Core Viewpoint - The automotive market in China is experiencing significant growth, particularly in the electric vehicle (EV) segment, with various companies reporting substantial year-on-year increases in sales and deliveries [2][3][12]. Group 1: Sales Performance - XPeng Motors delivered 30,453 vehicles in February, marking a remarkable year-on-year increase of 570%, and has maintained a monthly delivery of over 30,000 units for four consecutive months [5][6]. - BYD reported sales of 322,800 new energy vehicles in February, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 163.9%, with a production volume of 334,100 units, up 202.4% [9][10]. - Li Auto delivered 26,300 vehicles in February, a year-on-year increase of 29.7%, with a total cumulative delivery of 1.19 million vehicles [5][6]. - Leap Motor's February delivery reached 25,300 units, showing a year-on-year growth of 285% [6]. - Xiaomi's SU7 model achieved over 20,000 deliveries in February, continuing a five-month streak of exceeding 20,000 units [6][7]. Group 2: Market Trends - The China Automobile Dealers Association estimates that the retail sales of new energy vehicles in February could reach 600,000 units, with a penetration rate of approximately 48% [3][13]. - The automotive market is expected to maintain strong growth momentum due to the release of consumer demand post-holiday, supportive consumption policies, and advancements in smart driving technology and charging infrastructure [3][14]. - The "smart driving" initiative is gaining traction, with over ten automotive brands, including BYD and Geely, announcing plans for "smart driving equality" [3][14]. Group 3: Future Outlook - The smart vehicle market in China is projected to approach 1 trillion yuan by 2025, with L2-level autonomous driving penetration expected to reach 55.7% by 2024 [15][16]. - The introduction of cost-effective smart driving hardware is anticipated to trigger a trend where vehicles priced between 100,000 to 150,000 yuan will standardize such features [16].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" rating for the company [4][6]. Core Viewpoints - The company achieved a record high in overseas sales, with February's wholesale sales of new energy vehicles reaching 323,000 units, a year-on-year increase of 164.0% and a month-on-month increase of 7.4% [1][2]. - The company is accelerating its entry into international markets, with significant growth in exports, particularly in Turkey, Brazil, and Europe, supported by the introduction of new roll-on/roll-off ships to enhance shipping capacity [2][3]. - The launch of the Dynasty Ocean series smart driving models is expected to democratize advanced driving features, with 25%-30% of orders for smart driving versions, leveraging the company's data advantage from over 4.4 million vehicles equipped with L2 or higher driving assistance [3]. - The year 2025 is projected to be a significant year for high-end products, with flagship models like Han L and Tang L set to launch, which will enhance the brand's premium positioning and profitability [3]. Financial Forecasts - Revenue projections for 2024-2026 are estimated at 833.6 billion, 1,017.0 billion, and 1,214.3 billion yuan respectively, with net profit forecasts of 39.9 billion, 55.4 billion, and 65.6 billion yuan [4][5]. - Earnings per share (EPS) are expected to rise from 13.71 yuan in 2024 to 22.55 yuan in 2026, with corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios decreasing from 26 to 16 over the same period [4][5].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for BYD, with a target price based on the closing price of 361.82 CNY per share as of February 28, 2025 [6]. Core Viewpoints - BYD's wholesale sales of new energy vehicles reached 323,000 units in February, representing a year-on-year increase of 164.0% and a month-on-month increase of 7.4% [1][2]. - The company is experiencing significant growth in exports, with February's new energy vehicle exports reaching 67,000 units, marking a new high [2]. - The launch of the intelligent driving version of the Dynasty Ocean series is expected to accelerate the adoption of smart driving features, with orders for these models accounting for 25%-30% of total orders [3]. - 2025 is projected to be a pivotal year for BYD's high-end product offerings, with flagship models set to launch, enhancing overall profitability [3]. Summary by Sections Sales Performance - In February, BYD's new energy passenger vehicle wholesale sales were 318,000 units, up 161.4% year-on-year and 7.3% month-on-month. Cumulative sales for January and February reached 615,000 units, a 90.4% increase year-on-year [1][2]. Export Growth - The company has seen a steady increase in overseas sales, with significant demand from markets such as Turkey, Brazil, and Europe. The fleet of roll-on/roll-off ships is expected to expand, enhancing export capabilities [2]. Product Development - The introduction of high-end models equipped with advanced intelligent driving systems is anticipated to drive sales and profitability. The flagship models will support various smart driving functions [3]. Financial Forecast - Revenue projections for 2024-2026 are estimated at 833.6 billion CNY, 1,017.0 billion CNY, and 1,214.3 billion CNY respectively, with net profits expected to reach 39.9 billion CNY, 55.4 billion CNY, and 65.6 billion CNY [4][5].

Group 1: Overseas Technology Mapping - Apple's AI Chinese version launch marks a significant step in its globalization strategy, expected to boost iPhone 16e sales by 15%-20% starting Q2 2025 and increase service revenue by over 10%[11] - Cisco and NVIDIA's collaboration aims to enhance enterprise AI deployment, reducing operational costs by over 30% and optimizing data transmission efficiency for large-scale AI training[14] - Salesforce's AI-driven innovations are projected to achieve double-digit revenue growth in 2025, supported by a $2.5 billion cloud service agreement with Google[20] Group 2: Domestic Hot Topics - DeepSeek's open-source initiative accelerates access to advanced AI models, enhancing confidence in China's AI capital expenditure and improving overall productivity[26] - Tencent's integration of DeepSeek into its ecosystem is expected to increase daily active users of AI search by 30%-50%, with the AI search market projected to exceed 100 billion yuan by 2025[35] - The success of "Nezha 2" demonstrates the transformative impact of AI and cloud computing on the domestic animation industry, achieving a box office of 8.9 billion yuan and a viewing audience of 180 million[40] Group 3: Policy Focus - The establishment of a 60 billion yuan national AI investment fund aims to create a complete ecosystem from foundational computing to end applications, with a projected CAGR of 58% in AI chip markets over the next three years[56] - The Ministry of Commerce has reduced the foreign investment negative list to 29 items, promoting a fairer competitive environment for domestic and foreign enterprises[58]

Investment Rating - Industry Rating: Overweight [1] - Previous Rating: Overweight [1] - Rating Change: Maintained [1] Core Insights - DeepSeek represents the transition of domestic AI technology from catching up to leading, indicating a potential revaluation of Chinese tech assets [1] - The selected "Big 7" Hong Kong tech stocks include Alibaba, Tencent, Xiaomi, Meituan, SMIC, BYD, and Horizon Robotics, based on industry influence and technological innovation capabilities [1] Summary by Company Alibaba - Alibaba is one of China's largest tech companies, with a business scope covering e-commerce, cloud computing, local services, and international digital commerce [12] - The core competitiveness lies in the "data-technology-scenario" closed loop, with significant advantages in AI model training due to massive consumer behavior data [12][13] - Collaboration with Apple to develop localized AI features for the Chinese version of the iPhone may lead to a revaluation of Alibaba's cloud and AI business [13] Tencent - Tencent is a leading player in China's internet ecosystem, with a strong "social + content" super-ecosystem that forms a solid barrier to entry [2][14] - Future growth is expected to be driven by innovations powered by AI technology, with applications in enterprise services and consumer-facing products [15] Xiaomi - Xiaomi is a leading consumer electronics and smart manufacturing company, focusing on smartphones, smart hardware, and IoT platforms [3][17] - The company has connected 822.2 million IoT devices, showing a 25.6% year-on-year growth, and aims to deepen its "human-vehicle-home" ecosystem strategy [17][18] - The automotive sector is expected to become a second growth curve, with AI integration enhancing user experience and creating new revenue streams [18] Meituan - Meituan is a super platform in China's local service sector, focusing on the digitalization of various scenarios including food delivery and travel [4][19] - The company's competitive edge lies in its super app ecosystem and instant delivery system, which creates a high-frequency traffic entry point [19][20] - Future growth will benefit from structural upgrades in the local service market and technological innovation [20] SMIC - SMIC is a leader in China's integrated circuit manufacturing, focusing on both mature and advanced process chip production [5][22] - The company has a strong manufacturing capability and localized supply chain, which positions it well to meet the growing semiconductor demand [22][23] - Future growth is expected to be driven by the continuous demand for semiconductors and technological upgrades [23] BYD - BYD is a global leader in the new energy vehicle sector, with a projected sales volume of over 4.27 million vehicles in 2024 [6][24] - The company has significant advantages in technology, cost, innovation, and distribution channels, which solidify its leadership position [24][25] - The "smart driving equality" strategy is expected to deepen BYD's leadership in the automotive industry [25] Horizon Robotics - Horizon Robotics is a leading supplier of advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS) and high-level autonomous driving solutions [7][27] - The company has a competitive advantage through software-hardware collaboration, high efficiency, and an open ecosystem for customized development [27][28] - Future prospects include a strong entry into the high-performance computing market with its J6P chip, marking a significant leap in capabilities [29]

Core Viewpoint - The article discusses BYD's "Smart Driving Equality" strategy and its potential impact on the new energy vehicle industry, suggesting that it may lead to a revaluation of the sector and highlighting the companies that could benefit from this shift [5][10]. Group 1: Impact of "Smart Driving Equality" - BYD's "Smart Driving Equality" is expected to accelerate consumer education on smart driving, making it a core factor in vehicle purchasing decisions, marking a shift from electrification to smart technology in the automotive industry by 2025 [6][10]. - The article anticipates that traditional fuel vehicle manufacturers will face accelerated elimination due to BYD's advantages in smart driving technology and government policies [7][10]. - BYD is positioned as a leader in this transition, likely to see significant increases in sales and market share by 2025, while competitors like Geely may face risks of declining market share due to slower adoption of smart driving technologies [8][10]. Group 2: Valuation and Market Position - The article raises questions about whether BYD's current stock price has fully accounted for the impacts of the "Smart Driving Equality" strategy, given that its stock has surged by 56% from its lowest point this year [18][19]. - Factors influencing BYD's valuation include competition from other manufacturers in the 10-20 million yuan price range and the potential for new electric vehicle platforms to enhance market share [19][22]. - The article suggests that BYD's stock may still have upward potential based on optimistic projections for sales and profitability, particularly if it can maintain its technological lead and manage costs effectively [31][32]. Group 3: Supply Chain and Technological Advancements - The article highlights the importance of the supply chain in supporting BYD's smart driving initiatives, particularly in the areas of hardware and software integration, which could lead to cost reductions and improved margins [14][25]. - It discusses the potential for new battery technologies and platforms to significantly enhance the performance and appeal of BYD's electric vehicles, contributing to sales growth [24][26]. - The article emphasizes the need for BYD to continue advancing its smart driving technology to maintain its competitive edge and achieve a successful transition to a software-driven valuation model [34][35].