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国家统计局:CPI由降转涨主要受工业消费品价格有所回升影响
news flash· 2025-07-09 01:37
国家统计局:6月份,CPI同比上涨0.1%,为连续下降4个月后转涨,CPI由降转涨主要受工业消费品价 格有所回升影响。 受环比下降及对比基数变动影响,6月PPI同比降幅比上月扩大0.3个百分点,但随着各项宏观政策加力 实施,部分行业供需关系有所改善,价格呈企稳回升态势。 ...
国家统计局:6月份食品烟酒类价格环比下降0.3%,影响CPI下降约0.09个百分点
news flash· 2025-07-09 01:34
Core Insights - In June, the prices of food, tobacco, and alcohol decreased by 0.3% month-on-month, contributing to a decline in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) by approximately 0.09 percentage points [1] Price Changes in Food Categories - Fresh fruit prices fell by 3.3%, impacting the CPI by a decrease of about 0.07 percentage points [1] - Egg prices decreased by 2.9%, contributing to a CPI decline of approximately 0.02 percentage points [1] - Meat prices dropped by 0.6%, with pork prices specifically declining by 1.2%, affecting the CPI by a decrease of around 0.02 percentage points [1] - Fresh vegetable prices increased by 0.7%, leading to a CPI increase of about 0.01 percentage points [1] - Seafood prices also rose by 0.7%, contributing to a CPI increase of approximately 0.01 percentage points [1] Other Price Categories - Among the other seven major categories, three saw price increases while two remained stable and two decreased [1] - Prices for other goods and services, daily necessities, and healthcare rose by 0.5%, 0.2%, and 0.1% respectively [1] - Housing and transportation communication prices remained unchanged [1] - Clothing, education, culture, and entertainment prices decreased by 0.1% [1]
国家统计局:6月份猪肉价格同比下降8.5%,影响CPI下降约0.12个百分点
news flash· 2025-07-09 01:34
Core Insights - In June, pork prices decreased by 8.5% year-on-year, contributing to a 0.12 percentage point decline in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) [1] - Overall, food and tobacco prices rose by 0.1% year-on-year, leading to a 0.03 percentage point increase in CPI [1] Price Changes Impacting CPI - Fresh fruit prices increased by 6.1%, impacting CPI by an increase of approximately 0.12 percentage points [1] - Aquatic product prices rose by 3.4%, contributing an increase of about 0.07 percentage points to CPI [1] - Egg prices fell by 7.7%, resulting in a 0.05 percentage point decrease in CPI [1] - Livestock prices decreased by 4.2%, leading to a 0.13 percentage point decline in CPI [1] - Grain prices dropped by 1.2%, affecting CPI by a decrease of approximately 0.02 percentage points [1] - Fresh vegetable prices fell by 0.4%, contributing to a 0.01 percentage point decline in CPI [1] - Among the eight major categories, seven experienced price increases while one category saw a decrease [1]
澳洲联储主席布洛克:等待确认CPI能否持续稳定在2.5%的目标轨道上。二季度部分CPI分项数据可能超预期。发生严重贸易战的可能性已降低。认为(政策)沟通“进展相当顺利”。今日(利率)决定关乎时机而非方向。月度CPI数据波动大,不能完全代表整体趋势。需确保通胀得到控制。将参加8月政府生产力圆桌会议。
news flash· 2025-07-08 05:48
月度CPI数据波动大,不能完全代表整体趋势。 二季度部分CPI分项数据可能超预期。 发生严重贸易战的可能性已降低。 澳洲联储主席布洛克:等待确认CPI能否持续稳定在2.5%的目标轨道上。 认为(政策)沟通"进展相当顺利"。 今日(利率)决定关乎时机而非方向。 需确保通胀得到控制。 将参加8月政府生产力圆桌会议。 ...
基本面高频数据跟踪:煤炭日耗季节性回升
GOLDEN SUN SECURITIES· 2025-07-08 00:33
Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided in the content. Core Viewpoints - The Guosheng Fundamental High - Frequency Index remained stable, with an increase in the year - on - year growth rate. The bull - bear signal for interest - rate bonds remained unchanged [1][9]. - Different sectors showed various trends, including a decline in the opening rates of major production varieties, an increase in the land transaction premium rate in real - estate sales, a continuous increase in the asphalt production opening rate in infrastructure investment, a decline in the export container freight rate index, a continuous recovery in passenger car retail and wholesale in consumption, a continuous decline in the agricultural product wholesale price index for CPI, an increase in copper and aluminum prices for PPI, a continuous recovery in passenger transport and flights in transportation, a continuous increase in soda ash inventory, a decrease in local government bond net financing and an increase in credit bond net financing in financing [13][25][33][37][52][60][62][74][83][92]. Summary by Directory Total Index - The Guosheng Fundamental High - Frequency Index was 126.5 points (previous value: 126.4 points), with a year - on - year increase of 5.2 points (previous value: 5.1 points), and the year - on - year growth rate expanded. The bull - bear signal for interest - rate bonds remained unchanged, with a signal factor of 4.8% (previous value: 4.8%) [1][9]. Production - The industrial production high - frequency index was 125.8 (previous value: 125.7), with a year - on - year increase of 4.9 points (previous value: 4.9 points), and the year - on - year growth rate remained unchanged. The opening rates of major production varieties such as electric furnaces, polyester, and steel tires decreased [1][9][13]. Real - Estate Sales - The commercial housing sales high - frequency index was 44.1 (previous value: 44.2), with a year - on - year decrease of 6.4 points (previous value: 6.4 points), and the year - on - year decline rate remained unchanged. The land transaction premium rate in 100 large and medium - sized cities increased to 7.8% (previous value: 7.1%) [1][9][25]. Infrastructure Investment - The infrastructure investment high - frequency index was 119.0 (previous value: 118.8), with a year - on - year increase of 3.0 points (previous value: 2.6 points), and the year - on - year growth rate expanded. The opening rate of the petroleum asphalt device continued to rise to 31.7% (previous value: 31.5%) [1][9][35]. Export - The export high - frequency index was 144.1 (previous value: 144.1), with a year - on - year increase of 4.7 points (previous value: 5.1 points), and the year - on - year growth rate narrowed. The CCFI index and RJ/CRB index decreased [1][9][39]. Consumption - The consumption high - frequency index was 119.5 (previous value: 119.4), with a year - on - year increase of 1.9 points (previous value: 1.7 points), and the year - on - year growth rate expanded. Passenger car retail and wholesale and daily average movie box office continued to recover [1][9][52]. CPI - The CPI monthly - on - monthly forecast was 0.0% (previous value: 0.0%). The agricultural product wholesale price index continued to decline, with changes in the average wholesale prices of pork, vegetables, fruits, and white - striped chickens [1][9][60]. PPI - The PPI monthly - on - monthly forecast was 0.0% (previous value: 0.0%). Copper and aluminum prices increased, while the prices of动力煤 and Brent crude oil remained relatively stable [1][9][62]. Transportation - The transportation high - frequency index was 128.6 (previous value: 128.4), with a year - on - year increase of 8.5 points (previous value: 8.4 points), and the year - on - year growth rate expanded. Passenger transport and flights continued to recover [2][10][74]. Inventory - The inventory high - frequency index was 160.6 (previous value: 160.5), with a year - on - year increase of 9.6 points (previous value: 9.6 points), and the year - on - year growth rate remained unchanged. Soda ash inventory continued to increase [2][10][83]. Financing - The financing high - frequency index was 230.9 (previous value: 230.3), with a year - on - year increase of 29.4 points (previous value: 29.4 points), and the year - on - year growth rate remained unchanged. Local government bond net financing decreased, and credit bond net financing increased [2][10][92].
业内预计:6月份CPI同比或小幅回升
Zheng Quan Ri Bao Zhi Sheng· 2025-07-06 16:14
Group 1: CPI Trends - The CPI is expected to show a slight year-on-year recovery in June, with estimates ranging from 0% to 0.01% year-on-year growth, while month-on-month changes are projected at -0.1% [2][4] - Food prices are experiencing seasonal declines, with fruits down 2.3%, pork down 2.3%, and eggs down 6.4% month-on-month, although vegetable prices have increased by 1.3% due to seasonal factors [2][3] - Non-food prices are anticipated to improve marginally, driven by rising oil prices and a recovery in service consumption [3][4] Group 2: PPI Trends - The PPI is expected to remain low, with year-on-year estimates ranging from -2.78% to -3.4%, indicating a narrowing decline compared to May [4][5] - Internationally, crude oil prices surged by 9.1% month-on-month, contributing to a rise in the CRB index, while other product price increases remain limited [4][5] - Domestic industrial product prices showed a slight recovery, with the South China Industrial Products Index rising by 0.8% month-on-month in June [4][5]