Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for several coal companies, including China Shenhua, Shaanxi Coal and Chemical Industry, and Xinji Energy, among others [9]. Core Insights - The coal market is experiencing a potential turning point driven by AI reshaping demand in the U.S. and supply constraints from Indonesia [2][3]. - The report highlights the importance of monitoring "black swan" events that could significantly impact coal prices, particularly changes in domestic policies and increased demand from the U.S. [3]. - The report indicates that the coal market lacks imagination under current fundamentals but could see price increases if unexpected events occur [3]. Market Overview - The CITIC Coal Index was reported at 3690.69 points, down 3.34%, underperforming the CSI 300 Index by 2.77 percentage points [4][74]. - As of January 16, 2026, the price of thermal coal at North Port was 704 RMB/ton, reflecting a week-on-week increase of 3 RMB/ton [30]. Key Areas of Analysis - **Thermal Coal**: Daily consumption remains strong, and pre-holiday production cuts are expected, suggesting a continued upward trend in coal prices [15]. - **Coking Coal**: Increased purchasing by steel companies is driving coking coal prices higher, with significant price increases noted in various coal types [35][48]. - **Market Sentiment**: The sentiment in the coal market is mixed, with some participants optimistic about future demand due to weather changes and others concerned about weak terminal demand [32]. Company Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on companies with strong fundamentals, such as China Shenhua, Yancoal, and others, which are expected to perform well in the upcoming periods [11][10]. - Companies like Keda Control and China Qinfa are highlighted for their potential recovery and growth prospects [11]. Price Trends - Coking coal prices have seen significant increases, with low-sulfur coking coal prices rising by 100 RMB/ton week-on-week [35]. - The report notes that the average profit per ton of coking coal has decreased, indicating pressure on margins for some producers [72]. Inventory and Supply Dynamics - As of January 16, 2026, the inventory of thermal coal at major ports was reported at 6440 million tons, showing a week-on-week decrease of 6 million tons [16]. - The report emphasizes the importance of monitoring inventory levels and production rates, particularly as the Chinese New Year approaches, which typically affects supply [15]. Conclusion - The coal industry is at a critical juncture, with potential for price increases driven by demand shifts and supply constraints. Investors are advised to focus on companies with strong market positions and growth potential in this evolving landscape [3][11].

Core Insights - The report indicates that coal imports in December increased by 12% year-on-year, and the daily consumption of power plants is expected to continue growing [1][85]. Market Dynamics - Coking coal prices have seen significant increases, with the first round of price hikes for coke expected to be implemented next Monday [5][11]. - The CCI 5500 kcal thermal coal index reported at 702 RMB/ton, with a week-on-week increase of 1 RMB/ton [11][86]. - The average daily consumption of coastal power plants was 218,000 tons, with a stock availability of 15.4 days [28]. Industry Outlook - The coal price is expected to maintain stability due to high daily consumption and a potential decrease in production in the first quarter [5][86]. - The overall supply-demand balance in the medium to long term is expected to remain tight, with a potential increase in the price center compared to 2025 [5][86]. - The total profit of the coal mining industry from January to November 2025 was 297 billion RMB, a year-on-year decrease of 47% [5]. Key Companies - Companies with stable profits and dividends include China Shenhua, Yanzhou Coal, Shaanxi Coal, and others [5]. - Companies benefiting from improved demand expectations and supply contraction include Shanxi Coking Coal, Lu'an Environmental Energy, and others [5]. - Companies with long-term growth potential include Huayang Co., New Energy, and others [5]. Recent Focus Areas - Industry policies have remained stable, with stricter safety regulations limiting production [5][88]. - The demand growth rate for coal has generally declined, but December saw a significant increase in coal imports [5][92].

Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is maintained at "Overweight" [1] Core Insights - The current supply-demand situation in the coal mining industry is weak, leading to a decline in port coal prices. The average daily coal inflow to the four ports in the Bohai Rim increased by 12.73 thousand tons week-on-week, while the average daily outflow also rose by 9.45 thousand tons. However, the overall inventory at the ports increased by 33.50 million tons, indicating a high inventory level and weak demand, which is expected to keep coal prices fluctuating [1][28][32] - The report suggests that the short-term high temperatures across the country will not boost residential heating demand, and the daily consumption of power plants is declining. Additionally, the share of thermal power is being squeezed by renewable energy sources, leading to an expectation of a stable coal price trend [1][19] Summary by Sections 1. Market Review - The Shanghai Composite Index closed at 4,101.91 points, down 1.52% week-on-week. The coal sector index closed at 2,833.39 points, down 2.7% [10] 2. Domestic Coal Prices - The price of thermal coal at the production site has shown a slight decline, with the price in Datong down by 49 yuan/ton, while prices in Inner Mongolia remained stable [16] 3. Inventory Levels - The average daily coal inflow to the Bohai Rim ports was 166.90 million tons, and the outflow was 171.40 million tons, indicating increased activity but also higher inventory levels [28][32] 4. Recommendations - The report recommends focusing on elastic coal stocks, particularly Haohua Energy and Guanghui Energy, which are considered undervalued [2][37]

Economic Data and Policy Changes - The National Bureau of Statistics will announce the 2025 national economic operation data on January 19 [1] - The People's Bank of China will lower the re-lending and re-discount rates by 0.25 percentage points starting January 19, 2026, with new rates set at 0.95%, 1.15%, and 1.25% for different terms [2] - The Shanghai and Shenzhen Stock Exchanges will implement a new financing margin requirement, increasing the minimum margin from 80% to 100% effective January 19 [3] Global Events - The World Economic Forum will hold its 56th annual meeting in Davos, Switzerland, from January 19 to 23, gathering nearly 3,000 leaders from over 130 countries [4] Market Updates - The Loan Prime Rate (LPR) for January will be announced on January 20, with the previous rates remaining unchanged for seven consecutive months at 3.0% for one year and 3.5% for five years [5] - Domestic refined oil prices are expected to increase by 75 yuan per ton based on the average crude oil price of $61.09 per barrel [6] Company Earnings Reports - Wohuah Pharmaceutical will be the first to release its 2025 annual report on January 20, projecting a net profit of 80 million to 115 million yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 119.76% to 215.90% [7] Stock Unlocking Events - A total of 39 companies will have their restricted shares unlocked next week, with a total of 3.447 billion shares and a market value of approximately 464.99 billion yuan [8] - The companies with the highest unlocking values include Xingtum Measurement and Control (131.3 billion yuan), Shanxi Coking Coal (69.68 billion yuan), and Xingfu Electronics (50.07 billion yuan) [8] New Stock Opportunities - Three new stocks will be issued next week: Zhenstone Co., Ltd. and Agricultural University Technology will open for subscription on January 19, while Shimon Co., Ltd. will open on January 23 [11] - The issuance prices are set at 11.18 yuan per share for Zhenstone and 25.00 yuan per share for Agricultural University Technology [12]

【知情人：#耿村煤矿韩某已调至洗煤厂#】#女子向出轨丈夫道歉新进展#自1月12日起，河南三门峡一 女子在社交平台发布向出轨丈夫"道歉"的视频，引发大量关注。女子称，其丈夫为耿村煤矿队长，与已 婚女同事韩某出轨长达5年。1月17日，涉事男子所在企业发布情况通报：关注到"娜姐重生"账号反映的 关于我单位职工高某的相关信息，我单位高度重视并成立工作专班。2025年12月5日，高某被党纪处 分。现已对其停职调查并将按照调查结果依规依纪处理。据二三里资讯采访当地知情人士：高某被停 工，韩某已从原部门调至洗煤厂工作。（大众新闻-半岛都市报） ...

Group 1 - The core event is the establishment of the Heilongjiang University of Science and Technology Jixi Research Institute and the Coal-based Solid Waste Comprehensive Utilization Technology Center in Jixi City [1] - A cooperation project agreement was signed between Longmei Jixi Mining Company and Heilongjiang University of Science and Technology, focusing on key areas such as safe, green, and intelligent coal mining [1] - Jixi City and Heilongjiang University of Science and Technology will create a collaborative mechanism to address key technological bottlenecks, involving departments, enterprises, and research institutes [1] Group 2 - The initiative includes the establishment of a graduate training base and an internship training base to support high-quality development in Jixi [1] - The collaboration aims to explore an "order-based" talent training model to provide solid talent support for the region's development [1]

Group 1 - The total market value of shares to be unlocked next week is 46.499 billion yuan, with 39 stocks involved, totaling 3.447 billion shares [5] - Shimao Energy (605028) announced the termination of control change discussions due to disagreements on core terms, with stock resuming trading on January 19, 2026 [2][3] - Shimao Energy focuses on waste-to-energy production, utilizing waste and coal as primary materials to generate steam and electricity [2] Group 2 - The highest market value of unlocked shares next week is from Xingtum Control, with 123 million shares (70.66% of total shares) becoming tradable, valued at 13.13 billion yuan [5][8] - Shanxi Coking Coal follows with 1.037 billion shares unlocking, valued at 6.968 billion yuan, primarily from targeted placement shares [5] - Five stocks have an unlocking ratio exceeding 20%, with Xingtum Control, Longda Co., and Chaoyan Co. leading at 70.66%, 48.78%, and 35.05% respectively [8]

证券之星消息，1月16日煤炭开采板块较上一交易日下跌1.27%，大有能源领跌。当日上证指数报收于 4101.91，下跌0.26%。深证成指报收于14281.08，下跌0.18%。煤炭开采板块个股涨跌见下表： | 代码 | 名称 | 收盘价 | 涨跌幅 | 成交量(手) | 成交额(元) | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 600348 | 华阳股份 | 8.86 | 6.49% | 150.33万 | | 13.27亿 | | 000571 | 新大洲A | 6.05 | 2.72% | 31.70万 | | 1.92亿 | | 600121 | 郑州煤电 | 4.49 | 1.58% | 49.39万 | | 2.20亿 | | 600925 | 苏能股份 | 4.60 | 0.22% | 6.68万 | | 3078.20万 | | 600397 | 江钨装备 | 9.42 | 0.21% | 48.98万 | | 4.74亿 | | 600758 | 辽宁能源 | 3.73 | 0.00% | 14.43万 | | 5367.24万 | | ...

机构持仓方面，截止2025年9月30日，兖矿能源十大流通股东中，香港中央结算有限公司位居第三大流 通股东，持股7508.97万股，相比上期减少3453.30万股。国泰中证煤炭ETF（515220）位居第四大流通 股东，持股7086.78万股，相比上期增加4308.37万股。华泰柏瑞沪深300ETF（510300）位居第五大流通 股东，持股3051.26万股，相比上期减少144.44万股。华泰柏瑞上证红利ETF（510880）位居第六大流通 股东，持股2800.39万股，相比上期增加156.93万股。易方达沪深300ETF（510310）位居第七大流通股 东，持股2201.24万股，相比上期减少70.49万股。景顺长城景盛双息收益债券A类（002065）位居第九 大流通股东，持股1695.61万股，为新进股东。华夏沪深300ETF（510330）位居第十大流通股东，持股 1642.66万股，相比上期减少23.17万股。嘉实沪深300ETF（159919）退出十大流通股东之列。 资金流向方面，主力资金净流出2924.72万元，特大单买入2837.03万元，占比8.53%，卖出5490.45万 元，占比16.50% ...

1月16日，平煤股份盘中下跌2.06%，截至13:07，报8.09元/股，成交1.21亿元，换手率0.60%，总市值 199.77亿元。 资料显示，平顶山天安煤业股份有限公司位于河南省平顶山市矿工路21号，成立日期1998年3月17日， 上市日期2006年11月23日，公司主营业务涉及煤炭开采、煤炭洗选加工和煤炭销售。主营业务收入构成 为：洗煤分部66.88%，混煤分部35.49%，其他分部28.19%，勘探工程分部1.18%。 平煤股份所属申万行业为：煤炭-煤炭开采-焦煤。所属概念板块包括：动力煤、中盘、国资改革、融资 融券、增持回购等。 截至9月30日，平煤股份股东户数8.78万，较上期增加9.76%；人均流通股28123股，较上期减少8.89%。 2025年1月-9月，平煤股份实现营业收入148.16亿元，同比减少36.46%；归母净利润2.80亿元，同比减少 86.32%。 责任编辑：小浪快报 分红方面，平煤股份A股上市后累计派现127.82亿元。近三年，累计派现58.50亿元。 资金流向方面，主力资金净流出640.36万元，特大单买入400.45万元，占比3.32%，卖出427.79万元，占 比3. ...