 保持在近一年低位，市场换手率略有上升。 商品市场方面， 上周，黑色、贵金属板块趋势强度下降，农产品板块趋势 ...

Core Viewpoint - The Chinese ETF market is undergoing a significant transformation from 2024 to April 2025, with the total scale of non-monetary ETFs increasing from 1.85 trillion yuan at the end of 2023 to 3.89 trillion yuan, marking a 110% growth [1]. ETF Market Scale Changes - The ETF market is experiencing a shift in dominance from individual investors to institutional investors, with institutional holdings in stock ETFs reaching 62.14% and in bond ETFs reaching 84.90% [4]. - State-owned institutions and insurance companies are the main contributors to this growth, with state-owned holdings increasing by 922.4 billion yuan to 1.05 trillion yuan in the second half of 2024, and insurance funds increasing by 113.2 billion yuan to 260.7 billion yuan [4]. Institutional Preferences - Institutions are actively investing in core broad-based ETFs, with a total increase of 866.8 billion yuan in 300 ETFs and 500 ETFs, accounting for 59.3% of total inflows into stock ETFs [5]. - There is a strong preference for high-dividend assets among institutions, driven by the challenges of low interest rates, with the total market size of dividend-themed index funds reaching 173.55 billion yuan, an increase of 20.09 billion yuan from the end of 2024 [6]. Insurance Capital Activity - Insurance capital has been particularly active in acquiring dividend assets, with 16 instances of stake increases in listed companies, focusing on sectors like banking, utilities, energy, and logistics [9]. - Ping An Life has been notably active, making six acquisitions in Hong Kong-listed bank stocks, becoming a key player in this market [9]. Dividend ETF Characteristics - The main dividend index sectors are characterized by essential or monopolistic attributes, such as energy, resources, telecommunications, and utilities, benefiting from national policy incentives [10]. - Despite the growth in dividend ETFs, there are concerns regarding the sustainability of returns, as over 50% of the 56.32% return from the dividend low-volatility index in 2023-2024 came from the banking and coal sectors [11]. Market Outlook - The resilience of dividend assets has been highlighted, with both A-shares and Hong Kong stocks showing a favorable trend in dividend style since March [11]. - Future expectations suggest that while growth styles may dominate, dividend styles will exhibit a higher probability of success due to their high dividend yields and low volatility [11].

Group 1 - The Cathay CSI 500 ETF (561350) experienced a daily rebound of 1.1% [1] - The CSI 500 Index, which includes major companies like Tencent and Alibaba, reflects a diverse industry distribution covering consumer discretionary, industrials, and communication services [1] - The CSI A500 Index-related ETFs showed high trading activity, with multiple products exceeding 1 billion yuan in daily trading volume, indicating strong market interest [1] Group 2 - Guosen Securities reported that the CSI 500 Index fell by 1.75% over the past week, with a significant PE contraction of 1.35x [2] - The current PE, PB, and PS percentiles for the CSI 500 are between 60% and 95%, while the PCF is in the 80% to 90% range, suggesting attractive long-term valuation compared to the broader market [2] - The consumer staples sector, particularly food and beverage, shows significant valuation recovery potential, with 3-year and 5-year average valuation percentiles at 7.47%/4.49% and 14.08%/10.38% respectively [2]

13只浮动费率新基率先成立 数据显示，截至6月24日，首批26只新型浮动费率基金中，13只产品已率先发布成立公告，募集规模总 额超126亿元。 其中，基金经理周云管理的东方红核心价值、 基金经理 刘健维管理的易方达成长进取、 基金经理 何杰 管理的平安价值优享募集规模暂列前三名，分别为19.91亿元、17.04亿元、13.22亿元。 截至6月24日，首批26只新型浮动费率基金中，已有13只宣布成立，合计募集规模超126亿元，东方红核 心价值、易方达成长进取、平安价值优享募集规模均超10亿元。 业内机构表示，此次发行的浮动费率基金 采用 管理费 分档计提规则 ，实施"奖优罚劣"机制。这一费率 机制 强化基金公司、高管、基金经理与投资者的利益绑定，督促行业机构牢固树立以投资者最佳利益 为核心的经营理念。 在不确定性中寻找投资确定性 基金经理 王晓川管理的银华成长智选、 基金经理 贾腾管理的天弘品质价值、 基金经理 李涛管理的嘉 实成长共赢、 基金经理 孟杰管理的宏利睿智领航、 基金经理 卞正管理的汇添富均衡潜力优选募集规模 均超8亿元。 图片来源：Choice，统计截至2025/6/24，不作投资推荐 此外，多家 ...

【导读】 百余只 主动权益基金净值创历史新高 中国基金报记者 张燕北 孙晓辉 随 着 A股市场震荡上行，一批主动权益基金净值创出历史新高。 日前， 全市场 超百只 主动 权益基金最新净值创出历史新高，其中，93只基金过去一年涨幅超过50%。 在业内 人士 看来，虽然不确定性仍存，但经过此前 较为 充分的调整，A股市场 值得乐观看 待， 科技成长的布局时点或已临近 。 上百只主动权益基金净值创历史新高 Wind数据显示，截至6月23日，共有106只主动权益基金 （ 仅统计主代码，下同 ） 净值创 出 成立以来 新高 。 从业绩表现来看，这批主动权益基金中，有91只基金年内涨幅超过30%，其中，24只年内涨 幅超过50%，更有10只年内涨幅超过60%，展现出较好的超额收益获取能力。 科技成长布局时点或已临近 展望后市，信达澳亚基金 表示 ，短期来看，市场对于关税担忧减弱，叠加中东局势缓和，市 场进入阶段性风险偏好回升阶段 。 中长期来看，尽管外部环境不确定性仍存，但随着政策红 利逐步释放，以及流动性保持宽裕，有望进一步为A股长期叙事的演绎奠定基础。 "经过此前充分调整，科技成长的布局时点或已临近，科技行业尤其是A ...

Core Viewpoint - The recent launch of the "1+6" new policy for the Sci-Tech Innovation Board (STAR Market) by the China Securities Regulatory Commission (CSRC) has garnered significant market attention, particularly the reintroduction and expansion of the fifth listing standard, which opens up opportunities for high-quality unprofitable companies to go public [1][3][4] Group 1: Policy Changes and Implications - The fifth listing standard has been expanded to cover cutting-edge fields such as artificial intelligence, commercial aerospace, and low-altitude economy, enhancing the inclusivity and adaptability of the capital market for hard-tech companies [3][4] - The introduction of a new "U" label for unprofitable companies in the newly established Sci-Tech Growth Layer aims to improve transparency and help investors better identify and assess risks associated with these companies [9][10] - The new policy encourages collaboration between companies and experienced institutional investors, which is expected to enhance the identification and support of high-quality unprofitable enterprises [5][6] Group 2: Market Dynamics and Investor Considerations - The involvement of seasoned institutional investors is designed to provide a more accurate assessment of companies' innovation potential beyond just financial metrics, thereby guiding capital towards promising unprofitable firms [5][6] - The policy may lead to a situation where companies seek to partner with institutional investors primarily to meet listing requirements, potentially resulting in superficial collaborations rather than genuine partnerships [7][8] - The establishment of differentiated exit standards for companies in the Sci-Tech Growth Layer aims to ensure that only those with sustainable growth and profitability can transition out, thereby enhancing market quality [11][12] Group 3: IPO Pre-Review Mechanism - The newly introduced IPO pre-review mechanism allows companies to identify and address potential issues before formal submission, which could shorten the review cycle and increase the likelihood of successful listings [14][15] - This mechanism is particularly suited for strategic emerging industries with clear core technology projects that have significant implications for national and industry development [15] - However, the pre-review process may not fully uncover all issues, and there are concerns about the lack of transparency and potential information asymmetry in the market [16][17][18]

Core Viewpoint - The banking sector and small-cap stocks are experiencing a resurgence, with specific ETFs showing significant year-to-date gains and attracting substantial net inflows, indicating a favorable investment environment [1][2][3]. Group 1: ETF Performance - The Bank AH Preferred ETF (517900) and the CSI 2000 Enhanced ETF (159552) have increased by 22.02% and 20.11% year-to-date, respectively, with recent net inflows of nearly 200 million over the past 10 days [1][2]. - The Bank AH Preferred ETF has a year-to-date decline of 21.94% and a 10-day increase of 0.63%, while the CSI 2000 Enhanced ETF has a year-to-date decline of 20.11% and a 10-day increase of 0.32% [2]. Group 2: Market Strategy - The Huachuang Strategy Team suggests that the current financial re-inflation phase in the bull market's first half allows for the release of small-cap growth potential, with a focus on dividend assets due to their stable cash flow and dividend capabilities [2]. - The latest report from Chuang Securities recommends a "barbell strategy" for asset allocation, combining high-dividend bank stocks with high-growth small-cap stocks, suitable for the current market's volatility and rapid style rotation [2][3]. Group 3: Investment Opportunities - The Bank AH Preferred ETF offers defensive characteristics through its undervaluation and high dividend yield, achieving a year-to-date increase of 20%, while the CSI 2000 Enhanced ETF captures small-cap growth opportunities through quantitative strategies, with cumulative returns exceeding 60% since inception [3]. - This investment strategy allows investors to benefit from the recovery of bank stocks driven by policy incentives while also participating in the growth potential of small-cap stocks, making it appropriate for the current uncertain market conditions [3].

Core Points - The China Securities Index for Hong Kong Stock Connect Growth Strategy Index reported a value of 1265.42 points, with a decline of 0.81% over the past month and 1.84% over the past three months, while showing a year-to-date increase of 22.00% [1][2] Group 1: Index Overview - The index considers liquidity and growth characteristics of securities within the China Securities Index for Hong Kong Stock Connect, selecting those with prominent growth styles and using a weighted approach based on growth probability and free float market capitalization [1] - The index was established on December 31, 2014, with a base value of 1000.0 points [1] Group 2: Top Holdings - The top ten holdings of the index include Xiaomi Group-W (10.31%), Tencent Holdings (10.06%), Alibaba-W (9.77%), Meituan-W (8.31%), AIA Group (7.53%), Hong Kong Exchanges and Clearing (5.24%), BYD Company (4.81%), Pop Mart International (2.04%), Kuaishou-W (1.79%), and Li Auto-W (1.67%) [1] Group 3: Sector Allocation - The sector allocation of the index holdings includes Consumer Discretionary (38.96%), Information Technology (14.11%), Financials (13.61%), Communication Services (12.92%), Healthcare (7.60%), Consumer Staples (3.09%), Materials (2.69%), Industrials (2.64%), Real Estate (1.82%), Utilities (1.68%), and Energy (0.89%) [2] Group 4: Index Adjustment Mechanism - The index samples are adjusted quarterly, with adjustments occurring in the second Friday of March, June, September, and December [2] - Weight factors are generally fixed until the next scheduled adjustment, with special circumstances allowing for temporary adjustments [2]