ETF 日报 2025.04.28 市场概况： 今日 A 股上证综指下跌 0.20%，收于 3288.41 点，深证成指下跌 0.62%，收于 9855.20 点，创业板指下跌 0.65%，收于 1934.46 点， 两市 A 股成交金额为 10769 亿元。涨幅靠前的行业有：银行 （0.98%）、钢铁（0.53%）、公用事业（0.39%），跌幅靠前的行业有： 房地产（-3.66%）、综合（-2.52%）、社会服务（-2.19%）。 股票 ETF： 2025.04.18 今日成交金额靠前的股票 ETF 为：南方中证 A500ETF 下跌 0.21%， 贴水率为-0.30%；华夏中证 A500ETF 下跌 0.11%，贴水率为-0.23%； 华泰柏瑞沪深 300ETF 下跌 0.15%，贴水率为-0.19%。 债券 ETF： 今日成交金额靠前的债券 ETF 为：海富通中证短融 ETF 下跌 0.00%， 贴水率为 0.00%；鹏扬中债-30 年期国债 ETF 上涨 0.36%，贴水率 为 0.49%；富国中债 7-10 年政策性金融债 ETF 上涨 0.07%，贴水 率为 0.06%。 2025 年 04 月 ...

Market Overview - The Shanghai Composite Index fell by 0.20% on April 28, with five industries rising, led by banking and steel, which increased by 0.98% and 0.53% respectively [1] - The real estate and comprehensive sectors experienced the largest declines, down by 3.66% and 2.52% respectively [1] - The social services sector ranked third in terms of decline for the day [1] Capital Flow - The main capital outflow from both markets totaled 29.894 billion yuan, with only two sectors seeing net inflows: steel (200 million yuan) and oil & petrochemicals (66.933 million yuan) [1] - The electronics sector had the largest net outflow, totaling 3.104 billion yuan, followed by the automotive sector with a net outflow of 2.516 billion yuan [1] Social Services Sector - The social services sector declined by 2.19% with a net capital outflow of 524 million yuan [2] - Out of 77 stocks in this sector, 10 rose while 63 fell, including one stock that hit the daily limit down [2] - The top three stocks with the highest net outflows included Zhongxin Tourism (59.004 million yuan), Zhonggong Education (54.230 million yuan), and Guomai Technology (44.444 million yuan) [2] Notable Stocks in Social Services - The stock *ST Chuan Zhi saw a net inflow of 54.911 million yuan, while ST Zhangjiajie and Gangyan Nake followed with inflows of 18.9027 million yuan and 16.4099 million yuan respectively [4] - The stocks with the largest capital outflows included Zhongxin Tourism (-5.90037 million yuan), Zhonggong Education (-5.423 million yuan), and Guomai Technology (-4.4444 million yuan) [2][3]

证券研究报告 | 固定收益点评 gszqdatemark 2025 04 28 年 月 日 固定收益点评 基金增持了哪些转债——25Q1 基金转债持仓分析 2025Q1 公募基金持有转债规模占转债总市值的比重环比下降 0.87pcts，仓位小幅上升了 0.01pcts。截止 2025Q1，转债市场存量余 额 6920.52 亿元，环比 24Q4 增加 0.24%；公募基金持有转债市值 2822.74 亿元，占转债总市值的 40.79%，较 24Q4 减少 0.87pcts；公募基金持有 转债仓位为 0.819%，较 24Q4 上升 0.01pcts。 2025Q1，可转债基金平均收益略跑赢中证转债指数。受权益市场行情影 响，25Q1 转债市场主要指数上涨。可转债基金 25Q1 的区间平均收益率 为 16.73%，收益率为正的可转债基金有 39 只，其中华宝可转债债券 25Q1 收益率表现最好为 46.51%；东方可转债债券的收益率同样表现优异为 37.26%。另外仅有工银可转债债券的收益率为-0.24%。可转债基金中跑 赢中证转债指数的有 21 只，胜率 52.50%；跑赢转债债基指数的为 18 只， 胜率为 ...

上周A股市场保持上行态势，与前一周不同的是因关税政策出现缓和迹象，上周中证2000活跃度提升； 前一周表现较好的上证指数及上证50相对落后。日成交额基本维持在1.1万元以上水平，趋于稳定。六 大风格看，大盘价值下跌0.3%，中小盘成长上涨1.5%左右，成长显著占优。成长与价值周度轮动。汽 车、电新、机械等领涨，机器人(300024)带动较为显著；食品饮料、社服、地产等领跌，这些均为内需 品种，关税政策松动后回落。外盘方面，整体实现上涨，纳指连续4个交易日反弹；美元指数低位震 荡，维持在100之下，黄金冲高回落。 对于市场而言，当前影响宏观基本面的重要因素已然是关税能否缓和及国内政策对冲力度，过去一周关 税似乎出现一些积极信号，但即便不会出现明显转机，对市场的影响也将钝化，市场机会可能会转向具 备产业逻辑强化的方向。我们认为大方向预计依然是内需相关及自主可控方向，同时科技成长方向的机 会也有望逐步显现。 上周五政治局会议召开，提出创设新的结构性货币政策工具，设立新型政策性金融工具，支持科技创 新、扩大消费、稳定外贸等；大力发展服务消费，增强消费对经济增长的拉动作用。由于美对华关税大 幅加征，不少投资者对此次政治 ...

| 汽车 | | | | 浙江华远 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 社会服务 | -2.28 | 120.30 | 7.14 | 外服控股 | -8.62 | | 综合 | -2.34 | 21.01 | -1.26 | *ST中程 | -13.84 | | 房地产 | -3.61 | 191.74 | -12.91 | 特发服务 | -11.01 | 注：本文系新闻报道，不构成投资建议，股市有风险，投资需谨慎。 （文章来源：证券时报网） 证券时报·数据宝统计，截至下午13:58，今日沪指跌0.07%，A股成交量796.87亿股，成交金额8733.96亿 元，比上一个交易日减少3.07%。个股方面，1263只个股上涨，其中涨停45只，4043只个股下跌，其中 跌停66只。从申万行业来看，钢铁、银行、公用事业等涨幅最大，涨幅分别为1.55%、1.22%、1.05%； 房地产、综合、社会服务等跌幅最大，跌幅分别为3.61%、2.34%、2.28%。 今日各行业表现（截至下午13:58） | 申万行业 | 行业涨跌（%） | 成交额（亿元） | 比上日（%） ...

市场情绪自3月20日持续调整，于4月18日下降至低点，数值为0.1。本周市场情绪指标在接近0轴处开始向上反弹，回升至0.5，数值较上周五(4/18)上升0.4，模型转多，市场 情绪有所缓和。 本周A股市场提示市场情绪有一定修复，较上周明显发生变化的指标有科创50成交占比、主力买入力量和期权波动率。主力流出速率减缓和VIX指标体现的恐慌程度减弱是本 周市场情绪回升的主要原因。 科创50成交占比、行业涨跌趋势性、主力买入力量和PCR结合VIX，分别代表了市场风险偏好程度下降，市场情绪不确定性增强，主力流出速度 减缓和期权市场恐慌情绪缓和。其他指标维持和上周一致的判断。 资金当前对成长高估值板块观点不确定性较强。 自上周科创50成交占比指标快速下跌至下轨以下后，本周科创50成交占比指标仍在持续下降。本周主力资金持续从科创板块 流出，累计净流出超过32亿人民币。 投资者信心逐渐恢复，市场的活跃度和投资者参与度都有了明显提升。 除了看到主力资金本周流出科创板，主力资金本周在全A仍然呈现净流出的态势，但流出速度较上周有 所减缓，主力流出主力买入力量指标有所回升。从主力资金净流出绝对量看，主力资金本周累计净流出超过370亿 ...

5 月行业配置关注：关税冲击修复与景气改善线索 20250427 摘要 • 财政政策更加落实，财政支出增速明显改善，为维持国内经济稳定提供支 撑，一季度消费边际改善，显示中国经济的韧性和结构性变化。 • 二季度出口受益于关税豁免期及转口贸易，预计基本面乐观。财政支出和 消费增速提升对股票市场有积极影响，内平准基金机制锁定向下空间，增 加市场向上弹性。 • 风险偏好回升依赖于人工智能、人形机器人、低空经济等新产业趋势的发 展，这些新兴产业为市场提供布局和投资机会，尤其在业绩真空期。 • 政治局会议强调稳定并活跃资本市场，支持未来积极变化预期。市场可能 向上突破，并体现为积极的产业趋势变化，特别是在 5 月份。 • 5 月份行业配置思路可从自上而下逻辑、八个维度打分模型及重点行业具 体推荐三方面分析，市场呈 V 型走势，消费和科技板块快速轮动。 • 一季度经济内生增长动能改善，消费服务表现突出，家电、汽车和通信器 材增长亮眼，受以旧换新及国补政策驱动。中高端制造业生产端保持较高 景气度。 • 5 月份市场偏好预计改善，布局关税影响趋缓及景气改善线索，关注前期 超跌且对美出口依赖度小的板块，以及受益于内需消费及自主 ...

Market Performance - Major global markets recorded gains, with Nasdaq up 6.73%, DAX up 4.89%, and S&P 500 rising over 4.5% [1] - The Hang Seng Index and other indices like CSI 300 and A50 saw more modest increases, with Hang Seng Index up 2.74% [1] A-Share Market - A-share market experienced fluctuations driven by policy dynamics and earnings expectations, with the ChiNext Index leading with a 1.74% weekly gain [2] - Daily average trading volume for the week reached 1.15 trillion yuan, an increase of 38 billion yuan from the previous week [2][6] Sector Performance - The agriculture, forestry, animal husbandry, and fishery sector rose by 3.97%, while the power equipment sector saw a decline of 7.73% [3] - The automotive sector increased by 4.87%, and the beauty care sector rose by 3.8%, indicating strong performance in certain industries [5] Policy Impact - The Politburo meeting emphasized the need for more proactive macro policies, suggesting a potential acceleration in policy implementation to boost market confidence [2] - The G20 meeting highlighted the importance of dialogue and policy coordination, which may enhance financial cooperation between China and the European Central Bank [1] Investment Opportunities - Short-term focus remains on domestic demand sectors, particularly in building materials, smart home appliances, and the hospitality industry, which are expected to benefit from policy upgrades [2]

| 代码 | 简称 | 每10股送转 | 每10股派现 | 派现金额（万 | | 派现占净利润比例 | 股息率 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | （股） | （元） | 元） | | （%） | （%） | | 600662 | 外服控 股 | 0.00 | 2.4 | 54803.92 | 50.44 | | 5.11 | | 300144 | 宋城演 艺 | 0.00 | 2 | 52452.01 | 50.01 | | 2.12 | | 600754 | 锦江酒 店 | 0.00 | 3.8 | 40586.98 | 44.55 | | 1.40 | | 600258 | 首旅酒 | 0.00 | 3.6 | 40197.71 | 49.85 | | 2.52 | | | 店 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 002033 | 丽江股 | 0.00 | 3.5 | 19232.17 | 91.20 | 3.76 | | | 份 | | | | ...

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Recommended" investment rating for Runben Co., Ltd. (603193.SH) [1][8] Core Views - The company is expected to achieve a revenue of 1.318 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 27.61%, with a net profit of 300 million yuan, up 32.8% [4] - The growth in revenue is driven by the mosquito repellent business, which is projected to grow by 35.39% to 439 million yuan, and the baby care series, expected to generate 690 million yuan in revenue, a year-on-year increase of 32.42% [5] - The company plans to launch over 90 new products in 2024, demonstrating its commitment to innovation and adaptability in response to market demands [5] Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the gross margin is projected to be 58.17%, an increase of 1.83 percentage points, while the net margin is expected to be 22.77%, up 0.89 percentage points [4] - The sales expenses are anticipated to rise by 41.25% to 380 million yuan, with a sales expense ratio of 28.8%, an increase of 2.78 percentage points [4] - The company reported a revenue of 281 million yuan in Q4 2024, a year-on-year increase of 34.01%, although net profit for the same period decreased by 13.28% to 39 million yuan [4] Revenue and Profit Forecast - For 2025, the company is expected to generate a revenue of 1.740 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 32.0%, and a net profit of 390 million yuan, reflecting a growth of 29.9% [6] - The projected earnings per share (EPS) for 2025 is 0.96 yuan, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 36.2 [6] Business Segments - The mosquito repellent and baby care segments are identified as the key growth drivers, with significant contributions to overall revenue [5] - The online sales channel is expected to reach 970 million yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 23.80%, with direct online sales contributing 774 million yuan [5] Market Position and Strategy - The company is focusing on product upgrades and new launches to capture market share, particularly in the mosquito repellent and baby care sectors [5] - The report highlights the company's ability to adapt to market changes and consumer preferences through continuous innovation and a flexible approach [6]