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【建筑建材】周专题:轨道频谱稀缺驱动竞赛,国内低轨星座建设步入加速期——建材、建筑及基建公募REITs周报(孙伟风)
光大证券研究· 2025-07-07 08:34
周专题:轨道频谱稀缺驱动竞赛,国内低轨星座建设步入加速期 点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明: 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写,仅面向光大证券专业投资者客户,用作新媒体形势下研究 信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户,请勿订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号 难以设置访问权限,若给您造成不便,敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相 关人员为光大证券的客户。 报告摘要 通信卫星轨道主要分为地球静止轨道(GEO)、中地球轨道(MEO)和低地球轨道(LEO)。LEO轨道可降 低功率衰减、通信时延并简化终端设计,但需多星组网覆盖。相比GEO,LEO/MEO系统时延更小,且卫星体 积小、重量轻,利于一箭多星发射,降低星座构建成本和周期。低轨空间轨道和频段资源稀缺(低轨容量约6 万颗,星链计划占4.2万颗),L/S/C等优质频段殆尽,Ku/Ka频段协调难度大。根据国际电信联盟(ITU)规 则,运营商需在限定时间内(2年10%、5年50%、7年100%)完成卫星部署以锁定资源,导致竞争加剧。中国 星网"国网"、垣信"千帆"首批星已入轨,蓝箭"鸿鹄 ...
建材、建筑及基建公募REITs周报:周专题:轨道频谱稀缺驱动竞赛,国内低轨星座建设步入加速期-20250707
EBSCN· 2025-07-07 07:04
1. Report Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - The scarcity of orbital spectrum drives competition, and the construction of domestic low - orbit constellations has entered an accelerated phase. With limited low - orbit space and spectrum resources and strict deployment time requirements from the ITU, competition for resource locking is intensifying. China is expected to see an accelerated launch of low - orbit satellites from 2025 - 2030. Representative constellations include "Guowang", "Qianfan", and "Honghu - 3". Shanghai Harbor, with its satellite energy system products, is expected to benefit from the accelerated development of low - orbit satellites [5]. - Leading waterproofing companies such as Yuhong, Beixin, and Keshu have raised prices on both civil construction and engineering products. In the context of the industry's "anti - involution", the collective price increase by leading enterprises may promote price recovery, but the degree of price repair remains to be seen due to weak demand [5]. - Investment suggestions include paying attention to companies like Honglu Steel Structure, China Jushi, Punan Co., Ltd., Hainan Huatie, Beixin Building Materials, China National Chemical Engineering, China State Construction, Shanghai Harbor, Sinoma Science & Technology, and Keda Manufacturing [5]. 3. Summary According to the Table of Contents 3.1 Week - Specific Topic: Orbital Spectrum Scarcity Drives Competition, and Domestic Low - Orbit Constellation Construction Enters an Accelerated Phase - **Satellite Orbit Types**: Communication satellite orbits are mainly divided into GEO, MEO, and LEO. LEO can reduce power attenuation and communication delay, simplify terminal design, and is suitable for multi - satellite networking. Compared with GEO, LEO/MEO has smaller delay, and satellites are smaller and lighter, facilitating multi - satellite launches and reducing constellation construction costs and cycles [5][7]. - **Resource Scarcity and Competition**: Low - orbit space and frequency spectrum resources are scarce. The total capacity of low - orbit satellites is about 60,000, and Starlink plans to send 42,000 satellites into low - orbit by 2027, accounting for about 70%. The L, S, C frequency bands are almost exhausted, and the Ku, Ka bands are difficult to coordinate. According to ITU rules, operators need to complete satellite deployment within a specified time to lock resources, intensifying competition [5][11]. - **Policy Support**: Since 2014, China has successively introduced policies to encourage private capital to participate in commercial space activities. In 2023, commercial space was included in strategic emerging industries, and it has been mentioned in the government work reports of 2024 and 2025, indicating strong policy support [16]. - **Global and Domestic Constellation Construction Status**: Globally, SpaceX leads in low - orbit constellation construction, with other countries' enterprises following. In China, constellations like "Guowang", "Qianfan", and "Honghu - 3" have formulated phased launch plans. Although the number of launches in 2024 did not meet expectations, the launch rhythm is expected to accelerate from the second half of 2025 [5][17][23]. 3.2 Profit Forecast and Valuation of Main Covered Companies The report provides profit forecasts, valuations, and investment ratings for multiple companies, including Hainan Huatie, Punan Co., Ltd., China Jushi, etc. EPS, P/E, P/B, and other indicators for 2024 - 2027 are presented, and most investment ratings are maintained [33]. 3.3 Weekly Market Review - **Industry Index Performance**: In the week from June 28th to July 4th, 2025, the building and building materials industries showed certain fluctuations. Among building sub - sectors, the garden engineering index had the highest increase at 2.20%, while among various industries, the steel index had a relatively large decline [38][40]. - **Infrastructure Public REITs Performance**: The report lists the closing prices, 52 - week highs and lows, weekly, monthly, year - to - date, 250 - day, and IPO - since price changes of multiple infrastructure public REITs. The average weekly increase was 1.07%, the average monthly increase was 1.31%, and the average year - to - date increase was 20.99% [46][47]. 3.4 Aggregate Data Tracking - **Real Estate Data**: The report presents data on real estate new construction, construction, completion, sales area cumulative year - on - year growth, land transaction area, and real estate transaction data from 2022 - 2025 [49][58][68]. - **Social Financing Data**: Data on monthly new social financing, new RMB loans, new corporate bond financing, etc., from 2022 - 2025 are provided [78]. - **Infrastructure Investment Data**: The cumulative year - on - year growth rates of narrow - sense and broad - sense infrastructure investment, as well as investment in power, transportation, and water conservancy industries from 2022 - 2025, are shown. The new contract signing data of eight major construction central enterprises from 2022Q1 - 2025Q1 are also presented [88][94]. - **Special Bond Issuance Data**: Data on monthly and cumulative new and replacement special bond issuance from 2022 - 2025 are provided [96]. 3.5 High - Frequency Data Tracking - **Cement Data**: Information on national PO42.5 cement average price, East China regional cement price, cement - coal price difference index, cement capacity utilization rate, and cement production monthly year - on - year growth rate is presented [107][114]. - **Float Glass Data**: Data on glass spot price, futures price, inventory, and daily melting volume are provided [115][117][119][122]. - **Photovoltaic Glass Data**: Information on soda ash price, 2mm photovoltaic glass price, inventory, and daily melting volume is presented [122][123][125]. - **Glass Fiber Data**: Prices of SMC roving, winding direct roving, injection roving, G75 electronic yarn, and glass fiber inventory are shown [128][129][132][134][138]. - **Carbon Fiber Data**: Data on carbon fiber average price, raw silk price, inventory, production, capacity utilization rate, gross profit margin, cost, and gross profit are provided [135][139][142][146][148][151][152]. - **Magnesia and Alumina Price Data**: Prices of large - crystal fused magnesia and alumina are presented [153][156]. - **Upstream Raw Material Price Data**: Prices of asphalt, waste paper, PVC, and HDPE are shown [159][160][162][163]. - **Physical Workload Data**: Prices of titanium dioxide and acrylic acid, high - machine rental rate, excavator working hours, and asphalt average capacity utilization rate are presented [167][168][170][173].
最新规模、份额均创新高,航空航天ETF天弘(159241)涨0.36%,机构:7月军工等制造板块胜率居前
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-07-07 06:43
Group 1 - The A-share market saw a slight rebound in the afternoon on July 7, with the aerospace ETF Tianhong (159241) rising by 0.36% and a turnover rate increasing by nearly 11% [1] - The aerospace ETF Tianhong (159241) has attracted significant capital inflow, with over 24 million yuan net inflow on the previous trading day, and it has recorded net inflows for seven consecutive trading days, totaling over 150 million yuan [1] - As of July 4, the latest circulation scale of the aerospace ETF Tianhong (159241) reached 326 million yuan, with a circulation share of 296 million shares, both hitting new highs [1] Group 2 - The aerospace ETF Tianhong (159241) closely tracks the Guozheng Aerospace Index, which has over 98% weight in the defense and military industry, making it the highest military content index in the market [2] - The core sectors of aerospace equipment and aerospace technology account for 66% of the index's weight, focusing on key areas in the aerospace equipment industry chain such as large aircraft development, low-altitude economy, and commercial aerospace [2] - Current growth trends in the military industry include domestic demand for low-cost precision-guided munitions and unmanned systems, as well as international military trade demand potentially spurred by conflicts [2]
抗战胜利日阅兵渐近,资金抢筹军工板块,军工ETF(512660)近5日净流入超1.8亿元
Mei Ri Jing Ji Xin Wen· 2025-07-07 05:25
兴业证券表示,从基本面角度出发, 2025年是"十四五"收官之年,行业需求已迎来结构性反转并将延 续至2027年。2023年以来受行业人事变动影响较小的方向有望延续稳健增长,显著延后的方向有望迎来 系统性修复、爆发式增长。 军工ETF(512660)跟踪的是中证军工指数,该指数由中证指数有限公司编制,从沪深市场中选取涉及 航天、航空、船舶、兵器、军事电子等国防军工领域的代表性上市公司证券作为指数样本,以反映军工 行业相关上市公司证券的整体表现。该指数覆盖了国防军工行业的多个子领域,具有较高的行业集中度 和鲜明的军工特色。 注:如提及个股仅供参考,不代表投资建议。指数/基金短期涨跌幅及历史表现仅供分析参考,不预示 未来表现。市场观点随市场环境变化而变动,不构成任何投资建议或承诺。文中提及指数仅供参考,不 构成任何投资建议,也不构成对基金业绩的预测和保证。如需购买相关基金产品,请选择与风险等级相 匹配的产品。基金有风险,投资需谨慎。 (文章来源:每日经济新闻) 在"十四五"攻关任务驱动下,资产证券化率较高的军工产业链上游企业订单自春节以后同环比高增,推 动2月中旬-4月中旬相关标的股价显著上行。在以元器件企业为代 ...
【早报】量化交易新规今日正式实施;央行拟修订人民币跨境支付系统业务规则
财联社· 2025-07-06 22:51
早 报 精 选 1、 中方在政府采购活动中对自欧盟进口的医疗器械采取相关措施。 2、马斯克宣布成立"美国党"。 3、特朗普称8月1日起实施新关税,最高税率或达70%。 4、央行拟修订人民币跨境支付系统业务规则。 5、住建部:持续巩固房地产市场稳定态势。 2、今年4月3日,沪深北交易所同步发布《程序化交易管理实施细则》,对程序化交 易报告管理、交易行为管理、信息系统管理、高频交易管理等作出细化规定,将于7月 7日开始正式实施。 宏 观 新 闻 1、 财政部发布关于在政府采购活动中对自欧盟进口的医疗器械采取相关措施的通 知,根据有关法律法规,经批准,财政部决定在政府采购活动中对部分自欧盟进口的 医疗器械采取相关措施。采购人采购预算金额4500万元人民币以上的医疗器械时,确 需采购进口产品的,在履行法定程序后,应当排除欧盟企业(不包括在华欧资企业) 参与。 2、商务部新闻发言人就在政府采购活动中对自欧盟进口的医疗器械采取相关措施答记 者问表示,相关措施是为了维护中国企业的合法权益,维护公平竞争的环境。中方措 施只针对自欧盟进口医疗器械产品,在华欧资企业生产产品不受影响。 3、商务部发布公告,根据《反倾销条例》第三十 ...
【公告全知道】稳定币+跨境支付+AI智能体+华为鸿蒙!公司围绕稳定币生态已系统性布局
财联社· 2025-07-06 15:28
前言 每周日至每周四推送明日股市重大公告!内容包含"停复牌、增减持、投资中标、收购、业绩、解禁、 高送转"等一系列个股利好利空公告,其中重要公告均以红色标注,帮助投资者提前寻找到投资热点, 防范各类黑天鹅事件,并且有充足的时间进行分辨和寻找合适的上市公司。 ①稳定币+跨境支付+AI智能体+华为鸿蒙!这家公司围绕稳定币生态已系统性布局,与华为联合推出超30 个金融科技解决方案;②数字货币+移动支付+数据要素+人工智能!这家公司在多商业场景中支持数字人 民币支付收款;③芯片+商业航天+人形机器人+智能驾驶!公司上半年净利同比最高预增近两倍。 ...
激浊扬清,周观军工第126期:93阅兵是新域新质力量的大舞台
Changjiang Securities· 2025-07-06 14:01
激浊扬清,周观军工 第126期: 93阅兵是新域新质力量的大舞台 长江证券研究所国防军工研究小组 2025-07-06 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 1 证券研究报告 • 证券研究报告 • 评级 看好 维持 分析师及联系人 分析师 王贺嘉 分析师 王清 分析师 杨继虎 分析师 张晨晨 SAC执业证书编号:S0490520110004 SAC执业证书编号:S0490524050001 SAC执业证书编号:S0490525040001 SAC执业证书编号:S0490524080007 SFC执业证书编号:BUX462 分析师 张飞 联系人 李麟君 SAC执业证书编号:S0490525060003 %% %% %% %% research.95579.com 2 01 回顾十八大以来阅兵展现国防成就, 新装备亮相有望牵引板块独立行情 02 国防军工行业2025年中期投资策略, 长期重视盈利驱动且兼顾主题投资 03 深海科技:UUV领航新质装备发展, 未来十年美军市场或超五百亿美元 04 商业航天:优质频谱资源争夺日臻 激烈,国内申报星座有望加速落地 目 录 05 十四五务期必成:甄选 ...
小米YU7首批正式交付,雷军现身为车主开车门;蔚来李斌:乐道L90起售价在30万以内丨汽车交通日报
创业邦· 2025-07-06 09:42
Group 1 - Xiaomi YU7 officially commenced nationwide delivery on July 6, covering 58 cities, with Lei Jun personally delivering the first cars to customers [1] - Li Xiang, CEO of Li Auto, emphasized the importance of Xiaomi fully committing to the automotive sector for success, acknowledging Lei Jun's hardware capabilities [2] - NIO's founder Li Bin announced that the starting price for the upcoming L90 model will be below 300,000 yuan, with a product technology launch event scheduled for July 10 [4] Group 2 - Tesla Model 3 received the highest score of 359 in the Euro NCAP safety tests, making it the safest new car in the European market for 2025 [3][4]
活力中国调研行|“剧透”未来!从低空到太空,看产业发展新脉动
Xin Hua She· 2025-07-06 08:42
新华社记者何晓、唐诗凝、黄博涵 要让无人驾驶载人航空器在城市上空畅飞无阻,拥有一张运营"通行证"是关键。今年3月28日,合翼航 空收到由中国民航局颁发的全国首批载人类民用无人驾驶航空器运营合格证。可别小看这张证的"含金 量",这意味着,持有运营合格证的企业可以在获得批准的区域内进行商业运营,提供付费载人运营服 务。"在不远的未来,市民或游客将有机会在合肥上空体验一场'云端之旅'。"章昱辉说。 近年来,随着"低空+"赋能千行百业,垂直高度1000米以下的天空正变得越来越"热闹"。目前,合肥已 开通无人机医疗物资配送、轨道巡检、外卖配送等200余条航线。应用场景的丰富加速了全产业链的聚 集,合肥市已汇聚低空经济企业300余家,实现无人机研发、测试、生产、运营全链条布局,进一步 向"天空之城"迈进。 "未来,合肥将立足资源优势,积极探索拓展低空经济应用场景,对接公安、应急、消防、环保等部 门,常态化开展接驳观光、物流配送等飞行任务,让低空经济的发展红利惠及每一个人。"合肥市发展 改革委副主任、国际先进技术应用推进中心(合肥)执行主任程羽表示。 新华社合肥7月6日电 题:"剧透"未来!从低空到太空,看产业发展新脉动 ...
芯动联科(688582):中小盘信息更新:公司发布2025年半年度业绩预增,同比大幅增长
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-07-06 06:14
伐谋-中小盘信息更新 芯动联科(688582.SH) 公司发布 2025 年半年度业绩预增,同比大幅增长 2025 年 07 月 06 日 投资评级:买入(维持) | 日期 | 2025/7/4 | | --- | --- | | 当前股价(元) | 66.40 | | 一年最高最低(元) | 73.17/25.02 | | 总市值(亿元) | 266.08 | | 流通市值(亿元) | 165.47 | | 总股本(亿股) | 4.01 | | 流通股本(亿股) | 2.49 | | 近 3 个月换手率(%) | 137.28 | 中小盘研究团队 | 周佳(分析师) | 陈蓉芳(分析师) | 张越(分析师) | | --- | --- | --- | | zhoujia@kysec.cn | chenrongfang@kysec.cn | zhangyue1@kysec.cn | | 证书编号:S0790523070004 | 证书编号:S0790524120002 | 证书编号:S0790524090003 | 公司披露 2025 年半年度业绩预增,归母净利润实现大幅增长 公司预计 2025 年上半年实现 ...