证券研究报告 2026 年 1 月 13 日 星期二 市场表现： | 指数名称 | 收盘点位 | 涨跌幅 | 涨跌 | 上证指数分时图 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 上证指数 | 4165.29 | 1.09% | 44.86 | | | 深证成指 | 14366.91 | 1.75% | 246.76 | | | 沪深 300 | 4789.92 | 0.65% | 30.99 | | | 创业板 | 3388.34 | 1.82% | 60.53 | | | 科创 50 | 1511.84 | 2.43% | 35.87 | | | 北证 50 | 1605.77 | 5.35% | 81.51 | | 资料来源：东莞证券研究所，iFinD 数据 板块排名： | 申万行业表现前五 | | | 申万行业表现后五 | 概念板块表现前五 ◼ | | 概念板块表现后五 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 传媒 | 7.80% | 石油石化 | -1.00% | Sora 概念(文 生视频) | 1 ...

1月12日，A股市场量价齐升，市场延续强势表现，当天上证指数收盘报4165.29点，上涨1.09%，盘中 最高至4168.36点。同时，上证指数日K线也收出17连阳。此外，深证成指收涨1.75%，创业板指收涨 1.82%。 成交额进一步放大是当天市场另一大看点。数据显示，当天A股市场全天成交额达3.64万亿元，创出历 史新高，且为连续第二个交易日超过3万亿元。随着A股市场整体成交额进一步增加，当天A股市场成交 额超过100亿元的股票进一步增至27只，数量为近期较高水平。 中原证券（601375）研究观点认为，1月以来，市场交投再度活跃，两融余额同步攀升，增量资金入场 迹象明显，为行情延续提供支撑。国内无风险收益率持续下行，居民存款向权益市场"搬家"的趋势为市 场提供了充裕的流动性环境。人民币资产吸引力增强，共同推升了市场风险偏好。 中原证券认为，在量能有效放大、政策预期积极、产业催化不断的背景下，预计本轮行情有望持续推 进，配置上建议兼顾科技创新与传统行业复苏两条主线。该机构认为，预计上证指数维持小幅震荡上行 的可能性较大，建议投资者密切关注宏观经济数据、海外流动性变化以及政策动向，短线建议关注软件 开发、互 ...

证券研究报告 | 策略点评 2026 年 01 月 12 日 投资要点 分析师：孟之绪 执业编号：S0300524080001 电话： 邮箱：mengzhixu@ykzq.com 投资策略研究 粤开市场日报-20260112 今日关注 指数涨跌情况：今日 A 股主要指数全数上涨。截止收盘，沪指涨 1.09%，收报 4165.29 点；深证成指涨 1.75%，收报 14366.91 点；科创 50 涨 2.43%，收报 1511.84 点；创业板指涨 1.82%，收报 3388.34 点。总体上，全天个股涨多跌 少，Wind 数据显示，全市场 4141 只个股上涨，1179 只个股下跌，144 只个股 收平。沪深两市今日成交额合计 36014 亿元，较上个交易日放量 4787 亿元。 行业涨跌情况：今日申万一级行业涨多跌少，传媒、计算机、国防军工、社 会服务和通信等行业领涨，涨幅分别为 7.80%、7.26%、5.66%、3.21%和 2.74%， 石油石化、煤炭和房地产行业下跌，跌幅分别为 1.00%、0.47%和 0.29%。 板块涨跌情况：今日涨幅居前概念板块为 Kimi、拼多多合作商、小红书平台、 卫星 ...

Group 1 - The current A-share market ecosystem is undergoing systematic restructuring, with a solid foundation for a "long bull, slow bull" market being established. The strategic position of the capital market has significantly improved, and the institutional framework is becoming more refined, providing a solid guarantee for stable market operations [5][14] - The "New Nine Articles" are promoting a transformation of the market from being financing-led to a balanced focus on both financing and investment, leading to continuous improvements in the quality of listed companies and investor protection [5] - The profitability of core assets is showing signs of a turning point, with both technology and traditional sectors presenting structural opportunities, and the matching of valuation and profitability is improving [5] Group 2 - The spring market is expected to gradually unfold, supported by factors that have driven previous market activity, including liquidity factors such as margin trading and insurance capital, which are anticipated to continue into January [6] - The macroeconomic environment, including the previous appreciation of the RMB, is creating a favorable atmosphere for liquidity and risk appetite, with potential catalysts such as policy adjustments and improvements in fundamental data expected in January [6] - After a two-month earnings window, listed companies will once again face fundamental verification as they enter the earnings forecast disclosure window in January [6] Group 3 - A-share market is expected to maintain an upward trend, with structural inflows of incremental funds anticipated in January, supported by the appreciation of the RMB and foreign capital positioning at the year-end [7] - Market sentiment appears slightly subdued, with industry preferences concentrated in sectors such as non-ferrous metals and defense, suggesting that investors should focus on large-cap styles and policy-related industry opportunities [7] Group 4 - The commercial aerospace industry is expected to enter a period of explosive growth, with the current phase being the initial stage of large-scale infrastructure development, accelerating towards commercial applications [13] - The "Space Power" goal is clearly defined, with national strategic support guiding the industry, and the low-orbit satellite internet constellation is set to begin high-density networking by 2025, marking a critical window for large-scale networking from 2025 to 2027 [13] Group 5 - A weak dollar cycle is expected to boost the performance of A/H shares, as it drives domestic exports and improves corporate profits, with global liquidity easing valuations and funds favoring high-growth emerging markets [14] - Structural improvements in sectors such as technology and domestic demand are anticipated to benefit from corporate profit recovery, leading to a rebound in these areas [14]

Key Takeaways Jobs Grew by 50K, Unemployment Fell to 4.4%Revisions to Prior 2 Months Dropped by -76KHourly Wages Moved Back Up to 3.8% Year over YearHousing Starts and Building Permits Dipped Slightly for OctoberFriday, January 9th, 2026Ahead of today’s open, the final component of “Jobs Week” hits the tape: the December Employment Situation report — non-farm payrolls and unemployment — from the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS). A headline number of +50K is lower than the estimated +60-70K and lower th ...

创业板全年业绩预告一览 | 代码 | 简称 | 业绩预告 | 业绩预告 | 预计净利润增幅中值 | 最新收盘价 | 今年以来涨跌 | 行业 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | 日期 | 类型 | （%） | （元） | （%） | | | 300435 | 中泰 | 2026.01.06 | 预盈 | 677.22 | 25.33 | 14.00 | 公用事 | | | 股份 | | | | | | 业 | | 300620 | 光库 科技 | 2025.12.31 | 预增 | 162.00 | 155.26 | 5.58 | 通信 | | 300505 | 川金 | 2026.01.08 | 预增 | 158.44 | 23.69 | 5.81 | 基础化 | | | 诺 | | | | | | 工 | | 301377 | 鼎泰 | 2026.01.05 | 预增 | 91.74 | 146.65 | 5.43 | 机械设 | | | 高科 | | | | | | 备 | | 301345 | 涛涛 车业 | 2026.01 ...

Group 1: Banking Industry Outlook - The banking industry is expected to see M2 growth target around 7.5%, with credit growth at approximately 6.0% and social financing growth at about 8.0% for 2026, aligning with economic growth expectations [6][7] - The total M2 increment for 2026 is estimated to be around 25.4 trillion yuan, with fiscal net injection contributing approximately 12.0 trillion yuan and bank credit contributing about 16.8 trillion yuan [6] - The six major banks are projected to have a total of 57 trillion yuan in maturing time deposits in 2026, with a significant portion expected to flow from large banks to smaller banks [8] Group 2: Credit Allocation and Trends - Corporate lending is expected to contribute approximately 80%-85% of new loans, while retail lending is anticipated to show marginal improvement, contributing about 10%-15% [7] - The phenomenon of deposit migration from large banks to smaller banks is a key factor affecting the asset-liability gap in 2026, with large banks continuing to play a dominant role in credit and government bond allocations [7][8] Group 3: Investment Recommendations - The report suggests focusing on high-quality stocks such as Ningbo Bank and Changshu Bank, while also considering stable high-dividend stocks like China Merchants Bank and Industrial and Commercial Bank of China for investment opportunities in 2026 [8] Group 4: Wealth Management and Financial Products - The wealth management industry is experiencing a slight contraction but has reached a historical high with a total scale of around 31.6 trillion yuan by the end of December 2025, reflecting a 10% year-on-year growth [9][10] - The transition to net value-based products in the banking sector is pushing wealth management companies to innovate, focusing on stabilizing net values and exploring new product designs such as dividend-type products [10][11] Group 5: Social Services Industry Insights - The domestic travel market showed a positive trend during the New Year holiday, with an estimated 142 million domestic trips taken, reflecting a 5.2% increase compared to 2024 [15][16] - Investment recommendations for 2026 emphasize the potential for service consumption growth, particularly in high-end recovery and the new cycle of duty-free shopping, as well as the restaurant sector [15][16] Group 6: AI and 3D Printing Industry Developments - The global consumer-grade 3D printing market is projected to grow from 4.1 billion USD in 2024 to 16.9 billion USD by 2029, with a compound annual growth rate of 33% [17][18] - Domestic companies are leading the consumer-grade 3D printing market, with significant market shares held by firms like Tuo Zhu Technology and Chuangxiang Sanwei [17][18] Group 7: AI Application and Market Growth - The AI market in China is expected to grow from 93.7 billion yuan in 2022 to 160.7 billion yuan in 2024, with a compound annual growth rate of 31% [23] - The leading AI company, Zhiyuan, has seen rapid revenue growth, with a 35.03% year-on-year increase in the first half of 2025, despite facing short-term profit pressures [20][21]

Group 1 - The company N Shaan Travel was listed today with an opening price of 131.15 yuan, representing an increase of 63.04% from its issuance price of 80.44 yuan [2][3] - The company integrates various tourism-related businesses, including tourism performances, cable cars, dining, and project investment and management, leveraging high-quality tourism resources such as Huaqing Palace and Huashan [2] - N Shaan Travel has developed notable tourism performances, including the large-scale historical dance drama "Chang Hen Ge" and the red-themed performance "Tai Shan Feng Huo," which serve as cultural carriers for Chinese history and tradition [2] Group 2 - The total number of shares issued by the company is 19.33 million, with an online issuance of 19.33 million shares and a final online subscription rate of 0.01308077% [3] - The funds raised from the initial public offering amount to 1.555 billion yuan, primarily allocated to projects such as the second phase of Taishan Xiucheng, acquisition of Taihua Cableway equity, and several other cableway projects [3] - The company's issuance price corresponds to a price-to-earnings ratio of 12.37, significantly lower than the industry average of 26.90 [3]

华泰证券：春季行情预期或进一步强化 建议沿两条主线布局 沪指开票后直线拉涨，突破2025年11月14日的阶段高点，刷新2015年7月底以来的新高。截至发稿，沪指涨0.6%，报 4047.37点，深成指涨0.69%，报13923.61点，创业板指涨0.46%，报3309.76点，科创50指数涨1.85%，报1429.42点。沪 深两市合计成交额5675.25亿元，全市场超3500只个股上涨。 脑机接口概念延续强势，岩山科技、南京熊猫、创新医疗、倍益康、美好医疗、三博脑科封涨停，爱朋医疗、熵基科 技、翔宇医疗、伟思医疗等高开超10%。消息面上，复旦大学附属华山医院脑机接口植入技术再获突破。国内首款、国 际第二款内置电池的全植入、全无线、全功能（"三全"）脑机接口产品，成功完成首例临床试验。 半导体设备股反复走强，金海通触及涨停，北方华创、中科飞测、芯源微涨超5%，均创历史新高，富乐德、京仪装 备、华海清科、中微公司跟涨。消息面上，东吴证券研报指出，扩产方面，国产半导体设备迎来历史性发展机遇，根据 2026 年将会开启确定性强的扩产周期，设备全行业订单增速或超过 30%，有望达到 50%以上。 智能驾驶概念表现活跃 ...

Market Overview - The three major indices opened mixed, with the Shanghai Composite Index up 0.06% and the Shenzhen Component Index up 0.01%, while the ChiNext Index opened down 0.45% [1] - The human brain engineering and lithium mining sectors showed significant gains, while commercial aerospace and CPO sectors experienced declines [1] Index Performance - Shanghai Composite Index: 4026.02, up 0.06%, with 1018 gainers and 808 losers [2] - Shenzhen Component Index: 13830.30, up 0.01%, with 1318 gainers and 1066 losers [2] - ChiNext Index: 3279.81, down 0.45%, with 650 gainers and 552 losers [2] External Market - U.S. stock indices closed higher, with the Dow Jones reaching a record high, driven by strong financial stocks [3] - The Dow Jones increased by 594.79 points (1.23%) to 48977.18, the Nasdaq rose by 160.19 points (0.69%) to 23395.82, and the S&P 500 gained 43.58 points (0.64%) to 6902.05 [3] - Most Chinese concept stocks saw gains, with the Nasdaq Golden Dragon China Index up 0.49% [3] Institutional Insights - Huatai Securities anticipates a strengthening spring market, recommending investments in growth sectors such as electric equipment and renewable energy, as well as sectors related to domestic demand improvement [4] - CITIC Securities highlights a "growth first, liquor accumulation" trend in the cross-year market, with a focus on sectors like snacks and dairy that show clear growth potential [5] - Huaxi Securities predicts 2026 will be a significant year for the market, supported by favorable macro policies and improving corporate earnings [6] - Guojin Securities expects 2026 to be the year of recoverable commercial rockets, emphasizing the importance of cost reduction through recoverable technology [7][8] - Tianfeng Securities sees growth potential in cosmetics, gold jewelry, and duty-free sectors amid the recovery of high-end consumption [9]