Core Viewpoint - The report outlines the performance and investment strategy of the Great Wall Cycle Preferred Mixed Initiated Securities Investment Fund for the second quarter of 2025, emphasizing its focus on long-term asset appreciation through a combination of top-down and bottom-up approaches in asset allocation and stock selection [1][2]. Fund Product Overview - The fund was established on July 2, 2024, with a total share of 13,028,226.17 at the end of the reporting period [1]. - The investment objective is to achieve long-term stable appreciation of assets based on fundamental research [1]. - The fund employs a dynamic asset allocation strategy, adjusting investment proportions in stocks, bonds, and other asset classes based on market conditions [1][3]. A-Share Investment Strategy - The fund focuses on sector allocation based on mid-term perspectives, investing in high-quality companies at reasonable or low prices during periods of improving industry conditions [2]. - The investment strategy aims to capture excess returns by constructing a core pool of companies with long-term value, considering industry cycles and corporate strategies [2]. Financial Indicators and Fund Performance - For the reporting period from April 1, 2025, to June 30, 2025, the net value growth rate for the Great Wall Cycle Preferred Mixed Initiated Fund A was 4.98%, while Fund C recorded a growth rate of 4.84% [11]. - The performance benchmark for the funds was 0.57% during the same period [11]. Investment Portfolio Report - As of the reporting period, the fund's total assets included 84.50% in stocks, with a significant portion (27.88%) invested in Hong Kong stocks through the Stock Connect mechanism [12]. - The fund's major holdings were concentrated in cyclical industries such as non-ferrous metals and chemicals, with increased positions in gold and rare earth sectors to enhance risk resilience [11][12]. Management Report - The fund manager has adhered to relevant laws and regulations, ensuring the fair treatment of different investors and maintaining a focus on risk management [10]. - The fund manager has not engaged in any abnormal trading activities during the reporting period [10].

Group 1 - The report highlights that Bubble Mart's H1 2025 performance significantly exceeded market expectations, with revenue expected to grow by no less than 200% year-on-year, reaching at least 13.673 billion yuan, and profit expected to increase by no less than 350%, amounting to at least 4.489 billion yuan [4][3] - The increase in performance is attributed to the global recognition of the company's IP, a diverse range of product categories driving revenue growth across cities, and a continuous rise in overseas revenue share, which has higher gross and profit margins compared to domestic sales [4][5] - The company has accelerated its overseas store expansion, with a total of 160 stores by the end of H1 2025, and notable growth in TikTok live-streaming sales, indicating a strong global influence of its IP [5][6] Group 2 - The report on XCMG Machinery indicates that the domestic demand for construction machinery is showing signs of recovery, with excavator sales in the first five months of 2025 increasing by 26% year-on-year [9][10] - XCMG's proactive internal reforms and diverse product lines are expected to help the company maintain its leading position in the industry, with projected revenues of 101 billion yuan in 2025, growing to 131.8 billion yuan by 2027 [10][9] - The report emphasizes the potential for XCMG's mining machinery segment to become a second growth curve due to increased capital expenditure from overseas mining companies and improved technology [10] Group 3 - The energy sector report notes that coal production in June 2025 increased by 3% year-on-year, but the growth rate has slowed compared to May, with total coal production for the first half of 2025 reaching 2.4 billion tons, a 5.4% increase year-on-year [12][14] - Electricity generation in June 2025 was 796.3 billion kWh, a 1.7% increase year-on-year, with thermal power generation showing a slight increase of 1.1% [13][15] - The report concludes that while supply is contracting, demand remains stable, leading to a significant reduction in coal inventories at northern ports, which is expected to stabilize coal prices [19][20] Group 4 - Wanda Film's H1 2025 net profit is projected to be between 500 million and 560 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 340.96% to 393.87%, despite a forecasted loss in Q2 2025 due to a weak film market [21][22] - The company is focusing on transforming its cinemas into comprehensive entertainment spaces, with a 10% increase in merchandise gross margin in H1 2025 [23][22] - Wanda Film has a robust content pipeline with multiple films and series set to release, alongside strategic investments in new business lines such as trendy toys and interactive experiences [24][26]

Summary of Conference Call Records Company Overview - The company, originally known as Jixiang Co., was established in 2003 and focuses on the production, processing, and sales of wood blocks and wood fuel materials. In January 2022, the company fully acquired Hunan Yongshan, expanding its business to include lithium salt products, thus forming a dual business model in the wood and lithium industries [1] Industry Insights - Hunan Yongshan specializes in the production, research, and sales of high-quality lithium salts, which are widely used in the new energy electric vehicle market, consumer electronics, industrial applications, and energy storage sectors. The company aims to become a global leader in high-quality lithium supply [1] - The lithium salt business has seen significant growth, with the first phase of production capacity reaching 25,000 tons in June 2022, coinciding with an industry upcycle. The second phase is expected to be operational by Q1 2025, bringing total capacity to 45,000 tons [2] Financial Performance - In 2022, the company achieved its highest annual revenue and net profit since its inception, providing shareholders with the largest cash dividend since its IPO. However, in the first half of 2023, the company faced a dramatic decline in prices for lithium and wood products, with prices dropping by over 80% for lithium products, leading to a net profit loss of 337 million [3][4] - Despite the challenges, the company maintained a gross margin of 13% and reported a revenue of 7.5 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6% [3][4] Strategic Adjustments - The management is adjusting its operational strategies in response to the ongoing downturn in the lithium industry, focusing on risk management and preparing for potential recovery phases [5] - The company is committed to enhancing its lithium salt business as its core focus, addressing supply chain issues, and improving capacity utilization [6] Research and Development - The company is actively optimizing its production lines and product structures to adapt to market demand fluctuations, particularly in the context of rapid advancements in battery technology, including solid-state batteries [7] Supply Chain Strategy - The company is pursuing a global and diversified procurement strategy for raw materials to ensure a stable supply chain, which includes long-term contracts for lithium ore procurement [8] Customer Engagement - The company emphasizes a customer-centric approach, focusing on deep partnerships with major clients in the lithium battery sector, including companies like Tsinghua Tongfang and others [9] Financial Strategy - The company plans to raise 500 million RMB through a specific stock issuance to enhance liquidity and support ongoing operations, particularly in light of the upcoming production phases [10][12] Market Outlook - The company remains optimistic about the long-term prospects of the lithium industry, driven by the growth of the new energy vehicle and energy storage markets, despite current price pressures [11] Shareholder Confidence - The controlling shareholder, Yongrong Group, continues to support the company's development, which is expected to stabilize the company's control and enhance market confidence [13] Future Plans - The company aims to maintain strategic definitions and long-term goals, focusing on resource optimization and operational efficiency to navigate through industry challenges and prepare for future growth [14]

猪价下行趋势依然延续 图片来源：摄图网 近日，泡泡玛特（09992.HK）创始人王宁家族身家超越牧原股份（002714）的秦英林家族，登顶"河南新首富"。 原因除了泡泡玛特风光无限、股价蹭蹭上涨以外，也与牧原股份股价踌躇不前有关，这背后反映的是两个行业景气度的冰火两重天，前者因核心IP Labubu在全球范围内火热而备受瞩目，后者则依然受制于生猪价格不断下行。 牧原与泡泡玛特2024年初以来的股价走势及区间涨幅对比 来源：Choice数据 此外，牧原股份5月底还递交了H股上市申请的资料，距离港股上市又近了一步。 01 2022年至2024年，牧原股份收入分别为1248.26亿元，1108.61亿元、1379.47亿元，净利润分别为149.33亿元、-41.68亿元、189.25亿元。 2025年一季度，牧原股份实现营业收入360.61亿元，同比+37.26%；实现归属于上市公司股东的净利润44.91亿元，归母扣非净利润为45.09亿元，同比均大 幅扭亏为盈。 可以看出，牧原股份的业绩波动较大。这和生猪养殖行业作为强周期行业有关。 2021年中至最新全国大中城市生猪出场价格走势 来源：Wind 即使抛开2019 ...

Core Viewpoint - In 2024, Shaanxi Black Cat reported a significant decline in revenue and an increase in losses, marking the largest annual loss since its listing, with a net profit loss of 1.158 billion yuan [1][5]. Company Performance - Shaanxi Black Cat's revenue fell by 21.58% year-on-year, with a net profit loss expanding from 512 million yuan to 1.158 billion yuan [1]. - The company's Q1 2025 report showed a revenue of 2.585 billion yuan, down 37.31% year-on-year, and a net profit loss of 261.6 million yuan, a 23.21% decline [1]. - The company's stock price dropped from a peak of 11.04 yuan in 2021 to around 3 yuan, resulting in a market capitalization reduction from over 20 billion yuan to approximately 6 billion yuan [1]. Business Background - Established in 2003, Shaanxi Black Cat primarily engages in coal coking and chemical product production, with key products including coke, methanol, and coal tar [1][3]. - The company was listed on the Shanghai Stock Exchange in 2014 and was the first private company in Weinan, Shaanxi [1]. Expansion and Challenges - Following a peak in 2021, the company aggressively expanded its coking projects in Shanxi, Inner Mongolia, and Xinjiang, with a significant investment of 4.7 billion yuan in a 2 million-ton coking project in Xinjiang [5]. - The downturn in the coking industry, characterized by falling coke prices and reduced steel production, has severely impacted the company's financial health [5][7]. Financial Struggles - In 2024, the company recorded nearly 3 billion yuan in asset impairments, significantly affecting its net profit [5]. - The coke business saw a revenue decline of over 20%, with a negative gross margin of 17.12% [5][6]. - Despite a slight decrease in coke sales volume, the revenue drop indicates a substantial decline in product prices [6]. Product Diversification - The sales of by-products such as crude benzene and LNG have become a highlight, generating approximately 3.506 billion yuan in revenue, accounting for 24.04% of total revenue [6]. - However, reliance on by-products for profitability is risky due to price volatility and unstable demand, failing to offset the decline in the main coke business [6]. Industry Context - The coking industry has entered a downturn since 2023, with significant impacts on profitability due to reduced steel demand and pricing pressures [7]. - The average price of coke has dropped over 30% from its peak in 2021, with capacity utilization rates remaining low [7]. - Future recovery in the coking industry is uncertain, with expectations of continued pressure on prices and profitability [7].

Core Viewpoint - The company held an earnings presentation for the fiscal year 2024 and the first quarter of 2025, addressing investor inquiries and discussing future growth drivers and challenges in the dye industry [1][2]. Group 1: Earnings Presentation Overview - The earnings presentation was conducted online, featuring key executives including the Chairman and General Manager, Financial Director, and independent directors, who engaged with investors on various topics [1]. - The company reported a 21.61% year-on-year increase in revenue from high wash/high sunlight fastness dyes, which now account for over 60% of total revenue [1][2]. Group 2: Future Growth Drivers - The company aims to enhance profitability by focusing on two main strategies: transitioning from low-margin traditional products to high-value eco-friendly dye products, and expanding its customer base by targeting small to medium-sized dyeing enterprises [1][2]. - The company has established itself as a leading player in the dispersed dye industry, which is currently experiencing a gradual recovery from a bottom phase, supported by its technological and customer base advantages [2][3]. Group 3: Financial Performance and Challenges - The company experienced a 17.57% decline in revenue and a 9.13% drop in net profit for the first quarter, primarily due to industry cycle impacts and losses in the photovoltaic business [2][3]. - The company’s gross and net profit margins improved by nearly 2% year-on-year, attributed to the optimization of its business structure and a focus on high-end dye products [3]. - The first quarter net profit attributable to shareholders was reported at 13.7254 million yuan, a decrease of 9.13% compared to the previous year, influenced by a reduction in government subsidies [3]. Group 4: Market Outlook - The company anticipates stable operations with minimal external impacts, maintaining an export ratio of 20%-35% and planning to further develop its overseas business [2][3].

Group 1 - Nintendo's stock price has been continuously rising, reaching a historic high with a market value surpassing $100 billion, making it the seventh largest company in Japan [1] - The upcoming launch of Switch 2 is a significant factor boosting investor confidence and driving the company's market value [1][3] - The pre-order demand for Switch 2 is strong, with 2.2 million pre-orders in Japan and high interest in the domestic market [3] Group 2 - Switch 2 features significant upgrades, including a larger screen size of 7.9 inches, 1080P resolution, 120Hz refresh rate, and 4K output in docked mode [3] - The pricing of Switch 2 has increased by approximately 50% compared to the original Switch, with the new model priced at around $3250 RMB for the US version [3] - Despite the excitement surrounding Switch 2, Nintendo faces challenges from competitors like Sony's PS5 and Microsoft's Xbox, as well as declining sales figures for its current hardware and games [4] Group 3 - Nintendo's financial performance has shown a decline, with a 31.4% drop in total sales revenue and a 46.7% decrease in operating profit year-over-year [4] - The company sold 9.54 million Switch units in the first nine months of the fiscal year, a decrease of 30.6% compared to the previous year [4] - Industry experts suggest that Nintendo must adapt to new technologies and changing consumer trends to maintain its market position and drive innovation [5]

以下文章来源于HaoHao学习 ，作者Kerkie李昊@坤初 HaoHao学习 . 一个VC行业创业者的观察、思考、试错和心路历程。Kerkie李昊@坤初产业投资，聚焦泛航空技术的 孵化、投资、产业运营与人才支持。 这篇文章想聊聊行业冰点中的个人选择问题。屁股依然坐在VC/一级市场的里面，但是其实道 理，在任何行业，我觉得都是通的。 先回到VC，行业进入2 0 2 5了。首先说一句，今年VC行业肯定好不了，依然在下行通道。VC 行业真正回暖就看两个指标， 一个IPO市场真正开始活跃起来或者开始市场化，让人有相对稳 定的赚钱预期，一个是市场化的有钱人（不光是个人，包括市场化的FOF、家办等）开始有信 心把钱挪到这个市场里下注 。除此之外，其他措施都只能缓解下滑趋势（当然，这个也非常非 常重要，我觉得国资是有担当的），包括鼓励耐心资本、鼓励国资进场，都不足以企稳。 流动 性是VC的命脉，不解决流动性问题，吃更多/投更多，不能拉出来，一定一肚子粑粑 。另一方 面，VC下行缩窄了，再恶化太多的空间，也不大了。 关于行业周期与个人的选择 当然，今天重点想谈的是个人选择问题。我觉得对于很多行业的个人来说，包括我们自己所在 ...