周期股

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双降未能提振大盘,哪些板块能逆风翻盘? | 智氪
36氪· 2025-05-11 11:07
Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the confirmation of a weak economic recovery, emphasizing the investment value of dividend sectors amidst the current market conditions [3][4]. Market Performance - A-shares experienced fluctuations with the Shanghai Composite Index rising by 1.68% to close at 3342 points, while the Wind All A Index increased by 2.32% during the week [4]. - All 31 primary industries in the Shenwan index saw gains, with military, communication, electric equipment, and banking sectors leading the increases, while real estate, electronics, retail, and petrochemicals lagged behind [4]. Macroeconomic Indicators - The April inflation data showed a 0.1% year-on-year decline in CPI, with PPI decreasing by 2.7%, indicating a continued downward trend in industrial product prices [9][11]. - The article discusses the impact of tariffs on global economic conditions, leading to a cautious outlook on future PPI expectations due to anticipated declines in industrial prices [11][12]. Policy Impact - The recent dual reduction in reserve requirements and interest rates is seen as a response to the economic slowdown, aiming to support market confidence and stimulate demand [13][14]. - The banking sector has benefited from the policy changes, with dividend stocks becoming a safe haven for investors amid the weak recovery [14]. Investment Strategies - The article outlines four key investment themes: 1. Dividend sectors, particularly banking, are expected to maintain strong investment value due to ongoing weak recovery and potential monetary easing benefits [16]. 2. The TMT sector, driven by digital economy trends and policy support, is projected to remain robust in the medium term, with Hong Kong's TMT companies attracting more investment due to favorable valuations [16]. 3. Cyclical stocks, such as oil and non-ferrous metals, are anticipated to experience valuation recovery as economic conditions improve [16]. 4. Defensive sectors like public utilities and transportation are highlighted for their stable earnings and low valuations, providing a safety margin in volatile markets [17].
金龙鱼的困境:销量增长收入下降 产品售价下降募投项目一再延期
Xin Lang Zheng Quan· 2025-03-25 10:11
金龙鱼的困境:销量增长收入下降 产品售价下降募 投项目一再延期 出品:新浪财经上市公司研究院 作者:浪头饮食/ 郝显 3月21日金龙鱼发布2024年年报,在总销量同比增长7.23%的情况下,营收下降了5.03%。产品售价 下降的压力显而易见。 对于金龙鱼来说,刚扛过原材料成本的上涨,又遇到产品售价下行。在行业竞争激烈、下游需求不 振、产品结构下滑、经销商囤货意愿低的背景下,金龙鱼的增长逻辑可能需要重新审视。 值得注意的是,从2021年2月到2025年3月25日,金龙鱼股价一直处在下跌趋势中,从最高点已经跌 去近80%,基本面的改变也许已经反应在了股价上。 销量增长收入下滑 产品售价下降成业绩元凶 3月21日金龙鱼发布2024年年报,实现营业收入 2,388.66 亿元,同比下降 5.03%;归母净利润 25.02亿元,同比下降12.14%;扣非净利润9.72亿元,同比下降 26.42%。这是金龙鱼继2023年营收下滑 之后的再次下滑,而公司净利润已经经历了4连降。 与收入下滑形成对照的是,2024年金龙鱼总销量达到5.37万千吨,同比增长7.23%。 在年报中金龙鱼披露称,报告期内公司厨房食品、饲料原料及油脂 ...
盘点四种不同策略的“固收+”基金
雪球· 2025-03-13 04:54
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the performance and strategies of various "Fixed Income +" funds in the current market environment, highlighting their unique risk-return characteristics and providing insights for investors to consider different options for asset allocation [2][15]. Group 1: Fund Performance and Strategies - The article highlights four funds with different strategies: 1. Huaan Enhanced Income Bond focuses on "Fixed Income + Convertible Bonds" 2. Huatai-PB Dingli Flexible Allocation Mixed focuses on "Fixed Income + Cyclical Stocks" (mainly gold stocks) 3. E Fund Rui Jin Mixed focuses on "Fixed Income + Dividends" 4. China Merchants Anyang Bond focuses on "Fixed Income + Quantitative Stock Selection" [2]. - Huaan Enhanced Income Bond, managed by Zheng Weishan, achieved a 1-year return of 11.41%, significantly outperforming its benchmark of 5.86%, ranking in the top 2% of its category [3][4]. - Huatai-PB Dingli Flexible Allocation Mixed, managed by Zheng Qing and Dong Chen, reported a 1-year return of 6.72%, with a flexible bond portfolio primarily consisting of financial bonds [7][8]. - E Fund Rui Jin Mixed, managed by Yang Kang, achieved a 1-year return of 10.90%, focusing on high-dividend assets and actively adjusting stock positions based on market conditions [10][11]. - China Merchants Anyang Bond, managed by Yin Xiaohong and Cai Zhen, reported a 1-year return of 9.72%, utilizing a "Fixed Income + Quantitative" strategy to balance risk and return [12][14]. Group 2: Investment Strategies and Asset Allocation - Huaan Enhanced Income Bond has shifted its bond holdings to focus on convertible bonds, maintaining over 70% in this asset class since 2023, which provides both defensive and offensive characteristics [3][5]. - Huatai-PB Dingli's bond holdings are primarily in financial bonds, with a flexible allocation strategy that adjusts based on market conditions, aiming to capture opportunities in a declining interest rate environment [7][8]. - E Fund Rui Jin Mixed employs a strategy focused on high-dividend stocks, adjusting its equity positions based on specific market indicators to optimize returns while managing risk [10][11]. - China Merchants Anyang Bond utilizes a quantitative approach for stock selection, focusing on industry rotation and maintaining a balance between different sectors to adapt to market changes [13][14]. Group 3: Conclusion and Investor Considerations - The article emphasizes the importance of understanding the underlying strategies of "Fixed Income +" funds, as different approaches can lead to varying performance outcomes, allowing investors to find suitable products based on their risk preferences and investment goals [15].