Group 1 - The US dollar index experienced a V-shaped rebound, currently at 99.03, slightly up by 0.05% from the previous trading day, with a trading range of 98.5-99.2 [1] - Federal Reserve officials are signaling a cautious stance on interest rate cuts, with Atlanta Fed President Bostic stating that the potential for rate cuts this year may be limited to 25 basis points, contrasting sharply with market expectations of a 50 basis point cut [3] - Concerns about stagflation in the US economy are growing, and if the upcoming non-farm payroll data shows signs of a deteriorating job market, the dollar's safe-haven appeal may be impacted [3] Group 2 - The upcoming durable goods orders data for April is a key focus, with expectations of a significant decline to -7.9%, down from a previous growth of 9.2%, primarily due to a sharp drop in Boeing orders [4] - If the actual durable goods orders data is significantly weaker than expected, it may heighten concerns about the weakness in the US manufacturing sector, further diminishing the dollar's attractiveness [4] - Conversely, a rebound in the durable goods orders data could alleviate market worries regarding the negative impacts of tariffs, providing temporary support for the dollar [4]

Group 1 - The article discusses the impact of the Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes on global markets and how China manages to remain stable amidst these fluctuations [1][3][19] - It explains the mechanisms of monetary policy, including expansionary and contractionary policies, and their role in managing economic cycles [3][15] - The historical context of the Bretton Woods system and the transition to the current global financial system is outlined, emphasizing the flexibility needed for economic intervention [4][6] Group 2 - The concept of seigniorage is introduced, illustrating how excessive money printing can lead to inflation and wealth transfer from citizens to the government [8][10] - The article highlights the benefits of dollar hegemony for the U.S., allowing it to print money without immediate consequences, while other nations face inflation risks if they attempt the same [10][11] - It notes that the U.S. economy is not immune to the consequences of its monetary policies, facing challenges that are exacerbated by global capital flows [11][13] Group 3 - The Federal Reserve's interest rate hikes are described as a tool for controlling inflation and managing the economy, with significant increases noted since 2021 [15][17] - The article discusses the capital flight from Europe to the U.S. due to geopolitical tensions, particularly the Russia-Ukraine war, and how this affects global investment patterns [17][19] - China's proactive measures during the pandemic, including maintaining production and supply chains, are credited with its ability to weather external economic shocks [23][25] Group 4 - China's fiscal policies, including maintaining a reasonable level of external debt and ensuring sufficient capital reserves, are highlighted as key factors in its economic resilience [25][29] - The article emphasizes China's commitment to independent economic policies and its management of the yuan, contrasting it with other nations that have adopted more liberal currency policies [26][28] - The dual security advantages of military strength and economic independence are presented as reasons for China's stability in the face of external pressures [28][29] Group 5 - The article concludes with a cautionary note about the need for China to remain vigilant against potential challenges from the U.S., as it is increasingly viewed as a competitor [31]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint is that the recent appreciation of the RMB against the USD is a result of the ongoing policy competition between China and the US, particularly in the context of interest rate adjustments and currency stabilization efforts [1][3][4] - The Federal Reserve has raised interest rates 11 times in 2023, reaching a 22-year high of 5.25%-5.5%, which has caused significant fluctuations in global currency markets. However, the RMB has shown remarkable resilience due to targeted interventions by the People's Bank of China (PBOC) [3][4] - China has implemented measures such as lowering foreign exchange reserve requirements, restarting counter-cyclical factors, and issuing offshore central bank bills to stabilize the RMB, while maintaining an independent monetary policy that supports the real economy [3][4] Group 2 - The ongoing trade tensions have led to the RMB exchange rate becoming a focal point of contention, with the US pressuring for RMB appreciation under the guise of promoting "fair trade," aiming to weaken China's export competitiveness [4][5] - In the context of the technology war, the depreciation of the RMB has reduced the cost of chip imports for China, alleviating some of the pressure from sanctions, showcasing a strategic response to external challenges [7] - The emergence of China's digital currency (DCEP) and its cross-border payment system is reshaping the financial landscape, potentially allowing transactions to bypass the USD settlement system, which could challenge US financial dominance [7]

新华财经上海5月8日电（张天源）在5月的利率决策会议上，美联储连续第三次按兵不动，联邦基金利率目标区间维持在4.25%至 4.50%。受此影响，美国国债交易情绪有所恢复，10年期美债收益率跌2.32个基点报4.2694%。 周三（5月7日），美债收益率全线走低，2年期美债收益率跌0.83个基点报3.7744%，3年期美债收益率跌0.84个基点报3.7472%，5年期美 债收益率跌2.97个基点报3.8626%，10年期美债收益率跌2.32个基点报4.2694%，30年期美债收益率跌2.62个基点报4.7718%。 数据来源：新华财经 美国国债市场在利率决议公布前后的交易情绪较上个月有所修复。美国国债和欧元区国债收益率在当日早盘交易中变化不大，由于近期 美国数据稳健，市场此前就预计美联储将在最新的决定中维持利率不变，并且不太可能在未来几个月发出降息信号。在议息会议前夕， 芝商所的美联储观察工具显示，利率市场的交易员预计美联储暂停加息的概率超过99%。 此外，美联储主席鲍威尔在利率会议后的新闻发布会上表示，美联储不必急于调整利率，目前的政策是适度限制的，美国总统特朗普要 求降息的呼吁不会影响美联储的工作。FOMC ...

市场上不乏相关概念股，如四川黄金、银泰黄金、中润资源、中金黄金等，皆是值得留心的良器。愿大家在这波金市潮涌中，找到属于自己的希望与财富， 迎接更美好的明天。 自古金价便如朝露，风云变幻，总是那般难以捉摸。然则，近日国际金价自三月九日以来，仿佛乘风破浪，直抵云霄。于三月三十日之际，伦敦现货黄金一 度跃至每盎司二千零九美元，COMEX黄金也几近触碰每盎司二千零一十五美元，市场上现货与期货合约的金价齐齐登上近一年来的高峰，令人瞩目。 回顾这一月，金价在持续上涨之中，涨幅已经超过了九个百分点，而这一切皆因外部因素的推波助澜。首要原因，非彼海内外银行业的暴雷所不可。三月 初，硅谷银行的轰然坍塌如同多米诺骨牌般接踵而至，随后瑞士信贷的流动性危机更是火上浇油，引发欧美股市的狂跌，避险情绪瞬间朔风骤起，金价便顺 势而涨了五个百分点。 随后，美联储的加息政策似乎随之减缓，带来了金价的第二波行情。在经历加息二十五个基点之后的短短三个交易日内，金价又上涨了四个百分点。尽管加 息本是原本的计划，但美联储所释放出的短期鸽派信号，使美元随之走弱，市场对未来进一步加息结束的预期则如春风化雨，滋润了金价的上涨。 再看A股市场，金价的耀眼光辉 ...

在08年的金融危机发生时，因为日元的表现十分坚挺，所以一度被人们当作避险货币，但近期日元一度发生贬值，日元兑美元汇率已经直逼130，可以说是 让人大跌眼镜。如果是在以前，日元贬值还会吸引大批游客到日本旅游，但疫情的肆虐让日本的观光经济受到了一定的冲击，日本人民也对该国的经济发展 感到忧心忡忡。 美联储加息带给日元的冲击 美联储的加息做法是对日元的最大冲击，因为美元加息后会让资本闻风而动，许多资本会选择抛售日元资产，转而投入美元资产的怀抱，因此日元的汇率一 直在急转直下。日本央行在得知美国加息的做法后，没有选择追随美国，而是想要通过降息的策略来保证日本本国的利率，这也导致资本大量流入美国，日 元便迎来了近二十年的最低汇率。 日元贬值的同时疫情也没好转，这极大地影响了日本人的生活，日本的许多工厂不能开工，进口产品还要支付高昂的物流费，所以很多实体店出现了倒闭情 况。之前的日本极度依赖进口产品，但是发生日元贬值这个事后进口业务有可能锐减。 美联储加息的政策一定程度上也会影响到人民币的贬值情况，不过中国对此有自己到一套应对方法，首先是央行调低了外汇存款储备金，央行根据市场情况 适度调整外汇存款准备金工具，这能起到控制 ...

The provided content does not contain any quantitative models or factors related to the requested financial engineering analysis. The documents primarily discuss the holdings, sector allocations, and net inflows/outflows of the "陆股通" (Northbound Stock Connect) for Q1 2025, along with some general market observations. There are no mentions of quantitative models, factor construction, or backtesting results in the provided text.

东方财富网，中国财经门户，提供7*24小时财经资讯及全球金融市场报价，汇聚全方位的综合财经新闻 和金融市场资讯。 纽约股市三大股指28日上涨，截至当天收盘，道琼斯工业平均指数比前一交易日上涨601.41点，收于 43840.91点，涨幅为1.39%； 标准普尔500种股票指数上涨92.93点，收于5954.5点，涨幅为1.59%； 纳斯 达克综合指数上涨302.86点，收于18847.28点，涨幅为1.63%。 本周，道指累涨0.95%，纳指累跌 3.47%，标普500指数累跌0.98%。 | 道琼斯 | 纳斯达克 | 标普500 | | --- | --- | --- | | 43840.91 | 18847.28 | 5954.50 | | 601.41 1.39% | 302.86 1.63% | 92.93 1.59% | （图片来源：东方财富APP，统计截至2025/2/28，不作投资推荐） 以下文章来源于东方财富网 ，作者十字路口 东方财富网 . 大型科技股普涨，苹果、奈飞、亚马逊、Meta、谷歌、微软均涨超1%。英伟达、特斯拉涨近4%，其中 英伟达市值重返3万亿美元之上，特斯拉终结日线六连跌。 ...