报告导读： 地产政策优化，楼市景气边际改善；耐用品增长乏力，受高基数影响， 8 月 乘用车零售增速继续放缓，开学周服务景气有所回落；降息预期提升，金价大幅上涨。 地产销售边际改善，耐用品增长乏力。 上周（ 09.01-09.07 ）中观景气表现分化，值得关注： 1 ）北上深等多地优化地产政策后，国内新房销售同比增速 延续改善，一线城市地产销售降幅继续收窄，楼市景气边际改善；但楼市的改善对地产开工影响微弱，且基建需求仍偏弱，建筑资源品需求仍在磨底，受益于 环保限产的钢铁价格小幅上涨，水泥价格仍明显下滑。 2 ）乘用车零售销量延续增长，但 24 年同期高基数影响下，增速明显放缓，耐用品景气持续性有待 观察；开学周，服务消费景气继续回落，电影票房环比大幅下滑，客运需求环比下降，但同比仍偏强。 3 ）汽车钢胎、 PTA/ 涤纶、钢厂高炉开工率环比下 降，或反映反内卷推行提高企业限产意愿，但工业品价格端仍未出现明显改善信号；受益于美联储降息预期提升，金价大幅上涨。 下游消费：一线城市地产销售降幅收窄，乘用车零售增速回落。 1 ）地产： 30 大中城市商品房成交面积同比 +4.4% 。其中一线 / 二线 / 三线城市商品 ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Buy" for companies such as Beixin Building Materials and China Jushi, while recommending "Overweight" for Weixing New Materials [9][10]. Core Insights - The construction materials sector experienced a decline of 2.02% from August 25 to August 29, 2025, with cement down 3.21% and glass manufacturing down 2.52%. However, fiberglass manufacturing saw an increase of 4.90% [1][12]. - Recent policy adjustments in Shanghai aim to optimize the real estate market, including reducing housing purchase limits and improving housing credit policies, which may positively impact the construction materials sector [2][3]. - The report highlights a potential recovery in municipal engineering projects due to increased local government bond issuance, which rose by 3.2% month-on-month and 70.7% year-on-year in July 2025 [2][3]. Cement Industry Summary - As of August 29, 2025, the national cement price index was 337.65 CNY/ton, a decrease of 1.12% from the previous week. Cement output was 2.56 million tons, down 4.53% week-on-week [3][17]. - The cement industry is currently facing a demand bottoming out, with production cutbacks being implemented to stabilize prices around the breakeven point [2][3]. Glass Industry Summary - The average price of float glass was 1189.67 CNY/ton, down 1.34% from the previous week, with inventory levels remaining high despite some demand recovery [6][7]. - The report notes that the supply-demand imbalance in the float glass market is expected to ease due to self-regulated production cuts by photovoltaic glass manufacturers [2][6]. Fiberglass Industry Summary - The fiberglass market is showing signs of recovery, with prices stabilizing after a price war. Demand from the wind power sector is expected to increase significantly in 2025 [2][7]. - The report emphasizes structural opportunities in the fiberglass sector, particularly with the anticipated growth in wind power installations [2][7]. Consumer Building Materials Summary - Consumer building materials are benefiting from improved second-hand housing transactions and consumption stimulus policies, with companies like Beixin Building Materials and Weixing New Materials being highlighted for their growth potential [2][6]. - The report indicates a weak recovery in consumer building materials demand, influenced by seasonal factors and price sensitivity [6][7]. Carbon Fiber Industry Summary - The carbon fiber market is experiencing stable prices, with production levels maintaining at 1852 tons and an operating rate of 61.52% [8]. - The report notes that downstream demand is slowly recovering, with growth expected in sectors such as wind energy and hydrogen storage [8].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3][35]. Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from an increase in demand for kitchen appliances, particularly due to government subsidies and a shift towards renovation and replacement needs in the housing market [6][25][26]. - The company has a strong market position in the kitchen appliance sector, with leading market shares in key product categories such as range hoods and gas stoves [6][7][25]. - Financial forecasts indicate a gradual recovery in revenue and profit margins, with projected net profits of 1.61 billion, 1.74 billion, and 1.86 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively [36][35]. Financial Performance Summary - For the first half of 2025, the company reported revenue of 4.61 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 2.6%, with net profit at 710 million yuan, down 6.3% [6][17]. - The revenue breakdown shows that range hoods and gas stoves accounted for 73% of total revenue, with respective revenues of 2.21 billion and 1.16 billion yuan [7][17]. - The company’s gross margin improved to 50.4% in the first half of 2025, up 1.6 percentage points year-on-year [17]. Market Dynamics - The kitchen appliance market is experiencing a recovery driven by government subsidies, with retail sales of range hoods and gas stoves increasing by 11.8% and 10.1% respectively in the first half of 2025 [25][26]. - The report highlights a shift in demand from new housing to renovation and replacement, as the proportion of renovation projects increases [6][25]. - The competitive landscape is intensifying, particularly in online sales channels, leading to price reductions in key product categories [25][26]. Future Outlook - The company is expected to achieve revenue growth of 11.58 billion, 12.11 billion, and 12.70 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with corresponding net profits projected to grow steadily [36][35]. - The report emphasizes the company's strong cash position, with cash and cash equivalents amounting to 8.24 billion yuan, representing 42% of its market capitalization [6][35].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company [3][35]. Core Views - The company is expected to benefit from an increase in demand for kitchen appliances, particularly due to government subsidies and a shift towards renovation and replacement needs in the housing market [6][25][26]. - The company holds a leading position in the kitchen appliance market, with significant market shares in both offline and online retail channels [7][8]. - The financial outlook shows a gradual recovery in revenue and profit margins, with projected earnings per share (EPS) increasing from 1.67 yuan in 2024 to 1.97 yuan in 2027 [36][35]. Financial Performance Summary - **Revenue Forecast**: - 2024A: 11,213 million yuan - 2025E: 11,578 million yuan - 2026E: 12,113 million yuan - 2027E: 12,702 million yuan - Revenue growth rates are projected to be modest, ranging from 0.1% in 2024 to 4.9% in 2027 [36]. - **Net Profit Forecast**: - 2024A: 1,577 million yuan - 2025E: 1,607 million yuan - 2026E: 1,740 million yuan - 2027E: 1,861 million yuan - The net profit growth rate is expected to recover from a decline of -9.0% in 2024 to a growth of 6.9% in 2027 [36]. - **Earnings Per Share (EPS)**: - 2024A: 1.67 yuan - 2025E: 1.70 yuan - 2026E: 1.84 yuan - 2027E: 1.97 yuan - Corresponding price-to-earnings (PE) ratios are projected to decrease from 11.86 in 2024 to 10.05 in 2027 [36]. Market Position and Trends - The company has maintained its leading market share in the kitchen appliance sector, with offline retail market shares of 31.2% for range hoods and 31.4% for gas stoves in the first half of 2025 [6][7]. - The overall kitchen appliance market is showing signs of recovery, driven by government subsidies and a shift in consumer demand towards more affordable products [25][26]. - The company is adapting to market changes by introducing new product lines to meet the rising demand for cost-effective kitchen appliances [6][25].