铝类产业日报 2025/6/24 | 项目类别 | 数据指标 最新 环比 数据指标 最新 环比 | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 沪铝主力合约收盘价(日,元/吨) 本月-下月合约价差:沪铝(日,元/吨) | 20,315.00 80.00 | -50.00↓ 氧化铝期货主力合约收盘价(日,元/吨) 0.00 本月-下月合约价差:氧化铝(日,元/吨) | 2,903.00 60.00 | -3.00↓ +2.00↑ | | | 主力合约持仓量:沪铝(日,手) | 250,085.00 | -3512.00↓ 主力合约持仓量:氧化铝(日,手) | 281,916.00 | -4645.00↓ | | | LME铝注销仓单(日,吨) | 19,175.00 | -1875.00↓ 库存:氧化铝:合计(周,万吨) | 90,295.00 | -23553.00↓ | | 期货市场 | LME电解铝三个月报价（日，美元/吨） 沪铝前20名净持仓（日，手） | 2,592.00 -19,928.00 | +30.50↑ LME铝库存（日，吨） -100 ...

Core Viewpoint - The credit rating agency has maintained a stable credit rating outlook for the company, indicating its strong market position and diversified regional layout, while also highlighting potential risks related to raw material price fluctuations and increasing debt levels [3][7]. Company Overview - The company, known as Lichong Group, operates in three major business segments: recycled aluminum alloy, aluminum alloy wheels, and functional intermediate alloys, all of which are leaders in their respective niche markets [3][5]. - The company has a diverse production base across multiple regions in China and has established subsidiaries in countries such as Thailand, the USA, South Korea, Brazil, and Mexico, which helps mitigate operational and marketing costs [5][16]. Financial Performance - For the fiscal year 2024, the company reported a revenue of 272.46 billion yuan, a significant increase from 233.65 billion yuan in 2023, reflecting a growth rate of approximately 16.54% [4][12]. - The net profit for 2024 was recorded at 7.16 billion yuan, up 16.45% from the previous year [4][12]. - The company's total debt increased to 133.78 billion yuan in March 2025, compared to 119.02 billion yuan in 2024, indicating a rapid growth in debt levels [4][12]. Operational Challenges - The company faces increased cost pressures due to fluctuations in raw material prices, particularly for electrolytic aluminum and recycled aluminum, which could impact sales revenue and profitability [5][6]. - The scale of accounts receivable and inventory has significantly increased, reaching a combined total of 119.72 billion yuan by March 2025, which constitutes 51.82% of total assets, raising concerns about working capital management [6][13]. Market Environment - The automotive industry in China is expected to continue growing, with the company benefiting from strong demand in the downstream automotive supply chain [10][11]. - The company has a strong customer base, including major clients like Great Wall Motors and General Motors, with the top five customers accounting for 22.63% of total sales in 2024, indicating a relatively low concentration risk [14][16]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to expand its business further as new production capacities come online, although the utilization rates for some segments remain uncertain [7][17]. - The company is actively involved in the recycling of aluminum and has developed a dual-cycle procurement system for recycled aluminum, enhancing its competitive edge in the market [15][16].

SHMET 网讯： 氧化铝价格在5月出现小幅反弹，因亏损压力之下检修减产的企业增多，且有几内亚矿山采矿许可证被 撤销消息的扰动，然而整体供应宽松的局面使得价格重又回归弱势，氧化铝加权指数于6月中旬回落至 阶段低位2820元/吨附近，还是要高于4月底的绝对低位。 铝土矿供应虽无近忧但有远虑 5月SMM中国铝土矿产量536.64万吨，环比增加5%，同比增长8.96%，6月产量可能会受到矿山环保检查 的影响。进口端，我国5月铝土矿进口1751.45万吨，环比下降15.3%，同比增加29.4%；前5个月累计进 口8517.6万吨，同比增加33.1%，自几内亚进口占比约77.8%。几内亚是全球主要的铝资源供应国之一， 自5月中旬Axis矿区停产以来，目前仍未有复产消息。同时，6月下旬后，几内亚雨季对铝土矿发运的影 响将逐步体现，而短期因4、5月发运量维持高位，短期矿端供应预计保持宽松状态。据SMM，上周国 内港口铝土矿周度到港总量420.09万吨，几内亚主要港口铝土矿周度出港量环比大减，而澳大利亚主要 港口出港量环比小增。截止上周末，Mysteel国内铝土矿港口库存2618万吨，较前一周下降25万吨，一 改前期不断累积 ...

氧化铝周报 2025 年 6 月 23 日 关注霍尔木兹海峡通行情况 氧化铝成本支撑或受巩固 核心观点及策略 投资咨询业务资格 沪证监许可【2015】84 号 李婷 021-68555105 li.t@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号：F0297587 投资咨询号：Z0011509 黄蕾 huang.lei@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号：F0307990 投资咨询号：Z0011692 高慧 gao.h@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号：F03099478 投资咨询号：Z0017785 敬请参阅最后一页免责声明 1 / 7 ⚫ 上周矿端供应保持稳定，不过周末伊朗方面将封 锁霍尔木兹海峡和曼德海峡，如果影响运输，几内 亚进口铝土矿绕行，则运输成本将上行。供应端广 西有氧化铝企业由于矿石原因减产一条生产线， 减产产能50万吨。整体开工产能较前有所下降。消 费端电解铝产能小增，但对后市氧化铝价格看法 谨慎，采购长单执行为主。现货市场货源增量有 限，交易所仓单库存上亦继续减少，周内仓单减少 3.7万吨至4.3万吨，厂库300吨，持平。 ⚫ 整体，短时地缘因素导致的运输成本或将给到矿 价支持，氧化铝下方成本支撑 ...

2025 年 6 月 23 日 继续关注库存动向 铝价保持偏好 核心观点及策略 投资咨询业务资格 沪证监许可【2015】84 号 李婷 021-68555105 li.t@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号：F0297587 投资咨询号：Z0011509 黄蕾 huang.lei@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号：F0307990 投资咨询号：Z0011692 高慧 gao.h@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号：F03099478 投资咨询号：Z0017785 王工建 wang.gj@jyqh.com.cn 从业资格号：F3084165 投资咨询号：Z0016301 赵凯熙 zhao.kx@jygh.com.cn 从业资格号：F031122984 投资咨询号：Z00210404 敬请参阅最后一页免责声明 1 / 7 铝周报 ⚫ 上周美联储6月利率维持不变，会后点阵图显示2025 年或还有两次降息，不过鲍威尔发言偏鹰，市场对快 速降息预期落空。同时伊以冲突不断升级，地缘局势 令市场风险偏好回落。国内5月消费数据保持高增不 过持续性存疑，投资及出口数据有压力，经济仍需政 策呵护。基本面，供应端高铝水低铸锭情况 ...

周度报告—氧化铝 、smingfTable_Title] 氧化铝供应小幅增加， 关注中东局势对商品影响 | [T走ab势le_评R级an：k] | 氧化铝：震荡 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 报告日期： | 2025 年 6 22 | 月 | 日 | [Table_Summary] ★氧化铝供应小幅增加，关注中东局势对商品影响 有 色 金 属 原料：上周国内矿石价格短期暂稳，山西矿 58/5 的含税报价 700 元/吨，河南的 58/5 的含税价格为 668 元/吨, 贵州 60/6 铝土矿 的到厂含税价格维持 596 元/吨。山西地区前期入驻的检查组工 作尚未结束, 矿山开工较前期无明显变化。河南地区矿山同样面 临政府常规化检查。在供给量有所减少的背景下，晋豫两地铝土 矿价格维持坚挺。南方主产区进入传统雨季，后续矿山将面临季 节性考验。进口方面，几内亚高品位铝土矿（45/3）成交价稳定 在 75 美元/干吨。目前矿商对 7 月后资源报价均于 CIF 77 美元/ 吨之上。下游铝企采购需求已呈现阶段性饱和态势。用户采购意 向多集中于 CIF 65-70 美元/吨。几内亚雨 ...

铝系周报 铝锭低位去库； 铝材开工仍降 2025年6月22日 杨磊 从业资格证号：F03128841 投资咨询证号：Z0020255 核心要点及策略 | 逻辑观点 | | --- | | 约周五下午收于20465元/吨,周环比涨0.12%。本周汕 | | 交织，美联储按兵不动、鲍威尔预计未来数月通胀压 | 2 影响因素分析 3 目录 CONTENTS 价格数据 05 基本面数据 09 01 02 4 目录 CONTENTS 01 价格数据 5 6 本周沪铝先涨后跌、重心仍有所上移 数据来源：我的钢铁 同花顺 国联期货研究所 沪铝07-08月差周环比走弱；本周LME铝0-3M升贴水周环比走强 数据来源：我的钢铁 同花顺 国联期货研究所 7 数据来源：我的钢铁 同花顺 国联期货研究所 8 库存低位，铝锭现货升水持稳 目录 CONTENTS 02 基本面数据 9 铝土矿港口库存去库 数据来源：我的钢铁 同花顺 国联期货研究所 10 铝土矿港口库存去库 数据来源：我的钢铁 同花顺 国联期货研究所 11 氧化铝月差呈back结构 数据来源：我的钢铁 同花顺 国联期货研究所 12 13 生产利润略减但仍尚可，国内氧化铝周 ...

本篇报告解决了以下核心问题：1）对于公司历史沿革、治理情况及主营业务的梳理及分析。2）对于公 司电池盒箱体主业市场空间、业务特征及公司主要客户情况的全面梳理分析。3）对于公司后续在新客 户、新业务层面的增长点梳理及展望。 公司深耕电池盒箱体业务，近年业绩稳健增长。公司自成立以来持续深耕电池盒箱体业务，专业化龙头 轮廓渐成。公司股权比例较为集中，控制权清晰，管理层与核心技术人员高度一致，行业经验丰富。公 司近年主营业务聚焦动力电池系统相关产品，得益于专业化优势逐步体现，营收及盈利实现稳健增长。 公司主业技术积淀深厚，深度绑定比亚迪。公司主业为电池盒箱体，全球市场空间从2021年起达百亿元 级别且持续增长，核心工艺持续迭代，成为厂商主要竞争点。公司定位专业化厂商，持续耕耘电池盒箱 体市场，专业化铸就公司业务实力，盈利能力优异，较可比厂商具备一定优势。公司把握历史机遇，大 客户比亚迪实现深度绑定，并卡位中高端优质项目，奠定良好基本盘。 展望后续，公司营收结构有望全面优化，同时拓展新领域打开新增长点。公司依托大客户，配套项目持 续扩容，同时积极进行客户开拓，新项目新客户上量下，营收结构有望全面优化，此外前瞻布局商用车 ...

证券研究报告 2025年06月22日 汽车零部件 新铝时代（301613.SZ）公司深度报告：铝材料平台厂商 渐成，全面打开新增长点 评级：买入(首次覆盖) 李航(证券分析师) S0350521120006 lih11@ghzq.com.cn 最近一年走势 -55% -43% -31% -19% -7% 5% 2024/10/25 2025/01/23 2025/04/23 新铝时代 沪深300 | 市场数据 | 2025/06/20 | | --- | --- | | 当前价格（元） | 50.19 | | 52周价格区间（元） | 47.81-160.00 | | 总市值（百万） | 7,219.39 | | 流通市值（百万） | 1,804.85 | | 总股本（万股） | 14,384.12 | | 流通股本（万股） | 3,596.04 | | 日均成交额（百万） | 100.52 | | 近一月换手（%） | 14.43 | 相对沪深300表现 | 表现 | 1M | 3M | 12M | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 新铝时代 | -6.0% | 16.5% | - | ...

Core Insights - The aluminum processing industry in China is experiencing significant growth, with a projected comprehensive output of 49 million tons in 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 4.4% [4] - The demand for aluminum products is being driven by sectors such as new energy vehicles, photovoltaic components, and lithium-ion batteries, which collectively added 106,000 tons to the aluminum material total in 2024 [5] - The aluminum plate and strip segment is crucial, with stable growth in consumption across various industries including aerospace, construction, and electronics [6] Industry Overview - Aluminum is the third most abundant metal in the Earth's crust, primarily sourced from bauxite and other aluminum silicate ores [3] - The industrial production of aluminum involves converting bauxite into alumina and then electrolyzing it to obtain metallic aluminum [3] - Aluminum and its alloys are widely used in manufacturing industries such as aerospace, automotive, and shipbuilding, with a supersonic aircraft comprising about 70% aluminum [4] Production and Export Data - In 2024, industrial aluminum profile production is expected to exceed building profiles for the first time, with industrial profiles increasing by 23.2% to 11.7 million tons, while building profiles decreased by 19.9% to 9.85 million tons [4] - The total export of aluminum materials reached 6.3 million tons in 2024, marking a historical high with a year-on-year growth of 19.3% [4] - The top export destination for Chinese aluminum materials is Mexico, accounting for 10% of total exports [4] Regional Development - An Yi County has transformed from having no aluminum resources to becoming a hub for aluminum materials, driven by a strong commercial culture and strategic investments [8][10] - The establishment of a high-tech industrial park in An Yi County has attracted thousands of entrepreneurs, leading to a significant increase in production capacity and industry scale [8][10] Future Prospects - The demand for aluminum in the aerospace sector is expected to grow, with approximately 60,000 tons needed for the C919 and C909 aircraft programs [10] - The low-altitude economy is emerging as a new market, with aluminum alloys expected to constitute 30%-50% of structural materials in low-altitude equipment [10] - The shipbuilding industry is also seeing a substantial increase, with new orders rising by 58.8% and global market share reaching 74.1% [10]