Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [4]. Core Insights - The company is backed by ASE Group and focuses on electronic design and manufacturing, showing rapid growth in Q3 2025 [1]. - The company aims to evolve from a manufacturing service provider to a comprehensive solution provider, enhancing value for clients through design and service capabilities [1]. - The company has seen a significant improvement in Q3 2025 performance, with a revenue of 16.43 billion yuan, a quarter-on-quarter increase of 21.10%, and a net profit of 625 million yuan, up 106.26% from the previous quarter [1]. - The dual drivers of AI glasses and computing hardware are expected to propel growth, with the company actively developing high-integration modules for AI glasses and enhancing its cloud storage capabilities [1][2]. - The company is expanding its AI accelerator card production capacity, targeting a monthly output of 90,000 units by Q4 2025 and 180,000 units by 2026 [2]. Summary by Sections Business Overview - The company is a leading global electronic manufacturing design firm, providing value-added design and manufacturing services to brand clients [1]. - It has established a strong shareholder relationship with ASE Group, which holds 77.32% of the company's shares [1]. Financial Performance - For the first three quarters of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 43.641 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.83%, and a net profit of 1.263 billion yuan, down 2.60% year-on-year [1]. - The company forecasts net profits of 1.873 billion yuan, 2.473 billion yuan, and 3.091 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, respectively, with corresponding EPS of 0.78, 1.04, and 1.29 yuan [12]. Product Development - The company is a leader in SiP miniaturization technology, which integrates chips and passive components into a single module, suitable for various applications including mobile communications and AIoT [3]. - The company has begun mass production of AI glasses SiP modules, with significant market demand expected in 2026 [9]. Strategic Initiatives - The company has acquired Guangchuang Technology to enhance its capabilities in advanced optical interconnect technologies [10]. - It is expanding its optical module production capacity in Vietnam, aiming to meet the growing demand in the North American market [10]. Market Position - The company is positioned to benefit from the AI computing infrastructure development wave, with a focus on cloud and storage products [12]. - The company is leveraging its relationship with ASE Group to participate in the PDU business, enhancing its product offerings in AI power server modules [11].

Report Summary 1. Report Purpose - The report aims to objectively reflect the research views of futures and securities companies on various commodity varieties, track hot - spot varieties, analyze market investment sentiment, and summarize investment driving logics [1] 2. Data Source and Selection - The closing price data are from the previous Friday, and the weekly changes are the changes in the closing prices of the previous Friday compared with those of the Friday before last. Data sources include wind and Guotou Futures [1][2] 3. Market Data 3.1 Commodities - **Positive Growth**: Silver closed at 27941.00 with a weekly increase of 11.92%; crude oil at 470.80 with a 6.54% increase; gold at 1161.42 with a 4.10% increase; palm oil at 9240.00 with a 3.70% increase; PVC at 5063.00 with a 2.89% increase; copper at 103680.00 with a 2.31% increase; aluminum at 24560.00 with a 1.11% increase; methanol at 2320.00 with a 0.96% increase; and soybean meal at 2767.00 with a 0.58% increase [2] - **Negative Growth**: Coking coal at 1155.50 with a - 0.13% change; iron ore at 791.50 with a - 0.44% change; rebar at 3128.00 with a - 0.45% change; glass at 1056.00 with a - 0.75% change; corn at 2271.00 with a - 1.26% change; ethylene glycol at 3913.00 with a - 2.10% change; live pigs at 11220.00 with a - 2.98% change; PTA at 5270.00 with a - 3.27% change; and polysilicon at 47140.00 with a - 7.06% change [2] 3.2 A - shares - **Positive Growth**: The SSE 50 closed at 3066.50 with a 1.13% increase; the CSI 300 at 4706.34 with a 0.08% increase; and the Hang Seng Index at 27387.11 with a 2.38% increase [2] - **Negative Growth**: The CSI 500 closed at 8370.52 with a - 2.56% change [2] 3.3 Overseas Stocks - **Positive Growth**: The FTSE 100 closed at 10223.54 with a 0.79% increase; the S&P 500 at 6939.03 with a 0.34% increase [2] - **Negative Growth**: The Nasdaq Composite Index closed at 23461.82 with a - 0.17% change; the French CAC40 at 8126.53 with a - 0.20% change; and the Nikkei 225 at 53322.85 with a - 0.97% change [2] 3.4 Bonds - Chinese 2 - year treasury bonds had a yield of 1.39 with a - 0.86bp change; 10 - year treasury bonds had a yield of 1.82 with a - 1.81bp change; and 5 - year treasury bonds had a yield of 1.58 with a - 2.7bp change [2] 3.5 Foreign Exchange - The euro - US dollar exchange rate closed at 1.19 with a 0.19% increase; the US dollar central parity rate was 6.97 with a - 0.36% change; and the US dollar index was 97.12 with a - 0.40% change [2] 4. Commodity Views 4.1 Macro - financial Sector 4.1.1 Stock Index Futures - **Strategy Views**: Among 7 institutions' views, 2 are bullish, 2 are bearish, and 3 expect a sideways trend [3] - **Bullish Logics**: Abundant liquidity in Q1, central bank's structural interest - rate cuts, upward - revised corporate profit expectations, improving fundamentals, ongoing core drivers of the spring market, and capital flowing into low - valuation sectors [3] - **Bearish Logics**: Sharp decline in precious metals, nomination of Waller for Fed Chair increasing hawkish expectations, decline in January's manufacturing PMI, insufficient economic demand, and profit - taking in the capital market [3] 4.1.2 Treasury Bond Futures - **Strategy Views**: Among 7 institutions' views, 0 are bullish, 1 is bearish, and 6 expect a sideways trend [3] - **Bullish Logics**: Central bank's large - scale reverse repurchase operations, increased capital flowing back to the bond market due to stock market uncertainties, good primary - market demand for bonds, and geopolitical risks increasing risk - aversion sentiment [3] - **Bearish Logics**: Uncertainties around the Spring Festival, supply pressure of government bonds in 2026, and the need to observe the impact of allocation forces on market demand and pricing [3] 4.2 Energy Sector 4.2.1 Crude Oil - **Strategy Views**: Among 8 institutions' views, 1 is bullish, 1 is bearish, and 6 expect a sideways trend [4] - **Bullish Logics**: Geopolitical risks in the Middle East, impact of the US cold wave on production, OPEC+ suspending production increases until the end of Q1, and a weak US dollar trend [4] - **Bearish Logics**: Forecast of oversupply in 2026 by IEA and EIA, non - OPEC countries' continuous production expansion, potential over - production in Venezuela, high geopolitical premium in current prices, and weak terminal demand [4] 4.3 Agricultural Products Sector 4.3.1 Soybean Meal - **Strategy Views**: Among 7 institutions' views, 0 are bullish, 0 are bearish, and 7 expect a sideways trend [4] - **Bullish Logics**: Concerns about drought in Argentina, strong short - term Brazilian basis, inventory reduction before the festival, and relatively strong spot prices [4] - **Bearish Logics**: Expected high soybean production in Brazil, high future arrivals, decline in US soybean prices, weak demand from the breeding industry, and a 70% year - on - year increase in domestic commercial inventory [4] 4.4 Non - ferrous Metals Sector 4.4.1 Copper - **Strategy Views**: Among 7 institutions' views, 1 is bullish, 1 is bearish, and 5 expect a sideways trend [5] - **Bullish Logics**: Potential US interest - rate cuts, supply disruptions in global copper mines, weakening copper concentrate processing fees, and long - term growth in copper consumption [5] - **Bearish Logics**: Concerns about Fed's tightening policies after Waller's nomination, weakening sentiment due to precious - metal decline, increasing global visible inventory, and profit - taking before the Spring Festival [5] 4.5 Chemical Sector 4.5.1 Soda Ash - **Strategy Views**: Among 7 institutions' views, 0 are bullish, 3 are bearish, and 4 expect a sideways trend [5] - **Bullish Logics**: Macro - policies to counter deflation and involution, industry's willingness to stabilize prices, and pre - festival downstream procurement before the cancellation of export tax rebates on photovoltaic glass [5] - **Bearish Logics**: New production capacity increasing supply pressure, low - price and rigid - demand procurement by downstream, high enterprise inventory, and oversupply in the photovoltaic glass industry [5] 4.6 Precious Metals Sector 4.6.1 Gold - **Strategy Views**: Among 7 institutions' views, 0 are bullish, 0 are bearish, and 7 expect a sideways trend [6] - **Bullish Logics**: Long - term trend of de - dollarization, repeated geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, and central banks' long - term gold - buying behavior [6] - **Bearish Logics**: Nomination of hawkish Waller for Fed Chair, increased margin requirements by exchanges, and profit - taking from previous speculative trading [6] 4.7 Black Sector 4.7.1 Coking Coal - **Strategy Views**: Among 7 institutions' views, 1 is bullish, 0 is bearish, and 6 expect a sideways trend [6] - **Bullish Logics**: Geopolitical tensions increasing energy commodity premiums, downstream winter - storage replenishment, and expected supply contraction due to pre - festival mine closures [6] - **Bearish Logics**: Lack of fundamental support for price increases, low auction transaction rates, high Mongolian coal imports, and low steel - mill iron - water production [6]

Core Viewpoint - The chemical sector experienced a significant rebound on February 3, 2026, with the chemical ETF (516020) rising by 3.97% and individual stocks in the phosphate, potash, and soda ash sectors showing notable gains [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The chemical ETF (516020) saw a maximum intraday increase of 4.3% before closing up 3.97% [1] - Key stocks included Hongda Co., which surged by 9.16%, and both Cangge Mining and Hualu Hengsheng, which rose over 6% [1] Group 2: Price Trends and Analysis - Recent price increases in various basic chemical products, including dyes and para-nitrochlorobenzene, have been attributed to the cancellation of export tax rebates, leading to a rush in exports [1] - Guojin Securities remains optimistic about investment opportunities in the basic chemical sector, recommending a focus on leading companies and those experiencing price increases from a low base [1] Group 3: Industry Outlook - The chemical sector has been on an upward trend since the "anti-involution" movement began in July 2025, with investment and supply-side logic strengthening since the fourth quarter of 2025 [1] - Demand from emerging sectors such as energy storage, AI, and commercial aerospace is accelerating, while traditional sectors like textiles and agriculture are expected to continue recovering [1] - Huafu Securities anticipates a rebound in profitability for the chemical industry in 2026, marking a new starting point for supply-demand rebalancing [1]

Market Overview - The three major A-share indices exhibited a V-shaped trend, collectively closing higher, with the Shanghai Composite Index stabilizing above 4000 points due to the joint efforts of heavyweight and thematic stocks. The Shenzhen Component Index led the gains, with growth stocks performing prominently, and the ChiNext Index rebounding under the leadership of the sci-tech sector [2]. Market Performance - A total of 4851 stocks rose, indicating a broad market rally, with a notable increase in the number of stocks hitting the daily limit up. Key sectors leading the gains included commercial aerospace/satellite internet, optical modules/CPO, controllable nuclear fusion, rare metals/rare earths, photovoltaic equipment, military industry, communication equipment, and AI computing hardware. Consumer sectors such as food and beverage and retail also saw upward movement ahead of the holiday, while precious metals, petrochemicals, and banking insurance experienced capital outflows and adjustments [3]. Capital Flow - The total trading volume of the two markets was 1.54 trillion yuan, down 1.57%, reflecting an overall contraction in trading volume and structural differentiation. Capital did not significantly withdraw but shifted from traditional heavyweight stocks in the Shanghai market to growth stocks in the Shenzhen market. Sectors like finance and real estate showed lackluster performance, while commercial aerospace, photovoltaic equipment, rare metals, and AI computing saw impressive trading volumes. Leading growth stocks had the highest trading volumes, indicating a concentration of funds in high-prosperity sectors [5]. Fund Inflows - Institutional investors actively positioned themselves, clearly adjusting their portfolios, with emerging sectors such as commercial aerospace, space photovoltaic, AI computing, and optical modules becoming the main focus for capital. There was a noticeable outflow from defensive sectors like precious metals, banking, and insurance. Retail investors transitioned from passive following to active participation, with some chasing strong stocks, particularly those hitting the daily limit up, especially in the commercial aerospace and AI computing sectors [6].

2026 年 02 月 03 日 中际旭创(300308.SZ) 红利 事件： 1 月 31 日，中际旭创发布全年业绩预告，公司预计 2025 年 1-12 月 业绩大幅上升，归属于上市公司股东的净利润为 98.00 亿至 118.00 亿，净利润同比增长 89.50%至 128.17%。公司预测业绩增长主要基 于：受益于算力需求，高速光模块等产品出货增加带动营收和利润提 升。虽然股份支付费用、存货与应收款减值损失、汇率下跌带来的汇 兑损失共计减少净利润约 6.06 亿元，但投资收益与公允价值变动损 益增加了净利润约 2.96 亿元，部分抵消了上述负面影响。 全球市场高速增长，需求远超供给: 全球 AI 算力建设正推动高端光模块需求高速增长，市场呈现"需求 远超供给"的紧平衡状态。根据 Lightcounting 预计，由于海内外科 技巨头（如 Alphabet、亚马逊、Meta、微软、阿里巴巴、腾讯、百度 等）创纪录的资本支出，当前包括光模块在内的许多产品需求超出供 应两倍以上。未来市场增速将直接取决于供应链的扩产能力。 增长的核心动力明确：一是 AI 基础设施对高速光模块与交换机的强 劲需求；二是光互连技 ...

Group 1 - The core index of semiconductor materials and equipment rose by 3.3%, while the cloud computing and big data index increased by 2.6%, and the chip industry index grew by 1.4% [1] - The semiconductor equipment ETF managed by E Fund attracted approximately 3 billion yuan in the last month, indicating strong investor interest [1] - China Galaxy Securities noted that the semiconductor equipment sector is performing positively this month, driven by sustained AI computing demand, an upward cycle in storage chips, and the penetration of advanced packaging technology [1] Group 2 - The semiconductor equipment market is expected to continue growing, with a strong outlook for 2026 [1] - TSMC anticipates capital expenditures of $52 billion to $56 billion in 2026, a significant increase from $40.9 billion in 2025, highlighting further market opportunities in semiconductor equipment [1]

Core Viewpoint - The technology growth sector rebounded collectively after a significant drop, with leading gains in optical communication, CPO, and commercial aerospace sectors [1] Group 1: Market Performance - The Guozheng Growth 100 Index increased by 2.3% at market close [1] - The Guozheng Free Cash Flow Index rose by 2% [1] - The Guozheng Value 100 Index saw a rise of 1.4% [1] Group 2: Fund Flows - Related ETFs attracted attention, with the E Fund Growth ETF (159259) experiencing a net inflow of over 100 million yuan across four consecutive trading days [1] Group 3: Index Composition - The Guozheng Growth 100 Index focuses on stocks with prominent growth styles in the A-share market, with over 70% of its weight concentrated in the electronics, communication, and computer sectors [1] - The index is strategically positioned to capitalize on the core aspects of AI computing power [1] Group 4: Investment Opportunities - The E Fund Growth ETF (159259) is the only product tracking the Guozheng Growth 100 Index, providing investors with opportunities to seize growth-style investment chances [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3][6] Core Insights - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of 6-7 billion yuan in 2025, representing a year-on-year growth of 410.87% to 496.02%, and a net profit of 1.85-2.15 billion yuan, marking a turnaround from losses [1] - The demand for AI computing power continues to rise, and the maturity of the cloud product line is driving large-scale commercialization across various sectors, including telecommunications, finance, and the internet [1][3] - The company's quarterly revenue is projected to increase, with Q4 2025 revenue estimated between 1.393 billion and 2.393 billion yuan, showing a sequential growth from Q3 2025 [1] Financial Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are 6.368 billion, 13.091 billion, and 20.953 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits expected to be 2.062 billion, 4.363 billion, and 7.018 billion yuan [3][5] - The company is expected to achieve an EPS of 4.89 yuan in 2025, increasing to 10.35 yuan in 2026 and 16.64 yuan in 2027 [5][10] - The net asset return rate is projected to improve significantly, reaching 18.0% in 2025 and 30.7% in 2027 [5][10] Market Position and Competitive Advantage - The company is positioned in the semiconductor industry, with leading technology in computing chips and accelerated customer adoption, enhancing business resilience and performance [3][6] - The launch of the Cambricon NeuWare software platform supports rapid migration and optimization of AI models, establishing a comprehensive system from self-developed chip architecture to high-performance software [2]

Investment Rating - The report rates the electronic industry as "stronger than the market" due to the increasing demand for AI computing power, which is driving the semiconductor equipment and storage sectors upward [5][38]. Core Insights - The demand for AI computing power is surging, positively impacting the semiconductor equipment and storage sectors, leading to an optimistic outlook for these industries [5][24]. - ASML reported a steady growth in 2025, with a net sales of €32.7 billion, a 16% year-on-year increase, and a net profit of €9.6 billion [24][25]. - Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix are benefiting from the tight supply and rising prices of storage chips, with Samsung's operating profit in Q4 2025 increasing by 209% year-on-year [25][29]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The SW electronic industry index decreased by 2.51%, ranking 19th out of 31, while the Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index increased by 0.08% [5][8]. - The top five performing stocks in the SW electronic industry included Zhongwei Semiconductor (+36.57%) and Puran Co. (+35.79%) [15][16]. Company Financials - ASML's Q4 2025 net sales reached €9.7 billion with a gross margin of 52.2%, and the company expects Q1 2026 net sales between €8.2 billion and €8.9 billion [24][25]. - Samsung Electronics reported Q4 2025 revenue of 93.8 trillion KRW, a 24% year-on-year increase, with an operating profit of 20.1 trillion KRW [25][28]. - SK Hynix achieved a revenue of 97.15 trillion KRW in 2025, with a Q4 revenue of 32.83 trillion KRW [29][30]. Market Dynamics - The semiconductor storage market is experiencing significant price increases, with DRAM contract prices expected to rise by 55%-60% in Q1 2026 [33]. - Samsung plans to increase NAND Flash prices by 100% in Q1 2026, reflecting the current imbalance in the semiconductor storage market [33].

Investment Rating - The report assigns an "Accumulate" rating for the company, marking its first coverage [3][6]. Core Views - The company is expected to experience significant revenue and profit growth due to the increasing demand for high-speed optical modules driven by AI computing and data communication markets [5][6]. - The company has a strong technological foundation and competitive product offerings, particularly in low-power technologies, which create a high-margin moat [5][6]. - The company's overseas production capacity is expected to support order fulfillment and mitigate risks associated with geopolitical tensions and tariff fluctuations [5][6]. Financial Summary - The company forecasts a net profit of 9.4 to 9.9 billion yuan for 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 231.24% to 248.86% [1]. - For Q4 2025, the net profit is projected to be between 3.073 to 3.573 billion yuan, with a quarter-on-quarter growth of 28.85% to 49.82% [1]. - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 26.255 billion, 44.707 billion, and 58.102 billion yuan, respectively, with corresponding net profits of 9.667 billion, 16.622 billion, and 21.674 billion yuan [6][7].