行 行业月报 业 研 究 证 券 研 究 报 告 行 业 月 报 "人工智能+制造"政策发布，AI 应用迎发展良机 ——计算机行业 1 月投资策略展望 分析师： 连天龙 SAC NO： S1150525070002 2026 年 01 月 08 日 计算机 证券分析师 连天龙 liantl@bhzq.com 022-23861563 重点品种推荐 虹软科技 增持 近半年行业指数走势图 相关研究报告 智谱、MiniMax 冲刺港股，大 模型资本化进程提速——— 计算机行业周报 2025.12.25 小米发布开源大模型，AI 应用 布局有望深化———计算机 行业周报 2025.12.18 H200 获批对华出口，AI 算力 与应用产业链共振向上—— —计算机行业周报 2025.12.11 投资要点： 行业要闻 （1）八部门联合部署"人工智能+制造"专项行动； （2）算力领先企业超聚变启动上市辅导； （3）英伟达宣布 Rubin 芯片平台全面投产。 行业数据 2025 年 11 月计算机工业生产者出厂价格指数（PPI）环比下降 0.2%，同比 下降 0.5%。2025 年 1-11 月，我国软件业业务收入 1397 ...

证券研究报告 | 2026年01月08日 本周重要数据跟踪：元旦档期拉动票房，点点互动持续表现亮眼。1）本周 （12 月 29 日-1 月 4 日）电影票房 10.73 亿元。票房前三名分别为《疯狂动 物城 2》（2.82 亿元，票房占比 26.2%）、《阿凡达 3》（2.68 亿元，票房 占比 24.9%）、《匿杀》（1.95 亿元，票房占比 18.1%）；2）综艺节目方面， 《现在就出发第 3 季》、《现在就出发第 2 季》、《开始推理吧第三季》、 《奔跑吧天路篇》和《奔跑吧第九季》排名居前；3）游戏方面，2025 年 11 月中国手游收入前三名分别为点点互动《Whiteout Survival》、点点互动 《Kingshot》和柠檬微趣《Gossip Harbor：Merge&Story》。 投资建议：把握游戏板块超跌布局机会，关注 AI 应用及影视院线。1）持续 看好游戏、IP 潮玩景气周期；游戏板块近期调整赋予良好机会，结合产品周 期及业绩表现，推荐巨人网络、恺英网络、吉比特等标的；IP 潮玩重点推荐 泡泡玛特；媒体端关注经济底部向上可能（分众传媒等）；2）关注内容政 策转向与 AI 应用机会；影视 ...

| | | | | | | | | | 研究报告 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 宏观战略部 | | | | | 宏观金融日报 | | | 2026 年 | 1 月 7 日 | | | | | | | 宏观金融日报 | | | | | | 撰写人： | 张 | 晨 | 陈 | 畅 | 刘晓艺 | 车美超 | 审核人： | | 寇宁 | | 从业号： | F0284349 | | F3019342 | | F3012593 | F0284346 | 从业号： | | F0262038 | | 交询号： | Z0010567 | | Z0013351 | | Z0012930 | Z0011885 | 交询号： | | Z0002132 | 5．2027 年票委、里士满联储主席巴尔金表示，考虑到美联储的就业和通胀目标面临的风 险，美联储短期利率将需要根据最新数据进行"精细调整"。美联储理事米兰表示，今年有 请参阅最后一页的免责声明 1 研究报告 一德期货交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】 38 号 当日要闻： ...

策 略 研 究 AI 应用与机器人主题有望接力 [Table_Authors] 方奕(分析师) 主题风向标 1 月第 1 期 本报告导读： 热点主题交易热度整体回升，AI 应用与机器人迎来密集催化，商业航天延续高热度。 主题交易环境有望转好，看好：AI 应用/机器人/商业航天/内需消费。 投资要点： 策略研究 /[Table_Date] 2026.01.04 | | 021-38031658 | | --- | --- | | | fangyi2@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880520120005 | | | 苏徽(分析师) | | | 021-38676434 | | | suhui@gtht.com | | 登记编号 | S0880516080006 | [Table_Report] 相关报告 越世界，越中国 2025.12.24 布局跨年攻势，科技与内需主题轮动 2025.12.21 聚焦国家重大战略，布局科技与能源 2025.12.14 12 月金股策略：做多跨年行情 2025.12.01 从再平衡到再配置，科技主题重回主线 2025.11.30 证 券 研 究 报 告 请务必阅读正 ...

Group 1: Market Overview - The overall market shows a positive trend with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3963.68, up by 0.10% [1] - The Shenzhen Component Index increased by 0.54%, closing at 13603.89, while the ChiNext Index rose by 0.14% to 3243.88 [1] - The CSI 300 Index also saw a gain of 0.32%, ending at 4657.24, indicating a generally bullish sentiment in the market [1] Group 2: Economic Insights - The Chinese ETF market has reached a record high of 6.03 trillion yuan, marking an increase of over 60% year-to-date [23][24] - The Ministry of Finance announced a continuation of a more proactive fiscal policy in 2026, aiming to expand fiscal spending [21][22] - The People's Bank of China is focusing on creating a favorable environment for long-term investments in A-shares, aiming to increase the scale and proportion of various long-term funds [27][28] Group 3: Industry Dynamics - The establishment of the Human Robot and Embodied Intelligence Standardization Technical Committee by the Ministry of Industry and Information Technology aims to promote the development of the humanoid robot and embodied intelligence industry [29][30] - The total box office for Chinese films in 2025 reached 51.2 billion yuan, with over 1.22 billion viewers, setting new annual records [31][32] - The approval of 1771 games in 2025 marks the highest number in seven years, indicating a robust gaming industry [33] Group 4: Company Updates - Heng Rui Medicine has licensed its SHR6508 project rights in mainland China to Hansoh Pharmaceutical, receiving an upfront payment of 30 million yuan [39][40] - Chipmaker Chipone Technology reported a significant increase in new orders, totaling 2.494 billion yuan, a 129.94% increase compared to the previous year's fourth quarter [42] - Shengyi Technology announced an adjustment to its share repurchase price ceiling to no more than 144.36 yuan per share [43][44] - Jianlin Home has entered into a strategic partnership with Jieka Robotics to enhance its smart home offerings [45][46] Group 5: Regional Economic Developments - In Changsha, the import and export volume maintained growth, with "new three samples" products seeing an export increase of 86.7% [50][52] - The city reported a total import of 2.5944 trillion yuan in the first eleven months of 2025, reflecting a 2.7% year-on-year growth [51]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the media and internet industry [5][4][35]. Core Insights - The media industry has shown a weekly increase of 0.54%, outperforming both the CSI 300 index (0.35%) and the ChiNext index (-1.31%) during the week of December 15-21, 2025 [11][12]. - Key performers in the industry include Guangxi Guangdian, Sanwei Communication, Perfect World, and 37 Interactive Entertainment, while notable decliners include Bona Film Group, ST Fanli, Ciwen Media, and Zhejiang Wenlian [11][12]. - The release of "Avatar 3" has significantly boosted box office revenues, contributing to a total of 706 million yuan in film box office for the week, with "Avatar 3" alone accounting for 381 million yuan (53.9% of the total) [18][20]. Summary by Sections Industry Performance - The media sector ranked 16th in terms of weekly performance among all sectors, with a 0.54% increase [11][12][13]. - The top three films for the week were "Avatar 3" (381 million yuan), "Zootopia 2" (242 million yuan), and "Deqian Jinzhi" (46 million yuan) [18][20]. Key Developments - ByteDance launched the Doubao model 1.8 and Seedance 1.5 Pro, enhancing capabilities for audio-visual content generation [2][15]. - Tencent introduced the Mix Yuan video model 1.5, a real-time interactive experience platform [2][16]. - OpenAI released the GPT Image 1.5 model, improving image generation and editing capabilities [2][17]. - MiniMax and Zhiyu passed the Hong Kong Stock Exchange hearing, with plans to list in January 2026 [2][17]. Investment Recommendations - The report suggests seizing opportunities in the gaming sector, particularly with companies like Giant Network, Kaiying Network, and Jibite, as the gaming sector is expected to rebound [4][35]. - It also highlights the potential in AI applications and the film industry, recommending platforms like Mango TV and Bilibili, as well as content producers like Light Media and Huace Film [4][35].

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the media industry, indicating a positive outlook for the sector [7]. Core Insights - The media industry (Shenwan) saw a weekly increase of 0.26%, ranking 8th among industries during the period from December 6 to December 12, 2025. Notable performers included Bona Film Group, Guangxi Radio and Television, Beijing Culture, Sanrenxing, and Huace Film & TV [11][18]. - The report highlights strong performance in AI applications and cultural exports, with a focus on sub-sectors such as gaming, intellectual property (IP), short dramas, and publishing [5][37]. Summary by Sections Market Performance - The media industry experienced a weekly increase of 0.26%, while the Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.34%. The gaming sector saw a rise of 1.06%, and the film and television sector increased by 5.70% [11][12]. Key Industry Data AI Applications - In November, Deepseek led domestic AI web traffic with 346 million visits, despite a 2.95% month-over-month decline. Other notable AI products included Nano AI Search and Baidu AI Search, with respective monthly visits of 260 million and 52.63 million [22][23]. Gaming - The iOS gaming sales chart for December 13, 2025, was topped by "Honor of Kings," followed by "Gold Shovel Battle" and "Endless Winter." The report also noted that "Whiteout Survival" and "Kingshot" continued to perform strongly in overseas revenue [25][26]. Film - The total box office for the week of December 6-12 was 1.2 billion yuan, with "Zootopia 2" leading at 853 million yuan, accounting for 71% of the weekly total. Upcoming films include "Avatar: Fire and Ashes," set to release on December 19 [33][34]. Investment Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on themes such as AI applications and cultural exports, with specific attention to gaming, IP, short dramas, and publishing. Key companies to watch include Giant Network, Kaiying Network, Yaoji Technology, and others [5][37].

2026 年消费品投资策略 20251210 摘要 2026 年民生保障预计加强，广东省放松低保认定标准或为政策趋势， 服务消费将成为消费增长新动力，商品零售增速放缓，政策或将激励服 务消费以稳定居民消费。 申万宏源预计 2026 年经济需求企稳回升，PPI 或转正，利好顺周期资 产。五年规划首年 A 股企业盈利有望回升，关注非银金融、科技、制造 业，以及 PPI 回升受益板块如军工、日常消费、电力设备等，关注核聚 变、机器人、军工主题及白酒。 互联网传媒领域，游戏、潮玩、音乐及演唱会估值较低，安全边际高， 盈利预测确定性强则有望反弹。推荐巨人网络（《超自然行动》用户活 跃度和流水提升，海外市场扩展超预期），三七互娱（高股息，SLG 成 功经验，积极布局新产品）。 AI 应用与云计算持续推动互联网公司价值重估，关注 CAPEX 比经营现 金流指标。自研芯片全栈布局将进一步体现价值，百度昆仑芯、阿里平 头哥、腾讯投资的燧原等公司芯片估值有望提升。 Q&A 2026 年消费板块的宏观展望是什么？ 根据申万宏源的分析，2026 年消费板块将继续受到国内政策的支持，特别是 在 15 规划中对居民消费和内需的重视。通过 ...

Group 1: A-Share Market Performance - The A-share market experienced a volatile upward trend with significant sector performance divergence, led by non-ferrous metals, communication, and defense industries, while media, real estate, and beauty care sectors lagged behind [1][10][19] - The weekly trading volume reached a recent low of 1.56 trillion yuan on Thursday, indicating a continuation of low trading activity [1][10] - The current equity risk premium (ERP) for A-shares is 2.74%, reflecting a slight recovery in market risk appetite with a weekly change of -2.85 basis points [1][10] Group 2: Global Equity Markets - Global equity markets mostly rose, with the South Korean KOSPI leading the gains at 4.42%, followed by Vietnam and Taiwan [3][29] - The U.S. stock indices saw slight increases, driven by rising expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts, particularly after a significant drop in private sector employment [3][32] Group 3: Commodity Prices and Trends - Commodity prices saw a comprehensive increase, with Brent crude oil, London gold, LME copper, and CRB commodities rising by 0.87%, 1.24%, 3.65%, and 0.56% respectively [4][36] - LME copper prices reached a new high, reflecting supply shortages and heightened expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts [4][19] Group 4: Policy Events - Fujian province announced 12 measures to promote cross-strait integration, including support for Taiwanese enterprises [5][46] - The successful launch of the Zhuque-3 reusable rocket marked a significant achievement in commercial aerospace [5][46]

传媒行业周报系列 [Table_Title2]2025 年第 48 周 证券研究报告|行业研究周报 [Table_Title] [Table_Title] 奈飞与华纳达成收购协议，DeepSeek-V3.2 正式发 布 [Table_Date] 2025 年 12 月 7 日 月 7 日 ► 市场行情回顾 [Table_Summary] 2025 年第 48 周（实际交易日为 2025.12.1-2025.12.5）上证 指数上涨 0.37%，沪深 300 指数上涨 1.28%，创业板指数上涨 1.86%。恒生指数上涨 0.95%，恒生互联网指数上涨 0.87%，行 业落后恒生指数 0.07pct。SW 传媒指数下跌 3.86%，落后创业 板指数 5.72pct，在申万一级 31 个行业涨跌幅排名中位列第 31 位。子行业中影视、游戏和广电位列前三位，分别为上涨 1.32%、下跌 1.08%和下跌 1.84%。 ► 核心观点&投资建议 奈飞以 827 亿美元收购华纳兄弟核心资产，流媒体行业格局 重塑。本周，据新华社报道，奈飞公司与华纳兄弟探索公司 达成协议，将以总价 827 亿美元收购后者包括华纳兄弟电影 集 ...