避险情绪

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李鸿彬:6.18中东局势有所缓解,黄金遭遇滑铁卢
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-17 17:43
不谋万世者不足谋一时;不谋全局者不足谋一域;不谋全局者不足以谋天下。没有前瞻的行情预判和清晰的思 路,跟着行情跑,偶尔的正确不过是运气罢了。而我们步步为赢,思路清晰,执行果断才能连赢不断。 | ৰে | 000 | N | L | 0 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 行情 | 图测 | 交易 | 历史 | 设置 | 近期随着市场愈发接受美联储将在2025年继续降息的可能性,美元难以吸引强势买盘。另外以色列对伊朗国家电 视台的袭击引发伊方强烈反应,声称将进行"史上最大规模导弹攻击"。美国总统特朗普已要求国家安全委员会在 白宫战情室做好准备。 黄金近期受中东局势影响,避险情绪拉满,成功回到了3400时代。但多次冲击3450关口,都未能逾越,随后迎来 大幅回落,本周初最低跌至3382附近,日内大阴收尾,跌幅高达70余点。今日如期延续跌势,承压3400关口弱势 下行,美盘加速走低至3366附近得以回升。彬哥今日晚间布局的3395附近空,成功跌至3375目标,完美收割20余 点。 黄金目前走势和彬哥预期吻合,隔夜跌破3409关键点后,果然出现了加速下跌,3400大关 连连失守,恰 ...
刷屏!今夜,利好!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-17 16:17
【导读】人民网评论"禁止违规吃喝,不是吃喝都违规"刷屏,美股小幅下跌 避险情绪占据主导,标普500指数回吐本月部分涨幅。由于零售、房地产和工业产出的数据低迷,强化 了今年降息的预期(前提是原油上涨只是暂时的,并不会对通胀下行路径造成重大威胁)。 中国基金报记者 泰勒 大家好啊,一起关注一下海内外的重大市场消息! 人民网评论刷屏 6月17日晚间,人民网发表评论称,各地纵深推进违规吃喝专项整治,剑指权力寻租、公款滥用等沉 疴,是正风肃纪的必然选择。但在执行链条中,个别地方"层层加码",把"禁止违规吃喝"简单等同 于"禁止吃喝"。这种行为也是懒政,是形式主义的变种,让商家失了生意,也让民生烟火黯淡。 本该精准的"手术刀",在一些地方成了"乱挥的大锤":凡聚餐就审查、凡宴请就干预,"一碗面、大罚 款",自己掏钱请两三好友聚一聚也不行,普通党员干部吃饭战战兢兢。这些"层层加码",看似"积极作 为",实则是懒政思维下对政策的误读、对民生的漠视,用简单粗暴代替精准治理,拿形式主义掩盖能 力短板。餐馆没了客流,消失的不只是烟火,更是服务员工资、养殖户订单、供应链循环……层层加码 的代价,最终压在劳动者肩头。 评论表示,各地执 ...
近14年新高!白银“接过”涨势,还能买吗?
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-06-17 13:25
Core Viewpoint - Silver prices have surged significantly in June, reaching a nearly 14-year high, driven by industrial demand and safe-haven sentiment [1][2]. Group 1: Price Movement and Market Dynamics - International silver prices rose from approximately $33 per ounce to over $37 per ounce, peaking at $37.24 per ounce on June 17 [1]. - Analysts attribute the price increase to a combination of strong investment demand, widening supply-demand gaps, and expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [1][2]. - The gold-silver ratio has increased from 80 to 105, indicating a relative undervaluation of silver, which has attracted investment [2]. Group 2: Industrial Demand and Supply Factors - Industrial demand for silver has reached a historical high of 59% of total demand, indicating its growing importance over its monetary attributes [3]. - The World Silver Association forecasts a global silver demand of 36,700 tons in 2024, with a supply of only 31,700 tons, resulting in a supply gap of 5,000 tons [3]. - The photovoltaic sector has become a significant growth driver for silver demand, with its consumption increasing from 2,330 tons in 2019 to 6,147 tons in 2024, contributing 78% of the total demand increase [4]. Group 3: Future Price Projections - Multiple institutions predict that silver prices will continue to rise, with estimates suggesting prices could reach $38 per ounce by the fourth quarter of 2025 [5][6]. - The anticipated growth in photovoltaic installations is expected to further stimulate silver demand, alongside the potential for interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve [6]. - Despite the positive outlook, some analysts caution that global economic downturn risks could lead to significant price corrections [7].
避险情绪有所环节,但停火谈判陷入僵局,不确定性仍存,黄金何去何从?金十研究员高阳正在直播分析,点击进入直播间
news flash· 2025-06-17 11:22
避险情绪有所环节,但停火谈判陷入僵局,不确定性仍存,黄金何去何从?金十研究员高阳正在直播分 析,点击进入直播间 相关链接 ...
避险情绪持续走弱,黄金回踩上周起涨点!黄金日内反弹渐弱,短线能否追空?立即观看超V推荐官Jason的分析,马上进入直播间>>>
news flash· 2025-06-17 08:34
避险情绪持续走弱,黄金回踩上周起涨点!黄金日内反弹渐弱,短线能否追空?立即观看超V推荐官 Jason的分析,马上进入直播间>>> 相关链接 黄金短线能否追空? ...
避险情绪有所消退,黄金震荡回落,商品期货后市方向怎么看?期货资深研究员Leo正在解读黄金及其他热门期货品种的市场行情,洞察品种基本面以及大宗商品的未来走势。立即进入直播间。
news flash· 2025-06-17 07:09
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent decline in gold prices due to a decrease in risk aversion, while also highlighting the analysis of market trends for gold and other popular futures by a senior futures researcher [1] Group 1 - Risk aversion has diminished, leading to fluctuations and a downward trend in gold prices [1] - The senior researcher, Leo, is providing insights into the market conditions for gold and other commodities [1] - The live session aims to analyze the fundamental aspects of these commodities and their future trends [1]
金价变化无常 关注美国日内经济数据
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-06-17 06:22
摘要周二(6月17日)亚市盘中,现货黄金价格上涨,目前交投于3392.69美元/盎司,涨幅0.24%。日内将 可关注美国5月零售销售月率、美国5月进口物价指数月率、美国5月工业产出月率、美国4月商业库存月 率等数据,整体上,预期偏向利好金价的力度较大。 Day称,这种情况使财政部处于非常困难的境地,因为他们现在面临未来的两大挑战。 Adrian Day资产管理公司的Adrian Day表示,贵金属市场的关键倒计时不是为了中东的核协议,而是为 了美国的债务协议。 他表示:"美国财政部正面临资金危机,因为债务上限尚未提高,而且拜登政府给即将上任的特朗普政 府留下了一个空储柜。在特朗普宣誓就职前的周五,拜登的财政部长耶伦接受采访时说,我们将在周二 触及债务上限。这基本上就是'祝你好运,特朗普。'" Day表示,因此,到2025年为止没有净新增国债发行。 "我们唯一发行的国债是到期的国债,所以如果1000亿美元到期,他们就会出去发行1000亿美元。但他 们还不能再做什么了,而且他们已经没有什么花招了。他们正在讨论降低银行的存款准备金率,但作为 交换条件,他们不会把钱存入美联储,而是转而用这些钱购买美债。" "现在我们 ...
中东杀红眼,黄金价格却像坐过山车,央行政策与战火交织,市场下一步怎么走?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-17 00:12
Core Viewpoint - Recent fluctuations in gold prices have been influenced by geopolitical tensions and central bank meetings, creating uncertainty in the market [1][3][10]. Group 1: Gold Price Movements - Gold prices surged to $3446 last Friday, a two-month high, but dropped to around $3415 on Monday [1]. - Analysts indicate that the key support level for gold is at $3385; if it falls below this, a rebound may occur, while a rise above could limit opportunities [7]. - Current market sentiment is cautious, with gold prices hovering around $3400, indicating potential for continued volatility [10]. Group 2: Central Bank Policies - The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain interest rates during its upcoming meeting, but market focus is on Chairman Powell's statements regarding future rate cuts [3][10]. - The Bank of Japan is also anticipated to keep rates unchanged due to high uncertainty and potential impacts from U.S. trade policies [5]. - Market speculation suggests a 95% probability of a rate cut in September, but conflicting economic data complicates investor decisions [10]. Group 3: Geopolitical Tensions - The conflict between Israel and Iran has escalated, with military actions leading to casualties, which could influence gold prices depending on the outcome of potential peace negotiations [5][8]. - Recent violence in the Democratic Republic of the Congo, resulting in over 300 deaths, highlights the growing global security risks, although its direct impact on gold is limited [7][10]. - The overall increase in global instability is likely to heighten demand for safe-haven assets like gold [10].
以伊冲突全面爆发,避险情绪能否推升金价再创新高?金十研究员高阳正在直播分析,点击进入直播间
news flash· 2025-06-16 12:40
以伊冲突全面爆发,避险情绪能否推升金价再创新高?金十研究员高阳正在直播分析,点击进入直播间 相关链接 ...
李鸿彬:6.16中东局势越演越烈,黄金还能高歌吗?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-06-16 10:46
人生总有坎坷崎岖,风霜雪雨不断磨砺。痛苦快乐轮番交替,悲欢离合缠绕不息。雾里赏花微风柳絮,金秋硕果 冬雪红梅。得失成败别挂心里,谋事在人成事天意。只要你是尽心努力,就能做到问心无愧,得不忘形失不气 绥,耐心积累以待良机。 6.16黄金策略:1--2410附近直接多,止损3400,目标3420-3435 2--3440附近空,止损3452,目标3430-2420 现货黄金,白银、积存金,走势分析,黄金,融通金,原油,最新策略 原油近期受中东局势影响,迎来了猛烈上涨,成功突破之前60—65震荡区间,多头连续大阳拉升至76附近,看涨 势头尤其猛烈。当前,中东局势越演越烈,原油供应需求乐观,国际局势面助涨原油走势。技术面也是连续大阳 拉升,成功打开日线布林上轨空间,均线呈多头排列扩散。那么操作上就显而易见了,72可以直接多,若是到70 附近必须多。 中东地缘局势的进一步加剧推动了避险情绪的升温,另外美国疲软的通胀数据,这进一步强化了市场对美联储降 息的预期,从而增加了黄金的吸引力。本周全球市场聚焦美联储三大关键动作:政策会议、零售销售数据和地缘 政治局势。目前普遍预期美联储将维持利率不变,但其经济预测和降息表态将直接 ...