Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive outlook on the shipping industry, particularly with the recommendation of companies such as China Merchants Energy, COSCO Shipping Energy, and Xingtong Co. [3][20] Core Viewpoints - OPEC has agreed to increase oil production by 411,000 barrels per day, which is expected to enhance the certainty of improvement in the shipping market in Q2 [3][20] - The report highlights the resilience of major ports and anticipates improvements in Southeast Asia's shipping and oil tanker sectors [3][20] - The report suggests that the "off-season" for shipping may not be as weak as expected, with a higher probability of strong performance from May to August [3][20] Summary by Sections Shipping Industry - OPEC's production increase will lead to a cumulative increase of 960,000 barrels per day over April, May, and June, which is 44% of the total expected increase of 2.2 million barrels per day [3][20] - The report notes that April shipping rates have risen against seasonal trends, indicating a potential for stronger performance in the second half of the year [3][20] - VLCC rates have decreased by 9% to $46,903 per day, but the overall market remains relatively strong with expectations for a rebound post-holiday [3][20][21] Air Transportation - The report indicates that oil prices, influenced by tariffs and OPEC's production increase, are relieving cost pressures on airlines [40] - The domestic air travel market is expected to recover, with passenger volumes projected to reach 10.75 million during the May Day holiday, a year-on-year increase of 8% [41][40] - Recommended stocks in the aviation sector include China Eastern Airlines, Spring Airlines, and China Southern Airlines [42] Express Delivery - The express delivery sector is experiencing high growth, with March volumes reaching 16.66 billion packages, a year-on-year increase of 20.3% [44] - The report emphasizes the potential for market share concentration among leading companies due to favorable policy changes [44] - Recommended companies include SF Holding, JD Logistics, and YTO Express [46] Railway and Highway - The report highlights the resilience of railway freight and highway truck traffic, with railway cargo volume increasing by 3% and highway truck traffic by 2.25% [48] - The report suggests that traditional high-dividend investment themes and potential value management catalysts will be key investment lines for the highway sector throughout 2025 [48]

与此同时，近期遭券商下调评级的股票数量也创下年内小高峰，包括煤炭、旅游酒店等板块的多只股票被下调 评级。 AI及机器人板块多股评级被上调 随着上市公司2024年年报及2025年一季报披露完毕，券商分析师也马不停蹄地跟踪最新数据并撰写研报。 东方财富Choice数据显示，过去一周（4月27日至5月3日），券商上调19只股票评级，其中科技股数量众多， 主要集中在AI及机器人等相关板块。 整体来看，券商近期上调评级的公司主要集中在业绩显著增长，行业景气度上升或困境反转的领域。值得注意 的是，科技板块受到不少分析师青睐，多只AI及机器人相关个股被分析师调高评级。 例如，天风证券近期上调铂科新材评级至"买入"。从业绩来看，铂科新材2024年归母净利润为3.76亿元，同比 上升46.9%。对于上调评级理由，天风证券称，铂科新材作为国内合金软磁粉芯龙头，站稳AI、光储新能源高 景气赛道，芯片电感打开第二成长极。 旅游及酒店板块也有多只个股评级被分析师下调。例如，国金证券近日下调锦江酒店评级为"增持"，主要原因 是该公司短期经营数据仍有压力。锦江酒店一季报显示，该公司今年一季度净利为0.36亿元，同比下降81%。 东吴证券下 ...

各位老铁，看完了2025巴菲特股东大会啥感觉？帮主郑重昨晚全程看的直播，一大早起来，先跟大家来聊聊我的感受，看看94岁的股神给咱们这些中长 线投资者划了哪些重点。别眨眼，这些信号对咱们A股操作可太关键了。 先给大家交个底，今年股东大会信息量爆炸。巴菲特老爷子开场就说这是他"最精彩的一次"，结果果然没让人失望。最让我后背发凉的是，他老人家居然 说"美国财政政策正在系统性侵蚀货币价值"。这话啥意思？就是说美元可能要贬值，全球资产价格都得跟着抖三抖。想想咱们A股那些高估值的赛道股， 是不是该留个心眼？ 不过巴菲特也没闲着，他手里攥着3480亿美元现金，比去年又多了140亿。这哪是现金啊，分明是随时准备抄底的弹药库。他说了，未来五年肯定有大机 会，现在就是耐心等猎物出现。这让我想起A股最近的震荡行情，很多人慌得不行，但巴菲特的做法就像咱们钓鱼，鱼没上钩的时候别急着甩杆。 再说说他的持仓变化。苹果虽然还是第一大重仓股，但减持了13%。这可不是不看好，而是在市场狂热的时候保持清醒。反观咱们A股的科技股，最近涨 得那叫一个凶，帮主我就纳闷了，这些公司真的能像苹果那样十年涨十倍吗？巴菲特这波操作，是不是在提醒咱们别追高？ 不 ...

Group 1 - The banking and insurance sectors have seen a sudden downturn, while small-cap stocks have surged, with over 20 stocks hitting the daily limit up on the ChiNext board [1] - The People's Bank of China has injected significant liquidity into the market, with a total of 9.228 billion yuan in just four days, indicating a strong effort to stabilize the financial system ahead of the holiday [3] - Manufacturing data has shown a decline, with the PMI dropping to 49%, prompting the government to announce subsidies for domestic GPU purchases and investments in satellite internet [3] Group 2 - The semiconductor sector has gained attention, with stocks like SMIC seeing a 15% increase over three days, driven by government support for AI computing companies [6] - The high-dividend sector is experiencing fluctuations, with Longjiang Power's stock rising for 18 consecutive days, while coal stocks like China Shenhua have seen significant declines [6] - The tourism sector is showing signs of pre-holiday behavior, with China Duty Free Group's stock dropping 8% over three days, while film stocks have gained momentum due to strong pre-sale figures [8] Group 3 - The STAR Market has seen mysterious funds supporting key stocks, pulling the index from a decline to positive territory, reminiscent of previous market rescue tactics [10] - The ST stocks are facing a severe sell-off, with over 30 stocks hitting the daily limit down, while some stocks are experiencing speculative trading despite the risk of delisting [10] - The power sector is showing mixed signals, with Longjiang Power reaching new highs while thermal power stocks are struggling due to coal price pressures [10]

在各家券商的"金股"名单中，获机构推荐次数最多的是海大集团、东鹏饮料，均获得4家券商的推荐。 4月A股市场整体先抑后扬，上证指数累计跌1.7%，深证成指跌5.75%，创业板指跌7.4%。5月如何寻找机会？截至发稿，10余家券商公 布了5月月度投资组合，涉及消费、能源、科技、金融等多个领域。 | Frist | | | --- | --- | | 券商名称 | 推荐个股 | | 贺海证券 | 诺泰生物、宁波银行、立华股份、青岛啤酒、恒立液压、羚锐制药 恒力石化、乐鑫科技、爱柯迪、科德数控 | | 东兴证券 | 兴森科技、西部矿业、贵州茅台、川环科技、中广核技、中科创达 珀菜雅 | | 光大证券 | 中自科技、恒瑞医药、格力电器、中国石油、紫金矿业、海油发展 濮耐股份、海尔智家、牧原股份、鸿路钢构 | | 国信证券 | 长江电力、顺丰控股、药明康德、中岩大地、科锐国际、亚钾国际 特锐德、海大集团、江苏银行 | | "别周边走 | 华明装备、震裕科技、指南针、大金重工、金山办公、珀菜雅 新易盛、海大集团、德赛西威、爱玛科技 | | "安"证券 | 福昕软件、三棵树、东诚药业、工商银行、恒玄科技、百济神州-U 赛力斯 ...

研 究 上期组合回顾： 本期策略判断： 本期金股组合：(具体推荐逻辑详见正文第 3 部分十大金股组合) 证券分析师 王胜 A0230511060001 wangsheng@swsresearch.com 刘洋 A0230513050006 liuyang2@swsresearch.com 屠亦婷 A0230512080003 tuyt@swsresearch.com 2025 年 04 月 30 日 "申万宏源十大金股组合" ——2025 年第 5 期：5 月 1 日-5 月 31 日 组合说明： ⚫ "金股组合"一方面体现申万宏源未来 1 个月的大势研判观点及风格判断结论，另一方面 体现我们申万宏源整体研究团队的研究能力与市场竞争力，在严格的申报筛选流程下，我 们从全行业的角度为投资者精选个股，力求为投资者提供踏实的研究支持。本次报告对上 期金股组合进行更新。 证 券 研 究 报 告 研究支持 陆灏川 A0230520080001 luhc@swsresearch.com 王雪蓉 A0230523070003 wangxr@swsresearch.com 联系人 王雪蓉 (8621)23297818× wa ...

Core Viewpoint - Public funds have shown a decrease in enthusiasm for dividend allocation in the first quarter of this year, despite an increase in the total scale of dividend funds, indicating a divergence in market behavior and investor sentiment towards dividend assets [2][3][7]. Group 1: Fund Performance and Trends - In the first quarter, the allocation ratio of public funds to dividend low-volatility and dividend indices decreased slightly, with the proportion of holdings dropping by 0.62 percentage points and 1.14 percentage points respectively [3]. - New dividend-themed funds have faced delays in fundraising, with the scale of newly established products being relatively small [4]. - The total scale of dividend funds reached 251.37 billion yuan by the end of the first quarter, an increase of approximately 27 billion yuan from the end of the previous quarter [6]. Group 2: Investor Behavior and Market Dynamics - Investors have mixed views on the cooling of dividend funds, with some choosing to buy at lower levels while others continue to sell in favor of technology stocks [2][5]. - The shift in market style has led some public funds to redirect investments towards electronic and computer sectors, driven by strong performance in technology-related industries [5]. - Pension funds have shown a preference for dividend assets, with many dividend strategy funds ranking high in terms of scale growth among personal pension funds [6][7]. Group 3: Long-term Investment Perspective - Industry experts believe that dividend-themed funds are "long-distance" assets, suggesting they still hold long-term investment value despite short-term volatility [8]. - The regulatory environment encouraging higher dividend payouts is expected to enhance the attractiveness of dividend assets in the future [9]. - The trend of declining interest rates is anticipated to increase the appeal of high-dividend assets, supported by long-term capital inflows from pension and insurance funds [9][10].

（原标题：和讯投顾严笙：节后建议围绕政策加业绩主线，布局三大方向） 4月30日，A股今天放量反攻，三大指数互有涨跌，万亿资金杀入了哪个板块呢？沪指今天跌幅0.23，深证成指创业板指今天涨了5%，成交量1.17 万亿，放量了1,472亿，3400家个股上涨，近百股涨停，人形机器人算力华为概念成了最大赢家。和讯投顾严笙分析，原型机器人工信部推动了产 业创新，ETF涨幅超过2%，算力呢进行了返工。A500指数ETF成交量破了7亿，AI算力的需求爆发，同时消费电子也有一定的反攻，华为概念股 活跃，果链恢复了元气。 我们再看一下重磅新闻，特朗普关税补偿车企最高获得3.75的零售补偿，汽车板块整体迎来了资金净流入，创制造业pmi回落，4月份pmi降至 49%，但高技术制造业仍然在扩张，政策仍然在稳步的持续增长。第三个万亿回购潮，部分公司回购超过3,000,000,480家公司集体护盘，那么风 险又有哪些？银行股受挫，国有大行不良余额上升，同时假期效应明显，五一临近，资金或避险或短线急速的止盈离场，短线波动加剧，今日整 个市场是放量反弹，政策利好与业绩增长形成了共振。但pmi的回落与银行的调整暗示的结构性行情的机会，节后建 ...

2024年公司通过刚性成本管控实现经营效率提升，展现较强的管理质量。值得关注的是，大秦铁路在同 时公布的《大秦铁路股份有限公司估值提升计划》中表示，公司致力于持续优化长期发展和股东回报， 与广大股东共享发展红利，上市以来连续18年不间断现金分红，年均分红比例超过50%，累计分红 1083.6亿元。连续19年实施高比例分红，2024年拟每10股派现1.4元，为投资者提供稳定回报。 当前铁路货运行业正经历深刻变革。随着公转铁政策深化和运输结构调整，大秦铁路依托重载技术优势 和路网协同效应，持续巩固市场地位。2024年非煤运输增量贡献显著，光伏产品、化工原料等新兴品类 占比提升至12%。在成本端，公司通过智能化改造降低单位能耗，2024年吨公里运输成本同比下降 3.2%，降本增效成果显现。 机构研报指出，短期看，山西煤炭保供政策落地将推动运量回升；中长期看，公司成本控制能力和分红 稳定性构筑安全边际，大秦铁路作为中特估标的中稀缺的高股息资产，若运价市场化改革取得突破，盈 利弹性将显著释放，叠加资产整合预期，估值提升空间较大。 作为以煤炭运输为主业的龙头企业，大秦铁路2024年货物发送量完成7.06亿吨，其中非煤货品 ...

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 今天，A股三大股指走势分化，截至收盘，上证指数下跌0.23%，深证成指上涨0.51%，创业板指上涨 0.83%。 | 上证指数 | 深证成指 | 创业板指 | | --- | --- | --- | | 3279.03 | 9899.82 | 1948.03 | | -7.62 -0.23% | +50.02 +0.51% | +16.09 +0.83% | | 跌 1770 | | 涨3443 > | 对于高股息资产，华泰证券表示，建议关注分红率有望提升、拥挤度处于低位的电力、保险、通信服 务、铁路公路等板块。 科技股和高股息资产今天走势呈现"跷跷板"态势。具体来看，科技股全面反弹，AI、华为概念、人形机 器人、消费电子等板块大涨。 责任编辑：刘万里 SF014 AI主线方面，应用端走强，智谱AI、多模态AI等板块大涨。 人形机器人板块延续昨日上涨态势。摩根士丹利中国工业研究团队近期推出"人形机器人洞察"系列报告 之一——《人形机器人：一个5万亿美元的全球市场》。报告称，根据其全球人形机器人模型，预计到 2050年将有10亿台人形机器 ...