美国总统特朗普公开证实中情局本月在委内瑞拉境内实施了打击行动，这标志着美国对委施压战略的重 大升级。 《环球时报》援引CNN及多家媒体报道称，当地时间29日，美国总统特朗普对媒体证实了一则消息： 美国中央情报局近日对委内瑞拉沿岸的一个据信被用于储存和运输毒品的港口设施实施了无人机袭击。 这一行动迅速引发了各方对局势失控的担忧。彭博分析认为，虽然白宫将行动定性为反毒打击，但这引 发了美国国会关于战争授权的激烈辩论，同时也极限测试着委内瑞拉军方的忠诚度与底线。投资者正密 切关注该地区局势是否会进一步升级，从而对能源市场及区域地缘政治稳定造成更广泛的直接冲击。 马杜罗的沉默与未来走向 面对美方罕见的直接越境打击，委内瑞拉方面的反应显得格外谨慎。据环球时报报道，截至发稿前，委 内瑞拉官方未对此事作出正式表态。媒体观察到，马杜罗在周一晚间近两小时的讲话中并未提及此次袭 击，而是强调了军队的团结与忠诚。 特朗普在会见以色列总理内塔尼亚胡前对媒体确认，美军摧毁了这一"大型设施"，并称该处发生"大爆 炸"，"现在那个地方已经不存在了"。虽然目前尚未确认有人员伤亡，且委内瑞拉方面暂未正式回应， 但地缘政治风险的急剧上升已引发市 ...

here. So, let's get to Kevin Green who joins me now. And, uh, we've got a little bit more data out this morning.I saw we got some Chicago PMIs, which picked up. Uh, we got some housing data. Just run us through what you're seeing as far as some of the economic updates this morning, KG.>> Yeah, the Chicago PMI PMIs came in a lot better than the street's expectations, coming in at 43.5%. Street was looking for 39.8%. Now, one thing to note, Chicago PMIs have been in contractionary territory for almost two and ...

Group 1 - The precious metals market has regained investor attention, with gold and silver reaching historical highs on December 24, 2023, with gold surpassing $4500 per ounce and silver peaking at $72.7 per ounce, reflecting year-to-date increases of over 70% and nearly 150% respectively, significantly outperforming most global asset classes [1] - The primary catalyst for the surge in precious metal prices is the expectation of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, driven by rising unemployment and lower-than-expected core CPI, which has strengthened the outlook for policy easing and weakened the dollar, thereby reducing the opportunity cost of holding precious metals [1] - Ongoing geopolitical risks have accelerated capital inflows into the precious metals market as a safe haven, while structural market dynamics due to imbalances in industrial supply and demand, particularly from the expansion of photovoltaic installations and surging AI server demand, have provided strong support for silver prices [1] Group 2 - In 2025, the precious metals market is expected to experience a further acceleration in capital allocation due to heightened risk aversion, with overall price trends showing a pattern of fluctuating increases [2] - Short-term risks include potential profit-taking by investors and the possibility of monetary policy easing falling short of expectations, which could exert downward pressure on prices [2] - Long-term prospects remain positive for precious metals, supported by the onset of global monetary easing, continued central bank gold purchases, and the deepening process of de-dollarization, alongside persistent geopolitical risks [2]

技术面：周初国际黄金价格持续性暴跌，当日于4549美元附近暴跌于4303美元附近止跌，日内黄金价格 下跌246美元左右。通过市场情绪了解到周初黄金价格会出现回撤修复，但是没有想到会暴跌这么狠。 总的来说周初的交易状况还算理想。周二黄金价格稍有反弹，在触及4383美元附近承压后，后续时段更 多以小幅震荡为主，这可能就是日内黄金涨跌幅度过大引发的后遗症，需要一定的修复时间来缓解。后 面再回撤正常路径。 短期上方关键阻力位位于布林带上轨4520美元附近。若能果断突破，将打开进一步上行空间，有望重新 测试历史高点4550美元，并向4600美元心理关口发起冲击。 下方初始支撑位于4305-4300美元区间，对应12月29日低点及重要整数位。若失守该区域，修正可能延 续，下方目标指向12月16日低点4271美元附近。 黄金策略提示：（临盘试探为主，破位再做调整） 临盘阻力：4387.4397.4430 临盘支撑：4340.4323.4305 临盘：支撑和阻力点位建议触及尝试轻仓介入多空误差±2．建议防守5个点，初次看15个点左右 12月30日，在全球经济不确定性与地缘政治风险持续升温的背景下，黄金作为传统避险资产再度受到 ...

Core Viewpoint - International gold prices experienced a significant drop, falling over $200, as profit-taking occurred after a bullish week, but the overall trend remains upward with technical support from moving averages [1][12]. Group 1: Market Performance - On December 29, gold opened at $4,537.12 per ounce, reached a high of $4,548.58, and then fell to a low of $4,303.73, closing at $4,331.93, marking a daily decline of $202.19 or 4.46% [1][12]. - The daily trading range was $244.85, indicating high volatility during the session [1][12]. Group 2: Future Outlook - The opening on December 30 saw gold prices supported by buying interest at the mid-chart level, with geopolitical tensions providing a positive boost [3][13]. - Despite a bearish outlook from upcoming U.S. economic indicators, the long-term bullish sentiment for gold remains intact due to global economic uncertainties and geopolitical risks [3][14]. - The market is closely watching the Federal Reserve's upcoming policy meeting minutes, which may influence gold prices depending on the tone regarding interest rates [14][16]. Group 3: Technical Analysis - The gold price is currently supported by various moving averages, indicating potential buying opportunities if prices retrace to these levels [9][10]. - The monthly chart shows a potential bearish pattern, suggesting risks of a drop to the $4,000-$3,900 range, but a strong performance in the following month could lead to a bullish outlook towards $5,500-$6,000 [16][19]. Group 4: Influencing Factors - The selection of the next Federal Reserve Chair is seen as a critical factor that could either support or hinder gold prices, with expectations leaning towards a more dovish approach [4][8][17]. - Continued adjustments in central bank reserve structures and persistent inflationary pressures are expected to support gold demand in the long term [16].

摘要周二(12月30日)欧洲时段，现货黄金亚市小幅上行，一度触及4380美元/盎司，现交投于4360美元附 近。前一交易日金价重挫4.5%，创10月以来最大单日跌幅，主因CME上调黄金、白银期货保证金，引 发大规模获利回吐与仓位调整。不过，美联储2026年或进入宽松周期，低利率降低持有黄金机会成本， 叠加全球经济与地缘不确定性，令金价下行风险受限。假期前流动性下降或放大波动，市场紧盯周二晚 间FOMC会议纪要寻短线指引 周二(12月30日)欧洲时段，现货黄金亚市小幅上行，一度触及4380美元/盎司，现交投于4360美元附近。 前一交易日金价重挫4.5%，创10月以来最大单日跌幅，主因CME上调黄金、白银期货保证金，引发大 规模获利回吐与仓位调整。不过，美联储2026年或进入宽松周期，低利率降低持有黄金机会成本，叠加 全球经济与地缘不确定性，令金价下行风险受限。假期前流动性下降或放大波动，市场紧盯周二晚间 FOMC会议纪要寻短线指引。 【基本面解析】 周二，避险资金流入推动黄金买盘增加，金价突破4350美元/盎司。前一交易日，现货黄金重挫202.31 美元，跌幅4.46%，收于4331.99美元/盎司，创下去年 ...

今日现货锡价走势：据长江有色金属网获悉，12月30日ccmn长江综合市场1#锡价报320100元/吨-323100 元/吨，均价报321600元/吨，较前一日价格下跌22300元；今日长江现货市场1#锡价报320750元/ 吨-322750元/吨，均价321750元/吨，较上一交易日价格下跌22250元/吨。 来源：市场资讯 今日午盘后沪锡走势：今日沪锡合约2602大跌，开盘价报334200元/吨，盘中最高报336740元/吨，最低 报316730元/吨，结算价报324380元/吨，收盘报326330元/吨，下跌16010元，跌幅4.68%；沪锡主力月 2602合约成交量441256手，持仓量43769手，较前一日减少6392手。 供应面呈现"复苏与累库"的背离格局。尽管刚果（金）地缘风险未解，但缅甸佤邦复产、印尼出口改善 及刚果（金）对华进口量增长，均指向主产国供应正在边际回暖。更为直观的压力来自库存端，国内外 社会库存同步累积，表明此前紧张的现货供需格局已实质性松动。 需求面则陷入"高价抑制与结构转变"的困局。当前价位已严重侵蚀下游利润，焊料等行业普遍采取低库 存策略，市场成交清淡，呈现明显的"高价反噬" ...

港股市场"三桶油"走强，其中，中国海洋石油涨5%，中国石油股份涨超3%，中国石油化工涨超2%。消息面上，国 际油价连续第二日走强，WTI原油升破58美元/桶，布伦特原油逼近62美元/桶。地缘政治风险再度升温成为主要驱 动。俄罗斯与乌克兰冲突出现新变数，同时也门局势恶化引发中东供应中断担忧，双重因素共同推升市场风险溢 价。尽管年末流动性相对有限，油价仍录得可观涨幅，反映投资者对潜在供应冲击的敏感性上升。 此外，瑞银分析师强调，中国海运原油进口量保持强劲，为油市提供需求端支撑，进一步巩固价格底部。 与此同时，中东地缘紧张再度升温。沙特领导的联军周末向也门南部主要分裂势力发出停止军事行动的警告。有分 析称，也门局势恶化令红海航道和中东石油运输面临新威胁，供应中断风险显著上升。 | 代码 | 名称 | 涨跌幅 √ | 最新价 | 总市值 | 年初至今涨跌 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 00883 | (0) 中国海洋石油 | 5.04% | 21.680 | 1.03万亿 | 22.28% | | 00857 | 中国石油股份 | 3.39% | 8.540 | ...

今日国内金店黄金价格继续回落，多数品牌每克黄金跌幅超40元。其中，周大福、潮宏基、老凤祥、周 大生报价均为1363元/克，并列成为市场最高价。上海中国黄金价格降至1285元/克，仍为市场最低价。 两者之间的价差为78元/克。 以下是各大品牌金店详细报价： 昨日现货黄金保持震荡下行，晚间更是出现急跌，最终收报4331.65美元/盎司，跌幅4.45%。今日现货 黄金反弹回升中，截至发稿，金价暂报4367.32美元/盎司，涨幅0.82%。 昨日金价震荡主要是新年假期临近，投资者在金价冲高后选择获利了结，而昨日芝加哥商品交易所 （CME）宣布上调黄金等贵金属期货交易保证金的行为，加大了投机交易成本，进一步加剧金价跌 幅。 而道明证券商品策略师Daniel Ghali指出，黄金价格下跌的另一原因是流动性受限，这一情况主要源于 美国总统特朗普对关键矿产调查提出建议的最后期限临近，以及假期期间交易清淡所致。 另外，俄罗斯昨日指控称乌克兰91架无人机袭击普京官邸，美国总统特朗普则在昨日警告伊朗：如果继 续伊朗发展弹道导弹，支持对伊朗发动打击;如果伊朗发展核武器，支持对伊朗发动快速打击。俄乌以 及中东的不稳定的地缘局势，仍在为 ...

Core Viewpoint - The precious metals market, particularly gold, silver, and platinum, experienced significant price increases at the end of 2025, driven by expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, geopolitical tensions, and strong central bank gold purchases [1][5]. Group 1: Market Performance - On December 30, 2025, spot gold approached historical highs, opening at $4550.00 per ounce before dropping to around $4469 [1]. - Gold prices rose by 1.2% last Friday, reaching $4531.87 per ounce, with February futures closing at $4552.70, reflecting strong market momentum [3]. - Silver surpassed $80, platinum reached record highs, and palladium broke the $2000 mark, indicating a robust performance across precious metals [1]. Group 2: Influencing Factors - The anticipated easing of monetary policy by the Federal Reserve, with potential rate cuts in mid-2026, has fueled market optimism [3]. - Geopolitical uncertainties, particularly the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict, have heightened demand for safe-haven assets like gold [3]. - Central banks are expected to purchase an average of 70 tons of gold monthly in 2026, significantly above historical averages, providing strong support for gold prices [4]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Goldman Sachs forecasts that gold prices could reach $4900 per ounce by Q4 2026, with a possibility of exceeding $5000 in the first half of the year [4]. - The first quarter of 2026 may see a price pullback to $4200, followed by a gradual recovery to $4630 before reaching the projected highs [4]. - Investors are advised to monitor Federal Reserve policy meetings and developments in the Russia-Ukraine situation, as these will directly impact gold price trends [4].