1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content found 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - International oil prices have risen for three consecutive days. The rebound in US economic growth in Q2 exceeded expectations, but economists believe this measure overstates the economic health as the decline in imports is the main reason for the improvement in economic data, and the growth rate of domestic demand in the US is the slowest in two and a half years [3]. - Methanol prices fell 0.9% at night. The average operating load of domestic coal (methanol) - to - olefins plants increased slightly, while the overall operating load of domestic methanol plants decreased slightly but increased compared to the same period last year. Coastal methanol inventories continued to rise, and methanol is expected to be bullish in the short term [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Futures Market Crude Oil - **Price Changes**: SC near - month contract decreased by 0.24% to 529.7, SC next - month contract increased by 2.64% to 528.6; WTI near - month contract increased by 3.39% to 69.25, WTI next - month contract increased by 3.25% to 68.32; Brent near - month contract increased by 0.98% to 73.47, Brent next - month contract increased by 1.37% to 72.75 [2]. - **Volume and Open Interest**: Trading volumes were 28, 136,660, 306,435, 174,121, 136,654, 467,877 respectively; open interests were 746, 37,676, 351,819, 243,122, 191,811, 551,927 respectively. Open interest changes were 0, - 996, - 7352, 1993, - 35473, 5974 respectively [2]. - **Spreads**: The current spreads of SC near - month - SC next - month, SC next - month - SC next - to - next - month, SC near - month - WTI near - month, SC near - month - Brent near - month, WTI near - month - WTI next - month, Brent near - month - Brent next - month were 1.1, 528.6, 30.6, 0.2, 6.68, 0.72 respectively, different from the previous values [2]. Methanol - **Price Changes**: The 01, 05, and 09 contracts decreased by 0.40%, 0.33%, and 0.62% respectively to 2510, 2447, 2419. The spreads of 01 - 05, 05 - 09, 09 - 01 changed to 63, 28, - 91 respectively [2]. - **Volume and Open Interest**: Trading volumes were 141,975, 4,445, 623,870 respectively; open interests were 278,074, 13,180, 579,345 respectively. Open interest changes were - 828, 1864, 3317 respectively [2]. Spot Market Methanol - **Price Changes**: The port price in US dollars was 0 (down 276), the prices in East China, North China, and South China were 2435 (down 5), 2180 (unchanged), 2410 (up 5) respectively [2]. Crude Oil - **International Market**: The prices of OPEC basket crude oil, Brent DTD, Russian ESPD, Oman, Dubai, and Cinta were 72.61, 71.57, 69.21, 73.02, 72.51, 67.72 respectively, all higher than the previous values [2]. - **Domestic Market**: The prices of Daqing and Shengli crude oil were 66.29 and 68.33 respectively, up from the previous values. The Chinese gasoline wholesale price index, Chinese diesel wholesale price index, FOB naphtha (Singapore), and ex - factory price of jet kerosene were 8,060, 6,969, 63.06, 5,676 respectively, also higher than before [2]. Comments and Strategies Crude Oil - US economic growth data in Q2 was better than expected, but domestic demand growth was slow. As of July 25, US crude oil inventories increased, gasoline inventories decreased, and distillate inventories increased. Future attention should be paid to OPEC's production increase [3]. Methanol - The average operating load of domestic coal (methanol) - to - olefins plants increased slightly, and the overall operating load of domestic methanol plants decreased slightly but increased compared to last year. Coastal methanol inventories continued to rise. The estimated arrival volume of imported methanol from July 25 to August 10 is 69.88 - 700,000 tons. Methanol is expected to be bullish in the short term [3].

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views of the Report - For PTA, with planned maintenance of some PTA devices in August, the supply - demand outlook is expected to improve. Last week, polyester sales volume increased significantly, and the inventory pressure of polyester factories eased. It is expected that the PTA price will fluctuate following the cost side in the short term, and the basis will fluctuate within a range. Attention should be paid to the macro - commodity atmosphere and the fluctuation of downstream polyester load [5]. - For MEG, the supply - demand situation in July - August has shifted to a tight balance, which is significantly better than the previous market expectation. Under the resonance of supply tightening and a good macro - atmosphere, the short - term price center of MEG will operate strongly. Attention should be paid to the progress of overseas device recovery [7]. - Short - term commodity markets are greatly affected by the macro - side. Attention should be paid to the cost side, and attention should be paid to the upper resistance level when the market rebounds [9]. 3. Summary by Directory 1. Previous Day's Review - No relevant content provided. 2. Daily Tips - **PTA Daily View** - **Fundamentals**: Affected by Trump's deadline for Russia, overnight oil prices rose further. Today, PTA futures followed the cost side, rising first and then falling, with an overall strong oscillation. However, some mainstream suppliers actively sold goods, and the spot basis weakened. The price negotiation range was around 4830 - 4890 [6]. - **Basis**: The spot price was 4858, the 09 - contract basis was 2, and the market was at a discount [6]. - **Inventory**: PTA factory inventory was 3.99 days, a month - on - month increase of 0.13 days, which was bearish [6]. - **Market**: The 20 - day moving average was upward, and the closing price was above the 20 - day moving average, which was bullish [6]. - **Main Position**: Net long positions increased, which was bullish [6]. - **MEG Daily View** - **Fundamentals**: On Wednesday, the ethylene glycol price adjusted widely, and the market negotiation was average. The negotiation center of ethylene glycol at night was around a premium of 61 - 63 yuan/ton over the 09 - contract. After the opening in the morning, the price fluctuated widely. After the 9 - 1 spread fluctuated, the buying volume in the market increased, and the spot basis strengthened to a premium of around 69 yuan/ton over the 09 - contract. In the afternoon, affected by the weakening of the commodity market atmosphere, the ethylene glycol market oscillated and declined, and the spot negotiation weakened slightly to a premium of 65 - 68 yuan/ton over the 09 - contract [7]. - **Basis**: The spot price was 4525, the 09 - contract basis was 75, and the market was at a discount [7]. - **Inventory**: The total inventory in East China was 46.88 tons, a month - on - month decrease of 2.52 tons, which was bullish [7]. - **Market**: The 20 - day moving average was upward, and the closing price was above the 20 - day moving average, which was bullish [7]. - **Main Position**: The main net short positions decreased, which was bearish [7]. - **Expectation**: The arrival of ethylene glycol at the main port last week was concentrated. It is expected that the visible inventory will moderately rebound at the beginning of this week. Attention should be paid to the weather changes and the unloading progress of ships during the week [7]. 3. Today's Focus - **Influencing Factors Summary** - **Positive Factors**: Recently, there have been frequent unexpected events on the ethylene glycol supply side. Several devices in Saudi Arabia unexpectedly shut down due to power problems, involving a production capacity of about 1.7 million tons. The load of a large - scale ethylene glycol producer in Zhejiang has been continuously decreasing. In addition, a 1.25 - million - ton/year cracking device in Lianyungang is planned to be overhauled in August, which may postpone the restart of the ethylene glycol device [8]. - **Negative Factors**: From the demand side, at the end of the rush - export period and during the off - season of domestic demand, the trend of weakening terminal demand is certain [8]. 4. Fundamental Data - **PTA Supply - Demand Balance Sheet**: It details the PTA production capacity, load, output, import, supply, polyester production, consumption, and inventory from January 2024 to December 2025 [10]. - **Ethylene Glycol Supply - Demand Balance Sheet**: It shows the ethylene glycol total operating rate, production, supply, polyester production, consumption, and port inventory from January 2024 to December 2025 [11]. - **Price Data**: It includes the spot price, production profit, capacity utilization rate, inventory, basis, and spread data of bottle chips, PTA, and MEG, as well as the inventory and production profit data of polyester fibers [13][26][61]. - **Inventory Analysis**: It presents the inventory data of PTA, MEG, PET slices, and various types of polyester fibers [39]. - **Polyester Upstream and Downstream Start - up Rates**: It shows the start - up rates of PTA, paraxylene, ethylene glycol, polyester factories, and Jiangsu - Zhejiang looms [50][54]. - **Processing Fees and Profits**: It includes the PTA processing fee, MEG production profit, and polyester fiber production profit [58][61].

Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the report Core Viewpoints - The industrial silicon futures and spot prices have resonated and rebounded, but considering the cooling of sentiment and hedging pressure, the market may adjust, and long - position sentiment may fluctuate. The polysilicon market has also been rising since late June, with significant price fluctuations and emotional instability, so operations in both markets require caution [1] Summary by Category Industrial Silicon - **Price Changes**: The average price of industrial silicon不通氧553 (East China) rose 1.56% to 9,750 yuan/ton, and the 421 (East China) average price rose 0.99% to 10,250 yuan/ton. The futures main - contract closing price fell 0.70% to 9,285 yuan/ton [1] - **Supply**: As silicon prices rise, some previously overhauled silicon plants in Xinjiang have resumed production. In the southwest, power costs have decreased during the wet season, and enterprise operations are steadily increasing. It is expected that some silicon furnaces will restart in August, and supply will increase steadily [1] - **Demand**: Polysilicon enterprises continue to cut production, but some silicon material plants plan to resume production in July, bringing some demand growth. An organic silicon plant has stopped production for rectification due to an accident, and organic silicon prices are rising. Silicon - aluminum alloy enterprises purchase as needed, and downstream low - level inventory - building willingness is insufficient [1] - **Investment Strategy**: After the previous macro - driven rally, the industrial silicon market may adjust, but long - position sentiment may fluctuate. Continued attention should be paid to silicon enterprise resumption dynamics [1] Polysilicon - **Price Changes**: The prices of N - type dense material, N - type re - feed material, N - type mixed material, and N - type granular silicon remained unchanged. The futures main - contract closing price rose 7.68% to 54,705 yuan/ton [1] - **Supply**: Polysilicon enterprises continue to cut production, but some new production capacity may be put into operation. After offsetting, production is expected to increase slightly, with July production approaching 110,000 tons [1] - **Demand**: The photovoltaic market is weak, with rising inventories of silicon wafers and silicon materials. Although downstream silicon wafer prices have risen recently, the terminal market remains weak due to over - drawn demand in the first half of the year [1] - **Investment Strategy**: Since late June, the polysilicon market has been rising, and the market is volatile. Continued attention should be paid to macro - sentiment evolution and warehouse receipt registration [1] Other Information - From August 1, 2025, trading limits for some contracts of industrial silicon, polysilicon, and lithium carbonate futures will be adjusted. For non - futures company members or customers, the daily opening volume limits for certain contracts are set, with exceptions for hedging and market - making transactions [1]

中国经济网北京7月30日讯 今日，上海期货交易所日间盘黄金期货主力合约震荡收高，成交下降， 持仓增加。主力2510合约收报773.78元，涨0.42%或3.22元;成交量为206379手;持仓为214105手，持仓增 加1698手。 隔夜，COMEX黄金期货收涨0.48%，报3383美元/盎司。 （责任编辑：郭健东 ） 【免责声明】本文仅代表作者本人观点，与和讯网无关。和讯网站对文中陈述、观点判断保持中立，不对所包含内容 的准确性、可靠性或完整性提供任何明示或暗示的保证。请读者仅作参考，并请自行承担全部责任。邮箱： news_center@staff.hexun.com ...

多晶硅期货主力合约日内涨幅扩大至6%，报53205元/吨。 ...

Report Summary 1. Report Industry Investment Rating No information provided. 2. Core Views - Methanol: High imports are materializing, inventory accumulation has begun, and the futures price is undervalued. It's in a period of bearish factor realization. With unstable macro - environment and weak methanol prices in Europe and the US, the unilateral direction is hard to determine. Given the low valuation, it's advisable to consider long - positions at low prices [2]. - Polyethylene: The overall inventory is neutral. The 09 basis is around - 150 in North China and - 100 in East China. Import profit is around - 100 with no further increase. Non - standard HD injection prices are stable, while LD is weakening. Domestic linear production will increase in August. Attention should be paid to LL - HD conversion and new plant commissioning [6]. - Polypropylene: Upstream inventory of Sinopec and PetroChina is increasing, while mid - stream inventory is decreasing. The basis is - 60, and non - standard price spreads are neutral. Export performance is good this year. Supply is expected to increase slightly in June. In an over - capacity context, the 09 contract is under moderate to excessive pressure, which can be mitigated by strong exports or more PDH plant maintenance [6]. - PVC: The basis remains at 09 - 150, and downstream开工 is seasonally weak. Mid - and upstream inventory de - stocking is slowing down. Attention should be paid to new plant commissioning and export sustainability in July - August. Current static inventory contradictions are accumulating slowly, and cost is stabilizing. Focus on exports, coal prices, real - estate sales, terminal orders, and开工 [6]. 3. Summary by Product Methanol - Price Data: From July 23 to July 29, 2025, the power coal futures price remained at 801. The Jiangsu spot price decreased from 2417 to 2395, and the Northwest discounted to the futures price decreased from 2638 to 2625. The import profit remained unchanged, and the main contract basis decreased from - 12 to - 18 [2]. Polyethylene - Price Data: From July 23 to July 29, 2025, Northeast Asian ethylene price remained at 820. The North China LL price remained at 7230, and the main contract futures price increased from 7288 to 7385. The basis decreased from - 120 to - 160 [6]. Polypropylene - Price Data: From July 23 to July 29, 2025, Shandong propylene price decreased from 6300 to 6190. The East China PP price decreased from 7090 to 7055, and the main contract futures price increased from 7096 to 7160. The basis decreased from - 50 to - 90 [6]. PVC - Price Data: From July 23 to July 29, 2025, Northwest calcium carbide price decreased from 2250 to 2200, and Shandong caustic soda price increased from 842 to 862. The calcium carbide - based East China PVC price decreased from 5070 to 5030, and the basis (high - end delivery product) remained at - 80 [6].

Core Viewpoint - Glass futures experienced a significant rebound, rising over 5% in the night session, reversing the downward trend observed in the previous two days. This shift follows the adjustment of trading fees for glass futures by the Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The recent increase in glass futures is attributed to the adjustment of trading fees by the Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange, which has influenced market sentiment positively [1] - Despite the short-term price increase, analysts indicate that the supply-demand imbalance in the glass industry is unlikely to see substantial relief before a large-scale capacity exit and comprehensive growth in the real estate sector [1] Group 2: Future Outlook - The short-term market may experience a correction as it could give back some of the excessive gains achieved recently, indicating potential volatility ahead [1]

Core Viewpoint - The main contract for glass on the Zhengzhou Commodity Exchange has increased by over 3%, currently priced at 1218 yuan per ton [1] Group 1 - The glass futures market is experiencing a significant upward trend, indicating strong demand or potential supply constraints [1]

期货热点追踪 郑商所盘后再发公告上调纯碱交易手续费标准！需求表现仍然疲软，纯碱价格跌势或未结束？点击了 解。 相关链接 ...

大宗商品研究 能源化工研发报告 甲醇日报 2025 年 7 月 29 日 甲醇日报 【市场回顾】 1、期货市场：期货盘面震荡，最终报收 2434（-8/-0.33%）。 2、现货市场：生产地，内蒙南线报价 2050 元/吨，北线报价 2010 元/吨。关中地区 报价 2110 元/吨，榆林地区报价 2040 元/吨，山西地区报价 2150 元/吨，河南地区报价 2190 元/吨。消费地，鲁南地区市场报价 2260 元/吨，鲁北报价 2310 元/吨，河北地区 报价 2220 元/吨。 西南地区，川渝地区市场报价 2140 元/吨，云贵报价 2200 元/吨。港 口，太仓市场报价 2390 元/吨，宁波报价 2420 元/吨，广州报价 2390 元/吨。 【重要资讯】 本周期(20250719-20250725）国际甲醇（除中国）产量为 1023453 吨，较上周减少 41500 吨，装置产能利用率为 70.16%，较上周下降 2.84%。周期内，kimiya 给予降负荷运行， BCCO 高负荷运行，ZPC、Apadana 给予半负荷运行，其他主流 8 成负荷运行。 【逻辑分析】 供应端，当前西北煤炭主产地煤矿 ...