Core Viewpoint - The current bull market in A-shares is expected to continue until mid-2026, driven by policy support, liquidity easing, and technological advancements [3][12]. Market Forecast - The peak of the bull market is predicted to occur between mid-2025 and early 2026, with major institutions agreeing on a continuation until late 2025 or early 2026 [3][10]. - Technical analysis suggests that the main upward wave starting in September 2024 could target a breakout above 7000 points for the Shanghai Composite Index [4][10]. Historical Context - Historical bull markets in A-shares have lasted between 1.5 to 3 years, with the current cycle likely to follow the patterns observed in previous bull markets from 2019 and 2005-2007 [5][6]. Market Phases - The current phase is characterized as the initial stage of the bull market, with a period of consolidation expected from October 2024 to mid-2025 [7]. - The first quarter of 2025 is anticipated to see earnings growth driven by policy measures, pushing the index towards 3700-3800 points [8]. Key Drivers and Potential Risks - Key drivers include strong policy support, liquidity easing, and industrial upgrades in sectors like AI and renewable energy [9]. - Potential risks involve external shocks, such as U.S. tariff policies, and slower-than-expected recovery in the real estate sector [9]. Investment Strategy Recommendations - Short-term investments (first half of 2025) should focus on sectors benefiting from policy support, including technology (AI computing, semiconductors), brokerage firms, and undervalued consumer goods [10][11]. - Long-term allocations (post-second half of 2025) should emphasize growth in technology (AI applications, renewable energy) and recovery in consumer sectors (pharmaceuticals, food and beverages) [11]. Conclusion - The bull market is likely to persist until late 2025 or early 2026, with critical validation points in early 2025 for earnings reports and mid-2025 for interim results [12][13].

Group 1: Capital Increase - Guanglian Aviation plans to acquire 25.5 million shares of Tianjin Yuefeng Technology for cash, representing 51% of the target company's total shares, aiming for control post-transaction [1] - Aikedi's application for a capital increase to acquire 71% equity in Zhuoerbo (Ningbo) Precision Electromechanical Co., Ltd. has been accepted [1] Group 2: Shareholding Changes - Xinhua Medical's controlling shareholder intends to increase its stake in the company by 100 million to 200 million yuan [3] Group 3: External Investments and Daily Operations - Aerospace Power's wholly-owned subsidiary, Xi'an Yuanxin Aerospace Power Fluid Equipment, plans to pre-list for investment through capital increase, benefiting the company's construction of converters and high-end equipment manufacturing [5] - Pingzhi Information signed a framework agreement for AI computing power technology services worth 246 million yuan [6] - Hemai Co., Ltd. signed a cooperation agreement for household photovoltaic projects worth 1 billion yuan [6] - Angel Yeast plans to implement a core technology project for serum-free cell culture with an estimated total investment of 230 million yuan [6] - JA Solar's application for the issuance of overseas listed foreign shares (H shares) has been accepted by the China Securities Regulatory Commission [6] - Three squirrels' application for the issuance of overseas listed shares (H shares) has also been accepted by the China Securities Regulatory Commission [6] - Wehua New Materials intends to acquire 0.6907% of Lansheng Biology for 12.087 million yuan [6] - Jindan Technology plans to invest 163 million yuan in the construction of a water supply center project [6] - Foton Motor intends to jointly establish a joint venture with Yiwei Lithium Energy [6] - Dajin Heavy Industry's 250MW photovoltaic project in Caofeidian, Tangshan, has been fully connected to the grid [6] - Fudan Fuhua completed the transfer of equity in an associate company [6] - Leshan Electric Power's shareholder released a pledge of 50,000 shares [6]

将投中网设为"星标⭐"，第一时间收获最新推送 速览投资风口，掌握资本律动。 作者丨 长风 来源丨 东四十条资本 大家好，我是长风。今天给大家带来上周资本市场的专业投研信息。 焦点回顾： 新消费赛道，饮料品牌受关注。 上周， 从事椰水全产业链业务的泰国IMCOCO集团，近期宣布完成亿 元级Pre-A轮融资。此轮融资由Insignia Ventures Partners领投，天图资本跟投。此外，立吉团宣 布已完成天使轮融资，融资额达1000万元，投资方为深圳市冠峰永越投资有限公司。 36氪消息， 从事椰水全产业链业务的泰国IMCOCO集团，近期宣布完成亿元级Pre-A轮融资。此轮融 资由Insignia Ventures Partners领投，天图资本跟投。 立吉团科技完成天使轮融资 近日， 陕西立吉团科技有限公司（简称：立吉团）宣布已完成天使轮融资，融资额达1000万元，投资 方为深圳市冠峰永越投资有限公司。 未名拾光完成近亿元战略融资 近日，未名拾光宣布完成战略轮近亿元人民币融资，由欧莱雅集团与纳爱斯集团共同投资。 硬科技赛道，卫星通信成新宠。 上周，卫星物联网运营商鹏鹄物宇正式完成A轮融资，整体融资金额 已 ...

截至5月20日，基金产品收益差距"一度"破100个百分点。 Wind数据显示，截至目前的公募基金产品年内收益最高达73.01%，最低亏损则达到27.55%，两者业绩悬殊在 不足半年时间 "一度"破100个百分点。具有微妙意味的是，排名最强的基金产品的核心重仓股主要指向过去一 年机构筹码分布较少的美容化妆品以及宠物食品股等，而排名最弱的基金产品则将重仓股指向过去一年机构筹 码高度抱团的AI算力与科技股等。 业内人士认为，低配赛道变成高配赛道或弱势行业变成强势行业的股价弹性最具吸引力，而高配赛道或强势赛 道变成更强局面的难度更大，面临的机构抛压的可能性也更大。多位基金经理也指出，相比预期过高的AI、 人形机器人等，新消费赛道的预期差更具吸引力，应持续关注消费年龄结构及新生活方式带来的新兴投资机 会。 赛道冷热变化提高基金弹性 Wind数据显示，截至5月20日，华夏北交所精选基金年内收益已达73.01%，而上海地区一家公募旗下偏股基金 年内亏损则达到27.55%。这使得未达半年时间的背景下，公募基金产品的年内收益差距 "一度"破100个百分 点。这两只基金产品之间出现的巨大业绩差距，在某种程度上还体现出弱势赛道与强 ...

计算机 / 行业专题报告 / 2025.05.18 AI 算力：数字经济的基石，大国博弈的焦点 证券研究报告 投资评级:看好(维持) 分析师 杨烨 SAC 证书编号：S0160522050001 yangye01@ctsec.com 联系人 陈梦笔 chenmb01@ctsec.com 相关报告 1. 《 4 月车市稳增，滴滴 L4 新车亮相》 2025-05-14 2. 《破局与增长：IDC 行业竞争战略与 市场格局重塑 》 2025-05-11 3. 《2025 年一季度总结：业绩企稳，AI 提速，加仓正当时》 2025-05-05 核心观点 请阅读最后一页的重要声明！ 最近 12 月市场表现 -21% -6% 8% 23% 38% 53% 计算机 沪深300 上证指数 ❖ 美国芯片管制法案体系脉络：从"全面防扩散"到"强制 AI 芯片位置 验证"。2025 年 5 月 13 日，美国商务部宣布撤销拜登政府此前发布的《人工 智能扩散规则》（AI Diffusion Rule）。同日，美国工业安全局（Bureau of Industry and Security，简称 BIS）颁布 General Proh ...

Group 1 - The overall market experienced a decline on May 15, with the Shanghai Composite Index falling by 0.68% to 3380.82 points, the Shenzhen Component down by 1.62%, and the ChiNext Index dropping by 1.91%, with over 3800 stocks closing in the red [1] - Despite the overall market contraction, there was a notable inflow of northbound funds into financial stocks, with a single-day increase of 1.94 billion in Oriental Fortune, indicating a strategic shift towards defensive assets like gold ETFs and bank stocks [3] - The implementation of the China-US tariff reduction policy had a muted market reaction, with the shipping sector only slightly rising by 1.2%, while consumer defensive stocks surged, suggesting a positive impact from domestic demand policies [4] Group 2 - The technical analysis indicates that the Shanghai Composite Index is at a critical decision point, with a potential 5%-8% pullback indicated by a triple divergence signal, although the MACD remains in a bullish zone as long as the support at 3360 points holds [5] - Recommendations for investors include monitoring the 3386 points as a key Fibonacci retracement level, considering low-risk entries in semiconductor and AI sectors that have been oversold, and reallocating 20% of the portfolio into gold ETFs and bank stocks for risk mitigation and stable dividends [6][7][8] - Long-term trends suggest ongoing policy benefits, unstoppable industrial upgrades, and a global capital reallocation towards undervalued Chinese assets, indicating that market fluctuations should be viewed as opportunities for strategic adjustments [8][9]

上证指数站稳5日线，MACD红柱放大，短期趋势确实强。但30分钟级别顶背离已经出现三次，就像开车遇到急转弯，得踩踩刹车。历史经验告诉我们，快 速突破后如果量能跟不上，5%-8%的回撤很正常。所以咱们得盯紧量能——今天要是早盘半小时成交量破3000亿，指数冲3400点才有戏；要是缩量冲高，该 减仓就得减。 第三，聪明钱在悄悄换赛道 老铁们好，这里是帮主郑重每天的盘前策略时间。老规矩，咱们不整虚的，直接上干货，拆解这波行情里的机会和门道。 先说个大实话：昨天A股这根放量长阳，成交额1.3万亿，北向资金狂买118亿，确实够劲爆！但别急着喊牛市，咱们得看清楚这波行情的底层逻辑。 军工板块集体爆发不是偶然，成飞概念股涨停潮背后，是政策对高端制造的持续加码。科技这边更热闹，人形机器人、AI算力、低空经济这些赛道全线开 花，消费电子更是被中美关税松绑的消息点燃。但别光看热闹，得看资金往哪流——北向资金昨天118亿真金白银砸向科技成长股，说明外资对中国产业升 级的信心回来了。 第二，技术面强但别贪杯 2. 死磕主线：科技成长（AI算力、机器人）、新能源（固态电池）、消费电子（关税松绑受益股）这三个方向，重点看有技术突破的龙头 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a total revenue of 2.248 billion yuan in 2024, marking an 18.72% year-on-year increase, but net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 38.77% to 24.6164 million yuan, primarily due to significant losses in the manufacturing sector despite strong performance in the AI computing power business [1] AI Computing Power Business: Growth Engine Emerges - The AI computing power business generated revenue of 455 million yuan and a net profit of 142 million yuan, with a gross margin of 53.42%, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 9.39 percentage points [4] - The company established a comprehensive service system around AI computing power cloud leasing, including equipment distribution, computing power optimization, grid cluster integration, and technical maintenance, fostering stable partnerships with key suppliers and customers [4] - Significant capital investments were made, with fixed asset additions of 277 million yuan and right-of-use asset additions of 1.434 billion yuan, which, while yielding high short-term returns, increased financial pressure on the company [4] Manufacturing Sector: Severe Losses, Urgent Need for Adjustment - The manufacturing sector reported revenue of 1.792 billion yuan, a decline of 4.74%, and a net loss of 116 million yuan, with a gross margin of only 8.65%, down 6.26 percentage points year-on-year [5] - Key reasons for the manufacturing losses included industry downturns, ongoing losses at the subsidiary Anhui Boying, and underperformance of overseas production bases [6] - The company has implemented measures to address manufacturing losses, including capacity reduction and loss mitigation strategies for the Anhui factory, and management team adjustments for overseas factories, which are expected to achieve profitability in the planned fiscal year [6] R&D and Equipment Investment: Dual Drivers for the Future - The company invested 84.2584 million yuan in R&D, a year-on-year increase of 8.77%, with R&D expenses accounting for 3.75% of total revenue, indicating a strong focus on technological innovation [7] - Equipment investments included the addition of production equipment worth 104 million yuan, enhancing the company's production capabilities and supporting future product upgrades and technological advancements [7] - Despite significant investments in R&D and equipment, the persistent losses in the manufacturing sector remain a critical issue, necessitating a balance between technological innovation and improving manufacturing profitability [7]

2025.04. 29 微信编辑 | 生产队的驴（午休版） 推荐阅读 多地宣布发钱奖励结婚！ 截至午盘，上证指数报3287.45点，跌0.03%，深成指报9863.9点，涨0.09%，创业板指报1935.35 点，涨0.05%。PEEK材料概念股爆发，宠物经济、人形机器人、CRO、医美、固态电池、消费电 子、AI算力题材涨幅居前；电力股大幅调整，白酒、统一大市场、零售、免税店概念股走弱。 机构观点 中泰证券投顾邓天认为，目前市场处于修复阶段，预计大盘仍可能延续盘整。在操作上，随着年报、 季报陆续公布，个股不确定性大大降低，活跃资金有望重获定价权。短线可关注科技板块是否有技术 突破和基本面改善。长线可增配基建、光伏、军工等低估资产。 前海波本基金有限公司投资总监晋军认为，市场强势攀升趋势不改，料关税争端尘埃落定前，中期市 场或延续其强劲韧性。短期指数运行至前期3319至3288重压区域难免承压，但节前市场无忧。待一 季报集中披露期后，尤其是节后补缺完成，应加强防范短期回落风险。 作者 | 第一财经 ...

近期A股市场缩量调整，权重护盘与结构性分化并存，防御性板块、潜在政策催化方向表现较好，市场 交易主线围绕政策驱动的内需消费与高股息防御方向展开。经济数据方面，中国一季度经济数据超预 期，GDP同比增速和3月社零总额同比增速分别为5.4%和5.9%，均超前值与预期。同时，中国3月出口 同比增长12.4%，大幅高于预期，关税影响暂未体现。 金鹰基金表示，海外关税谈判期市场波动缓和，国内政策对冲的积极因素有望增多。虽然短期内各国市 场的波动率有所收窄，但美国关税政策对全球的冲击或仍在初期阶段，无论是供应链体系，或是市场对 海外再通胀、衰退以及对全球贸易保护主义额负面担忧，目前仍未见到明确改善点。国内方面，政策对 冲关税负面冲击的积极因素显著增多，但市场在关税未有明确方案前，观望情绪显著提高，交投活跃度 回落。临近财报密集发布期和4月政治局会议，内需政策明确为经济转型期的主要抓手，后续对冲关税 的政策落地节奏仍有待关税对各国贸易局面的影响，如国内政策超预期率先出招，亦利好于提振市场信 心。 后续投资关注方向上，金鹰基金表示，即将进入政策预期与数据验证阶段，短期内关注政策发力点、内 需消费赛道和防御性红利资产的投资机会 ...