| 图1、2016年以来股价与美元兑人民币汇率负相关性居前的细分行业 | | --- | 智通财经APP获悉，兴业证券发布研究报告称，综合各行业2016年以来股价与美元兑人民币汇率的全时段相关性和滚动三个月相关性中位数，股价与美元 兑人民币汇率负相关性靠前(即人民币升值驱动股价上行)的细分行业，核心逻辑可归纳为三类：原材料进口依赖度较高、人民币升值驱动进口成本下降： 包括焦炭、钢铁、部分化工品(塑料、化学原料、农化制品、橡胶)、能源金属、造纸、航空机场、农产品加工等。 美元负债成本较高、人民币升值驱动美元负债成本下降：典型如通过海外融资降低融资成本、拓宽融资渠道的建筑地产链(房地产开发、房地产服务、专 业工程)、出于跨境业务货币匹配需求持有较高美元负债的物流、光学光电子、贸易、多元金融。人民币购买力提升带动内需/跨境消费需求：主要集中在 服务消费和高端消费领域，包括跨境电商、酒店餐饮、饰品等。 | 人民币升值受益逻辑 | 一级行业 | 二级行业 | | 股价与美元兑人民币汇率相关性 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | 2016年以来-整体 | 2 ...

Core Viewpoint - The overall market risk preference is showing a mild recovery, with the risk scoring system indicating a slight improvement in the stock market, while the bond market remains cautious due to weak economic data and credit risk concerns in the real estate sector [2][5]. Market Risk Assessment - The risk score for the CSI 300 index is 54.89, up from 52.77 last month, indicating a moderate recovery in market risk preference [2]. - The valuation of the CSI 300 has slightly increased to 61.54 from 60.68, remaining in a mid-high range over the past six months, with significant valuation differentiation across sectors [2]. - The market expectation score has decreased to 50.00 from 52.00, reflecting resilient external demand but a notable slowdown in internal demand [2]. Market Sentiment - Market sentiment has improved to 50.69 from 45.24, moving from a "depressed" to a "neutral" range, although sentiment indicators show significant differentiation [3]. - Margin financing scores have surged from historical lows to highs, indicating a recovery in sentiment, while public fund issuance remains stable at high levels [3]. Economic Indicators - Consumer Price Index (CPI) rose by 0.7%, the highest increase since March 2024, while core CPI increased by 1.2% [9]. - Industrial production value increased by 4.8%, with significant growth in equipment manufacturing and high-tech industries [9]. - Fixed asset investment decreased by 2.6% year-on-year, but excluding real estate development, it shows a growth of 0.8% [9]. Liquidity and Monetary Policy - The social financing scale increased by 8.5% year-on-year, with broad money (M2) growing by 8.0%, indicating a moderately loose monetary policy [11]. - The central bank has maintained a stable monetary policy, with the ten-year government bond yield around 1.85% and the thirty-year bond around 2.25%, reflecting a bear steepening trend in the bond market [11][12]. Investment Focus - In a structured market, sectors with high valuation and strong earnings certainty are emphasized, while those with high valuations but weak fundamentals are viewed with caution [3]. - The focus is on quality targets within a manageable risk range, prioritizing earnings realization and cash flow stability [3].

Core Viewpoint - The Hunan Provincial Financial Office has announced the list of 891 companies included in the 2025 reserve for potential public listings, indicating a growing interest in capital markets and innovation in the region [1][4]. Group 1: Company Distribution - The distribution of listed reserve companies across cities shows that Changsha leads with 256 companies, followed by Zhuzhou with 86 and Chenzhou with 72 [2]. - Other cities with significant numbers include Hengyang (66), Shaoyang (62), Loudi (63), and Yiyang (48), all having over 40 companies [2]. Group 2: Industry Distribution - The reserve companies span various industries, with a notable concentration in strategic emerging sectors such as new generation information technology, high-end equipment, new materials, and biomedicine [3]. - Manufacturing has the highest representation with 180 companies, accounting for approximately 20.20% of the total, followed by new materials with 122 companies, making up about 13.69% [3]. Group 3: Innovation and Market Proximity - The list includes a high concentration of technology and innovation-focused companies, with 257 firms (nearly 30%) being potential candidates for the Sci-Tech Innovation Board [4]. - Many of the listed companies are increasingly approaching capital markets, as evidenced by the successful review of Ying's Holdings Group Co., Ltd. by the Beijing Stock Exchange on the same day the list was published [4].

Domestic Market Overview - The domestic market experienced a steady rise, with the Shanghai Composite Index closing at 3940.95 points, up 0.53%, and the Shenzhen Component Index closing at 13486.42 points, up 0.88% [1][9] - Among the 30 sectors tracked, 26 saw gains, with notable increases in construction materials, defense, and electronics, while agriculture, coal, and food and beverage sectors faced declines [1][9] - The total trading volume for the A-share market was 189.72 billion yuan, showing a slight decrease from the previous day [1][9] Overseas Market Overview - The U.S. stock market recorded five consecutive days of gains, with the S&P 500 index reaching a new historical high, closing up 0.32% [2] - The Dow Jones increased by 0.6%, while the Nasdaq rose by 0.22% [2] Key Drivers - The People's Bank of China held a quarterly monetary policy meeting, emphasizing the need for integrated effects of incremental and stock policies to maintain low financing costs and stabilize the capital market [10] - On the same day, 4128 stocks in the A-share market rose, with 306 stocks increasing by over 5% [10] Industry Developments - The Chinese government released a document to support the construction of the Western Land-Sea New Corridor, proposing 21 key measures to enhance financial cooperation and support high-quality development [11] - The Ministry of Commerce continues to encourage foreign investment in advanced manufacturing, with a focus on sectors such as nucleic acid drug development and smart energy management systems [11] - A new fund for the commercial aerospace industry was launched, with an initial scale of 1-2 billion yuan, targeting investments in low-orbit satellite constellations and reusable launch vehicles [14]

Market Performance - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 3940.95, up by 0.53% with an increase of 20.97 points [2] - The Shenzhen Component Index closed at 13486.42, up by 0.88% with an increase of 117.43 points [2] - The CSI 300 Index closed at 4634.06, up by 0.29% with an increase of 13.32 points [2] - The ChiNext Index closed at 3229.58, up by 0.77% with an increase of 24.57 points [2] - The STAR 50 Index closed at 1352.13, up by 0.90% with an increase of 12.11 points [2] - The Beijing Stock Exchange 50 Index closed at 1445.55, up by 0.39% with an increase of 5.61 points [2] Sector Rankings - The top five sectors by growth include Defense and Military Industry (2.88%), Electronics (2.12%), Building Materials (1.72%), Light Industry Manufacturing (1.69%), and Machinery Equipment (1.49%) [3] - The sectors with the largest declines include Agriculture, Forestry, Animal Husbandry, and Fishery (-0.85%), Coal (-0.70%), Food and Beverage (-0.36%), Banking (-0.30%), and Media (0.01%) [3] Market Outlook - The market showed a collective rise with the three major indices increasing, indicating a positive trend with the Shanghai Composite Index achieving six consecutive days of gains [4] - The trading volume in the Shanghai and Shenzhen markets was 1.88 trillion, a decrease of 196 billion from the previous trading day [5] - The report highlights a structural transformation at the bottom of the economic cycle, with manufacturing showing resilience and new industries emerging as bright spots [5] - It is suggested to focus on sectors such as dividends, TMT (Technology, Media, and Telecommunications), and consumer goods for potential investment opportunities [5]

Core Insights - The article discusses the implementation of the "Hundred Million Project" by the Guangdong Provincial Committee, focusing on the collaboration between private enterprises and rural areas to promote economic development and rural revitalization [1][2] Group 1: Initiatives and Actions - The Qingxin District Federation of Industry and Commerce has developed an action plan to support the "Hundred Counties, Thousand Towns, and Ten Thousand Villages" high-quality development initiative, facilitating partnerships between 159 business associations and enterprises with 178 villages and communities [1] - The Longjing Town Chamber of Commerce has actively engaged in local resource research and communication with government departments, leading to an investment of nearly 600 million yuan by Qingyuan Lucky Dragon Clothing Co., Ltd. in the establishment of a tea garden and agricultural product processing facility [1] Group 2: Economic Impact - The establishment of the textile and footwear production project by Qingyuan Lucky Dragon Clothing Co., Ltd. is expected to stimulate local industry development, create numerous job opportunities, and enhance rural employment and income [2] - The village-enterprise partnership model allows businesses to leverage rural resource advantages to reduce production costs and expand market share, while rural areas benefit from capital, technology, and management expertise, leading to industrial upgrades and economic growth [2] Group 3: Mutual Benefits - The collaboration between enterprises and rural areas is framed as a win-win situation, where businesses gain from reduced costs and market expansion, while rural communities receive investment and expertise, resulting in job creation and improved living conditions [2] - The Qingxin District Federation of Industry and Commerce's efforts in facilitating these partnerships are seen as a bridge for mutual development, aiming for a shared vision of rural revitalization [2]

Core Insights - The report indicates a notable recovery in movie ticket prices, alongside strong performance in metals and memory storage prices, suggesting an overall improvement in industry sentiment, particularly in resource products, midstream manufacturing, and information technology sectors [1][5]. Resource Products - The average transaction volume of construction steel has increased, with both steel billet and rebar prices rising. Coal prices have shown mixed trends, with some regions experiencing price increases while others see inventory fluctuations. The national cement price index has also risen [2][24]. - Industrial metal prices have generally increased, with copper, nickel, aluminum, tin, cobalt, and lead prices rising, while zinc prices have decreased. Most inventories have increased, particularly for zinc and tin [2][21]. Information Technology - The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index and Taiwan Semiconductor Industry Index have both risen, indicating a positive trend in the semiconductor sector. The prices of DDR4 and DDR5 DRAM memory have increased, reflecting strong demand in the market [5][25]. - The telecommunications sector has seen a three-month rolling year-on-year increase in main business revenue, suggesting robust growth in this area [5][24]. Midstream Manufacturing - Prices in the new energy supply chain have generally increased, with the photovoltaic price index also showing a week-on-week rise. The production of metal forming machine tools has seen a significant year-on-year increase, while the production of packaging equipment has declined [5][22]. - Port cargo throughput and container throughput have shown a narrowing year-on-year increase, indicating a potential slowdown in logistics activity [5][22]. Consumer Demand - Prices for fresh milk have risen, while the comprehensive price of sugar has decreased. Pork prices have increased, but the wholesale price of piglets has declined. The average price of live pigs has also decreased, indicating mixed trends in the livestock sector [5][18]. - The ten-day average box office revenue has increased, and movie ticket prices have risen, reflecting a recovery in consumer spending in the entertainment sector [5][20]. Financial and Real Estate - The monetary market has seen a net absorption of liquidity, with a decline in A-share turnover rate and daily transaction volume. The transaction area of commercial housing has increased, while the listing price index for second-hand houses has decreased [6][29]. Public Utilities - The ex-factory price of natural gas in China has decreased, while UK natural gas futures prices have risen. The average daily power generation of key power plants has shown a widening year-on-year decline [6][32].

2023年公司控股子公司色连煤矿将"色连一号矿井"的生产、技术、安全生产管理整体委托给汇永集团运 营管理。色连煤矿与汇永集团签署矿井整体安全生产委托管理合同，协议即将到期。现色连煤矿拟继续 将色连一号矿井委托给汇永集团运营并续签相关合同。 12月24日，市场主要指数震荡收涨，国防军工、电子行业涨幅居前，均涨超2%；农林牧渔、煤炭等板 块逆市下跌，其中，煤炭指数跌0.7%。板块内，云维股份、中国神华、晋控煤业等跌幅居前。 业绩方面，晋控煤业前三季度营业收入及净利润同比均出现下降。公司表示，受煤炭市场阶段性影响， 公司收入减少，前三季度实现营业收入为93.25亿元，同比下降16.99%；归母净利润为12.77亿元，同比 下降40.65%。 进一步统计，近5日，煤炭指数上涨0.85%，板块内，江钨装备近5日涨超13%，涨幅居首；晋控煤业5日 跌幅为3.32%，是表现最差的煤炭股，最新收盘价为13.4元，收盘价创9月17日以来新低。 统计显示，12月12日，晋控煤业发生一笔大宗交易，成交量为56.02万股，成交价为14.3元，成交金额 801.09万元。 晋控煤业12月9日公告称，公司控股子公司内蒙古同煤鄂尔多斯矿业 ...

12月24日，A股市场整体上涨。 截至收盘，上证指数收报3940.95点，上涨0.53%，深证成指收报13486.42点，上涨0.88%，创业板指收 报3229.58点，上涨0.77%，北证50指数上涨0.39%。A股市场合计成交18973.81亿元，较上一交易日减少 241.46亿元。 1.A股市场全天主力资金净流入3.81亿元 | | 各板块最近五个交易日主力资金净流入数据(亿元) | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 日期 | 沪深300 | 创业板 | 科创板 | | 2025-12-24 | -32.72 | 5.12 | -14. 48 | | 2025-12-23 | -76.96 | -89.34 | -15. 25 | | 2025-12-22 | 28. 91 | 20. 31 | -12. 07 | | 2025-12-19 | 9.88 | -38. 81 | 9.25 | | 2025-12-18 | -152.56 | -101. 40 | -7.88 | | | | 尾盘资金净流入数据(亿元) | | | 2025-12-24 | 4. 00 | 3 ...

12月24日，A股市场整体上涨。 截 至 收 盘 ， 上 证 指 数 收 报 3940.95 点 ， 上 涨 0.53% ， 深 证 成 指 收 报 13486.42 点 ， 上 涨 0.88%，创业板指收报3229.58点，上涨0.77%，北证50指数上涨0.39%。A股市场合计成交 18973.81亿元，较上一交易日减少241.46亿元。 | | | 今日资金净流出前五大行业 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 行业 | 涨跌幅 | 净流入资金 (亿元) | 资金流出较多个股 | | 商贸零售 | 0. 05% | -17.63 | 东百集团 | | 银行 | -0. 14% | -17. 27 | 江苏银行 | | 有色金属 | 1. 15% | -13.86 | 中钨高新 | | 食品饮料 | -0. 34% | -13.67 | 山西汾酒 | | 农林牧渔 | 0. 08% | -9.06 | 牧原股份 | 4.德明利主力资金净流入9.55亿元居首 1. A股市场全天主力资金净流入3.81亿元 今日A股市场主力资金开盘净流出16.46亿元，尾盘净流入1.29亿元，全天净流 ...