Market Overview - On May 8, the A-share market opened lower but rose slightly throughout the day, with the Shanghai Composite Index facing resistance around 3359 points[2] - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3352.00 points, up 0.28%, while the Shenzhen Component Index closed at 10197.66 points, up 0.93%[8] - Total trading volume for both markets was 13,219 billion yuan, slightly lower than the previous trading day[3] Sector Performance - Strong performers included communication equipment, cultural media, batteries, and liquor industries, while precious metals, fertilizers, shipping ports, and jewelry sectors lagged[3] - Over 70% of stocks in the two markets rose, with notable gains in aerospace, communication equipment, and photovoltaic sectors[8] Valuation and Investment Strategy - The average P/E ratios for the Shanghai Composite and ChiNext indices are 13.68 times and 36.02 times, respectively, indicating a suitable environment for medium to long-term investments[3] - The market is expected to maintain a steady upward trend, driven by both policy and performance factors, with a focus on sectors with high earnings certainty and clear policy catalysts[3] Policy and Economic Outlook - Recent signals from the Political Bureau indicate potential interest rate cuts and support for technological innovation, enhancing expectations for liquidity easing[3] - The focus is shifting towards expanding domestic demand, with attention on fiscal policy implementation and consumption stimulus measures this month[3] Risk Factors - Risks include unexpected overseas economic downturns, domestic policy and economic recovery delays, and macroeconomic disturbances[4]

Group 1 - The A500 index (000510) increased by 0.35% as of May 8, 2025, with notable gains from stocks such as Xinyisheng (300502) up 10.38% and AVIC Chengfei (302132) up 9.87% [2] - The A500 ETF fund (512050) rose by 0.54%, marking its fourth consecutive increase, with a trading volume of 1.569 billion yuan and a turnover rate of 9.45% [2] - The A500 ETF fund has shown a significant increase in average daily trading volume over the past year, reaching 3.745 billion yuan, the highest among comparable funds [2] Group 2 - The Central Bank and financial regulatory authorities have indicated a shift towards policies that support liquidity and technological innovation, with a focus on expanding domestic demand [3] - The A500 ETF fund has seen a growth of 26.9 million yuan in size over the past two weeks, ranking first among comparable funds [3] - The A500 ETF fund's share count increased by 15.729 billion shares over the past six months, also ranking second among comparable funds [3] Group 3 - As of April 30, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the A500 index accounted for 20.8% of the index, with Kweichow Moutai (600519) having the highest weight at 4.28% [4][6] - The top ten stocks include major companies such as Ningde Times (300750), China Ping An (601318), and BYD (002594), reflecting a diverse representation across sectors [4][6]

分析师：张刚 登记编码：S0730511010001 zhanggang@ccnew.com 021-50586990 防御行业走强 A 股震荡上行 ——市场分析 相关报告 《市场分析：成长行业领涨 沪指突破 3300 点》 2025-05-06 《市场分析：成长行业领涨 A 股小幅整理》 2025-04-30 《市场分析：汽车互联网行业领涨 A 股震荡 整固》 2025-04-29 联系人： 李智 风险提示：海外超预期衰退，影响国内经济复苏进程；国内政 策及经济复苏进度不及预期；宏观经济超预期扰动；政策超预期 变化；国际关系变化带来经济环境变化；海外宏观流动性超预期 收紧；海外波动加剧。 本报告版权属于中原证券股份有限公司 www.ccnew.com 请阅读最后一页各项声明 第1页 / 共7页 11784 电话： 0371-65585629 证券研究报告-市场分析 发布日期：2025 年 05 月 07 日 投资要点： ◼ A 股市场综述 周三（05 月 07 日）A 股市场高开低走、小幅震荡上行，早盘股指高 开后震荡回落，盘中沪指在 3328 点附近获得支撑，午后股指维持震 荡，尾盘再度回升，盘中航天航空 ...

Group 1 - The core index, the CSI A500, experienced a decline of 0.35% as of April 28, 2025, with mixed performance among constituent stocks [1] - Jin Feng Technology led the gains with an increase of 7.63%, while Mango Super Media was the biggest loser [1] - The CSI A500 ETF (159351) saw a significant increase in scale, growing by 11 billion yuan over the past six months [1] Group 2 - The latest price-to-earnings ratio (PE-TTM) for the CSI A500 index ETF is 14.17, indicating it is at a historical low compared to 82.12% of the past year [1] - As of March 31, 2025, the top ten weighted stocks in the CSI A500 index accounted for 20.89% of the total index, with notable companies including Kweichow Moutai and Ningde Times [1] - A significant economic meeting emphasized the need for more proactive macro policies, including the use of active fiscal policies and moderately loose monetary policies [1] Group 3 - The current investment strategy suggests maintaining a "high-low switch" approach, focusing on defensive assets and technology sectors amid improving US-China relations [2] - Investors without stock accounts can access the CSI A500 ETF through the CSI A500 ETF linked fund (022454) for easy exposure to the top 500 A-share companies [3]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article emphasizes the continuation of supportive policies for the real estate and stock markets, as indicated in the government work report on March 5, which aims to stabilize these sectors [1][2] - The average daily trading volume in the A-share market decreased to 17,009.27 billion yuan, down by 2,906.59 billion yuan from the previous week, indicating a decline in market activity [2] - The release of the new AI model GPT-4.5 by OpenAI has sparked industry interest, although its performance did not meet expectations, reinforcing the narrative of a shifting competitive landscape in AI [2] Group 2 - The U.S. Treasury Secretary's commitment to maintaining low 10-year Treasury yields, alongside ongoing recession expectations, suggests a stable low-interest environment [1] - The potential for a peaceful resolution to the Russia-Ukraine conflict, combined with the European Central Bank's hawkish signals post-rate cut, has led to a rebound in the euro and a weakening of the dollar, alleviating pressure on the renminbi exchange rate [1]