Group 1: Core Views Copper - The copper price is expected to be strong, with attention on the long - short battle at the May high [4] - The overnight call between Chinese and US leaders is expected to ease Sino - US relations, which is positive for copper prices [4] - The marginal increase in the social inventory of electrolytic copper drags down the copper price [4] Aluminum - The aluminum price is expected to stabilize and fluctuate above 20,000, with narrowing amplitude, and pay attention to inter - monthly arbitrage opportunities [5] - The overnight call between Chinese and US leaders is expected to ease Sino - US relations, which is positive for aluminum prices [5] - High profits of upstream electrolytic aluminum plants bring hedging pressure, while strong downstream demand supports the price [5] Nickel - The nickel price is expected to rebound, with attention on the long - short battle at the 122,000 mark [6] - Strong short - term supply from Philippine mines supports the price, while weak downstream demand for stainless steel exerts pressure [6] Group 2: Industry Dynamics Copper - The expected copper rod开工率 in June will drop to 47.11%, with a month - on - month decline of 3.51 percentage points [8] - On June 5, Mysteel's electrolytic copper spot inventory was 157,500 tons, an increase of 18,200 tons compared to the 29th and 2,100 tons compared to the 3rd [8] Aluminum - On June 6, the total inventory of bauxite at 9 domestic ports was 21.2 million tons, a decrease of 360,000 tons compared to the previous week [9] - On June 5, Mysteel's electrolytic aluminum social inventory was 508,000 tons, a decrease of 11,000 tons compared to the 29th and 18,000 tons compared to the 3rd [9] Nickel - On June 6, the mainstream reference contract for refined nickel in the Shanghai market was the Shanghai Nickel 2507 contract [10] - The mainstream premium for Jinchuan electrolytic nickel was + 2,400 yuan/ton, with a price of 124,390 yuan/ton [10] - The mainstream premium for Russian nickel was + 700 yuan/ton, with a price of 122,690 yuan/ton [10] Group 3: Related Charts Copper - Charts include copper basis, copper monthly spread, domestic visible inventory of electrolytic copper, overseas copper exchange inventory, LME copper cancelled warrant ratio, and SHFE warrant inventory [11][16][23] Aluminum - Charts include aluminum basis, aluminum monthly spread, domestic social inventory of electrolytic aluminum, overseas exchange inventory of electrolytic aluminum, alumina trend, and alumina inventory [24][26][28] Nickel - Charts include nickel basis, nickel monthly spread, LME inventory, LME nickel trend, and nickel ore port inventory [36][38][46]

业务咨询 添加客服 瑞达期货研究院 「2025.06.06」 生猪市场周报 价格震荡调整，基差走弱 研究员：张昕 期货从业资格号F03109641 期货投资咨询从业证Z001845 关 注 我 们 获 取 更 多 资 讯 联系电话：059586778969 目录 1、周度要点小结 2、期现市场 3、产业情况 行情回顾：生猪价格偏弱运行，主力合约周度下跌1.07%。 行情展望：供应端，根据Mysteel数据，5月出栏节奏缓慢，实际出栏未达到计划，6月日均出栏量高 于5月。近期大猪出栏积极性增加，且规模养殖场有降重出栏意愿，出栏均重下降，短期市场供应增 加。二三季度对应母猪产能处于增产周期，中期供应压力趋增。需求端，高温抑制采购猪肉意愿，终 端走货速度放慢，屠宰厂开工率滞涨回落，消费进入季节性淡季，难以为价格提供有利支撑。总体来 说，供强需弱格局，导致生猪价格跌至14元/公斤附近，且短期料维持偏弱走势，抑制期货盘面，不 过盘面或已消化预期，跌幅小于现货，基差走弱，呈现震荡调整走势。 「 期货市场情况」 本周期货偏弱运行 「 周度要点小结」 策略建议：观望或轻仓滚动反弹抛空操作。 3 「 期货市场情况」 本周期货净 ...

期货投资咨询业务批准文号：证监许可[2011]1446号 01 周度观点 02 数据概览 目录 CONTENTS 沥青周报 跟随成本震荡 姓名：肖彧 投资咨询证号：Z0016296 2025年6月6日 01 周度观点 1.1 周度观点 上周主要观点：当前正值传统旺季开启前夕的准备阶段，厂库处于同期低位，对沥青价格起到提振作用。 不过梅雨季会对需求产生影响，弱化沥青的强势，但预计沥青仍将强于同期的原油油品。 本周走势分析：本周沥青原地震荡，总体跟随成本端原油，未有额外涨势。 本周行业数据：本周炼厂供需双增，厂库社库均处于同期低位，在旺季到来之前对定价有一定支撑。不 过短期需考虑梅雨季对需求影响。 本周主要观点：当前正值传统旺季开启前夕的准备阶段，厂库处于同期低位，对沥青价格起到提振作用。 不过梅雨季会对需求产生影响，叠加近期沥青利润修复后提振开工意愿，预计前期的相对强势有所弱化。 风险提示：成本端波动风险，沥青库存变化 02 数据概览 2.1 沥青期货走势、月差、基差 -200 -100 0 100 200 9-20 11-20 1-20 3-20 5-20 BU2506-BU2509 BU2406-BU240 ...

Core Viewpoint - Brazil's corn prices are under pressure due to high yield expectations and financial stress on farmers, with export pace being a key variable influencing future price trends [1][2]. Group 1: Production and Financial Pressure - Optimistic yield expectations for Brazil's second-season corn in 2025 are projected to exceed 96 million tons, driven by favorable weather conditions [2]. - Farmers are facing dual financial challenges, leading to an inclination to sell corn early to cover costs, as they anticipate rising soybean prices [2]. - The large area planted with corn and limited storage capacity are contributing to increased selling pressure, with significant sales expected unless prices fall below break-even levels [2]. Group 2: Market Dynamics and Export Outlook - Domestic demand is transitioning between summer crops and second-season crops, with stable feed and ethanol consumption insufficient to absorb the supply pressure of over 90 million tons [3]. - An estimated export volume of over 40 million tons is necessary for supply-demand balance, with USDA predicting a corn production of 131 million tons and exports of 43 million tons for the 2025/26 season [3]. - Current corn prices at the Chicago Board of Trade have not shown significant increases, and export prices are hovering between 67 to 71 Brazilian Reais per bag, indicating a wait-and-see approach in the market [3]. Group 3: Future Considerations and Risks - Analysts expect a significant acceleration in port collection rhythm starting in July, with potential international market disruptions possibly benefiting Brazilian corn exports [4]. - The Brazilian corn market faces risks from increased domestic supply and logistical issues that could impact production and pricing [4]. - Farmers are advised to monitor climate changes, exchange rate fluctuations, and global market demand to adjust their sales strategies accordingly [4].

五一节后，光伏玻璃价格开始新一轮下行行情。 5 月初 2.0mm 主流报价为 13-13.5 元 / 平方米， 3.2mm 主流报价为 22-22.5 元 / 平方米，截止目前， 2.0mm 主流报价为 12- 13 元 / 平方米， 3.2mm 主流报价为 21-22 元 / 平方米 ，光伏玻璃价格下调幅度较大， 甚至部分 2.0mm 和 3.2mm 光伏玻璃成交价格已低于 12 元 / 平方米和 21 元 / 平方米。 展望后市，短期内光伏玻璃市场仍呈弱势运行态势。从供应端来看，由于跨行企业转型需 求以及行业内企业为提高市占率，叠加政府或银行方面的压力，光伏玻璃在产在建产能持续 增加，供应相对宽松。从需求端来看，下游组件企业采购意愿不高，整体采购议价仍以压价 为主。同时，在后续终端需求减弱影响下，组件排产仍呈下行的趋势。从成本端来看，纯 碱、天然气仍呈下行态势。因此，光伏玻璃在供大于求，成本降低的局面下，市场情绪较为 消极，预计光伏玻璃价格仍将承压下行。虽然短期内，光伏玻璃市场行情难以好转，但是中 长期来看， 25 年全球对光伏玻璃需求仍将呈现出增长的态势。因此，对于下半年光伏玻璃市 场行情不宜过于悲观。 ...

| 应用别 | 尺寸 | 分辨率 | 出货型态 | | | 液晶显示屏价格下旬预测 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | TEE | 를 | 均价 | 与前月差异(%) | | | 电视 | eenw | 3840x2160 | Open-Cell | 173 | 181 | 177 | 0.0 | 0.0% | | | SE. M | 3840x2160 | Open-Cell | 122 | 129 | 127 | 0.0 | 0.0% | | | 43"W | 1920x1080 | Open-Cell | રવ | 67 | રેસ | 0.0 | 0.0% | | | 32"W | 1366x768 | Open-Cell | 35.0 | 37.0 | 36.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | | 桌上显示器 | 27"W (IPS) | 1920x1080 | LED | 57.6 | 65.8 | 63.0 | 0.0 | 0.0% | | | 23.8"W (IPS) | 1920x108 ...

汾渭煤炭专家：动力煤市场调研反馈及展望 20250605 摘要 2025 年以来，动力煤市场呈阶梯式下行趋势，环渤海北方港 5,500 大 卡动力煤价格较年初下跌超 150 元，逼近 2014 年低点，主因供需过剩， 需关注后续市场供需变化。 2025 年 1-4 月全国原煤产量同比增长 6.6%，山西和新疆增幅显著，但 5 月受环保安检及需求疲软影响，产量或环比减少，需关注环保政策对 煤炭生产的影响。 进口动力煤供应减少，预计 2025 年进口总量同比减少 3,000 万-5,000 万吨，印尼煤因价格倒挂减少进口，澳洲煤受洪水影响，需关注国际煤 炭市场供应变化。 国内动力煤市场供应宽松，火电需求受新能源挤压，5 月火电发电量同 比下降 2.3%，电厂库存高位运行，压制煤价，需关注新能源发电对火 电行业的影响。 2025 年 1-4 月动力煤供需过剩累计达 3,046 万吨，各环节库存持续累 积，北方港口库存虽有所下滑，但仍处历史高位，需关注库存水平对煤 价的影响。 Q&A 动力煤市场近期的价格走势如何？ 从 2025 年 5 月底至今，动力煤市场价格一直较为平稳。尽管坑口价格有所反 弹，但港口指数报价仍保 ...

有色金属日报 2025-6-6 有色金属小组 吴坤金 从业资格号：F3036210 交易咨询号：Z0015924 0755-23375135 wukj1@wkqh.cn 曾宇轲 从业资格号：F03121027 0755-23375139 zengyuke@wkqh.cn 张世骄 五矿期货早报 | 有色金属 铜 从业资格号：F03120988 0755-23375122 zhangsj3@wkqh.cn 王梓铧 五矿期货早报 | 有色金属 从业资格号：F03130785 0755-23375132 wangzh7@wkqh.cn 刘显杰 从业资格号：F03130746 0755-23375125 liuxianjie@wkqh.cn 陈逸 从业资格号：F03137504 0755-23375125 cheny40@wkqh.cn 白银价格大幅上涨，美铜明显冲高，中美元首通话后美铜回落，昨日伦铜收涨 0.61%至 9707 美元/吨， 沪铜主力合约收至 78570 元/吨。产业层面，昨日 LME 库存减少 3350 至 138000 吨，注销仓单比例提 高至 60.4%，Cash/3M 升水扩大。国内方面，社会库 ...

投资咨询业务资格：证监许可【2011】1778 号 宝城期货动力煤早报（2025 年 6 月 6 日） ◼ 品种观点参考 时间周期说明：短期为一周以内、中期为两周至一月 | | | 备注： 1.有夜盘的品种以夜盘收盘价为起始价格，无夜盘的品种以昨日收盘价为起始价格，当日日盘收盘 价为终点价格，计算涨跌幅度。 2.跌幅大于 1%为下跌，跌幅 0~1%为震荡偏弱，涨幅 0~1%为震荡偏强，涨幅大于 1%为上涨。 3.震荡偏强/偏弱只针对日内观点，短期和中期不做区分。 ◼ 主要品种价格行情驱动逻辑—商品期货黑色板块 品种：动力煤现货 日内观点： 中期观点： 参考观点：震荡 核心逻辑：随着旺季临近，动力煤利多因素开始积蓄，市场僵持博弈，价格暂稳运行。一方面， 国内煤价处在国际低洼，外贸煤进口性价比较 2024 年显著走低，引发进口量下滑。另一方面，随 着 6 月到来，我国将进入迎峰度夏关键时期，同时终端电厂仍有一定的旺季补库需求，对市场情 绪起到少许支撑。不过，动力煤中长期供需宽松的整体格局依然未变，且当前港口库存处于近五 年同期高位，今夏煤价旺季不旺的可能性依然较高。 （仅供参考，不构成任何投资建议） 专业研究·创 ...

期货盯盘神器专属文章 亚洲尿素周报：尿素价格已逼近1700关口，但后市仍不宜过度悲观？除了即将到来的夏季需求外，目前 已成交X万吨的出口也将为价格带来支撑？ 相关链接 ...