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“数”里行间感知信心!投资与消费需求释放 为全年经济良好收官奠定基础
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-12-01 07:22
Group 1: Manufacturing Sector - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for November is reported at 49.2%, showing a 0.2 percentage point increase from the previous month, indicating an improvement in manufacturing sentiment [1] - Both the production index and new orders index have rebounded compared to last month, with the production index reaching the critical point, suggesting improvements in both production and demand [1] - High-tech manufacturing PMI has remained above the critical point for 10 consecutive months, indicating continued growth in related industries [1] Group 2: Small and Medium Enterprises - The PMI for small and medium-sized enterprises has shown varying degrees of recovery, with the small enterprise PMI reaching a six-month high, reflecting a notable improvement in their business conditions [1] Group 3: Market Expectations - The production and business activity expectation index has increased from the previous month, indicating enhanced confidence among manufacturing enterprises regarding recent market developments [3] - Industries such as non-ferrous metal smelting and processing, as well as railway, shipbuilding, and aerospace equipment, have business activity expectation indices above 57%, reflecting optimism in these sectors [3] Group 4: Non-Manufacturing Sector - The non-manufacturing business activity index for November is reported at 49.5%, with a slowdown in overall business activity due to seasonal declines in consumer-related services [5] - Financial activities have shown robust performance, and new momentum industries are operating steadily, with stable optimistic expectations among enterprises [4][9] - The non-manufacturing business activity expectation index is at 56.2%, marking a 0.1 percentage point increase from the previous month and remaining above 56% for two consecutive months [8] Group 5: Economic Outlook - The data indicates that enterprises maintain stable optimistic expectations for future non-manufacturing development, supported by ongoing policy measures and a year-end push in supply and demand, which is expected to release investment and consumption-related demand [9]
11月份我国制造业PMI为49.2% 景气水平有所改善
Yang Guang Wang· 2025-12-01 01:09
Group 1 - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) in China for November is reported at 49.2%, showing a 0.2 percentage point increase from the previous month, indicating an improvement in economic conditions [1] - The production index and new orders index for the manufacturing sector are at 50% and 49.2% respectively, with increases of 0.3 and 0.4 percentage points from last month, suggesting improvements in both production and demand [1] - The PMI for small enterprises is at 49.1%, up by 2 percentage points, marking a six-month high and a significant recovery in economic conditions [1] Group 2 - The production indices for equipment manufacturing, high-tech manufacturing, and consumer goods manufacturing remain in the expansion zone, while the basic raw materials sector shows an upward trend, indicating stable recovery in manufacturing activities [2] - The production and business activity expectation index is at 53.1%, reflecting a 0.3 percentage point increase from the previous month, suggesting enhanced confidence among manufacturing enterprises regarding market development [2] - Industries such as non-ferrous metal smelting and processing, as well as railway, shipbuilding, and aerospace equipment, have production expectation indices above 57%, indicating a high level of optimism among related enterprises [2]
11月份我国制造业PMI升至49.2% 市场信心有所改善
Zheng Quan Ri Bao· 2025-11-30 16:10
Group 1: Manufacturing PMI Insights - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for November is reported at 49.2%, a slight increase of 0.2 percentage points from October, indicating improved market confidence [1] - The production index and new orders index are at 50.0% and 49.2%, respectively, both showing improvements of 0.3 and 0.4 percentage points from October, with the production index reaching the critical point [1] - The new export orders index rose to 47.6%, an increase of 1.7 percentage points from October, reflecting a stabilization in manufacturing exports due to improved external trade conditions [1][2] Group 2: Enterprise Size and Industry Performance - Large enterprises' PMI decreased to 49.3%, down 0.6 percentage points from October, indicating a decline in economic sentiment, while medium-sized enterprises' PMI increased to 48.9%, up 0.2 percentage points [2] - Small enterprises' PMI rose significantly to 49.1%, an increase of 2.0 percentage points, marking the highest level in six months [2] - High-tech manufacturing PMI remains above the critical point at 50.1%, while equipment manufacturing and consumer goods industries saw declines in their PMIs to 49.8% and 49.4%, respectively [2] Group 3: Future Expectations and Economic Outlook - The production and business activity expectation index is at 53.1%, up 0.3 percentage points from October, indicating increased confidence among manufacturing enterprises regarding market developments [2] - December is anticipated to be a crucial month for policy implementation and capital investment, with expectations of stable recovery in manufacturing market demand driven by the "14th Five-Year Plan" and improved foreign trade conditions [3] - Non-manufacturing PMI for November is at 49.5%, a decrease of 0.6 percentage points from October, reflecting a slowdown in service-related activities, although positive factors such as financial activities and construction recovery are noted [4]
11月中国制造业PMI回升至49.2%
Zhong Guo Xin Wen Wang· 2025-11-30 16:03
分企业类型看,大型企业PMI为49.3%,比上月下降0.6个百分点;中型企业PMI为48.9%,比上月上升 0.2个百分点,景气度有所改善;小型企业PMI为49.1%,比上月上升2.0个百分点,为近6个月高点,景 气水平显著回升。 中新社北京11月30日电 (记者王恩博)中国国家统计局11月30日公布,11月份,中国制造业采购经理指数 (PMI)为49.2%,比上月上升0.2个百分点,景气水平有所改善。 国家统计局服务业调查中心首席统计师霍丽慧表示,11月份制造业PMI中,生产指数和新订单指数分别 为50.0%和49.2%,比上月上升0.3个和0.4个百分点,其中生产指数升至临界点,制造业产需两端均有改 善。从行业看,农副食品加工、有色金属冶炼及压延加工等行业生产指数和新订单指数均位于扩张区 间,产需两端较为活跃。 11月份,高技术制造业PMI为50.1%,连续10个月位于临界点以上,相关行业继续保持增长。装备制造 业和消费品行业PMI分别为49.8%和49.4%,比上月下降0.4个和0.7个百分点。高耗能行业PMI为48.4%, 比上月上升1.1个百分点,景气水平低位回升。 此外,反映制造业企业信心的生产经 ...
重要经济指标发布!
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-30 08:16
Core Insights - The manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for November is reported at 49.2%, indicating a slight improvement from the previous month, while the non-manufacturing business activity index decreased to 49.5% [1][3][7] Manufacturing Sector - The manufacturing PMI increased by 0.2 percentage points from the previous month, reflecting improved market confidence [1][3] - Key indices such as production, new orders, and procurement volume have shown increases, with production index reaching the critical point of 50.0% [3][4] - The manufacturing sector is expected to see a stabilization and potential recovery in demand, driven by year-end festivities and winter consumption [5][10] Non-Manufacturing Sector - The non-manufacturing business activity index fell by 0.6 percentage points to 49.5%, indicating a slowdown in economic activity [1][7] - The decline is attributed to high base effects from the previous month’s holiday season, affecting sectors like retail, accommodation, and transportation [7][9] - Despite the overall slowdown, financial services and information services sectors showed robust growth, contributing positively to the economic environment [8][9] Investment Outlook - The construction sector's business activity index rose to 49.6%, marking the second increase in the second half of the year, indicating improved confidence among construction firms [11] - Investment is anticipated to play a crucial role in stabilizing economic growth, supported by accelerated project implementation and policy measures [10][11] - The overall economic environment is expected to benefit from increased investment and consumption as year-end demand is released [11]
49.2%、上升0.2%!11月份中国制造业景气水平有所改善
Yang Shi Wang· 2025-11-30 07:24
从市场预期看,生产经营活动预期指数比上月上升,制造业企业对近期市场发展信心有所增强。其中,有色金属冶炼及压延加 工、铁路船舶航空航天设备等行业生产经营活动预期指数均位于57%以上较高景气区间,相关企业对行业发展更为乐观。 从产需两端看,生产指数和新订单指数均较上月有所回升,其中生产指数升至临界点,制造业产需两端均有改善。从重点行业 看,高技术制造业PMI连续10个月位于临界点以上,相关行业继续保持增长。 国家统计局服务业调查中心企业景气处处长 霍丽慧:从各规模企业来看,中小型企业PMI是不同程度回升,其中小型企业PMI是 升至了近6个月的高点,小型企业景气水平的改善还是比较明显的。 央视网消息:国家统计局、中国物流与采购联合会11月30日联合发布的数据显示,11月份,中国制造业采购经理指数(PMI)为 49.2%,比上月上升0.2个百分点;制造业景气水平有所改善。 ...
景气水平有所改善!国家统计局最新发布
券商中国· 2025-11-30 04:24
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent trends in China's Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) for November, indicating a mixed economic outlook with slight improvements in manufacturing but a slowdown in non-manufacturing sectors [2][6]. Manufacturing Sector - The manufacturing PMI for November is reported at 49.2%, an increase of 0.2 percentage points from the previous month, suggesting an improvement in market confidence [2][3]. - Key indices such as production, new orders, and procurement volume have shown increases, with production index at 50.0% and new orders at 49.2%, indicating recovery in both production and demand [3][4]. - Analysts expect that December will see a stabilization and potential recovery in manufacturing demand, driven by year-end consumption and festive activities [5]. Non-Manufacturing Sector - The non-manufacturing business activity index decreased to 49.5%, down 0.6 percentage points from the previous month, reflecting a slowdown in service-related activities [6][7]. - The decline is attributed to the high base effect from the previous month’s holiday season, impacting sectors like retail, hospitality, and transportation [7]. - However, financial services and information services have shown resilience, with indices above 55%, indicating robust growth in these areas [7]. Investment Outlook - Despite the slowdown in some service sectors, the construction business activity index rose to 49.6%, marking the second increase in the second half of the year [8]. - The business activity expectation index for construction is at 57.9%, indicating renewed confidence among construction firms [8]. - Analysts predict that with the acceleration of key projects and supportive policies, investment will continue to play a crucial role in stabilizing economic growth towards the end of the year [8].
国家统计局:11月份制造业采购经理指数小幅回升 非制造业商务活动指数有所回落
Guo Jia Tong Ji Ju· 2025-11-30 01:58
2025年11月30日国家统计局服务业调查中心和中国物流与采购联合会发布了中国采购经理指数。对此, 国家统计局服务业调查中心首席统计师霍丽慧进行了解读。 11月份,制造业采购经理指数为49.2%,比上月上升0.2个百分点;非制造业商务活动指数为49.5%,比 上月下降0.6个百分点;综合PMI产出指数为49.7%,比上月下降0.3个百分点,我国经济景气水平总体平 稳。 一、制造业采购经理指数小幅回升 11月份,制造业PMI升至49.2%,景气水平有所改善。 11月份制造业采购经理指数小幅回升 非制造业商务活动指数有所回落 ——国家统计局服务业调查中心首席统计师霍丽慧解读2025年11月中国采购经理指数 (四)市场预期稳中有升。生产经营活动预期指数为53.1%,比上月上升0.3个百分点,制造业企业对近 期市场发展信心有所增强。从行业看,有色金属冶炼及压延加工、铁路船舶航空航天设备等行业生产经 营活动预期指数均位于57.0%以上较高景气区间,相关企业对行业发展更为乐观。 二、非制造业商务活动指数有所回落 11月份,非制造业商务活动指数为49.5%,比上月下降0.6个百分点,非制造业景气水平有所下降。 (一)服务业 ...
受季节性影响? 10月制造业PMI回落至49.0%
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-03 13:25
Group 1 - The manufacturing PMI for October is reported at 49.0%, a decrease of 0.8 percentage points from the previous month, breaking the upward trend since August [1] - The production index fell by 2.2 percentage points to 49.7%, marking the first contraction since April, largely due to seasonal factors and the impact of the Mid-Autumn Festival [2] - The new orders index decreased by 0.9 percentage points to 48.8%, indicating weakened market demand, influenced by the diminishing effects of recent policies and ongoing adjustments in the real estate market [2][3] Group 2 - Despite the decline in the overall PMI, the production and business activity expectation index remains optimistic at 52.8%, indicating a positive outlook among most manufacturing enterprises [4] - The implementation of 500 billion yuan in new policy financial tools is expected to accelerate infrastructure investment, providing support for macroeconomic stability [4] - Industries such as non-ferrous metal smelting and processing, as well as railway, shipbuilding, and aerospace equipment, have seen their expectation indices rise above 60.0%, indicating robust activity [4] Group 3 - The non-ferrous metal industry is experiencing increased demand due to the ongoing economic transformation and the rise of digital and green initiatives, particularly in the renewable energy sector [5] - The railway, shipbuilding, and aerospace sectors are benefiting from significant upgrades during the 14th Five-Year Plan, with China's shipbuilding industry maintaining a global order share of 64.2%, an increase of 15.1 percentage points from the previous plan [6]
10月PMI降至49.0%:制造业景气度放缓,新动能与服务业支撑经济韧性
Hua Xia Shi Bao· 2025-11-01 02:32
Core Viewpoint - The manufacturing sector in China experienced a decline in October, with the manufacturing PMI dropping to 49.0%, indicating a contraction in production and market demand, while the non-manufacturing sector showed slight improvement with a PMI of 50.1% [2][3][4] Manufacturing Sector Analysis - The manufacturing production index fell to 49.7%, a significant drop of 2.2 percentage points, marking the first contraction since April [3] - The new orders index decreased to 48.8%, reflecting a decline in market demand [3] - Seasonal factors, including the timing of the Mid-Autumn Festival, contributed to the decline in manufacturing PMI, with historical data showing a pattern of decreases in October [3][4] - Despite the overall decline, certain industries such as agricultural processing, automotive, and aerospace maintained production and new orders indices above 52.0%, indicating robust activity [4][5] External Demand and Trade Impact - The new export orders index fell by 1.9 percentage points to 45.9%, highlighting the impact of high tariffs from the U.S. on global trade and Chinese exports [4] Structural Highlights in Manufacturing - The equipment manufacturing and high-tech sectors showed resilience, with their respective PMIs at 50.5% and 50.2%, indicating continued expansion [5] - Large enterprises reported stable performance, with production and new orders indices remaining in the expansion zone for six consecutive months [5] Non-Manufacturing Sector Performance - The non-manufacturing business activity index rose slightly to 50.1%, indicating a return to expansion, with significant growth in sectors related to consumer spending and infrastructure [6][7] - The service sector, particularly in transportation and hospitality, saw high activity levels, driven by holiday consumption and promotional events [6][7] - The construction sector experienced a temporary decline, but indicators suggest a potential acceleration in infrastructure investment due to recent policy measures [7] Policy Impact and Future Outlook - Recent fiscal policies, including the introduction of new financial tools and local government debt issuance, are expected to support infrastructure investment and stabilize economic activity [7][8] - The overall economic activity is anticipated to remain resilient, with macroeconomic policies expected to take effect and further consolidate the foundation for stable economic operation [8]